SEC • 2025–26 SEASON
Alabama
#24
BBMI rank
+26.1
Rating
#13
KenPom
#18
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Alabama
FRI MAR 27
77 – 90
final score
Michigan
+15.5
Model line
+9.5
Market line
-6.0
Edge · Premium ATS
7%
Win probability
Alabama 7%Michigan 93%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs North DakotaW 91–62#304
vs North DakotaNov 8
at St. John'sW 103–96#12
at St. John'sNov 14
vs PurdueL 80–87#4
vs PurdueNov 20
at IllinoisW 90–86#5
at IllinoisNov 25
vs GonzagaL 85–95#11
vs GonzagaNov 26
vs UNLVW 115–76#176
vs UNLVNov 27
vs MarylandW 105–72#282
vs MarylandDec 3
vs ClemsonW 90–84#47
vs ClemsonDec 7W 97–55#353
U
vs UTSADec 13
vs ArizonaL 75–96#2
vs ArizonaDec 17
vs South FloridaW 104–93#29
vs South FloridaDec 21
vs Kennesaw StateW 92–81#131
vs Kennesaw StateDec 29
vs YaleW 102–78#63
vs YaleJan 3
vs KentuckyW 89–74#35
vs KentuckyJan 7
at VanderbiltL 90–96#1383–8517%
at VanderbiltJan 10
vs TexasL 88–92#7487–8176%
vs TexasJan 13
at Mississippi StateW 97–82#24789–7473%
at Mississippi StateJan 17
at OklahomaW 83–81#4687–8252%
at OklahomaJan 24
vs TennesseeL 73–79#1778–7958%
vs TennesseeJan 27
vs MissouriW 90–64#9187–7782%
vs MissouriFeb 1
at FloridaL 77–100#878–8429%
at FloridaFeb 4
vs Texas A&MW 100–97#4186–7967%
vs Texas A&MFeb 7
at AuburnW 96–92#5588–8337%
at AuburnFeb 11
at Ole MissW 93–74#11484–7472%
at Ole MissFeb 14
vs South CarolinaW 89–75#21788–7290%
vs South CarolinaFeb 18
vs ArkansasW 117–115#1588–8659%
vs ArkansasFeb 21
at LSUW 90–83#10488–7860%
at LSUFeb 25vs Mississippi StateW 100–75#24790–7494%
vs Mississippi StateFeb 28at TennesseeW 71–69#1777–8028%
at TennesseeMar 3
at GeorgiaL 88–98#3689–8435%
at GeorgiaMar 7vs AuburnW 96–84#5589–8273%
vs AuburnMar 13vs Ole MissL 79–80#11484–7480%
vs Ole MissMar 20
vs HofstraW 90–70#6286–7459%
vs HofstraMar 22
vs Texas TechW 90–65#4383–8173%
vs Texas TechMar 27vs MichiganL 77–90#176–867%
vs MichiganRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#18#23#28#33#36
#24
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →4
Seed
Midwest
Region
Sweet 16
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#18
KenPom rank#13
NET rank#18
Quality wins45.5#14
Rebound margin+0.1#153
Turnover margin-0.4#192
Assists per game15.4#55
Three-point margin+0.020#111
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Alabama
2025–26 • ATS2–1
Picks on Alabama
9–6
Picks against
+3.0u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 18 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.