Team Pages/AFC North/Baltimore Ravens
BAL
AFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON

Baltimore Ravens

Record 1-0vs line 1–0 ATSLast W 41–23 at INDNext Sep 20 vs NO
#2
BBMI rank
+5.6
Rating
11.4–5.6
Proj record
87%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are preseason. They come from the week 1 season simulation, built 2026-07-19, and are seeded from market win-total priors rather than from games played. The schedule, the lines and the results below are current.

Next game

Game Picks →
NO
New Orleans Saints
#22 • -1.8 • NFC South
SUN SEP 20 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected yet
projected score
Baltimore Ravens
#2 • +5.6 • home
BAL
—
Model line
-8.5
Market line
—
Edge
—
Win probability

Schedule & projections

win prob from the board, week by week as it prices
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
INDat IND
W 41–23#21-3.065%
Sep 20
NOvs NO
Sun 12:00 PM#22-8.5
Sep 27
DALat DAL
Sun 3:25 PM#16-2.5
Oct 4
TENvs TEN
Sun 12:00 PM#27-8.5
Oct 11
ATLat ATL
Sun 7:20 PM#26-4.5
Oct 18
CLEat CLE
Sun 12:00 PM#30-7.0
Oct 25
CINvs CIN
Sun 12:00 PM#7-3.5
Nov 1
BUFat BUF
Sun 12:00 PM#3+2.5
Nov 5
JAXvs JAX
Thu 7:15 PM#17-4.5
Nov 16
LACvs LAC
Mon 7:15 PM#11-3.0
Nov 22
CARat CAR
Sun 12:00 PM#25-4.5
Nov 29
HOUat HOU
Sun 12:00 PM#14+1.0
Dec 13
TBvs TB
Sun 12:00 PM#20-6.0
Dec 20
PITat PIT
Sun 12:00 PM#19-2.5
Dec 27
CLEvs CLE
Sun 12:00 PM#30-10.0
Dec 31
CINat CIN
Thu 7:15 PM#7+2.5
Jan 10
PITvs PIT
Sun 12:00 PM#19-5.5

Ranking over time

no series published
The weekly store is running for this sport, but the rating it freezes has not been republished since the preseason build, so there are not yet two Tuesdays to plot.

Playoff odds

Pulse →
Win the AFC North57%
Make the playoffs87%
No. 1 seed (bye)24%
Reach the Super Bowl21%
Win the Super Bowl11%

Regular-season wins

middle half of sims
11.4
89101112131415
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 13 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 9 to 14. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.

Profile

Offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.056#9
Defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.002#14
Pass offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.053#21
Rush offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.031#2
Pass defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.103#20
Rush defense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.137#2
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.6#28
Projected wins11.4#3
These are 2025 figures and they fill in as 2026 is played. EPA per play is produced per season, so a 2026 column replaces this one once enough games exist to compute it. It is shown as last season’s rather than left blank because a measured figure from the season just gone says more about a roster in week 2 than an empty card does.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.

BBMI picks on the Ravens

2026 • ATS
0–0
Picks on BAL
1–0
Picks against
+0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.