B10 • 2025–26 SEASON
Michigan
#1
BBMI rank
+33.6
Rating
#1
KenPom
#2
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
UConn
MON APR 6
63 – 69
final score
Michigan
-12.5
Model line
-7.5
Market line
+5.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
88%
Win probability
Michigan 88%UConn 12%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs OaklandW 121–78#122
vs OaklandNov 11
vs Wake ForestW 85–84#76
vs Wake ForestNov 15
at TCUW 67–63#45
at TCUNov 19
vs Middle Tennessee StateW 86–61#147
vs Middle Tennessee StateNov 25
vs San Diego StateW 94–54#30
vs San Diego StateNov 26
vs AuburnW 102–72#55
vs AuburnNov 27
vs GonzagaW 101–61#11
vs GonzagaDec 6
vs RutgersW 101–60#207
vs RutgersDec 9
vs VillanovaW 89–61#54
vs VillanovaDec 13
at MarylandW 101–83#282
at MarylandDec 21
vs La SalleW 102–50#283
vs La SalleDec 29
vs McNeeseW 112–71#59
vs McNeeseJan 2
vs USCW 96–66#85
vs USCJan 6
at Penn StateW 74–72#21591–6599%
at Penn StateJan 10
vs WisconsinL 88–91#2685–7193%
vs WisconsinJan 14
at WashingtonW 82–72#7183–6772%
at WashingtonJan 17
at OregonW 81–71#15084–6397%
at OregonJan 20
vs IndianaW 86–72#4284–6793%
vs IndianaJan 23
vs Ohio StateW 74–62#2783–6996%
vs Ohio StateJan 27
vs NebraskaW 75–72#776–6779%
vs NebraskaJan 30
at Michigan StateW 83–71#676–7043%
at Michigan StateFeb 5vs Penn StateW 110–69#21592–64100%
vs Penn StateFeb 8at Ohio StateW 82–61#2782–7068%
at Ohio StateFeb 11
at NorthwesternW 87–75#6484–6682%
at NorthwesternFeb 14
vs UCLAW 86–56#2183–6991%
vs UCLAFeb 17
at PurdueW 91–80#480–7547%
at PurdueFeb 21
at DukeL 63–68#373–7332%
at DukeFeb 24
vs MinnesotaW 77–67#7783–6398%
vs MinnesotaFeb 27
at IllinoisW 84–70#579–7541%
at IllinoisMar 5
at IowaW 71–68#2579–6973%
at IowaMar 8vs Michigan StateW 90–80#677–7085%
vs Michigan StateMar 13vs Ohio StateW 71–67#2782–6985%
vs Ohio StateMar 14vs WisconsinW 68–65#2684–7184%
vs WisconsinMar 15vs PurdueL 72–80#480–7470%
vs PurdueMar 19
vs HowardW 101–80#11888–6190%
vs HowardMar 21
vs Saint LouisW 95–72#2384–6991%
vs Saint LouisMar 27
vs AlabamaW 90–77#2486–7693%
vs AlabamaMar 29
vs TennesseeW 95–62#1776–6890%
vs TennesseeApr 4
vs ArizonaW 91–73#275–7537%
vs ArizonaApr 6vs UConnW 69–63#1475–6988%
vs UConnRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#1#3#5#7#8
#1
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →1
Seed
Midwest
Region
Champion
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#2
KenPom rank#1
NET rank#2
Quality wins216.5#1
Rebound margin+8.6#8
Turnover margin-1.1#248
Assists per game18.1#7
Three-point margin+0.062#10
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Michigan
2025–26 • ATS4–1
Picks on Michigan
11–6
Picks against
+6.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 22 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.