AMER • 2025–26 SEASON
South Florida
#29
BBMI rank
+25.8
Rating
#48
KenPom
#45
NET
Last game
Game Picks →South Florida
THU MAR 19
79 – 83
final score
Louisville
+0.5
Model line
+4.5
Market line
+4.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
48%
Win probability
South Florida 48%Louisville 52%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs Florida A&MW 102–67#294
vs Florida A&MNov 8
at George WashingtonL 95–99#103
at George WashingtonNov 13
vs Coppin StateW 100–50#362
vs Coppin StateNov 16
at Kennesaw StateW 108–89#131
at Kennesaw StateNov 20
at Oklahoma StateL 95–103#99
at Oklahoma StateNov 26
at VCUL 66–78#33
at VCUNov 27
at Western KentuckyW 97–91#144
at Western KentuckyNov 28
vs Colorado StateL 68–83#66
vs Colorado StateDec 4
vs Utah StateW 74–61#19
vs Utah StateDec 10
vs CharlestonW 81–75#107
vs CharlestonDec 17
at AlabamaL 93–104#24
at AlabamaDec 21
vs UMBCW 94–69#154
vs UMBCDec 29W 111–50
GCB
vs Georgia College BobcatsJan 4
vs UABL 106–109#9082–7173%
vs UABJan 7
at North TexasW 74–70#15875–6649%
at North TexasJan 10
at TulsaW 93–78#6081–7820%
at TulsaJan 14
vs East CarolinaW 82–71#28585–6799%
vs East CarolinaJan 18
vs Wichita StateL 85–86#9777–7280%
vs Wichita StateJan 22at UABW 82–69#9081–7158%
at UABJan 25
vs Florida AtlanticW 89–75#16982–7177%
vs Florida AtlanticJan 28
at TulaneW 97–83#20883–6885%
at TulaneJan 31
at TempleL 78–79#17082–7072%
at TempleFeb 4W 109–88#353100%
U
vs UTSAFeb 8vs TulsaW 80–74#6082–7854%
vs TulsaFeb 11at Wichita StateW 66–58#9776–7345%
at Wichita StateFeb 15at Florida AtlanticW 83–81#16981–7252%
at Florida AtlanticFeb 19
vs MemphisW 87–66#20681–6980%
vs MemphisFeb 25
at RiceW 75–56#28885–6976%
at RiceMar 1vs TulaneW 90–62#20884–6889%
vs TulaneMar 5at MemphisW 96–89#20680–7077%
at MemphisMar 8
vs CharlotteW 83–60#23485–7093%
vs CharlotteMar 14vs CharlotteW 86–64#23484–7086%
vs CharlotteMar 15vs Wichita StateW 70–55#9776–7266%
vs Wichita StateMar 19vs LouisvilleL 79–83#2275–8048%
vs LouisvilleRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#26#40#54#68#81
#29
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →11
Seed
East
Region
Round of 64
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#45
KenPom rank#48
NET rank#45
Quality wins-31.5#52
Rebound margin+3.7#46
Turnover margin+2.7#26
Assists per game15.8#39
Three-point margin-0.018#277
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on South Florida
2025–26 • ATS3–1
Picks on South Florida
3–7
Picks against
-2.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 14 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.