NFL · 2026 Season · Projected standings & odds

2026 NFL Season Projections.

Projected final records, division and playoff odds, and Super Bowl probabilities from 10,000 simulations of the remaining season. Games already played count as results.

Model projections · 10,000 sims

AFC East

TeamProj. recRangeDivPlayoffSB
BUFBills12.6–4.411.0–14.585%98%16.7%
NEPatriots10.0–7.08.0–12.015%67%3.2%
NYJJets5.9–11.14.0–8.00%1%0.0%
MIADolphins3.6–13.42.0–5.00%0%0.0%

AFC North

TeamProj. recRangeDivPlayoffSB
CINBengals11.3–5.79.5–13.057%88%7.0%
PITSteelers10.0–7.08.0–12.021%62%1.1%
BALRavens9.4–7.67.5–11.010%47%1.6%
CLEBrowns9.3–7.77.0–11.011%45%0.3%

AFC South

TeamProj. recRangeDivPlayoffSB
JAXJaguars10.7–6.39.0–13.085%89%4.3%
HOUTexans7.8–9.26.0–10.011%19%0.5%
INDColts6.7–10.35.0–9.04%6%0.0%
TENTitans3.6–13.42.0–5.00%0%0.0%

AFC West

TeamProj. recRangeDivPlayoffSB
KCChiefs11.2–5.89.0–13.052%88%6.5%
DENBroncos11.2–5.89.0–13.047%88%5.8%
LVRaiders6.8–10.25.0–9.01%4%0.0%
LACChargers4.4–12.62.5–6.50%0%0.0%

Range = 80% projected-win interval (10th–90th percentile). Div / Playoff / SB = simulated probability of winning the division, making the playoffs, and winning the Super Bowl. Current through week 7. Built from games played, a preseason market prior that fades as results come in, and each team’s lineup: next week’s games use the current active roster, and later games also apply our assumptions about players returning or missing games. Methodology