B10 • 2025–26 SEASON
Illinois
#5
BBMI rank
+29.8
Rating
#4
KenPom
#8
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Illinois
SAT APR 4
62 – 71
final score
UConn
-5.5
Model line
-1.5
Market line
+4.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
70%
Win probability
Illinois 70%UConn 30%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs Jackson StateW 113–55#356
vs Jackson StateNov 8
vs Florida Gulf CoastW 113–70#218
vs Florida Gulf CoastNov 12
vs Texas TechW 81–77#43
vs Texas TechNov 15
vs ColgateW 84–65#182
vs ColgateNov 20
vs AlabamaL 86–90#24
vs AlabamaNov 22W 98–58#193
L
vs LIUNov 25
vs Texas-RGVW 87–73#93
vs Texas-RGVNov 28at UConnL 61–74#14
at UConnDec 6
at TennesseeW 75–62#17
at TennesseeDec 9
at Ohio StateW 88–80#27
at Ohio StateDec 13
vs NebraskaL 80–83#7
vs NebraskaDec 22
vs MissouriW 91–48#91
vs MissouriDec 29
vs SouthernW 90–55#249
vs SouthernJan 3
at Penn StateW 73–65#21590–6893%
at Penn StateJan 8
vs RutgersW 81–55#20787–6699%
vs RutgersJan 11
at IowaW 75–69#2579–7357%
at IowaJan 14
at NorthwesternW 79–68#6483–7069%
at NorthwesternJan 17
vs MinnesotaW 77–67#7782–6690%
vs MinnesotaJan 21
vs MarylandW 89–70#28287–6599%
vs MarylandJan 24
at PurdueW 88–82#480–7929%
at PurdueJan 29
vs WashingtonW 75–66#7183–7092%
vs WashingtonFeb 1at NebraskaW 78–69#775–7140%
at NebraskaFeb 4vs NorthwesternW 84–44#6484–6993%
vs NorthwesternFeb 7
at Michigan StateL 82–85#676–7434%
at Michigan StateFeb 10
vs WisconsinL 90–92#2684–7583%
vs WisconsinFeb 15
vs IndianaW 71–51#4284–7185%
vs IndianaFeb 18
at USCW 101–65#8584–6973%
at USCFeb 21
at UCLAL 94–95#2181–7454%
at UCLAFeb 27
vs MichiganL 70–84#175–7959%
vs MichiganMar 3
vs OregonW 80–54#15085–6697%
vs OregonMar 8at MarylandW 78–72#28286–6697%
at MarylandMar 13vs WisconsinL 88–91#2683–7573%
vs WisconsinMar 19
vs PennsylvaniaW 105–70#14287–6584%
vs PennsylvaniaMar 21
vs VCUW 76–55#3383–7279%
vs VCUMar 26
vs HoustonW 65–55#1072–7373%
vs HoustonMar 28vs IowaW 71–59#2579–7279%
vs IowaApr 4vs UConnL 62–71#1475–7270%
vs UConnRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#2#5#8#11#12
#5
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →3
Seed
South
Region
Final Four
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#8
KenPom rank#4
NET rank#8
Quality wins103.0#5
Rebound margin+9.6#7
Turnover margin-1.1#249
Assists per game14.5#110
Three-point margin+0.042#42
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Illinois
2025–26 • ATS3–3
Picks on Illinois
4–6
Picks against
-2.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 16 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.