Bracket Pulse.
The projected field and every team’s round-by-round odds, re-simulated nightly. Seed lines come from the median simulated selection; bracket odds are the share of 10,000 simulations where a team advances.
Projected seed lines
E = East · W = West · S = South · MW = Midwest
Showing seed lines 1–4 — the full field of 68 is rendered in the visual bracket below.
Projected bracket
Each team’s number is its advance rate to that round across 10,000 simulations. Highlighted teams are the projected winners. Scroll horizontally for later rounds.
Showing the East region — switch regions above. The Final Four and championship resolve from the four regional champions.
Round-by-round odds
Top 8 by title odds · green ≥ 15%| Team | Seed | Round of 32 | Sweet 16 | Elite 8 | Final Four | Title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michigan | 1 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
 Duke | 1 | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | — |
| UConn | 2 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | — |
 Michigan State | 3 | 100% | 100% | — | — | — |
 Kansas | 4 | 100% | — | — | — | — |
 St. John's | 5 | 100% | 100% | — | — | — |
 Louisville | 6 | 100% | — | — | — | — |
 UCLA | 7 | 100% | — | — | — | — |
Top 8 by title odds; the full field is in the visual bracket. Probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
How March mode works
The nightly simulation plays out the remaining schedule, conference tournaments, and the full 68-team bracket 10,000 times. Seed lines come from the median simulated selection; bubble odds are the share of simulations where a team makes the field. After Selection Sunday the page tracks live advance odds through the title game.