AL EAST • 2026 SEASON
New York Yankees
#5
BBMI rank
+0.86
Run margin
93–69
Proj record
100%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
No game left on the schedule.
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Oct 3
at RaysL 0–1#23.9–3.950%
at RaysOct 5at RaysL 2–5#24.0–3.949%
at RaysOct 7vs RaysL 3–4#24.3–3.559%
vs RaysPower ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#2#3#4#5#6#7
#5
JulAugSepOct
Postseason odds
MLB Playoff Odds →Last updated:
Win AL East0%
Make the postseason100%
Reach the division series100%
Reach the World Series0%
Win the World Series0%
Final wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
93.0
929394
Middle half of the simulations: 93 to 93 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 93 to 93. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.59#8
OPS.720#11
wOBA.317#18
Runs allowed per game3.73#2
Team ERA3.23#1
Team FIP3.81#3
Schedule adjustment+0.30
BBMI picks on the Yankees
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML4–41–1-1.2u
F5 RL5–31–1+1.5u
F9 ML3–11–0+2.1u
F9 RL3–112–4+3.4u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
From the Research Desk
All research →MLB · Division Report Cards
Grading the AL East: Tampa Bay Is Doing Rays Things Again
BBMI grades every AL East team on season, roster, front office and manager before the deadline. Tampa Bay earns the division's only A+ on baseball's 28th-highest payroll, while Toronto spends nearly three times as much for last place.
Rays A+ on the 28th payroll · Yankees A · Blue Jays D at the 5th-highest spendWhat-ifWhat losing Aaron Judge actually costs the Yankees
Aaron Judge has not played since May 31. We ran the rest of the season thousands of times with him and thousands more without him, and measured the gap.
About -3 wins · paired 9,000-sim what-ifProbabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.