AL WEST • 2026 SEASON
Houston Astros
#16
BBMI rank
-0.35
Run margin
81–81
Proj record
69%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →Kansas City Royals
TUE SEP 15 • 7:10 PM CT
2 – 1
season series · 18–19 runs
Astros
-0.35
Astros run margin
-0.63
Royals run margin
+0.28
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
at RaysL 1–3#33.1–4.631%
Sep 12
at RaysL 2–3#33.7–4.446%
Sep 13
at RaysL 4–14#33.8–4.036%
Sep 15
vs RoyalsTue 7:10 PM#26
Sep 16
vs RoyalsWed 7:10 PM#26
Sep 17
vs RoyalsThu 6:15 PM#26
Sep 18
vs BravesFri 7:10 PM#5
Sep 19
vs BravesSat 6:10 PM#5
Sep 20
vs BravesSun 1:10 PM#5
Sep 22
at MarinersTue 8:40 PM#20
Sep 23
at MarinersWed 9:10 PM#20
Sep 24
at AthleticsThu 8:40 PM#28
Sep 25
at AthleticsFri 8:40 PM#28
Sep 26
at AthleticsSat 8:40 PM#28
Sep 27
at AthleticsSun 2:05 PM#28
Power ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#7#10#13#16#19#20
#16
JulAugSep
Postseason odds
Pulse →Win AL West65%
Make the postseason69%
Reach the division series45%
Reach the World Series12%
Win the World Series4%
Final wins
middle half of sims81.3
78798081828384
Middle half of the simulations: 80 to 82 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 79 to 83. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.46#16
OPS.722#12
wOBA.317#18
Runs allowed per game4.81#24
Team ERA4.55#24
Team FIP4.67#24
Schedule adjustment-1.40
BBMI picks on the Astros
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML4–71–0-3.8u
F5 RL1–27–7-1.7u
F9 ML5–71–0-3.1u
F9 RL16–83–1+1.2u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.