NL EAST • 2026 SEASON
New York Mets
#24
BBMI rank
-0.20
Run margin
74–88
Proj record
0%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →Last updated:
No game left on the schedule.
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchLast updated:
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 25
at NationalsL 6–7#194.7–4.351%
at NationalsSep 26at NationalsW 7–1#194.9–4.849%
at NationalsSep 27at NationalsL 4–6#195.0–5.049%
at NationalsPower ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#22#24#26#28
#24
JulAugSepOct
Postseason odds
MLB Playoff Odds →Last updated:
Win NL East0%
Make the postseason0%
Reach the division series0%
Reach the World Series0%
Win the World Series0%
Final wins
middle half of simsLast updated:
74.0
737475
Middle half of the simulations: 74 to 74 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 74 to 74. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.32#21
OPS.706#23
wOBA.317#20
Runs allowed per game4.51#17
Team ERA4.15#17
Team FIP4.16#13
Schedule adjustment+0.70
BBMI picks on the Mets
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML3–25–6-2.1u
F5 RL4–58–6-0.1u
F9 ML0–16–10-6.6u
F9 RL4–110–10-3.4u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
From the Research Desk
All research →MLB · Division Report Cards
Grading the NL East: Atlanta Wins, Washington Confounds, the Mets Invent Luxury Failure
BBMI grades every NL East team's 2026 season, roster, front office and manager before the deadline. Atlanta earns an A, Washington overachieves a weak roster, and the Mets spend $376M to become the division's worst team.
Braves A · Nationals overachieve a weak roster · Mets F on a $376M payrollMLB · model findingNine Mets Are at Their Career Floor. Simultaneously.
We pulled the full career record of every player on the Mets’ active roster. Five are having the outright worst season of their careers — including two 11-plus-year veterans — and four more are at their second-worst. Then the expected stats: for seven of the nine, the results are worse than the underlying performance.
5 career-worsts · 7 of 9 below expected · Semien +.040 gapProbabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.