MLB · Model vs Market
BBMI Vs Vegas
Head-to-head comparison of BBMI projections against market lines
Total Projection Accuracy (396 games)
BBMI
3.63
MAE (runs)
Vegas
3.57
MAE (runs)
RMSE
4.55
BBMI
4.52
VEGAS
Root mean squared error
Bias
-0.58
BBMI
-0.76
VEGAS
Avg signed error (+ = over)
Closer to Actual
176
BBMI
195
VEGAS
25 tied
Winner Pick %
53%
BBMI
53%
VEGAS
396 decided games
Walk-Forward Finding (2024-2025): Vegas systematically under-prices totals by ~0.32 runs on average. BBMI is closer to actual scoring. The model's edge comes from identifying games where even a conservative market has over-priced the total.
Recent Games — Line Comparison
| Date | Away | Home | Vegas | BBMI | Diff | Actual | BBMI Err | Vegas Err | Closer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 |  Tampa Bay Rays |  Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 1–0 | 6.9 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  Houston Astros |  Baltimore Orioles | 9.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 3–5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-28 |  Colorado Rockies |  Cincinnati Reds | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 2–7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-28 |  St. Louis Cardinals |  Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.0 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 11–7 | 10.3 | 10.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  San Francisco Giants |  Philadelphia Phillies | 8.0 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 0–7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  Boston Red Sox |  Toronto Blue Jays | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 0–3 | 5.6 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  Washington Nationals |  New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0–8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-28 |  Detroit Tigers |  Atlanta Braves | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.6 | 2–5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-28 |  Seattle Mariners |  Minnesota Twins | 7.5 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 7–1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-28 |  Los Angeles Angels |  Chicago White Sox | 7.5 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 2–5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  Arizona Diamondbacks |  Milwaukee Brewers | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 2–13 | 6.6 | 7.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-28 |  New York Yankees |  Texas Rangers | 7.5 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 3–2 | 3.1 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  Kansas City Royals |  Athletics | 9.5 | 8.8 | 0.7 | 4–1 | 3.8 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-28 |  Chicago Cubs |  San Diego Padres | 8.5 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 8–3 | 3.1 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-28 |  Miami Marlins |  Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2–1 | 6.0 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-27 | Tampa Bay Rays | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 3–2 | 2.9 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-27 | St. Louis Cardinals | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 4–2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-27 | Boston Red Sox | Toronto Blue Jays | 7.0 | 8.6 | 1.6 | 5–0 | 3.6 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-27 | Seattle Mariners | Minnesota Twins | 8.5 | 8.4 | 0.1 | 4–11 | 6.6 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-27 | Los Angeles Angels | Chicago White Sox | 9.5 | 8.3 | 1.2 | 7–8 | 6.7 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-27 | New York Yankees | Texas Rangers | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 4–2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-27 | Chicago Cubs | San Diego Padres | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 7–9 | 8.1 | 8.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-27 | Miami Marlins | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 4–5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-26 | Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 5–3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-26 | Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 8.0 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 2–6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Cleveland Guardians | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.5 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 2–4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-26 | Detroit Tigers | Cincinnati Reds | 9.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 8–3 | 2.2 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Colorado Rockies | New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 3–1 | 4.5 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Colorado Rockies | New York Mets | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 3–0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Minnesota Twins | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.5 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 2–4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-26 | Washington Nationals | Chicago White Sox | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 2–1 | 5.5 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | New York Yankees | Houston Astros | 9.5 | 8.9 | 0.6 | 4–7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.5 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 0–5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Mariners | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.5 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 3–2 | 3.2 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-26 | Athletics | Texas Rangers | 8.5 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 2–1 | 5.2 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-26 | San Diego Padres | Arizona Diamondbacks | 15.5 | 9.2 | 6.3 | 7–12 | 9.8 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Miami Marlins | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.3 | 0.2 | 3–6 | 1.7 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Los Angeles Angels | Kansas City Royals | 8.5 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 9–11 | 11.8 | 11.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-26 | Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9.5 | 9.3 | 0.2 | 0–6 | 3.3 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-25 | Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 17–1 | 9.4 | 10.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-25 | Seattle Mariners | St. Louis Cardinals | 7.5 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 11–9 | 11.7 | 12.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-25 | Cleveland Guardians | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 3–5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Miami Marlins | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.4 | 0.1 | 2–6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Minnesota Twins | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1–6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-25 | Washington Nationals | Chicago White Sox | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 6–3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-25 | San Diego Padres | Arizona Diamondbacks | 15.5 | 9.2 | 6.3 | 6–4 | 0.8 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-25 | Athletics | Texas Rangers | 8.0 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 3–4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Los Angeles Angels | Kansas City Royals | 8.5 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 1–12 | 4.8 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | New York Yankees | Houston Astros | 9.0 | 8.9 | 0.1 | 8–3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 6–3 | 1.1 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Detroit Tigers | Cincinnati Reds | 9.5 | 8.8 | 0.7 | 2–9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9.5 | 9.3 | 0.2 | 4–12 | 6.7 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-25 | Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 8.5 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 8–5 | 4.7 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Detroit Tigers | Cincinnati Reds | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 8–9 | 8.4 | 8.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-24 | Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.6 | 3–10 | 4.6 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Cleveland Guardians | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 8–6 | 5.6 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-24 | Colorado Rockies | New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 4–3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Minnesota Twins | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 2–6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-24 | Philadelphia Phillies | Atlanta Braves | 9.0 | 8.2 | 0.8 | 3–5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-24 | Los Angeles Angels | Kansas City Royals | 8.5 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 3–6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Washington Nationals | Chicago White Sox | 9.5 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 4–5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-24 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.0 | 7.9 | 0.9 | 6–0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Athletics | Texas Rangers | 8.5 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 8–1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | New York Yankees | Houston Astros | 9.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 12–4 | 7.2 | 7.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Seattle Mariners | St. Louis Cardinals | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 3–2 | 3.2 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-24 | Chicago Cubs | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9.0 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 6–4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-24 | Miami Marlins | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.3 | 0.2 | 9–4 | 5.7 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-23 | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals | 9.0 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 7–2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-23 | Milwaukee Brewers | Detroit Tigers | 7.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 4–5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-23 | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs | 9.0 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 7–8 | 5.9 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-23 | San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 11.0 | 10.8 | 0.2 | 10–8 | 7.2 | 7.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-23 | Chicago White Sox | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 9.4 | 0.4 | 4–1 | 4.4 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-23 | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants | 7.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 3–0 | 4.5 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-23 | New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 4–2 | 3.0 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-23 | Minnesota Twins | New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 8–10 | 9.9 | 10.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-23 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Texas Rangers | 8.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 1–6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | St. Louis Cardinals | Miami Marlins | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 1–4 | 3.6 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-22 | Houston Astros | Cleveland Guardians | 8.0 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 2–0 | 6.2 | 6.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-22 | Cincinnati Reds | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 1–6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | Baltimore Orioles | Kansas City Royals | 9.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 8–6 | 6.0 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-22 | Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Angels | 8.0 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 3–7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | Athletics | Seattle Mariners | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 4–5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | Milwaukee Brewers | Detroit Tigers | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 2–5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-22 | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals | 9.0 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 8–6 | 4.9 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 7.5 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 4–1 | 4.1 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-22 | Minnesota Twins | New York Mets | 8.0 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 2–3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-22 | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2–7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Texas Rangers | 8.0 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 8–4 | 4.4 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-22 | San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 12.5 | 10.6 | 1.9 | 3–8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | Chicago White Sox | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 9.4 | 0.4 | 7–11 | 8.6 | 9.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-22 | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.6 | 0.1 | 0–3 | 4.6 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-21 | Houston Astros | Cleveland Guardians | 8.0 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 5–8 | 4.9 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | Cincinnati Reds | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 12–6 | 10.1 | 10.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | St. Louis Cardinals | Miami Marlins | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 5–3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-21 | Milwaukee Brewers | Detroit Tigers | 8.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 12–4 | 8.0 | 7.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-21 | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 4–11 | 6.0 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | New York Yankees | Boston Red Sox | 8.5 | 9.1 | 0.6 | 4–0 | 5.1 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-21 | Minnesota Twins | New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 5–3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | Baltimore Orioles | Kansas City Royals | 9.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 5–6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-21 | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 4–7 | 2.1 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Texas Rangers | 8.5 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 1–5 | 1.6 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | San Diego Padres | Colorado Rockies | 11.0 | 10.8 | 0.2 | 1–0 | 9.8 | 10.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Angels | 9.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 4–2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | Athletics | Seattle Mariners | 7.5 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 5–2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-21 | Chicago White Sox | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 9.4 | 0.4 | 11–5 | 6.6 | 7.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-21 | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants | 7.0 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 1–3 | 3.6 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-20 | Detroit Tigers | Boston Red Sox | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 6–8 | 5.2 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-20 | Houston Astros | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 9–2 | 2.9 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-20 | Cincinnati Reds | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 6–1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-20 | St. Louis Cardinals | Miami Marlins | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 3–5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-20 | Atlanta Braves | Washington Nationals | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 9–4 | 4.0 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-20 | Baltimore Orioles | Kansas City Royals | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 7–5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-20 | Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs | 7.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 1–5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-20 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | 11.5 | 11.5 | 0.0 | 12–3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-20 | Toronto Blue Jays | Los Angeles Angels | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 5–2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-20 | Athletics | Seattle Mariners | 8.0 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 6–4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 0–3 | 5.9 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Rays | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 3–6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | Kansas City Royals | New York Yankees | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 0–7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-19 | Baltimore Orioles | Cleveland Guardians | 7.0 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 4–8 | 4.2 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | Milwaukee Brewers | Miami Marlins | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 3–5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-19 | St. Louis Cardinals | Houston Astros | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 7–5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | Cincinnati Reds | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 7–4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | New York Mets | Chicago Cubs | 8.5 | 9.2 | 0.7 | 1–2 | 6.2 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-19 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | 11.5 | 10.1 | 1.4 | 6–9 | 4.9 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-19 | Chicago White Sox | Athletics | 9.0 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 7–4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Angels | 8.5 | 8.1 | 0.4 | 2–1 | 5.1 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | 7.0 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 2–5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-19 | Toronto Blue Jays | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 10–4 | 4.7 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | Detroit Tigers | Boston Red Sox | 7.0 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 6–2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-19 | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 4–2 | 2.5 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | Kansas City Royals | New York Yankees | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 4–13 | 8.2 | 9.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | Cincinnati Reds | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 5–4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | New York Mets | Chicago Cubs | 8.0 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 2–4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | Tampa Bay Rays | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8–7 | 7.0 | 8.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals | 9.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 7–6 | 4.0 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | Chicago White Sox | Athletics | 9.0 | 9.2 | 0.2 | 6–7 | 3.8 | 4.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | Detroit Tigers | Boston Red Sox | 7.0 | 8.9 | 1.9 | 4–1 | 3.9 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | Milwaukee Brewers | Miami Marlins | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 5–2 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | Baltimore Orioles | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 7.8 | 0.3 | 2–4 | 1.8 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | St. Louis Cardinals | Houston Astros | 9.0 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 7–5 | 2.9 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | 7.0 | 7.5 | 0.5 | 3–7 | 2.5 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies | 7.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 3–1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | 11.0 | 10.1 | 0.9 | 3–4 | 3.1 | 4.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-18 | Toronto Blue Jays | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 2–6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-18 | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Angels | 9.5 | 8.1 | 1.4 | 4–1 | 3.1 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | New York Mets | Chicago Cubs | 10.5 | 9.2 | 1.3 | 4–12 | 6.8 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | Baltimore Orioles | Cleveland Guardians | 8.0 | 7.8 | 0.2 | 6–4 | 2.2 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | Atlanta Braves | Philadelphia Phillies | 9.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 9–0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-17 | San Francisco Giants | Washington Nationals | 8.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 10–5 | 6.0 | 7.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Rays | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 1–5 | 2.0 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | Kansas City Royals | New York Yankees | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 2–4 | 2.6 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | Milwaukee Brewers | Miami Marlins | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 7–5 | 3.4 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | Detroit Tigers | Boston Red Sox | 7.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 0–1 | 8.0 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | St. Louis Cardinals | Houston Astros | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 9–4 | 4.0 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | Cincinnati Reds | Minnesota Twins | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 2–1 | 5.5 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Colorado Rockies | 9.5 | 10.1 | 0.6 | 7–1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Angels | 8.5 | 8.1 | 0.4 | 0–8 | 0.1 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | Texas Rangers | Seattle Mariners | 6.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 5–0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-17 | Toronto Blue Jays | Arizona Diamondbacks | 8.5 | 9.3 | 0.8 | 3–6 | 0.3 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-17 | Chicago White Sox | Athletics | 9.5 | 9.2 | 0.3 | 9–2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-16 | Washington Nationals | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 8–7 | 6.5 | 6.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-16 | San Francisco Giants | Cincinnati Reds | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 3–0 | 5.6 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-16 | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 9–10 | 11.1 | 11.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-16 | Los Angeles Angels | New York Yankees | 9.5 | 8.7 | 0.8 | 11–4 | 6.3 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-16 | Toronto Blue Jays | Milwaukee Brewers | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 1–2 | 5.5 | 5.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-16 | Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago White Sox | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 5–3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-16 | Texas Rangers | Athletics | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 9–6 | 6.4 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-16 | Baltimore Orioles | Cleveland Guardians | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 2–4 | 1.9 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-16 | Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 3–2 | 4.0 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-16 | Seattle Mariners | San Diego Padres | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 2–5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Baltimore Orioles | 9.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 8–5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | Cleveland Guardians | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.5 | 8.4 | 0.1 | 3–5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Boston Red Sox | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 9–5 | 5.1 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 1–2 | 4.9 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Washington Nationals | Pittsburgh Pirates | 9.0 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 0–2 | 6.6 | 7.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | San Francisco Giants | Cincinnati Reds | 9.0 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 3–8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | Chicago Cubs | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.5 | 8.7 | 0.2 | 11–2 | 4.3 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Los Angeles Angels | New York Yankees | 10.5 | 8.6 | 1.9 | 4–5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Miami Marlins | Atlanta Braves | 9.0 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 3–6 | 0.9 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago White Sox | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 8–3 | 2.2 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-15 | Toronto Blue Jays | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 1–2 | 5.6 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 8.5 | 9.1 | 0.6 | 1–3 | 5.1 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | Seattle Mariners | San Diego Padres | 8.0 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 6–7 | 5.7 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | Texas Rangers | Athletics | 10.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 5–6 | 2.5 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-15 | New York Mets | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 2–8 | 1.4 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Baltimore Orioles | 9.0 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 4–3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1–2 | 5.0 | 5.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-14 | Washington Nationals | Pittsburgh Pirates | 9.5 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 5–4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | San Francisco Giants | Cincinnati Reds | 9.5 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 1–2 | 5.6 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Chicago Cubs | Philadelphia Phillies | 9.5 | 8.7 | 0.8 | 10–4 | 5.3 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-14 | Los Angeles Angels | New York Yankees | 8.5 | 8.4 | 0.1 | 7–1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Miami Marlins | Atlanta Braves | 8.5 | 8.2 | 0.3 | 5–6 | 2.8 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-14 | Boston Red Sox | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 0–6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-14 | Tampa Bay Rays | Chicago White Sox | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 8–5 | 4.4 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Toronto Blue Jays | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 9–7 | 7.5 | 9.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Cleveland Guardians | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.5 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 5–6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-14 | Colorado Rockies | Houston Astros | 8.5 | 9.1 | 0.6 | 6–7 | 3.9 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | Seattle Mariners | San Diego Padres | 7.0 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 1–4 | 2.3 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-14 | Texas Rangers | Athletics | 9.0 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 1–2 | 5.6 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-14 | New York Mets | Los Angeles Dodgers | 7.5 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 1–2 | 5.7 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-13 | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 2–6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Baltimore Orioles | 8.5 | 8.4 | 0.1 | 7–9 | 7.6 | 7.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-13 | Washington Nationals | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 5–16 | 12.4 | 13.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-13 | Chicago Cubs | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 7–13 | 11.4 | 12.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-13 | Los Angeles Angels | New York Yankees | 9.0 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 10–11 | 12.9 | 12.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-13 | Miami Marlins | Atlanta Braves | 8.0 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 10–4 | 5.9 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-13 | Boston Red Sox | Minnesota Twins | 7.5 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 6–13 | 10.3 | 11.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-13 | Cleveland Guardians | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.0 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 9–3 | 3.7 | 4.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-13 | Texas Rangers | Athletics | 9.0 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 8–1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-13 | New York Mets | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9.0 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 0–4 | 4.7 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | San Francisco Giants | Baltimore Orioles | 8.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 2–6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 4–3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-12 | Minnesota Twins | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 8–2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Los Angeles Angels | Cincinnati Reds | 8.5 | 8.7 | 0.2 | 9–6 | 6.3 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Athletics | New York Mets | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 1–0 | 7.6 | 7.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-12 | Miami Marlins | Detroit Tigers | 6.5 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 2–8 | 1.9 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.5 | 7.8 | 0.3 | 4–5 | 1.2 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 6–5 | 2.7 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-12 | Washington Nationals | Milwaukee Brewers | 8.0 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 8–6 | 4.9 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Boston Red Sox | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.5 | 8.7 | 0.2 | 9–3 | 3.3 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Chicago Cubs | 12.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 6–7 | 3.5 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-12 | Colorado Rockies | San Diego Padres | 7.5 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 2–7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-12 | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners | 8.0 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 1–6 | 1.2 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-12 | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.5 | 8.7 | 0.2 | 5–2 | 1.7 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-12 | Cleveland Guardians | Atlanta Braves | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 1–13 | 6.1 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 3–4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-11 | Miami Marlins | Detroit Tigers | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 1–6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-11 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Chicago Cubs | 6.5 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 4–3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-11 | Minnesota Twins | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 7–4 | 2.5 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | Los Angeles Angels | Cincinnati Reds | 9.0 | 8.6 | 0.4 | 3–7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-11 | Athletics | New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 11–6 | 8.4 | 9.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals | 9.0 | 8.1 | 0.9 | 0–2 | 6.1 | 7.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.5 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 4–5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | Washington Nationals | Milwaukee Brewers | 8.0 | 9.1 | 1.1 | 3–1 | 5.1 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-11 | San Francisco Giants | Baltimore Orioles | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 2–6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | Boston Red Sox | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.0 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 7–1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-11 | Cleveland Guardians | Atlanta Braves | 8.0 | 7.8 | 0.2 | 6–0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-11 | Colorado Rockies | San Diego Padres | 8.5 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 5–9 | 6.8 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-11 | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 3–6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-11 | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 7–8 | 7.0 | 7.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-10 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Chicago Cubs | 6.5 | 7.9 | 1.4 | 2–0 | 5.9 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Arizona Diamondbacks | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 5–4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-10 | Miami Marlins | Detroit Tigers | 8.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 0–2 | 6.0 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-10 | Los Angeles Angels | Cincinnati Reds | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 10–2 | 3.7 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Minnesota Twins | Toronto Blue Jays | 9.0 | 8.2 | 0.8 | 4–10 | 5.8 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Athletics | New York Mets | 8.5 | 8.7 | 0.2 | 4–0 | 4.7 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | New York Yankees | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.0 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 3–5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | San Francisco Giants | Baltimore Orioles | 8.5 | 7.8 | 0.7 | 6–3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Cleveland Guardians | Atlanta Braves | 8.5 | 7.6 | 0.9 | 5–11 | 8.4 | 7.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals | 8.0 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 0–2 | 6.3 | 6.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Washington Nationals | Milwaukee Brewers | 8.0 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 7–3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-10 | Boston Red Sox | St. Louis Cardinals | 7.5 | 8.7 | 1.2 | 2–3 | 3.7 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-10 | Colorado Rockies | San Diego Padres | 8.0 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 2–5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-10 | Houston Astros | Seattle Mariners | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 6–9 | 7.1 | 7.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-10 | Texas Rangers | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.7 | 7–8 | 6.7 | 6.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-09 | Cincinnati Reds | Miami Marlins | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 1–8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-09 | Athletics | New York Yankees | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 1–0 | 7.8 | 7.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-09 | Detroit Tigers | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 1–3 | 4.5 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets | 7.0 | 8.3 | 1.3 | 7–1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-09 | Chicago White Sox | Kansas City Royals | 9.5 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2–0 | 6.4 | 7.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-09 | Colorado Rockies | San Diego Padres | 8.0 | 7.1 | 0.9 | 3–7 | 2.9 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | San Diego Padres | Pittsburgh Pirates | 7.0 | 7.2 | 0.2 | 8–2 | 2.8 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Guardians | 7.0 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 2–10 | 4.2 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Milwaukee Brewers | Boston Red Sox | 7.5 | 9.1 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 4.1 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | Baltimore Orioles | Chicago White Sox | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 5–3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 7.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0–3 | 4.0 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Toronto Blue Jays | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 3–4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 11.5 | 10.6 | 0.9 | 1–9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Philadelphia Phillies | San Francisco Giants | 8.5 | 6.9 | 1.6 | 0–5 | 1.9 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | St. Louis Cardinals | Washington Nationals | 8.5 | 9.5 | 1.0 | 6–1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | Atlanta Braves | Los Angeles Angels | 8.5 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 8–2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets | 7.5 | 8.3 | 0.8 | 7–2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Chicago Cubs | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 6–2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | Cincinnati Reds | Miami Marlins | 7.5 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4–7 | 2.6 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-08 | Athletics | New York Yankees | 8.0 | 8.9 | 0.9 | 3–2 | 3.9 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-08 | Detroit Tigers | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 6–8 | 5.5 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-07 | Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Guardians | 6.5 | 8.0 | 1.5 | 1–2 | 5.0 | 3.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Baltimore Orioles | Chicago White Sox | 7.0 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 4–2 | 2.4 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Arizona Diamondbacks | New York Mets | 7.0 | 8.6 | 1.6 | 3–4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | San Diego Padres | Pittsburgh Pirates | 6.0 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 1–7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-07 | Chicago Cubs | Tampa Bay Rays | 7.5 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 9–2 | 2.6 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-07 | Cincinnati Reds | Miami Marlins | 7.0 | 8.4 | 1.4 | 6–3 | 0.6 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-07 | St. Louis Cardinals | Washington Nationals | 7.5 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 7–6 | 3.4 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-07 | Milwaukee Brewers | Boston Red Sox | 7.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 2–3 | 4.3 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Athletics | New York Yankees | 8.5 | 9.1 | 0.6 | 3–5 | 1.1 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Toronto Blue Jays | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 4–1 | 3.8 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Detroit Tigers | Minnesota Twins | 6.5 | 8.6 | 2.1 | 2–4 | 2.6 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 7.5 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 2–3 | 2.1 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-07 | Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 10.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 1–5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-07 | Atlanta Braves | Los Angeles Angels | 8.5 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 7–2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-07 | Philadelphia Phillies | San Francisco Giants | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0–6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-06 | Chicago Cubs | Tampa Bay Rays | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 4–6 | 1.6 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Kansas City Royals | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 4–2 | 2.0 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-06 | San Diego Padres | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 7.2 | 1.3 | 5–0 | 2.2 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Cincinnati Reds | Miami Marlins | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 2–0 | 6.4 | 6.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-06 | St. Louis Cardinals | Washington Nationals | 8.0 | 9.4 | 1.4 | 6–9 | 5.6 | 7.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Milwaukee Brewers | Boston Red Sox | 8.0 | 9.3 | 1.3 | 8–6 | 4.7 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Toronto Blue Jays | 9.0 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 14–2 | 7.3 | 7.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-06 | Detroit Tigers | Minnesota Twins | 7.0 | 8.7 | 1.7 | 3–7 | 1.3 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Baltimore Orioles | Chicago White Sox | 9.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 2–1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Seattle Mariners | Texas Rangers | 7.5 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 1–2 | 4.1 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 10.5 | 10.5 | 0.0 | 7–9 | 5.5 | 5.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-06 | Atlanta Braves | Los Angeles Angels | 7.5 | 7.8 | 0.3 | 2–6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-06 | Philadelphia Phillies | San Francisco Giants | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 6–4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | Chicago Cubs | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.5 | 1–0 | 7.0 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | Chicago Cubs | Cleveland Guardians | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 5–6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-05 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Washington Nationals | 9.0 | 9.5 | 0.5 | 8–6 | 4.5 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-05 | Baltimore Orioles | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 2–8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | San Diego Padres | Boston Red Sox | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 8–6 | 5.4 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-05 | Miami Marlins | New York Yankees | 8.0 | 8.2 | 0.2 | 7–6 | 4.8 | 5.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-05 | Tampa Bay Rays | Minnesota Twins | 8.0 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 4–1 | 3.7 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | Toronto Blue Jays | Chicago White Sox | 8.0 | 8.3 | 0.3 | 0–3 | 5.3 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | Milwaukee Brewers | Kansas City Royals | 7.5 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 8–5 | 4.6 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-05 | Cincinnati Reds | Texas Rangers | 7.5 | 7.5 | 0.0 | 2–1 | 4.5 | 4.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-05 | Philadelphia Phillies | Colorado Rockies | 11.5 | 9.5 | 2.0 | 1–4 | 4.5 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-05 | Houston Astros | Athletics | 10.0 | 9.7 | 0.3 | 10–12 | 12.3 | 12.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | New York Mets | San Francisco Giants | 7.0 | 7.1 | 0.1 | 5–2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels | 9.0 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 7–8 | 7.4 | 6.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | Atlanta Braves | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 5–6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-05 | St. Louis Cardinals | Detroit Tigers | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 5–3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | St. Louis Cardinals | Detroit Tigers | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 6–11 | 8.8 | 9.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | Toronto Blue Jays | Chicago White Sox | 8.5 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 3–6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Milwaukee Brewers | Kansas City Royals | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 5–2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Milwaukee Brewers | Kansas City Royals | 9.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 2–8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Washington Nationals | 9.5 | 9.4 | 0.1 | 10–5 | 5.6 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Houston Astros | Athletics | 10.0 | 9.3 | 0.7 | 11–0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Baltimore Orioles | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 2–3 | 2.7 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | San Diego Padres | Boston Red Sox | 8.0 | 8.7 | 0.7 | 3–2 | 3.7 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Cincinnati Reds | Texas Rangers | 8.5 | 7.9 | 0.6 | 2–0 | 5.9 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | Miami Marlins | New York Yankees | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 7–9 | 8.1 | 8.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | Tampa Bay Rays | Minnesota Twins | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 7–1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Atlanta Braves | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.5 | 9.2 | 0.3 | 1–2 | 6.2 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | Philadelphia Phillies | Colorado Rockies | 10.5 | 9.7 | 0.8 | 2–1 | 6.7 | 7.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-04 | New York Mets | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.2 | 0.3 | 9–0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-04 | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels | 9.5 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0–1 | 6.6 | 8.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-03 | Los Angeles Dodgers | Washington Nationals | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 | 13–6 | 9.5 | 9.5 | Tie |
| 2026-04-03 | St. Louis Cardinals | Detroit Tigers | 8.0 | 7.8 | 0.2 | 0–4 | 3.8 | 4.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-03 | Miami Marlins | New York Yankees | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 2–8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-03 | San Diego Padres | Boston Red Sox | 8.0 | 8.8 | 0.8 | 2–5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | Toronto Blue Jays | Chicago White Sox | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 4–5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-03 | Cincinnati Reds | Texas Rangers | 8.0 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 5–3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | Chicago Cubs | Cleveland Guardians | 7.5 | 7.9 | 0.4 | 1–4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | Tampa Bay Rays | Minnesota Twins | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 4–10 | 5.2 | 6.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-03 | Philadelphia Phillies | Colorado Rockies | 10.5 | 9.7 | 0.8 | 10–1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | Baltimore Orioles | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8.5 | 7.7 | 0.8 | 4–5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | Seattle Mariners | Los Angeles Angels | 8.0 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 3–1 | 3.7 | 4.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-03 | Houston Astros | Athletics | 10.0 | 9.1 | 0.9 | 4–11 | 5.9 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | Atlanta Braves | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 9.3 | 0.3 | 2–0 | 7.3 | 7.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-03 | New York Mets | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.1 | 0.4 | 10–3 | 5.9 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-02 | Minnesota Twins | Kansas City Royals | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 5–1 | 2.0 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-02 | Atlanta Braves | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 8.7 | 0.3 | 17–2 | 10.3 | 10.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-02 | New York Mets | San Francisco Giants | 7.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 2–7 | 2.0 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | Athletics | Atlanta Braves | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 1–5 | 2.6 | 1.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | Texas Rangers | Baltimore Orioles | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 3–8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Cincinnati Reds | 7.5 | 8.2 | 0.7 | 8–3 | 2.8 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-01 | Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies | 8.0 | 9.2 | 1.2 | 5–6 | 1.8 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-01 | Colorado Rockies | Toronto Blue Jays | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 2–1 | 5.8 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | Chicago White Sox | Miami Marlins | 7.5 | 8.8 | 1.3 | 0–10 | 1.2 | 2.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-01 | New York Mets | St. Louis Cardinals | 7.5 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 1–2 | 5.4 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 2–8 | 1.0 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-01 | Boston Red Sox | Houston Astros | 7.0 | 9.6 | 2.6 | 4–6 | 0.4 | 3.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-01 | Los Angeles Angels | Chicago Cubs | 6.0 | 8.1 | 2.1 | 2–6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-04-01 | Detroit Tigers | Arizona Diamondbacks | 7.5 | 9.4 | 1.9 | 0–1 | 8.4 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1–7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | New York Yankees | Seattle Mariners | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 5–3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Tie |
| 2026-04-01 | Minnesota Twins | Kansas City Royals | 8.5 | 8.1 | 0.4 | 9–13 | 13.9 | 13.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-04-01 | Cleveland Guardians | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 4–1 | 3.5 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | Texas Rangers | Baltimore Orioles | 8.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 8–5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Cincinnati Reds | 9.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 8–3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies | 9.5 | 9.2 | 0.3 | 2–3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-31 | Chicago White Sox | Miami Marlins | 8.5 | 8.4 | 0.1 | 2–9 | 2.6 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | Colorado Rockies | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 1–5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | Tie |
| 2026-03-31 | Athletics | Atlanta Braves | 9.0 | 8.8 | 0.2 | 5–2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-31 | Los Angeles Angels | Chicago Cubs | 7.0 | 9.1 | 2.1 | 2–0 | 7.1 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.5 | 9.0 | 1.5 | 2–6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | New York Mets | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.5 | 8.4 | 0.1 | 0–3 | 5.4 | 5.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-31 | Boston Red Sox | Houston Astros | 7.5 | 9.6 | 2.1 | 2–9 | 1.4 | 3.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-31 | Detroit Tigers | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 5–7 | 3.0 | 3.0 | Tie |
| 2026-03-31 | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres | 7.5 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 9–3 | 5.0 | 4.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-31 | New York Yankees | Seattle Mariners | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 5–0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | Tie |
| 2026-03-31 | Cleveland Guardians | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.0 | 8.1 | 0.1 | 1–4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | Texas Rangers | Baltimore Orioles | 8.5 | 8.3 | 0.2 | 5–2 | 1.3 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-30 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Cincinnati Reds | 8.5 | 8.7 | 0.2 | 0–2 | 6.7 | 6.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | Washington Nationals | Philadelphia Phillies | 9.0 | 9.2 | 0.2 | 13–2 | 5.8 | 6.0 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-30 | Chicago White Sox | Miami Marlins | 8.5 | 8.6 | 0.1 | 9–4 | 4.4 | 4.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-30 | Colorado Rockies | Toronto Blue Jays | 8.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 14–5 | 10.0 | 10.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-30 | Athletics | Atlanta Braves | 9.0 | 9.2 | 0.2 | 0–4 | 5.2 | 5.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | Los Angeles Angels | Chicago Cubs | 7.5 | 9.2 | 1.7 | 2–7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-30 | Tampa Bay Rays | Milwaukee Brewers | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 3–2 | 3.5 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | New York Mets | St. Louis Cardinals | 8.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 4–2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | Tie |
| 2026-03-30 | Boston Red Sox | Houston Astros | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 1–8 | 0.4 | 1.5 | BBMI |
| 2026-03-30 | San Francisco Giants | San Diego Padres | 7.5 | 7.7 | 0.2 | 3–2 | 2.7 | 2.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | New York Yankees | Seattle Mariners | 7.0 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 1–2 | 5.5 | 4.0 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | Detroit Tigers | Arizona Diamondbacks | 9.5 | 9.1 | 0.4 | 6–9 | 5.9 | 5.5 | Vegas |
| 2026-03-30 | Cleveland Guardians | Los Angeles Dodgers | 8.0 | 8.4 | 0.4 | 4–2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | Vegas |
How to Read This Page
MAE (Mean Absolute Error) measures how far off each projection was from the actual result, on average. Lower is better.
RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) penalizes large misses more heavily than MAE. A model with lower RMSE makes fewer catastrophic errors.
Bias shows whether projections systematically run high (positive) or low (negative). A bias near zero means the model is well-calibrated on average.
Closer to Actual counts how many games each source was nearer to the actual total. This is the most intuitive comparison.
Winner Pick % shows how often each source correctly predicted the winning team. BBMI uses its projected margin; Vegas uses implied probability from the moneyline.
BBMI projections use a Negative Binomial model with FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending. Vegas lines are captured from the opening line of the day.
Model Development Status
Phase 2 — Complete (results documented)
Bullpen quality: analytically valid, does not improve betting performanceStarter IP projection: validated component, available for future useBullpen fatigue: no empirical signal (r = 0.003)Rest and travel: no actionable signalF5 product: does not outperform full-game product
Phase 3 — Planned
Leverage context (requires entry inning data from MLB Gameday API)Statcast batted-ball integrationLineup-specific projectionsUmpire zone adjustment
All Phase 2 investigations are documented in the research report with full methodology and results. The baseline model (Phase 1 configuration) is the production model.
Projections are generated before first pitch using data available through the prior day. Vegas lines are captured at a specific point in time and may differ from closing lines.