BBMI Rank · #8 of 30
Boston Red Sox
Record 56-51AL East 3rdPower rating 104.4
Expected finish (talent-based)
85–77
73% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #26Rating
95.0
26th
R/G
4.20
22nd
wOBA*
0.294
28th
OPS
0.708
20th
Margin
+0.46
6th
Park factor
1.05
hitter
Pitching
Rating #5Rating
108.5
5th
RA/G
3.74
2nd
FIP
3.85
4th
ERA
3.54
3rd
WHIP
1.22
7th
K/9
8.7
11th
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 104.4 · park factor 1.05.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6 | @ New York Yankees#4 | Ranger Suarez · Will Warren | -1.5 · O/U 8.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 31 | @ Los Angeles Dodgers#1 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | @Los Angeles Dodgers#1 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | @Los Angeles Dodgers#1 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | vs Chicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | vsChicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 6 | vsChicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | vs Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | vsAthletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | vsAthletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 10 | @ Toronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | @Toronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | @Toronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 13 | @Toronto Blue Jays#23 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | @ Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | @Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | @Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 17 | vs Arizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | vsArizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | vsArizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.