B12 • 2025–26 SEASON
Iowa State
#9
BBMI rank
+28.5
Rating
#7
KenPom
#6
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
Tennessee
FRI MAR 27
76 – 62
final score
Iowa State
-6.5
Model line
-3.5
Market line
+3.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
73%
Win probability
Iowa State 73%Tennessee 27%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs Fairleigh DickinsonW 88–50#342
vs Fairleigh DickinsonNov 7
vs Grambling StateW 102–62#267
vs Grambling StateNov 11
vs Mississippi StateW 96–80#247
vs Mississippi StateNov 18
vs StonehillW 96–57#325
vs StonehillNov 24
at St. John'sW 83–82#12
at St. John'sNov 25
vs CreightonW 78–60#129
vs CreightonNov 26
vs SyracuseW 95–64#199
vs SyracuseDec 3
vs Alcorn StateW 132–68#358
vs Alcorn StateDec 6
at PurdueW 81–58#4
at PurdueDec 11
vs IowaW 66–62#25
vs IowaDec 14
vs Eastern IllinoisW 78–53#271
vs Eastern IllinoisDec 21
vs Long Beach StateW 91–60#289
vs Long Beach StateDec 29
vs Houston ChristianW 89–61#286
vs Houston ChristianJan 2
vs West VirginiaW 80–59#108
vs West VirginiaJan 7
at BaylorW 70–60#8482–7062%
at BaylorJan 10
vs Oklahoma StateW 83–71#9986–6994%
vs Oklahoma StateJan 13
at KansasL 63–84#1872–6833%
at KansasJan 17
at CincinnatiL 70–79#5072–6569%
at CincinnatiJan 20
vs UCFW 87–57#9282–6890%
vs UCFJan 24at Oklahoma StateW 84–71#9985–7077%
at Oklahoma StateJan 29
vs ColoradoW 97–67#11284–6796%
vs ColoradoFeb 1
at Kansas StateW 95–61#23084–6683%
at Kansas StateFeb 7vs BaylorW 72–69#8483–6992%
vs BaylorFeb 10
at TCUL 55–62#4575–6670%
at TCUFeb 14vs KansasW 74–56#1873–6778%
vs KansasFeb 16
vs HoustonW 70–67#1069–6966%
vs HoustonFeb 21
at Brigham YoungL 69–79#3779–7340%
at Brigham YoungFeb 24
at UtahW 75–59#24884–6490%
at UtahFeb 28
vs Texas TechL 73–82#4377–7078%
vs Texas TechMar 2
at ArizonaL 57–73#270–7613%
at ArizonaMar 7
vs Arizona StateW 86–65#10181–6693%
vs Arizona StateMar 11vs Arizona StateW 91–42#10180–6683%
vs Arizona StateMar 12vs Texas TechW 75–53#4376–7077%
vs Texas TechMar 13vs ArizonaL 80–82#270–7524%
vs ArizonaMar 20
vs Tennessee StateW 108–74#16086–6486%
vs Tennessee StateMar 22
vs KentuckyW 82–63#3576–6884%
vs KentuckyMar 27vs TennesseeL 62–76#1771–6873%
vs TennesseeRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#6#11#16#21#24
#9
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →2
Seed
Midwest
Region
Sweet 16
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#6
KenPom rank#7
NET rank#6
Quality wins40.0#18
Rebound margin+2.7#67
Turnover margin+4.6#4
Assists per game16.9#19
Three-point margin+0.062#11
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Iowa State
2025–26 • ATS2–2
Picks on Iowa State
5–7
Picks against
-2.6u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 16 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.