NL CENTRAL • 2026 SEASON
Pittsburgh Pirates
#14
BBMI rank
+0.17
Run margin
81–81
Proj record
0%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →
Milwaukee Brewers
TUE SEP 15 • 5:40 PM CT
6 – 4
season series · 46–37 runs
Pirates
+0.17
Pirates run margin
+1.30
Brewers run margin
-1.13
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
at CubsL 2–12#64.0–4.849%
at CubsSep 12at CubsL 3–4#64.9–4.760%
at CubsSep 13at CubsW 4–3#63.2–4.338%
at CubsSep 15vs BrewersTue 5:40 PM#1
vs BrewersSep 16vs BrewersWed 5:40 PM#1
vs BrewersSep 17vs BrewersThu 11:35 AM#1
vs BrewersSep 18
vs RoyalsFri 5:40 PM#26
vs RoyalsSep 19vs RoyalsSat 5:40 PM#26
vs RoyalsSep 20vs RoyalsSun 12:35 PM#26
vs RoyalsSep 22
vs CardinalsTue 5:40 PM#15
vs CardinalsSep 23vs CardinalsWed 5:40 PM#15
vs CardinalsSep 24vs CardinalsThu 11:35 AM#15
vs CardinalsSep 25
at TigersFri 5:40 PM#21
at TigersSep 26at TigersSat 12:10 PM#21
at TigersSep 27at TigersSun 2:10 PM#21
at TigersPower ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#6#10#14#18#22
#14
JulAugSep
Postseason odds
Pulse →Win NL Central0%
Make the postseason0%
Reach the division series0%
Reach the World Series0%
Win the World Series0%
Final wins
middle half of sims81.1
78798081828384
Middle half of the simulations: 80 to 82 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 79 to 83. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.79#5
OPS.731#7
wOBA.324#13
Runs allowed per game4.61#21
Team ERA4.18#16
Team FIP3.97#7
Schedule adjustment+0.40
BBMI picks on the Pirates
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML2–35–1-0.2u
F5 RL9–31–0+6.1u
F9 ML2–33–2-2.5u
F9 RL10–97–3-2.8u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.