MVC • 2025–26 SEASON
Northern Iowa
#58
BBMI rank
+23.4
Rating
#77
KenPom
#72
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Northern Iowa
FRI MAR 20
53 – 79
final score
St. John's
+6.5
Model line
+9.5
Market line
+3.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
27%
Win probability
Northern Iowa 27%St. John's 73%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 7
vs Cal State NorthridgeW 86–57#146
vs Cal State NorthridgeNov 9
vs South Dakota StateW 65–58#236
vs South Dakota StateNov 15
vs FurmanW 70–54#153
vs FurmanNov 19
vs Northern IllinoisW 70–57#349
vs Northern IllinoisNov 23
at UC IrvineW 70–69#65
at UC IrvineNov 25
at Loyola (IL)W 72–51#310
at Loyola (IL)Nov 26
at TulsaL 60–63#60
at TulsaDec 1W 99–34
CK
vs Coe KohawksDec 6
vs Wichita StateL 69–74#97
vs Wichita StateDec 13
vs OaklandW 75–63#122
vs OaklandDec 17
at Illinois-ChicagoW 60–54#82
at Illinois-ChicagoDec 22
at Saint Mary'sL 58–63#20
at Saint Mary'sDec 29
vs ValparaisoW 58–48#189
vs ValparaisoJan 1
vs Indiana StateW 75–66#258
vs Indiana StateJan 4
at EvansvilleW 62–48#33176–6095%
at EvansvilleJan 7
vs BelmontL 65–78#5173–7349%
vs BelmontJan 10
at BradleyL 69–75#13672–6750%
at BradleyJan 13vs Illinois-ChicagoL 61–69#8269–6573%
vs Illinois-ChicagoJan 17at ValparaisoL 44–54#18970–6561%
at ValparaisoJan 21
at Illinois StateL 54–59#9568–6723%
at Illinois StateJan 24
vs Murray StateW 81–76#17876–7056%
vs Murray StateJan 28
at Southern IllinoisL 50–65#14367–6355%
at Southern IllinoisJan 31vs EvansvilleW 71–55#33176–6098%
vs EvansvilleFeb 6vs BradleyW 61–49#13672–6677%
vs BradleyFeb 9at Murray StateW 89–60#17876–7142%
at Murray StateFeb 12at BelmontL 86–91#5173–7333%
at BelmontFeb 15
vs DrakeW 86–62#24275–6489%
vs DrakeFeb 18at Indiana StateW 81–60#25873–6383%
at Indiana StateFeb 21vs Southern IllinoisL 57–59#14367–6372%
vs Southern IllinoisFeb 25vs Illinois StateL 69–71#9568–6657%
vs Illinois StateMar 1at DrakeW 75–53#24275–6570%
at DrakeMar 5vs EvansvilleW 68–59#33176–6097%
vs EvansvilleMar 6at Illinois StateW 74–52#9568–6761%
at Illinois StateMar 7at BradleyW 73–69#13672–6761%
at BradleyMar 8at Illinois-ChicagoW 84–69#8269–6648%
at Illinois-ChicagoMar 20vs St. John'sL 53–79#1263–7327%
vs St. John'sRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#53#70#87#104#119
#56
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →12
Seed
East
Region
Round of 64
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#72
KenPom rank#77
NET rank#72
Quality wins-69.5#140
Rebound margin-2.6#256
Turnover margin+2.2#40
Assists per game15.1#71
Three-point margin+0.065#6
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Northern Iowa
2025–26 • ATS6–3
Picks on Northern Iowa
4–1
Picks against
+5.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 14 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.