Team Pages/AL Central/Guardians
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AL CENTRAL • 2026 SEASON

Cleveland Guardians

Record 85-77vs line 7-5 F5 MLLast L 3–7 at RaysNext —
#11
BBMI rank
+0.07
Run margin
85–77
Proj record
100%
Make postseason

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Last updated:

No game left on the schedule.

Schedule & projections

remaining schedule • win prob at first pitch
Last updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Oct 17
Tampa Bay Rays logovs Rays
L 3–7#23.7–3.950%
Oct 18
Tampa Bay Rays logovs Rays
L 1–3#23.2–3.748%
Oct 19
Tampa Bay Rays logoat Rays
L 3–7#23.7–4.046%

Power ranking over time

2026 season · place of 30
#10#15#20
#11
JulAugSepOct

Postseason odds

MLB Playoff Odds →
Last updated:
Win AL Central100%
Make the postseason100%
Reach the division series100%
Reach the World Series0%
Win the World Series0%

Final wins

middle half of sims
Last updated:
85.0
848586
Middle half of the simulations: 85 to 85 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 85 to 85. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.

Profile

Runs per game4.18#24
OPS.696#26
wOBA.319#15
Runs allowed per game4.12#8
Team ERA3.77#8
Team FIP3.91#6
Schedule adjustment-1.60

BBMI picks on the Guardians

2026 • all products
PRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML3–24–3+0.4u
F5 RL0–03–4-1.3u
F9 ML4–23–1+1.7u
F9 RL5–318–5+5.1u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.

From the Research Desk

All research →
MLB · Division Report Cards

Grading the AL Central: The White Sox Have Become the Responsible Adult

BBMI grades every AL Central team's 2026 season, roster, front office and manager before the deadline. The White Sox and Guardians lead on bottom-five payrolls while Detroit's expensive, talented roster sits fourth.

White Sox A- on the 26th payroll · Guardians A- · Tigers D+ with the top talentJul 28 · 12 min
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.