AFC NORTH • 2026 SEASON
Cleveland Browns
#16
BBMI rank
-3.6
Rating
9.3–7.7
Proj record
45%
Make playoffs
Rating, projected record and playoff odds are current through week 7. They come from the week 8 season simulation, built 2026-10-28, and are based on games played and a preseason market prior that fades as results come in.
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
Cleveland Browns
SUN NOV 1 • 12:00 PM CT
Premium
projected score
Pittsburgh Steelers
Model assumes: Deshaun Watson (CLE) v Aaron Rodgers (PIT)
Schedule & projections
win prob from the board, week by week as it pricesLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKLINEWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 13
at JAXL 10–34#10+8.526%
at JAXSep 20
at TBW 23–19#22+8.029%
at TBSep 27
vs CARW 21–18#19+2.043%
vs CAROct 1vs PITW 27–24#12+3.050%
vs PITOct 11
at NYJL 12–17#27+2.550%
at NYJOct 18
vs BALW 13–10#14+3.053%
vs BALOct 25
at TENW 27–24#32-2.058%
at TENNov 1at PITSun 12:00 PM#12+3.5Premium
at PITNov 8
at NOSun 12:00 PM#25+2.5Premium
at NONov 15
vs HOUSun 12:00 PM#21+4.5Premium
vs HOUNov 29
vs LVSun 12:00 PM#23-1.5Premium
vs LVDec 6
vs CINSun 12:00 PM#7+4.5Premium
vs CINDec 13
vs ATLSun 12:00 PM#18+1.5Premium
vs ATLDec 20
at NYGSun 12:00 PM#17+4.5Premium
at NYGDec 27at BALSun 12:00 PM#14+10.0Premium
at BALJan 3
vs INDSun 12:00 PM#24+2.5Premium
vs INDJan 10at CINSun 12:00 PM#7+7.5Premium
at CINModel lines, edges and win probabilities for games that have not kicked off are premium. Members see them on the NFL picks board; every number goes public at kickoff.
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 32#15#20#25#30
#15
07-1409-2910-27
07-14 #2707-28 #2909-15 #3009-22 #2909-29 #2010-06 #2010-13 #2310-20 #1710-27 #15
9 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing, ranked the way the rankings board ranks: by BBMI Rating. Each entry is that Tuesday’s place.
Playoff odds
Pulse →Last updated:
Win the AFC North11%
Make the playoffs45%
No. 1 seed (bye)1%
Reach the Super Bowl1%
Win the Super Bowl0%
Regular-season wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
9.3
6789101112
Middle half of the simulations: 8 to 10 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 7 to 11. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read.
Profile
Offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.037#24
Defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.039#8
Pass offense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.043#20
Rush offense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.175#26
Pass defense 2026 (EPA/play)+0.002#6
Rush defense 2026 (EPA/play)-0.104#14
Schedule strength (opp rating)-0.5#27
Projected wins9.3#15
These are 2026 figures, through week 7. EPA per scrimmage play (pass or rush, kneels and spikes excluded), measured from this season’s play-by-play and republished every Tuesday with the rating and the playoff odds. Defense is EPA allowed per play, so less is better.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
Early in a season these are small samples: one week is a single opponent, so a rank can move a long way on one game.
BBMI picks on the Browns
2026 • ATS0–0
Picks on CLE
4–3
Picks against
+0.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport stores the side it took by name, so neither is inferred. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.