AFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Cincinnati Bengals
#7
BBMI rank
+3.4
Rating
11.0–6.0
Proj record
82%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are preseason. They come from the week 1 season simulation, built 2026-07-19, and are seeded from market win-total priors rather than from games played. The schedule, the lines and the results below are current.
Next game
Game Picks →Cincinnati Bengals
SUN SEP 20 • 12:00 PM CT
not projected yet
projected score
Houston Texans
—
Model line
+3.0
Market line
—
Edge
—
Win probability
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
vs TBW 33–27#20-3.567%
vs TBSep 20at HOUSun 12:00 PM#14+3.0
at HOUSep 27
at PITSun 12:00 PM#19-1.5
at PITOct 4
vs JAXSun 12:00 PM#17-2.5
vs JAXOct 11
at MIASun 12:00 PM#31-6.0
at MIAOct 25
at BALSun 12:00 PM#2+3.5
at BALNov 1
vs TENSun 12:00 PM#27-6.5
vs TENNov 8
at ATLSun 8:30 AM#26-4.5
at ATLNov 15vs PITSun 7:20 PM#19-3.5
vs PITNov 23
at WASMon 7:15 PM#23-1.5
at WASNov 29
vs NOSun 12:00 PM#22-6.5
vs NODec 6
at CLESun 12:00 PM#30-4.5
at CLEDec 13
vs KCSun 3:25 PM#8-1.5
vs KCDec 20
at CARSun 12:00 PM#25-2.5
at CARDec 27
at INDSun 12:00 PM#21-1.5
at INDDec 31vs BALThu 7:15 PM#2-2.5
vs BALJan 10vs CLESun 12:00 PM#30-7.5
vs CLERanking over time
no series publishedThe weekly store is running for this sport, but the rating it freezes has not been republished since the preseason build, so there are not yet two Tuesdays to plot.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Win the AFC North38%
Make the playoffs82%
No. 1 seed (bye)18%
Reach the Super Bowl13%
Win the Super Bowl7%
Regular-season wins
middle half of sims11.0
789101112131415
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 12 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 8.5 to 13.5. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.062#8
Defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.104#28
Pass offense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.009#25
Rush offense 2025 (EPA/play)-0.003#5
Pass defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.208#29
Rush defense 2025 (EPA/play)+0.026#30
Schedule strength (opp rating)-1.3#31
Projected wins11.0#4
These are 2025 figures and they fill in as 2026 is played. EPA per play is produced per season, so a 2026 column replaces this one once enough games exist to compute it. It is shown as last season’s rather than left blank because a measured figure from the season just gone says more about a roster in week 2 than an empty card does.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.
The 2026 feed does carry offense and defense fields, and they are not used: measured across all 32 clubs, offRating equals defRating and both equal the overall rating halved, so they separate nothing. The rankings board drops them for the same reason.
BBMI picks on the Bengals
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on CIN
1–0
Picks against
+0.9u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 1 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.