
ACC • 2025–26 SEASON
SMU
#38
BBMI rank
+24.5
Rating
#47
KenPom
#37
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Miami (OH)
WED MAR 18
89 – 79
final score
SMU
+1.5
Model line
+6.5
Market line
+5.0
Edge · Tracked ATS
44%
Win probability
SMU 44%Miami (OH) 56%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4
vs Tarleton StateW 96–76#257
Nov 7
vs Texas A&M-CCW 69–58#214
Nov 12
vs Murray StateW 102–91#178
Nov 15
vs ButlerW 87–85#87
Nov 19
vs Arkansas-Pine BluffW 106–60#296
Nov 22
vs Arkansas StateW 100–69#135
Nov 25
vs RadfordW 89–72#264
Nov 29
at Mississippi StateW 87–81#247
Dec 3
at VanderbiltL 69–88#13
Dec 7
vs Texas A&MW 93–80#41
Dec 13
at LSUL 77–89#104
Dec 21
vs Central ArkansasW 99–82#119
Dec 28
vs Cal State FullertonW 110–63#168
Jan 3
vs North CarolinaW 97–83#32
Jan 7
at ClemsonL 70–74#4773–7634%
Jan 10
at DukeL 75–82#368–8514%
Jan 14
vs Virginia TechW 77–76#5322%
Jan 17
vs VirginiaL 68–72#1674–8161%
Jan 20
at Wake ForestW 91–79#7658%
Jan 24
vs Florida StateW 83–80#1167%
Jan 31
at LouisvilleL 74–88#2224%
Feb 3
vs NC StateL 83–84#4828%
Feb 7
at PittsburghW 86–67#24082%
Feb 10
vs Notre DameW 89–81#2019%
Feb 14
at SyracuseL 78–79#19962%
Feb 17
vs LouisvilleW 95–85#2240%
Feb 21
vs Boston CollegeW 94–70#2811%
Feb 25
at CaliforniaL 69–73#6860%
Feb 28
at StanfordL 75–95#12767%
Mar 4
vs Miami (FL)L 69–77#3178–8065%
Mar 7
at Florida StateL 78–91#116
Mar 10
vs SyracuseW 86–69#19917%
Mar 11
vs LouisvilleL 58–62#2243%
Mar 18
vs Miami (OH)L 79–89#4083–8844%
Ranking over time
weekly · place of 365#36#38#40#42#43
#38
Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
8 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →11
Seed
Midwest
Region
First Four
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#37
KenPom rank#47
NET rank#37
Quality wins-40.0#68
Rebound margin+3.2#54
Turnover margin+0.6#113
Assists per game16.1#32
Three-point margin+0.030#69
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on SMU
2025–26 • ATS3–3
Picks on SMU
4–0
Picks against
+3.4u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 10 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.