Team Pages/Sum/North Dakota State
North Dakota State logo
SUM • 2025–26 SEASON

North Dakota State

Record 27-8vs line 5–4 ATSLast L 67–92 at Michigan StateTournament 14 seed, Round of 64
#89
BBMI rank
+22.3
Rating
#119
KenPom
#114
NET
North Dakota State logo
North Dakota State
#89 • +22.3 • Sum
THU MAR 19
67 92
final score
Michigan State
#6 • +29.8neutral
Michigan State logo
+8.5
Model line
+16.5
Market line
+8.0
Edge · Premium ATS
21%
Win probability
North Dakota State 21%Michigan State 79%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.

Schedule & projections

line and win prob from the board, where it priced the game
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
Oregon State logoat Oregon State
L 65–67#121
Nov 6
UC Davis logoat UC Davis
L 68–80#124
Nov 12
Cal State Northridge logovs Cal State Northridge
W 90–68#146
Nov 13
SSS
vs St. Scholastica Saints
W 111–38
Nov 18
Southern Illinois logovs Southern Illinois
W 92–85#143
Nov 20
JJ
vs Jamestown Jimmies
W 82–67
Nov 26
Jacksonville State logoat Jacksonville State
W 56–43#196
Nov 28
Arkansas State logoat Arkansas State
L 80–85#135
Dec 3
Montana logoat Montana
W 81–72#138
Dec 6
Northern Arizona logovs Northern Arizona
W 69–68#312
Dec 11
Cal State Bakersfield logoat Cal State Bakersfield
W 80–69#335
Dec 13
Drake logoat Drake
W 99–94#242
Dec 15
MCG
vs Minnesota Crookston Golden Eagles
W 101–67
Dec 21
UC Irvine logovs UC Irvine
L 73–74#65
Dec 22
UTEP logoat UTEP
L 66–76#303
Dec 31
South Dakota logovs South Dakota
W 84–61#256
Jan 3
Oral Roberts logovs Oral Roberts
W 79–77#327
Jan 8
UMKC logoat UMKC
W 97–73#36582–6095%
Jan 10
Omaha logoat Omaha
W 78–76#22579–7081%
Jan 14
South Dakota State logovs South Dakota State
W 76–65#23678–7180%
Jan 17
St. Thomas logovs St. Thomas
W 68–65#8076–7557%
Jan 22
Denver logoat Denver
W 82–77#24685–7777%
Jan 24
Oral Roberts logoat Oral Roberts
W 86–58#32780–6889%
Jan 31
South Dakota logoat South Dakota
W 89–84#25681–7177%
Feb 5
Denver logovs Denver
L 71–78#24686–7788%
Feb 7
Omaha logovs Omaha
W 92–84#22580–7085%
Feb 14
North Dakota logoat North Dakota
W 83–66#30481–7177%
Feb 18
South Dakota State logoat South Dakota State
W 74–66#23678–7167%
Feb 21
UMKC logovs UMKC
W 95–59#36583–60100%
Feb 26
St. Thomas logoat St. Thomas
L 62–84#8075–7639%
Feb 28
North Dakota logovs North Dakota
W 96–63#30481–7093%
Mar 5
Oral Roberts logovs Oral Roberts
W 76–65#32781–6797%
Mar 7
Omaha logovs Omaha
W 74–50#22580–7073%
Mar 8
North Dakota logovs North Dakota
W 70–62#304
Mar 19
Michigan State logovs Michigan State
L 67–92#665–8121%

Ranking over time

weekly · place of 365
#71#79#87#95#102
#89
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28

14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.

NCAA tournament

Pulse →
14
Seed
East
Region
Round of 64
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.

Regular-season wins

not published
This sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.

Profile

Strength of schedule#114
KenPom rank#119
NET rank#114
Quality wins-41.5#71
Rebound margin+2.5#75
Turnover margin+2.3#36
Assists per game14.9#82
Three-point margin+0.024#88
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.

BBMI picks on North Dakota State

2025–26 • ATS
53
Picks on North Dakota State
01
Picks against
+0.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 9 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.