Men's Picks

56.9%

Beat Vegas†

picks w/ edge ≥ 2 pts

9.0%

ROI

Flat $100/game

1,911

Games Tracked

edge ≥ 2 pts only

† Record includes only games where BBMI and Vegas lines differ by ≥ 2 points (1,911 of 2,927 completed games). The Vegas line is captured at a specific point in time — lines routinely move 1–2 points between open and tip-off, and can vary by a point or more across different books. A difference smaller than 2 pts is within normal market noise and does not represent a meaningful BBMI disagreement with Vegas. View full public log →

Win Rate by Edge Size — by Week

Higher edge disagreements with Vegas produce stronger outcomes

50% break-even

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Historical Performance by Edge Size

Edge Size	Games	Win %	95% CI	ROI
2–5 pts	1,345	54.3%	51.6%–56.9%	4.1%
5–6 pts	213	58.2%	51.5%–64.6%	11.5%
6–7 pts	132	60.6%	52.1%–68.5%	16.0%
7–8 pts	104	65.4%	55.8%–73.8%	25.7%
>8 pts	117	72.6%	63.9%–79.9%	39.2%
Includes only picks where edge ≥ 2 pts — differences smaller than 2 pts are within normal line movement and book-to-book variation · 95% CI uses Wilson score method.

How to use this page: Free picks (edge < 6 pts) are shown below. Subscribe to unlock high-edge picks ≥ 6 pts — historically 66.0% accurate.

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Today's picks are typically published by 10am CT, once Vegas opening lines are available.

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Score	Away⇅	Home⇅	Vegas Line⇅	BBMI Line⇅	Edge▼	BBMI Pick⇅	BBMI Win%⇅	Vegas Win%⇅
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