Team Pages/AL East/Jays

AL EAST • 2026 SEASON

Toronto Blue Jays

Record 75-75vs line 6-6 F5 MLLast W 8–1 vs OriolesNext Sep 14 vs Tigers

#11

BBMI rank

-0.21

Run margin

81–81

Proj record

40%

Make postseason

Next game

Game Picks →

Detroit Tigers

#21 • Troy Melton

MON SEP 14 • 6:07 PM CT

2 – 1

season series · 8–5 runs

Jays

#11 • José Soriano • home

-0.21

Jays run margin

+0.47

Tigers run margin

-0.68

Gap on neutral ground

not posted

Market F5 price

Schedule & projections

remaining schedule • win prob at first pitch

DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB

Sep 11

vs Orioles

L 4–7#194.7–4.155%

Sep 12

vs Orioles

W 7–3#194.4–3.264%

Sep 13

vs Orioles

W 8–1#193.7–3.559%

Sep 14

vs Tigers

Mon 6:07 PM#21

Sep 15

vs Tigers

Tue 6:07 PM#21

Sep 16

vs Tigers

Wed 2:07 PM#21

Sep 18

at Rangers

Fri 7:05 PM#17

Sep 19

at Rangers

Sat 6:05 PM#17

Sep 20

at Rangers

Sun 1:35 PM#17

Sep 21

at Orioles

Mon 5:35 PM#19

Sep 22

at Orioles

Tue 5:35 PM#19

Sep 23

at Orioles

Wed 5:35 PM#19

Sep 25

vs Reds

Fri 6:07 PM#23

Sep 26

vs Reds

Sat 2:07 PM#23

Sep 27

vs Reds

Sun 2:07 PM#23

Power ranking over time

2026 season · place of 30

#9#13#17#21#25

#11

JulAugSep

Postseason odds

Pulse →

Win AL East0%

Make the postseason40%

Reach the division series19%

Reach the World Series3%

Win the World Series1%

Final wins

middle half of sims

81.3

78798081828384

Middle half of the simulations: 80 to 82 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 79 to 83. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.

Profile

Runs per game4.05#29

OPS.698#27

wOBA.326#10

Runs allowed per game4.26#10

Team ERA3.90#9

Team FIP4.08#8

Schedule adjustment+1.80

BBMI picks on the Jays

2026 • all products

PRODUCTONAGAINSTNET

F5 ML2–14–5-2.1u

F5 RL7–51–3-0.7u

F9 ML1–32–1-2.0u

F9 RL9–125–7-11.1u

ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.

Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.