BBMI Rank · #24 of 30
Cincinnati Reds
Record 50-57NL Central 5thPower rating 90.2
Expected finish (talent-based)
74–88
30% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #29Rating
90.6
29th
R/G
4.09
26th
wOBA*
0.287
29th
OPS
0.703
23rd
Margin
-0.65
27th
Park factor
1.09
hitter
Pitching
Rating #26Rating
92.9
26th
RA/G
4.74
21st
FIP
4.91
28th
ERA
4.42
23rd
WHIP
1.42
28th
K/9
8.1
22nd
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 90.2 · park factor 1.09.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24 | vs St. Louis Cardinals#22 | Brady Singer · Brycen Mautz | +1.5 · O/U 9.5 | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Jul 31 | vs Pittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | vsPittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | vsPittsburgh Pirates#14 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | vs Athletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | vsAthletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 6 | vsAthletics#28 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | @ Washington Nationals#20 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | @Washington Nationals#20 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | @Washington Nationals#20 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | @ Chicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | @Chicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 13 | @Chicago White Sox#12 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | vs Miami Marlins#17 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | vsMiami Marlins#17 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | vsMiami Marlins#17 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 17 | vsSt. Louis Cardinals#22 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | vsSt. Louis Cardinals#22 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | vsSt. Louis Cardinals#22 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 20 | vsSt. Louis Cardinals#22 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.