Team Pages/NL West/Padres
San Diego Padres logo
NL WEST • 2026 SEASON

San Diego Padres

Record 81-68vs line 6-4 F5 MLLast W 6–4 at GiantsNext Sep 14 at Rockies
#9
BBMI rank
+0.15
Run margin
88–74
Proj record
87%
Make postseason
San Diego Padres logo
Padres
#9 • Casey Mize
MON SEP 14 • 7:40 PM CT
8 1
season series · 5336 runs
Colorado Rockies
#30 • Tomoyuki Sugano • home
Colorado Rockies logo
+0.15
Padres run margin
-1.13
Rockies run margin
+1.28
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price

Schedule & projections

remaining schedule • win prob at first pitch
DATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
San Francisco Giants logoat Giants
W 7–5#274.1–3.554%
Sep 12
San Francisco Giants logoat Giants
W 7–6#274.0–3.649%
Sep 13
San Francisco Giants logoat Giants
W 6–4#274.0–2.666%
Sep 14
Colorado Rockies logoat Rockies
Mon 7:40 PM#30
Sep 15
Colorado Rockies logoat Rockies
Tue 7:40 PM#30
Sep 16
Colorado Rockies logoat Rockies
Wed 7:40 PM#30
Sep 17
Colorado Rockies logoat Rockies
Thu 2:10 PM#30
Sep 18
Miami Marlins logovs Marlins
Fri 8:40 PM#18
Sep 19
Miami Marlins logovs Marlins
Sat 7:40 PM#18
Sep 20
Miami Marlins logovs Marlins
Sun 3:10 PM#18
Sep 22
Los Angeles Dodgers logoat Dodgers
Tue 9:10 PM#2
Sep 23
Los Angeles Dodgers logoat Dodgers
Wed 9:10 PM#2
Sep 24
Los Angeles Dodgers logoat Dodgers
Thu 9:10 PM#2
Sep 25
Arizona Diamondbacks logovs Diamondbacks
Fri 8:40 PM#10
Sep 26
Arizona Diamondbacks logovs Diamondbacks
Sat 7:40 PM#10

Power ranking over time

2026 season · place of 30
#7#11#15#19#23
#9
JulAugSep

Postseason odds

Pulse →
Win NL West0%
Make the postseason87%
Reach the division series35%
Reach the World Series5%
Win the World Series2%

Final wins

middle half of sims
88.2
85868788899091
Middle half of the simulations: 87 to 89 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 86 to 90. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.

Profile

Runs per game4.29#22
OPS.706#23
wOBA.337#6
Runs allowed per game4.14#8
Team ERA3.91#10
Team FIP4.27#19
Schedule adjustment-0.10

BBMI picks on the Padres

2026 • all products
PRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML3232+0.1u
F5 RL1553-2.5u
F9 ML1210-0.7u
F9 RL12746-3.8u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.