NL EAST • 2026 SEASON
Philadelphia Phillies
#7
BBMI rank
+0.21
Run margin
89–73
Proj record
97%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →Phillies
TUE SEP 15 • 5:45 PM CT
8 – 3
season series · 63–58 runs
Washington Nationals
+0.21
Phillies run margin
+0.02
Nationals run margin
+0.19
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
at BravesL 5–6#43.9–4.939%
Sep 12
at BravesL 2–12#43.7–3.849%
Sep 13
at BravesW 9–4#44.2–4.546%
Sep 15
at NationalsTue 5:45 PM#24
Sep 16
at NationalsWed 5:45 PM#24
Sep 17
at MetsThu 6:15 PM#22
Sep 18
at MetsFri 6:10 PM#22
Sep 19
at MetsSat 3:10 PM#22
Sep 20
at MetsSun 12:40 PM#22
Sep 22
vs BrewersTue 5:40 PM#1
Sep 23
vs BrewersWed 5:40 PM#1
Sep 24
vs BrewersThu 5:05 PM#1
Sep 25
vs RaysFri 5:40 PM#3
Sep 26
vs RaysSat 5:05 PM#3
Sep 27
vs RaysSun 2:05 PM#3
Power ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#4#6#8#10
#7
JulAugSep
Postseason odds
Pulse →Win NL East1%
Make the postseason97%
Reach the division series53%
Reach the World Series12%
Win the World Series7%
Final wins
middle half of sims89.2
86878889909192
Middle half of the simulations: 88 to 90 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 87 to 91. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.50#13
OPS.712#20
wOBA.308#23
Runs allowed per game4.29#11
Team ERA4.00#11
Team FIP3.91#4
Schedule adjustment-0.90
BBMI picks on the Phillies
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML8–52–5-4.5u
F5 RL2–64–3-3.5u
F9 ML5–23–2+0.8u
F9 RL0–514–9-5.9u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.