AFC EAST • 2026 SEASON
New York Jets
#27
BBMI rank
-4.0
Rating
5.9–11.1
Proj record
1%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Las Vegas Raiders
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
New York Jets
Model assumes: Kirk Cousins (LV) v Geno Smith (NYJ)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at TENW 23–10#32+1.039%
at TENSep 20
vs GBL 17–20#15+3.029%
vs GBSep 27
at DETL 24–31#9+7.021%
at DETOct 4
at CHIL 12–23#8+3.531%
at CHIOct 11
vs CLEW 17–12#16-2.550%
vs CLEOct 18
at NEL 19–26#11+7.021%
at NEOct 25
vs MIAL 25–28#31-3.570%
vs MIANov 1vs LVSun 12:00 PM#23-1.5Premium
vs LVNov 8
at KCSun 12:00 PM#4+9.5Premium
at KCNov 15
vs BUFSun 12:00 PM#2+7.0Premium
vs BUFNov 22
at LACSun 3:05 PM#30+9.5Premium
at LACNov 29at MIASun 12:00 PM#31+1.5Premium
at MIADec 13
vs DENSun 12:00 PM#5+5.5Premium
vs DENDec 20
at ARISun 3:05 PM#28+1.5Premium
at ARIDec 27vs NESun 12:00 PM#11+6.5Premium
vs NEJan 3
vs MINSun 12:00 PM#3+3.5Premium
vs MINJan 10at BUFSun 12:00 PM#2+10.0Premium
at BUFModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#24#26#28#30#32
#27
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #3007-28 #3009-15 #2709-22 #2709-29 #2910-06 #2710-13 #2610-20 #2510-27 #27
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC East0%
Make the playoffs1%
No. 1 seed (bye)0%
Reach the Super Bowl0%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
5.9
3456789
Middle half of the simulations: 5 to 7 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 4 to 8. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.014#15
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.016#17
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.121#13
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.148#23
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.141#25
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.157#7
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.3#22
Projected wins5.9#27
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Jets
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on NYJ
1–3
Picks against
-2.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks, 3 of them pushes.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.