NFL Analytics · Season Dashboard · through Week 18
2025 NFL Season.
Division standings with the BBMI power rating, simulated playoff odds, and projected final records — updated weekly. The model’s view of where the season is actually headed.
Analytics, not picksAFC East
| Team | Rec | Rating | Playoff | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New England Patriots | 14–3 | +7.1 | 100% | 14–3 |
 Buffalo Bills | 12–5 | +5.6 | 100% | 12–5 |
 Miami Dolphins | 7–10 | −2.7 | 0% | 7–10 |
 New York Jets | 3–14 | −10.9 | 0% | 3–14 |
AFC North
| Team | Rec | Rating | Playoff | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pittsburgh Steelers | 10–7 | +0.4 | 100% | 10–7 |
 Baltimore Ravens | 8–9 | +2.7 | 0% | 8–9 |
 Cincinnati Bengals | 6–11 | −1.3 | 0% | 6–11 |
 Cleveland Browns | 5–12 | −4.4 | 0% | 5–12 |
AFC South
| Team | Rec | Rating | Playoff | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville Jaguars | 13–4 | +5.0 | 100% | 13–4 |
 Houston Texans | 12–5 | +4.5 | 100% | 12–5 |
 Indianapolis Colts | 8–9 | −0.5 | 0% | 8–9 |
 Tennessee Titans | 3–14 | −8.0 | 0% | 3–14 |
AFC West
| Team | Rec | Rating | Playoff | Proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Denver Broncos | 14–3 | +4.6 | 100% | 14–3 |
 Los Angeles Chargers | 11–6 | +0.9 | 100% | 11–6 |
 Kansas City Chiefs | 6–11 | +0.9 | 0% | 6–11 |
 Las Vegas Raiders | 3–14 | −5.9 | 0% | 3–14 |
Season storylines
▲ Riser
Seattle Seahawks has risen +224 Elo points this season — the biggest gain in the league
▼ Faller
Arizona Cardinals has dropped -137 Elo points — the largest decline in the league
Projections based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations using BBMI Composite Ratings. Methodology