BBMI Rank · #16 of 30
San Diego Padres
Record 55-53NL West 3rdPower rating 101.0
Expected finish (talent-based)
81–81
30% playoff odds
Offense
Rating #6Rating
105.1
6th
R/G
4.19
23rd
wOBA*
0.332
8th
OPS
0.694
25th
Margin
-0.17
18th
Park factor
0.93
pitcher
Pitching
Rating #16Rating
101.0
16th
RA/G
4.36
12th
FIP
4.32
19th
ERA
4.17
16th
WHIP
1.33
19th
K/9
8.4
20th
Ranks are out of 30 MLB teams. Green/red flag values well above or below league average. wOBA* is park-neutral. BBMI score 101.0 · park factor 0.93.
Schedule & BBMI projections
| Date | Opponent | Probables | Vegas | BBMI pick | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31 | vs San Francisco Giants#26 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 1 | vsSan Francisco Giants#26 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 2 | vsSan Francisco Giants#26 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 3 | @ Arizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 4 | @Arizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 5 | @Arizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 6 | @Arizona Diamondbacks#11 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 7 | vs Houston Astros#10 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 8 | vsHouston Astros#10 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 9 | vsHouston Astros#10 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 10 | vs Milwaukee Brewers#2 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 11 | vsMilwaukee Brewers#2 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 12 | vsMilwaukee Brewers#2 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 14 | @ Cleveland Guardians#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 15 | @Cleveland Guardians#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 16 | @Cleveland Guardians#15 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 17 | @ New York Mets#25 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 18 | @New York Mets#25 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 19 | @New York Mets#25 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
| Aug 21 | vs Minnesota Twins#21 | TBD · TBD | — | No pick — edge below threshold | — |
How these ratings are built
BBMI MLB ratings come from a per-plate-appearance simulation: FIP-based pitching, park-neutral wOBA offense, and Bayesian blending with prior-year data to stabilize early-season samples. The power rating combines offense and pitching into a single neutral-field number — 100 is league average.
The schedule’s win probabilities and picks are the same outputs that appear on the daily picks page — this page just filters them to one team. Picks freeze before first pitch and grade against the final score.