AFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Cincinnati Bengals
#7
BBMI rank
+3.7
Rating
11.3–5.7
Proj record
88%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Tennessee Titans
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Cincinnati Bengals
Model assumes: Cam Ward (TEN) v Joe Burrow (CIN)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
vs TBW 33–27#22-3.567%
vs TBSep 20
at HOUW 20–6#21+2.545%
at HOUSep 27
at PITL 27–30#12-3.060%
at PITOct 4
vs JAXL 17–22#10-2.559%
vs JAXOct 11
at MIAW 31–24#31-7.078%
at MIAOct 25
at BALW 35–13#14-3.043%
at BALNov 1vs TENSun 12:00 PM#32-11.5Premium
vs TENNov 8
at ATLSun 8:30 AM#18-3.0Premium
at ATLNov 15vs PITSun 7:20 PM#12-3.5Premium
vs PITNov 23
at WASMon 7:15 PM#26-1.5Premium
at WASNov 29
vs NOSun 12:00 PM#25-6.5Premium
vs NODec 6
at CLESun 12:00 PM#16-4.5Premium
at CLEDec 13
vs KCSun 3:25 PM#4-1.5Premium
vs KCDec 20
at CARSun 12:00 PM#19-2.5Premium
at CARDec 27
at INDSun 12:00 PM#24-1.5Premium
at INDDec 31vs BALThu 7:15 PM#14-2.5Premium
vs BALJan 10vs CLESun 12:00 PM#16-7.5Premium
vs CLEModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#5#10#15
#6
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #1107-28 #709-15 #809-22 #1109-29 #1010-06 #1310-13 #1210-20 #1210-27 #6
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC North57%
Make the playoffs88%
No. 1 seed (bye)14%
Reach the Super Bowl15%
Win the Super Bowl7%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
11.3
891011121314
Middle half of the simulations: 10 to 12 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 9.5 to 13. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.108#6
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.033#11
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.206#6
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.087#15
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.001#5
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.094#17
Schedule strength (opp rating)-1.1#32
Projected wins11.3#4
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Bengals
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on CIN
2–3
Picks against
-1.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 6 graded picks, 1 of them pushes.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.