MLB · POSTSEASON · 2026 SEASON

October Pulse.

The BBMI model’s projected 2026 postseason. Twelve clubs, three division winners and three wild cards per league, with a first-round bye for the top two seeds. Brewers are the model’s champion at 100% to win it. Series not yet set show the most likely path; series under way show their score.

Rebuilt nightly from the postseason simulation · 2026-10-30
12
Field · six per league
Brewers
Projected champion · 100% title odds
1
Clubs still alive
10,000
Simulated postseasons
HOW TO READ THIS

The percentage beside each club is its chance of reaching that round at all, across every simulated season — not conditional on this bracket. This is the one sport here whose simulation publishes the whole ladder, so every round carries a real number: reaching the postseason, the Division Series, the Championship Series, the World Series and winning it. Baseball decides its postseason in series rather than single games, so each round shows its format. The top-two bye column is the share of simulated seasons a club finishes first or second in its league and skips the Wild Card Series. It is counted off the same seeding this bracket is built from, so the two cannot disagree. Reaching the Division Series is a wider event — that includes every club that won a wild-card series. The highlighted side of a card is the club likelier to reach that round; the BBMI pick beneath it is the club likelier to reach the next one, and the footer prints both sides of that number. Those two can point different ways, which is why the footer shows its own pair rather than asking you to read the pick off the rows above. Division Series onward shows favorites advancing, not fixed matchups.

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Road to the World Series

The 12-club field · six per league
AMERICAN LEAGUEseeds 1–6 · top two bye
WILD CARDbest-of-3
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Wild Card · at Astros
6White Sox100%
3Astros100%
FinalCWS wins 2–0
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Wild Card · at Yankees
5Red Sox100%
4Yankees100%
FinalNYY wins 2–0
FIRST-ROUND BYES
Rays and Guardians are the top two seeds and open in the Division Series.
DIVISION SERIESbest-of-5
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ALDS · at Rays
4Yankees100%
1Rays100%
FinalTB wins 3–0
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ALDS · at Guardians
6White Sox100%
2Guardians100%
FinalCLE wins 3–2
ALCSbest-of-7
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ALCS · at Rays
2Guardians100%
1Rays100%
FinalTB wins 4–2
NATIONAL LEAGUEseeds 1–6 · top two bye
WILD CARDbest-of-3
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Wild Card · at Braves
6Phillies100%
3Braves100%
FinalATL wins 2–1
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Wild Card · at Padres
5Cubs100%
4Padres100%
FinalSD wins 2–0
FIRST-ROUND BYES
Brewers and Dodgers are the top two seeds and open in the Division Series.
DIVISION SERIESbest-of-5
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NLDS · at Brewers
4Padres100%
1Brewers100%
FinalMIL wins 3–1
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NLDS · at Dodgers
3Braves100%
2Dodgers100%
FinalLAD wins 3–1
NLCSbest-of-7
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NLCS · at Brewers
2Dodgers100%
1Brewers100%
FinalMIL wins 4–0
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WORLD SERIES · BEST-OF-7
1Rays100%
1Brewers100%
FinalMIL wins 4–1
100% chance of reaching that round at all, across every simulated seasonBBMI projected winnerDivision Series onward = most likely path
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October contenders

all 30 clubs
#CLUBFINAL W–LWIN DIVMAKE OCTTOP-2 BYEWIN WS
1Brewers1NL Central103–59100%100%100%100%
2Braves3NL East94–68100%100%0%0%
3Red Sox5AL East87–750%100%0%0%
4Cubs5NL Central89–730%100%0%0%
5White Sox6AL Central84–780%100%0%0%
6Guardians2AL Central85–77100%100%100%0%
7Astros3AL West81–81100%100%0%0%
8Dodgers2NL West100–62100%100%100%0%
9Yankees4AL East93–690%100%0%0%
10Phillies6NL East88–740%100%0%0%
11Padres4NL West91–710%100%0%0%
12Rays1AL East98–64100%100%100%0%
13DiamondbacksNL West86–760%0%0%0%
14OriolesAL East79–830%0%0%0%
15RedsNL Central75–870%0%0%0%
16RockiesNL West58–1040%0%0%0%
17TigersAL Central76–860%0%0%0%
18RoyalsAL Central69–930%0%0%0%
19AngelsAL West62–1000%0%0%0%
20MarlinsNL East80–820%0%0%0%
21TwinsAL Central77–850%0%0%0%
22MetsNL East74–880%0%0%0%
23AthleticsAL West64–980%0%0%0%
24PiratesNL Central82–800%0%0%0%
25GiantsNL West65–970%0%0%0%
26MarinersAL West76–860%0%0%0%
27CardinalsNL Central77–850%0%0%0%
28RangersAL West80–820%0%0%0%
29Blue JaysAL East79–830%0%0%0%
30NationalsNL East77–850%0%0%0%

Projected record is the expected win total across the simulated seasons, shown rounded, since a decimal on a 162-game record reads as false precision. Top-2 bye skips the Wild Card Series entirely: the share of simulated seasons the club lands on the top two seeds in its league. No other column here is that number wearing a different name, because reaching the Division Series also counts every wild-card winner.

Probabilities may not add to 100%. Remaining schedules and probable starters are re-simulated nightly. All results are model projections, not guarantees.