BBMI Rank · #20 of 30
Washington Nationals
Record 55-54NL East 4thPower rating 97.6
Expected finish (talent-based)
78–84
16% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #15Rating
101.3
15th
R/G
5.46
1st
wOBA*
0.335
7th
OPS
0.776
1st
Margin
+0.25
11th
Park factor
1.01
neutral
Pitching
Rating #28Rating
88.4
28th
RA/G
5.21
28th
FIP
4.84
26th
ERA
4.77
27th
WHIP
1.40
26th
K/9
7.7
25th
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 97.6 · park factor 1.01.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 | @ Atlanta Braves#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | @Atlanta Braves#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | @Atlanta Braves#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 3 | @ Philadelphia Phillies#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | @Philadelphia Phillies#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | @Philadelphia Phillies#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 6 | @Philadelphia Phillies#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | vs Cincinnati Reds#24 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | vsCincinnati Reds#24 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | vsCincinnati Reds#24 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | vs Chicago Cubs#6 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | vsChicago Cubs#6 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 13 | vsChicago Cubs#6 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | @ New York Mets#25 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | @New York Mets#25 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | @New York Mets#25 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | @ Texas Rangers#9 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | @Texas Rangers#9 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 20 | @Texas Rangers#9 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 21 | @ Miami Marlins#17 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.