ACC • 2025–26 SEASON
Duke
#3
BBMI rank
+32.8
Rating
#3
KenPom
#1
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
UConn
SUN MAR 29
73 – 72
final score
Duke
-12.5
Model line
-5.5
Market line
+7.0
Edge · Premium ATS
88%
Win probability
Duke 88%UConn 12%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 5
vs TexasW 75–60#74
vs TexasNov 8
vs Western CarolinaW 95–54#279
vs Western CarolinaNov 12
at ArmyW 114–59#338
at ArmyNov 15
vs Indiana StateW 100–62#258
vs Indiana StateNov 19
vs KansasW 78–66#18
vs KansasNov 22
vs NiagaraW 100–42#330
vs NiagaraNov 23
vs HowardW 93–56#118
vs HowardNov 28
at ArkansasW 80–71#15
at ArkansasDec 2
vs FloridaW 67–66#8
vs FloridaDec 6
at Michigan StateW 66–60#6
at Michigan StateDec 16
vs LipscombW 97–73#137
vs LipscombDec 20
vs Texas TechL 81–82#43
vs Texas TechDec 31
vs Georgia TechW 85–79#224
vs Georgia TechJan 3
at Florida StateW 91–87#116
at Florida StateJan 6
at LouisvilleW 84–73#2279–7058%
at LouisvilleJan 10
vs SMUW 82–75#3885–6886%
vs SMUJan 14
at CaliforniaW 71–56#6882–6474%
at CaliforniaJan 17
at StanfordW 80–50#12782–6597%
at StanfordJan 24
vs Wake ForestW 90–69#7685–6593%
vs Wake ForestJan 26vs LouisvilleW 83–52#2280–6983%
vs LouisvilleJan 31
at Virginia TechW 72–58#5382–6573%
at Virginia TechFeb 3
vs Boston CollegeW 67–49#28181–56100%
vs Boston CollegeFeb 7
at North CarolinaL 68–71#3280–6848%
at North CarolinaFeb 10
at PittsburghW 70–54#24083–6192%
at PittsburghFeb 14
vs ClemsonW 67–54#4776–6389%
vs ClemsonFeb 16
vs SyracuseW 101–64#19983–6296%
vs SyracuseFeb 21
vs MichiganW 68–63#173–7368%
vs MichiganFeb 24
at Notre DameW 100–56#20184–6392%
at Notre DameFeb 28
vs VirginiaW 77–51#1677–6882%
vs VirginiaMar 2
at NC StateW 93–64#4883–6969%
at NC StateMar 7vs North CarolinaW 76–61#3280–6788%
vs North CarolinaMar 12vs Florida StateW 80–79#11685–6797%
vs Florida StateMar 13vs ClemsonW 73–61#4776–6390%
vs ClemsonMar 14vs VirginiaW 74–70#1676–6879%
vs VirginiaMar 19
vs SienaW 71–65#12685–5994%
vs SienaMar 21
vs TCUW 81–58#4578–6495%
vs TCUMar 27
vs St. John'sW 80–75#1275–6890%
vs St. John'sMar 29vs UConnL 72–73#1473–6788%
vs UConnRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#1#3#5#7#8
#3
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →1
Seed
East
Region
Elite Eight
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#1
KenPom rank#3
NET rank#1
Quality wins134.0#3
Rebound margin+10.6#4
Turnover margin+0.6#114
Assists per game16.6#23
Three-point margin+0.038#50
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Duke
2025–26 • ATS3–2
Picks on Duke
6–6
Picks against
+0.2u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 17 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.