AFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Pittsburgh Steelers
#12
BBMI rank
-0.4
Rating
10.0–7.0
Proj record
62%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Cleveland Browns
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Pittsburgh Steelers
Model assumes: Deshaun Watson (CLE) v Aaron Rodgers (PIT)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
vs ATLW 20–13#18-6.562%
vs ATLSep 20
at NEL 3–20#11+4.535%
at NESep 27
vs CINW 30–27#7+3.040%
vs CINOct 1at CLEL 24–27#16-3.051%
at CLEOct 11
vs INDW 34–22#24-3.050%
vs INDOct 18
at TBW 26–19#22-2.562%
at TBOct 25
at NOW 16–10#25-3.056%
at NONov 1vs CLESun 12:00 PM#16-3.5Premium
vs CLENov 15at CINSun 7:20 PM#7+3.5Premium
at CINNov 22
at PHISun 3:25 PM#29+5.5Premium
at PHINov 27
vs DENFri 2:00 PM#5+1.5Premium
vs DENDec 6
vs HOUSun 7:20 PM#21+1.5Premium
vs HOUDec 14
at JAXMon 7:15 PM#10+3.0Premium
at JAXDec 20
vs BALSun 12:00 PM#14+2.5Premium
vs BALDec 27
vs CARSun 12:00 PM#19-3.5Premium
vs CARJan 3
at TENSun 12:00 PM#32-1.5Premium
at TENJan 10at BALSun 12:00 PM#14+5.5Premium
at BALModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#10#15#20
#12
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #1907-28 #1909-15 #1909-22 #1809-29 #1510-06 #1710-13 #1310-20 #1310-27 #12
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC North21%
Make the playoffs62%
No. 1 seed (bye)3%
Reach the Super Bowl3%
Win the Super Bowl1%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
10.0
78910111213
Middle half of the simulations: 9 to 11 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 8 to 12. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.029#20
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.041#6
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.066#28
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.050#2
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.013#8
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.137#8
Schedule strength (opp rating)0.0#17
Projected wins10.0#12
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Steelers
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on PIT
3–4
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.