AL EAST • 2026 SEASON
Baltimore Orioles
#17
BBMI rank
-0.23
Run margin
77–85
Proj record
1%
Make postseason
Next game
Game Picks →Orioles
MON SEP 14 • 6:10 PM CT
first meeting
no series played yet
New York Mets
-0.23
Orioles run margin
-0.23
Mets run margin
0.00
Gap on neutral ground
not posted
Market F5 price
Schedule & projections
remaining schedule • win prob at first pitchDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Sep 11
at JaysW 7–4#124.1–4.745%
at JaysSep 12at JaysL 3–7#123.2–4.436%
at JaysSep 13at JaysL 1–8#123.5–3.741%
at JaysSep 14at MetsMon 6:10 PM#22
at MetsSep 15at MetsTue 6:10 PM#22
at MetsSep 16at MetsWed 6:10 PM#22
at MetsSep 18
vs BrewersFri 6:05 PM#1
vs BrewersSep 19vs BrewersSat 3:05 PM#1
vs BrewersSep 20vs BrewersSun 6:20 PM#1
vs BrewersSep 21vs JaysMon 5:35 PM#12
vs JaysSep 22vs JaysTue 5:35 PM#12
vs JaysSep 23vs JaysWed 5:35 PM#12
vs JaysSep 25
at YankeesFri 6:05 PM#5
at YankeesSep 26at YankeesSat 6:05 PM#5
at YankeesSep 27at YankeesSun 2:20 PM#5
at YankeesPower ranking over time
2026 season · place of 30#12#16#20#24#26
#17
JulAugSep
Postseason odds
Pulse →Win AL East0%
Make the postseason1%
Reach the division series0%
Reach the World Series0%
Win the World Series0%
Final wins
middle half of sims77.2
74757677787980
Middle half of the simulations: 76 to 78 wins. The wider published interval, the 10th to the 90th, is 75 to 79. The sim publishes those two percentiles only, so the middle half is derived from them rather than read; if it emits its own 25th and 75th this becomes a straight read.
Profile
Runs per game4.48#14
OPS.709#22
wOBA.313#21
Runs allowed per game4.71#22
Team ERA4.20#18
Team FIP4.22#16
Schedule adjustment+1.10
BBMI picks on the Orioles
2026 • all productsPRODUCTONAGAINSTNET
F5 ML1–05–5-0.6u
F5 RL4–24–4+1.3u
F9 ML0–04–5-2.1u
F9 RL5–010–6+2.6u
ON took this club, AGAINST took its opponent. NET is realized units at the posted prices; F9 RL stores none, so its figure comes from the run-line juice.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.