BBMI Rank · #19 of 30
Detroit Tigers
Record 51-58AL Central 4thPower rating 106.1
Expected finish (talent-based)
80–82
7% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #7Rating
104.7
7th
R/G
4.34
18th
wOBA*
0.331
9th
OPS
0.718
17th
Margin
+0.35
9th
Park factor
0.96
pitcher
Pitching
Rating #9Rating
106.0
9th
RA/G
3.99
7th
FIP
3.94
6th
ERA
3.63
5th
WHIP
1.21
6th
K/9
8.5
18th
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 106.1 · park factor 0.96.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14 | @ Cleveland Guardians#15 | Casey Mize · Gavin Williams | -1.5 · O/U 7.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | 54% |
| Jul 31 | @ Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | @Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | @Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | @ Seattle Mariners#13 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | @Seattle Mariners#13 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 6 | @Seattle Mariners#13 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | @ San Francisco Giants#26 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | @San Francisco Giants#26 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | @San Francisco Giants#26 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | vsCleveland Guardians#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | vsCleveland Guardians#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 13 | vsCleveland Guardians#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | vs Chicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | vsChicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | vsChicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 17 | @ Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | @Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | @Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 21 | @ Kansas City Royals#27 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.