NCAA Basketball · Playoff Pulse

Tournament Seed and Result Probabilities

Official 2026 NCAA Tournament bracket loaded probabilities reflect actual matchups via 10,000 simulations.
📊 BBMI Bracket Results Live
Methodology: Seedings are projected using NET rankings. Probabilities show the likelihood each team reaches that round, based on 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations using BBMI win probabilities. Bracket lines show the most likely team to advance at each stage.Upset alert (≥40% win prob, 3+ seed diff)
🏆 Final Four & ChampionSemifinal → Finalist → Champion
Final Four
Championship Game
Champion
East
UConn logo2UConn100.0%
South
Illinois logo3Illinois100.0%
Midwest
Michigan logo1Michigan100.0%
West
Arizona logo1Arizona100.0%
UConn logo2UConn100.0%
Michigan logo1Michigan100.0%
Michigan logo1Michigan100.0%