ACC • 2025–26 SEASON
Florida State
#116
BBMI rank
+21.3
Rating
#61
KenPom
#62
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Florida State
THU MAR 12
79 – 80
final score
Duke
+17.5
Model line
+16.5
Market line
-1.0
Edge
3%
Win probability
Florida State 3%Duke 97%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 5
vs Alcorn StateW 108–76#358
vs Alcorn StateNov 8
vs Alabama StateW 101–64#333
vs Alabama StateNov 12
at FloridaL 76–78#8
at FloridaNov 19
vs Tennessee-MartinW 87–73#190
vs Tennessee-MartinNov 21
vs Georgia SouthernW 98–72#233
vs Georgia SouthernNov 26
vs Cal State BakersfieldW 89–59#335
vs Cal State BakersfieldNov 28
vs Texas A&ML 59–95#41
vs Texas A&MDec 2
vs GeorgiaL 73–107#36
vs GeorgiaDec 6
at HoustonL 67–82#10
at HoustonDec 13
vs MassachusettsL 95–103#202
vs MassachusettsDec 16
at DaytonL 69–97#34
at DaytonDec 19
vs Mississippi Valley StateW 96–49#363
vs Mississippi Valley StateDec 22
vs JacksonvilleW 87–63#326
vs JacksonvilleDec 30
at North CarolinaL 66–79#32
at North CarolinaJan 3vs DukeL 87–91#3
vs DukeJan 10
vs NC StateL 69–113#4879–8122%
vs NC StateJan 13
at SyracuseL 86–94#19979–7622%
at SyracuseJan 17
vs Wake ForestL 68–69#7680–7738%
vs Wake ForestJan 20
at Miami (FL)W 65–63#3175–819%
at Miami (FL)Jan 24
at SMUL 80–83#387%
at SMUJan 28
vs CaliforniaW 63–61#6878–7630%
vs CaliforniaJan 31
vs StanfordW 88–80#12778–7758%
vs StanfordFeb 7
at Notre DameW 82–79#20179–7640%
at Notre DameFeb 10
vs VirginiaL 58–61#1672–8119%
vs VirginiaFeb 14
at Virginia TechW 92–69#5377–7724%
at Virginia TechFeb 17
vs Boston CollegeW 80–72#28177–6790%
vs Boston CollegeFeb 21
at ClemsonW 70–65#4772–7622%
at ClemsonFeb 24vs Miami (FL)L 73–83#3175–8041%
vs Miami (FL)Feb 28
at Georgia TechW 80–71#22482–7174%
at Georgia TechMar 4
at PittsburghW 75–74#24078–7373%
at PittsburghMar 7vs SMUW 91–78#38
vs SMUMar 11vs CaliforniaW 95–89#6878–7639%
vs CaliforniaMar 12vs DukeL 79–80#367–853%
vs DukeRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#65#89#113#137#160
#116
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →This team is not in the 2025–26 bracket.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#62
KenPom rank#61
NET rank#62
Quality wins-37.0#65
Rebound margin-4.2#299
Turnover margin+2.0#49
Assists per game13.1#191
Three-point margin-0.015#262
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Florida State
2025–26 • ATS2–1
Picks on Florida State
3–3
Picks against
+0.5u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 9 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.