ACC • 2025–26 SEASON
NC State
#48
BBMI rank
+24.1
Rating
#36
KenPom
#36
NET
Last game
Game Picks →
Texas
TUE MAR 17
68 – 66
final score
NC State
-1.5
Model line
-1.5
Market line
0.0
Edge
56%
Win probability
NC State 56%Texas 44%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs North Carolina CentralW 114–66#319
vs North Carolina CentralNov 8
vs UABW 94–70#90
vs UABNov 13
vs UNC GreensboroW 110–64#280
vs UNC GreensboroNov 18
vs VCUW 85–79#33
vs VCUNov 24
vs Seton HallL 74–85#57
vs Seton HallNov 25
at Boise StateW 81–70#67
at Boise StateNov 27at TexasL 97–102#74
at TexasDec 3
at AuburnL 73–83#55
at AuburnDec 6
vs UNC AshevilleW 75–63#277
vs UNC AshevilleDec 10
vs LibertyW 85–45#98
vs LibertyDec 13
vs KansasL 76–77#18
vs KansasDec 17
vs Texas SouthernW 108–72#315
vs Texas SouthernDec 21
vs Ole MissW 76–62#114
vs Ole MissDec 31
vs Wake ForestW 70–57#76
vs Wake ForestJan 3
vs VirginiaL 61–76#16
vs VirginiaJan 6
at Boston CollegeW 79–71#28178–6792%
at Boston CollegeJan 10
at Florida StateW 113–69#11681–7978%
at Florida StateJan 17
vs Georgia TechL 74–78#22484–7092%
vs Georgia TechJan 20
at ClemsonW 80–76#4773–7535%
at ClemsonJan 24
at PittsburghW 81–72#24079–7278%
at PittsburghJan 27
vs SyracuseW 88–68#19981–7387%
vs SyracuseJan 31at Wake ForestW 96–78#7681–7767%
at Wake ForestFeb 3
at SMUW 84–83#3828%
at SMUFeb 7
vs Virginia TechW 82–73#5380–7580%
vs Virginia TechFeb 9
at LouisvilleL 77–118#2276–8321%
at LouisvilleFeb 14
vs Miami (FL)L 76–77#3177–7972%
vs Miami (FL)Feb 17
vs North CarolinaW 82–58#3278–7871%
vs North CarolinaFeb 24at VirginiaL 61–90#1673–8030%
at VirginiaFeb 28
at Notre DameL 90–96#20181–7476%
at Notre DameMar 2
vs DukeL 64–93#369–8331%
vs DukeMar 7
vs StanfordL 84–85#12780–7685%
vs StanfordMar 11vs PittsburghW 98–88#24079–7288%
vs PittsburghMar 12vs VirginiaL 74–81#1673–7935%
vs VirginiaMar 17vs TexasL 66–68#7479–8056%
vs TexasRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#23#31#39#47#54
#48
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →11
Seed
West
Region
First Four
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#36
KenPom rank#36
NET rank#36
Quality wins-32.5#54
Rebound margin-2.2#240
Turnover margin+3.0#15
Assists per game14.7#94
Three-point margin+0.033#60
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on NC State
2025–26 • ATS1–2
Picks on NC State
2–2
Picks against
-1.3u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 7 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.