B12 • 2025–26 SEASON
TCU
#45
BBMI rank
+24.2
Rating
#46
KenPom
#39
NET
Last game
Game Picks →TCU
SAT MAR 21
58 – 81
final score
Duke
+17.5
Model line
+11.5
Market line
-6.0
Edge · Premium ATS
5%
Win probability
TCU 5%Duke 95%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs New OrleansL 74–78#210
vs New OrleansNov 7
vs St. Francis (PA)W 104–63#352
vs St. Francis (PA)Nov 11
vs LamarW 78–65#274
vs LamarNov 15
vs MichiganL 63–67#1
vs MichiganNov 20
vs UMKCW 81–45#365
vs UMKCNov 27
at FloridaW 84–80#8
at FloridaNov 28
vs WisconsinW 74–63#26
vs WisconsinDec 5
vs Notre DameL 85–87#201
vs Notre DameDec 7
at North TexasW 65–55#158
at North TexasDec 15
vs Incarnate WordW 69–65#311
vs Incarnate WordDec 18
vs Oral RobertsW 72–53#327
vs Oral RobertsDec 21
vs Florida A&MW 80–56#294
vs Florida A&MDec 29
vs Jackson StateW 115–64#356
vs Jackson StateJan 3
vs BaylorW 69–63#84
vs BaylorJan 6
at KansasL 100–104#1867–7320%
at KansasJan 10
vs ArizonaL 73–86#266–8022%
vs ArizonaJan 14
at Brigham YoungL 70–76#3774–7812%
at Brigham YoungJan 17
at UtahL 79–82#24879–6888%
at UtahJan 20
vs Oklahoma StateW 68–65#9981–7465%
vs Oklahoma StateJan 24at BaylorW 97–90#8477–7535%
at BaylorJan 28
vs HoustonL 70–79#1064–7435%
vs HoustonFeb 1
at ColoradoL 61–87#11277–7450%
at ColoradoFeb 7
vs Kansas StateW 84–82#23079–7067%
vs Kansas StateFeb 10
vs Iowa StateW 62–55#966–7530%
vs Iowa StateFeb 14at Oklahoma StateW 95–92#9980–7549%
at Oklahoma StateFeb 17
at UCFL 71–82#9276–7439%
at UCFFeb 21
vs West VirginiaW 60–54#10868–6472%
vs West VirginiaFeb 24
vs Arizona StateW 90–78#10176–7168%
vs Arizona StateFeb 28at Kansas StateW 77–68#23078–7185%
at Kansas StateMar 3
at Texas TechW 73–65#4371–7635%
at Texas TechMar 7
vs CincinnatiW 73–63#5068–6869%
vs CincinnatiMar 11vs Oklahoma StateW 95–88#9980–7465%
vs Oklahoma StateMar 12vs KansasL 73–78#1867–7143%
vs KansasMar 19
vs Ohio StateW 66–64#2772–7444%
vs Ohio StateMar 21vs DukeL 58–81#364–785%
vs DukeRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#32#41#50#59#68
#45
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →9
Seed
East
Region
Round of 32
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#39
KenPom rank#46
NET rank#39
Quality wins20.5#23
Rebound margin+0.8#131
Turnover margin+2.9#18
Assists per game14.8#92
Three-point margin-0.003#201
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on TCU
2025–26 • ATS3–1
Picks on TCU
4–2
Picks against
+3.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.