B10 • 2025–26 SEASON
Michigan State
#6
BBMI rank
+29.8
Rating
#9
KenPom
#11
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Michigan State
FRI MAR 27
63 – 67
final score
UConn
-7.5
Model line
+1.5
Market line
+9.0
Edge · Premium ATS
76%
Win probability
Michigan State 76%UConn 24%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs ColgateW 80–69#182
vs ColgateNov 9
vs ArkansasW 69–66#15
vs ArkansasNov 13
vs San Jose StateW 79–60#297
vs San Jose StateNov 18
at KentuckyW 83–66#35
at KentuckyNov 21
vs Detroit-MercyW 84–56#161
vs Detroit-MercyNov 25
at East CarolinaW 89–56#285
at East CarolinaNov 27
at North CarolinaW 74–58#32
at North CarolinaDec 2
vs IowaW 71–52#25
vs IowaDec 6
vs DukeL 60–66#3
vs DukeDec 13
at Penn StateW 76–72#215
at Penn StateDec 16
vs ToledoW 92–69#83
vs ToledoDec 20
vs OaklandW 79–70#122
vs OaklandDec 29
vs CornellW 114–97#164
vs CornellJan 2
at NebraskaL 56–58#7
at NebraskaJan 5
vs USCW 80–51#8580–6664%
vs USCJan 8
vs NorthwesternW 76–66#6479–6787%
vs NorthwesternJan 13
vs IndianaW 81–60#4278–6982%
vs IndianaJan 17
at WashingtonW 80–63#7177–6980%
at WashingtonJan 20
at OregonW 68–52#15079–6583%
at OregonJan 24
vs MarylandW 91–48#28281–6399%
vs MarylandJan 27
at RutgersW 88–79#20781–6595%
at RutgersJan 30
vs MichiganL 71–83#170–7657%
vs MichiganFeb 4
at MinnesotaL 73–76#7777–6677%
at MinnesotaFeb 7
vs IllinoisW 85–82#574–7666%
vs IllinoisFeb 13
at WisconsinL 71–92#2678–7553%
at WisconsinFeb 17
vs UCLAW 82–59#2177–7176%
vs UCLAFeb 22
vs Ohio StateW 66–60#2777–7178%
vs Ohio StateFeb 26
at PurdueW 76–74#475–7641%
at PurdueMar 1at IndianaW 77–64#4278–7056%
at IndianaMar 5vs RutgersW 91–87#20781–6499%
vs RutgersMar 8at MichiganL 80–90#170–7715%
at MichiganMar 13vs UCLAL 84–88#2176–7165%
vs UCLAMar 19
vs North Dakota StateW 92–67#8981–6579%
vs North Dakota StateMar 21
vs LouisvilleW 77–69#2276–7279%
vs LouisvilleMar 27vs UConnL 63–67#1470–7076%
vs UConnRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#1#3#5#7#9
#6
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →3
Seed
East
Region
Sweet 16
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#11
KenPom rank#9
NET rank#11
Quality wins91.5#7
Rebound margin+11.0#3
Turnover margin-1.7#295
Assists per game18.6#3
Three-point margin+0.033#62
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Michigan State
2025–26 • ATS4–2
Picks on Michigan State
4–3
Picks against
+2.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 13 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.