BBMI Rank · #3 of 365
Duke
Record 35-2ACCPower rating 32.8
Projected seed
1
East
Offense
BBMI 32.8FG%
9.1
3PT%
3.8
Assists/G
16.6
Reb/G
10.6
TO forced
0.6
Pt margin
0.1
Defense & schedule
SOS #1Opp FG%
—
Opp 3PT%
—
KenPom
#3
NET
#1
SOS
#1
Quality wins
134.0
Stats from the BBMI ratings file. The power rating is the projected margin against an average D-I team. (Per-100-possession AdjO/AdjD/Tempo are shown in the source mockup but are not in the ratings data, so shooting, rebounding, and schedule metrics are shown instead.)
NCAA Tournament projection
Full bracket →| Seed | Region | Rd of 32 | Sweet 16 | Elite 8 | Final Four | Champ game | Win title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | East | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | — | — | — |
Probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations.
Schedule & results
| Date | Opponent | Location | Result | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/29/2026 | vs UConn#14 | Home | L | 72–73 |
| 03/27/2026 | vs St. John's#12 | Home | W | 80–75 |
| 03/21/2026 | vs TCU#45 | Home | W | 81–58 |
| 03/19/2026 | vs Siena#126 | Home | W | 71–65 |
| 03/14/2026 | vs Virginia#16 | Home | W | 74–70 |
| 03/13/2026 | vs Clemson#47 | Home | W | 73–61 |
| 03/12/2026 | vs Florida State#116 | Home | W | 80–79 |
| 03/07/2026 | vs North Carolina#32 | Home | W | 76–61 |
| 03/02/2026 | @ NC State#48 | Away | W | 93–64 |
| 02/28/2026 | vsVirginia#16 | Home | W | 77–51 |
| 02/24/2026 | @ Notre Dame#201 | Away | W | 100–56 |
| 02/21/2026 | vs Michigan#1 | Home | W | 68–63 |
| 02/16/2026 | vs Syracuse#199 | Home | W | 101–64 |
| 02/14/2026 | vsClemson#47 | Home | W | 67–54 |
| 02/10/2026 | @ Pittsburgh#240 | Away | W | 70–54 |
| 02/07/2026 | @North Carolina#32 | Away | L | 68–71 |
| 02/03/2026 | vs Boston College#281 | Home | W | 67–49 |
| 01/31/2026 | @ Virginia Tech#53 | Away | W | 72–58 |
| 01/26/2026 | vs Louisville#22 | Home | W | 83–52 |
| 01/24/2026 | vs Wake Forest#76 | Home | W | 90–69 |
How these ratings are built
BBMI basketball ratings are built on efficiency, shooting, rebounding, schedule strength, and home court. The power rating is the projected margin against an average D-I team on a neutral floor.
The schedule’s picks are the same outputs on the daily picks page — filtered to one team. Picks freeze before tip and grade against the final score.