BBMI Rank · #17 of 30
Boston Red Sox
Record 29-40AL East 5thPower rating 99.7
Projected finish
72–90
3% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #26Rating
95.4
26th
R/G
4.03
25th
wOBA*
0.291
27th
OPS
0.698
24th
Margin
-0.06
14th
Park factor
1.05
hitter
Pitching
Rating #11Rating
104.7
11th
RA/G
4.09
9th
FIP
4.08
13th
ERA
3.91
8th
WHIP
1.29
15th
K/9
8.6
13th
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 99.7 · park factor 1.05.
Schedule & BBMI picks
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9 | vs Tampa Bay Rays#7 | Payton Tolle · Nick Martinez | -1.5 · O/U 7.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 6 | @ New York Yankees#3 | Ranger Suarez · Will Warren | -1.5 · O/U 8.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 16 | vs Toronto Blue Jays#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 17 | vsToronto Blue Jays#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 18 | vsToronto Blue Jays#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 19 | @ Seattle Mariners#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 20 | @Seattle Mariners#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 21 | @Seattle Mariners#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 22 | @ Colorado Rockies#30 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 23 | @Colorado Rockies#30 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 24 | @Colorado Rockies#30 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 25 | vsNew York Yankees#3 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 26 | vsNew York Yankees#3 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 27 | vsNew York Yankees#3 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 28 | vsNew York Yankees#3 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 29 | vs Washington Nationals#21 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jun 30 | vsWashington Nationals#21 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 1 | vsWashington Nationals#21 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 3 | @ Los Angeles Angels#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 4 | @Los Angeles Angels#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.