Team Pages/AL East/Rays
Tampa Bay Rays logo
AL EAST • 2026 SEASON

Tampa Bay Rays

Record 90-59vs line 11-6 F5 MLLast W 14–4 vs AstrosNext Sep 15 vs Athletics
#3
BBMI rank
+0.46
Run margin
97–65
Proj record
100%
Make postseason

Next game

Game Picks →
Athletics logo
Athletics
#28
TUE SEP 15 • 5:40 PM CT
3 – 0
season series · 30–14 runs
Rays
#3 • home
Tampa Bay Rays logo
+0.46
Rays run margin
-1.35
Athletics run margin
+1.81
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price

Schedule & projections

remaining schedule • win prob at first pitch
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
Houston Astros logovs Astros
W 3–1#164.6–3.169%
Sep 12
Houston Astros logovs Astros
W 3–2#164.4–3.754%
Sep 13
Houston Astros logovs Astros
W 14–4#164.0–3.864%
Sep 15
Athletics logovs Athletics
Tue 5:40 PM#28
Sep 16
Athletics logovs Athletics
Wed 5:40 PM#28
Sep 17
Athletics logovs Athletics
Thu 12:10 PM#28
Sep 18
Boston Red Sox logovs Sox
Fri 6:10 PM#7
Sep 19
Boston Red Sox logovs Sox
Sat 3:10 PM#7
Sep 20
Boston Red Sox logovs Sox
Sun 12:40 PM#7
Sep 22
New York Yankees logoat Yankees
Tue 6:05 PM#4
Sep 23
New York Yankees logoat Yankees
Wed 6:05 PM#4
Sep 24
New York Yankees logoat Yankees
Thu 6:05 PM#4
Sep 25
Philadelphia Phillies logoat Phillies
Fri 5:40 PM#8
Sep 26
Philadelphia Phillies logoat Phillies
Sat 5:05 PM#8
Sep 27
Philadelphia Phillies logoat Phillies
Sun 2:05 PM#8

Power ranking over time

2026 season · place of 30
#1#2#3#4#5#6
#3
JulAugSep

Postseason odds

Pulse →
Win AL East91%
Make the postseason100%
Reach the division series96%
Reach the World Series34%
Win the World Series16%

Final wins

middle half of sims
97.2
949596979899100
Middle half of the simulations: 96 to 98 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 95 to 99. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.

Profile

Runs per game4.58#9
OPS.736#6
wOBA.339#2
Runs allowed per game4.11#7
Team ERA3.78#7
Team FIP4.17#11
Schedule adjustment+0.10

BBMI picks on the Rays

2026 • all products
PRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML11–60–0+0.9u
F5 RL4–64–1+0.3u
F9 ML10–42–1+3.0u
F9 RL4–113–8+0.2u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.