BBMI Rank · #7 of 30
Tampa Bay Rays
Record 41-27AL East 2ndPower rating 102.7
Projected finish
95–67
100% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #5Rating
105.5
5th
R/G
4.53
11th
wOBA*
0.336
4th
OPS
0.720
15th
Margin
+0.12
11th
Park factor
0.95
pitcher
Pitching
Rating #17Rating
100.2
17th
RA/G
4.41
17th
FIP
4.26
16th
ERA
3.95
12th
WHIP
1.24
7th
K/9
8.0
23rd
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 102.7 · park factor 0.95.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9 | @ | Nick Martinez · Payton Tolle | +1.5 · O/U 7.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| May 23 | @ | Drew Rasmussen · Ryan Weathers | +1.5 · O/U 7 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 16 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 17 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 19 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 20 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 21 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 22 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 23 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 24 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 25 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 26 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 27 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 28 | vs | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 30 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 1 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 2 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 3 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 4 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 5 | @ | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.