BBMI Rank · #4 of 30
Tampa Bay Rays
Record 64-44AL East 1stPower rating 105.3
Expected finish (talent-based)
93–69
100% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #4Rating
106.3
4th
R/G
4.45
14th
wOBA*
0.341
4th
OPS
0.733
7th
Margin
+0.40
7th
Park factor
0.95
pitcher
Pitching
Rating #14Rating
101.7
14th
RA/G
4.06
9th
FIP
4.16
13th
ERA
3.69
6th
WHIP
1.15
2nd
K/9
8.2
21st
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 105.3 · park factor 0.95.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23 | @ New York Yankees#5 | Drew Rasmussen · Ryan Weathers | +1.5 · O/U 7 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 31 | vs Chicago White Sox#9 | Nick Martinez · Erick Fedde | -1.5 · O/U 8.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | vsChicago White Sox#9 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | vsChicago White Sox#9 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 3 | @ Colorado Rockies#30 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | @Colorado Rockies#30 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | @Colorado Rockies#30 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | @ Seattle Mariners#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | @Seattle Mariners#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | @Seattle Mariners#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 10 | @ Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | @Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | @Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | vs Baltimore Orioles#19 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | vsBaltimore Orioles#19 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | vsBaltimore Orioles#19 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 17 | vsBaltimore Orioles#19 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | vs Toronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | vsToronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 20 | vsToronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.