AL CENTRAL • 2026 SEASON
Cleveland Guardians
#13
BBMI rank
-0.05
Run margin
82–80
Proj record
67%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →Chicago White Sox
MON SEP 14 • 5:40 PM CT
4 – 6
season series · 41–42 runs
Guardians
-0.05
Guardians run margin
+0.23
Sox run margin
-0.28
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
at TwinsW 5–2#214.2–3.756%
Sep 12
at TwinsL 3–4#214.4–4.051%
Sep 13
at TwinsW 9–2#214.0–4.143%
Sep 14
vs SoxMon 5:40 PM#11
Sep 15
vs SoxTue 5:40 PM#11
Sep 16
vs SoxWed 12:10 PM#11
Sep 18
vs AthleticsFri 6:10 PM#28
Sep 19
vs AthleticsSat 5:10 PM#28
Sep 20
vs AthleticsSun 12:40 PM#28
Sep 22
at SoxTue 5:45 PM#9
Sep 23
at SoxWed 6:10 PM#9
Sep 24
at SoxThu 5:45 PM#9
Sep 25
at RoyalsFri 6:40 PM#26
Sep 26
at RoyalsSat 6:10 PM#26
Sep 27
at RoyalsSun 2:10 PM#26
Power ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#8#12#16#20#23
#13
JulAugSep
Postseason odds
Pulse →Win AL Central38%
Make the postseason67%
Reach the division series50%
Reach the World Series9%
Win the World Series3%
Final wins
middle half of sims82.4
79808182838485
Middle half of the simulations: 81 to 83 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 80 to 84. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.10#27
OPS.689#29
wOBA.316#20
Runs allowed per game4.15#9
Team ERA3.78#8
Team FIP3.94#6
Schedule adjustment-0.40
BBMI picks on the Guardians
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML3–12–2+0.6u
F5 RL0–03–4-1.3u
F9 ML2–01–0+2.0u
F9 RL5–317–4+5.6u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.