BBMI Rank · #23 of 30
Toronto Blue Jays
Record 50-59AL East 5thPower rating 97.9
Expected finish (talent-based)
77–85
2% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #9Rating
102.6
9th
R/G
3.94
29th
wOBA*
0.312
21st
OPS
0.684
29th
Margin
-0.55
25th
Park factor
0.97
pitcher
Pitching
Rating #15Rating
101.7
15th
RA/G
4.50
16th
FIP
4.08
10th
ERA
4.15
13th
WHIP
1.31
16th
K/9
9.0
9th
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 97.9 · park factor 0.97.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21 | @ Chicago Cubs#6 | Dylan Cease · Shota Imanaga | -1.5 · O/U 6.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 31 | vs St. Louis Cardinals#22 | Dylan Cease · Kyle Leahy | -1.5 · O/U 7.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | vsSt. Louis Cardinals#22 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | vsSt. Louis Cardinals#22 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 3 | @ Houston Astros#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | @Houston Astros#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | @Houston Astros#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | @ Philadelphia Phillies#8 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | @Philadelphia Phillies#8 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | @Philadelphia Phillies#8 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 10 | vs Boston Red Sox#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | vsBoston Red Sox#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | vsBoston Red Sox#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 13 | vsBoston Red Sox#7 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | vs New York Yankees#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | vsNew York Yankees#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | vsNew York Yankees#5 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | @ Tampa Bay Rays#4 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | @Tampa Bay Rays#4 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 20 | @Tampa Bay Rays#4 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.