SEC • 2025–26 SEASON
Arkansas
#15
BBMI rank
+27.7
Rating
#18
KenPom
#15
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Arkansas
THU MAR 26
88 – 109
final score
Arizona
+13.5
Model line
+7.5
Market line
-6.0
Edge · Premium ATS
10%
Win probability
Arkansas 10%Arizona 90%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs SouthernW 109–77#249
vs SouthernNov 9
at Michigan StateL 66–69#6
at Michigan StateNov 12
vs Central ArkansasW 93–56#119
vs Central ArkansasNov 15
vs SamfordW 79–75#152
vs SamfordNov 19
vs WinthropW 84–83#100
vs WinthropNov 22
vs Jackson StateW 115–61#356
vs Jackson StateNov 28
vs DukeL 71–80#3
vs DukeDec 3
vs LouisvilleW 89–80#22
vs LouisvilleDec 6
vs Fresno StateW 82–58#180
vs Fresno StateDec 13
vs Texas TechW 93–86#43
vs Texas TechDec 16
vs Queens UniversityW 108–80#195
vs Queens UniversityDec 20
vs HoustonL 85–94#10
vs HoustonDec 29
vs James MadisonW 103–74#211
vs James MadisonJan 3
vs TennesseeW 86–75#17
vs TennesseeJan 7
at Ole MissW 94–87#11482–7374%
at Ole MissJan 10
at AuburnL 73–95#5587–8344%
at AuburnJan 14
vs South CarolinaW 108–74#21787–7288%
vs South CarolinaJan 17
at GeorgiaL 76–90#3687–8334%
at GeorgiaJan 20
vs VanderbiltW 93–68#1383–8367%
vs VanderbiltJan 24
vs LSUW 85–81#10488–7684%
vs LSUJan 27
at OklahomaW 83–79#4686–8164%
at OklahomaJan 31
vs KentuckyL 77–85#3583–7874%
vs KentuckyFeb 7
at Mississippi StateW 88–68#24787–7483%
at Mississippi StateFeb 10at LSUW 91–62#10486–7765%
at LSUFeb 14vs AuburnW 88–75#5588–8182%
vs AuburnFeb 18
at AlabamaL 115–117#2486–8841%
at AlabamaFeb 21
vs MissouriW 94–86#9186–7687%
vs MissouriFeb 25
vs Texas A&MW 99–84#4185–7878%
vs Texas A&MFeb 28
at FloridaL 77–111#876–8435%
at FloridaMar 4
vs TexasW 105–85#7486–8088%
vs TexasMar 7at MissouriW 88–84#9184–7857%
at MissouriMar 13vs OklahomaW 82–79#4686–8069%
vs OklahomaMar 14vs Ole MissW 93–90#11482–7381%
vs Ole MissMar 15vs VanderbiltW 86–75#1382–8348%
vs VanderbiltMar 19
vs HawaiiW 97–78#7284–7070%
vs HawaiiMar 21
vs High PointW 94–88#4489–7881%
vs High PointMar 26vs ArizonaL 88–109#275–8510%
vs ArizonaRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#8#11#14#17#20#21
#15
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →4
Seed
West
Region
Sweet 16
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#15
KenPom rank#18
NET rank#15
Quality wins41.0#16
Rebound margin+1.1#119
Turnover margin+2.0#52
Assists per game16.4#27
Three-point margin+0.064#7
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Arkansas
2025–26 • ATS6–0
Picks on Arkansas
3–1
Picks against
+7.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.