Team Pages/AFC South/Tennessee Titans
TEN
AFC SOUTH • 2026 SEASON

Tennessee Titans

Record 1-6Premium picks 0–2Last L 24–27 vs CLENext Nov 1 at CIN
#32
BBMI rank
-7.9
Rating
3.6–13.4
Proj record
0%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Last updated:
TEN
Tennessee Titans
#32 • -7.9 • AFC South
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Cincinnati Bengals
#7 • +3.7 • home
CIN
Model line
+11.5
Market line
Premium
Edge
Premium
Win probability

Model assumes: Cam Ward (TEN) v Joe Burrow (CIN)

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board, week by week as it prices
Last updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
NYJvs NYJ
L 10–23#27-1.061%
Sep 20
PHIvs PHI
L 20–24#29+7.028%
Sep 27
NYGat NYG
L 7–12#17+2.540%
Oct 4
BALat BAL
L 18–24#14+11.517%
Oct 11
HOUvs HOU
L 3–26#21+6.533%
Oct 18
INDat IND
W 26–20#24+6.523%
Oct 25
CLEvs CLE
L 24–27#16+2.042%
Nov 1
CINat CIN
Sun 12:00 PM#7+11.5Premium
Nov 15
JAXvs JAX
Sun 12:00 PM#10+2.5Premium
Nov 22
DALat DAL
Sun 12:00 PM#20+6.5Premium
Nov 29
JAXat JAX
Sun 3:05 PM#10+5.5Premium
Dec 6
WASvs WAS
Sun 12:00 PM#26+1.5Premium
Dec 13
DETat DET
Sun 12:00 PM#9+7.5Premium
Dec 20
INDvs IND
Sun 12:00 PM#24+1.5Premium
Dec 27
LVat LV
Sun 3:05 PM#23+1.5Premium
Jan 3
PITvs PIT
Sun 12:00 PM#12+1.5Premium
Jan 10
HOUat HOU
Sun 12:00 PM#21+7.0Premium

Model lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 32
#26#28#30#32
#32
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #2807-28 #2709-15 #2909-22 #3009-29 #3110-06 #3110-13 #3110-20 #3110-27 #32

9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Last updated:
Win the AFC South0%
Make the playoffs0%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
3.6
123456
Middle half of the simulations: 3 to 4 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 2 to 5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.121#31
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.045#23
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.119#29
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.126#20
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.139#24
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.069#24
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.3#25
Projected wins3.6#32
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.

BBMI picks on the Titans

2026 • Premium spreads
0–2
In TEN games
0–1
Picks on TEN
0–1
Picks against
BBMI’s Premium spread picks in this club’s games, the record the picks board shows. ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent; a third number is pushes. Net -2.0u, flat 1u at -110.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.