OVC • 2025–26 SEASON
Tennessee State
#160
BBMI rank
+19.9
Rating
#191
KenPom
#172
NET
Last game
Game Picks →Tennessee State
FRI MAR 20
74 – 108
final score
Iowa State
+11.5
Model line
+24.5
Market line
+13.0
Edge · Premium ATS
14%
Win probability
Tennessee State 14%Iowa State 86%
The 2025–26 season is complete. The board returns in November.
Schedule & projections
line and win prob from the board, where it priced the gameDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Nov 4W 101–50
FB
vs Fisk BulldogsNov 9
at BelmontL 79–87#51
at BelmontNov 12W 114–76
OA
vs Oakwood AmbassadorsNov 16
at Western KentuckyL 82–95#144
at Western KentuckyNov 21
at TennesseeL 60–89#17
at TennesseeNov 25
at UNC AshevilleW 75–73#277
at UNC AshevilleNov 29W 98–77
TWB
vs Tennessee Wesleyan BulldogsNov 30
at ChattanoogaW 70–64#241
at ChattanoogaDec 3
at Alabama A&ML 53–80#255
at Alabama A&MDec 13
at UNLVW 63–60#176
at UNLVDec 18
vs Tennessee-MartinW 78–71#190
vs Tennessee-MartinDec 20
vs Southeast Missouri StateL 82–91#219
vs Southeast Missouri StateDec 30
at Tennessee TechW 88–76#270
at Tennessee TechJan 3
at Little RockW 84–79#301
at Little RockJan 8
at Western IllinoisW 90–68#35984–6491%
at Western IllinoisJan 10
at Eastern IllinoisL 70–74#27177–6856%
at Eastern IllinoisJan 15
vs Morehead StateW 105–100#21281–7573%
vs Morehead StateJan 17
vs Southern IndianaW 73–67#34780–6697%
vs Southern IndianaJan 22
at SIU-EdwardsvilleL 66–74#18573–6933%
at SIU-EdwardsvilleJan 24
at LindenwoodW 96–86#23278–7222%
at LindenwoodJan 29vs Little RockW 70–63#30181–7181%
vs Little RockFeb 2vs Tennessee TechL 85–90#27081–7286%
vs Tennessee TechFeb 5vs Eastern IllinoisW 77–68#27178–6776%
vs Eastern IllinoisFeb 7vs Western IllinoisW 83–56#35985–6497%
vs Western IllinoisFeb 12at Southern IndianaW 73–71#34779–6686%
at Southern IndianaFeb 14at Morehead StateL 86–94#21280–7640%
at Morehead StateFeb 19vs LindenwoodW 89–80#23279–7261%
vs LindenwoodFeb 21vs SIU-EdwardsvilleW 80–53#18574–6961%
vs SIU-EdwardsvilleFeb 26at Southeast Missouri StateW 79–71#21976–7358%
at Southeast Missouri StateFeb 28at Tennessee-MartinW 67–42#19072–6946%
at Tennessee-MartinMar 6vs Tennessee-MartinW 68–55#19073–6952%
vs Tennessee-MartinMar 7vs Morehead StateW 93–67#21281–7557%
vs Morehead StateMar 20vs Iowa StateL 74–108#964–8614%
vs Iowa StateRanking over time
weekly · place of 365#127#150#173#196#217
#160
Jan 27Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24Mar 31Apr 7Apr 14Apr 21Apr 28
14 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
NCAA tournament
Pulse →15
Seed
Midwest
Region
Round of 64
Finish
The bracket is resolved, so this is the result rather than a probability. It becomes an odds card again when the file carries fractions.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, so there is no distribution of win totals to draw.
Profile
Strength of schedule#172
KenPom rank#191
NET rank#172
Quality wins-49.5#86
Rebound margin+1.7#101
Turnover margin+1.6#63
Assists per game12.3#259
Three-point margin-0.004#208
The mock asks for offensive and defensive efficiency, tempo and experience. This sport publishes none of them: the feed carries raw shooting and rebound rates, which are not opponent-adjusted efficiency and must not wear that heading. The rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI picks on Tennessee State
2025–26 • ATS5–2
Picks on Tennessee State
5–4
Picks against
+3.1u
Net, flat 1u
ON took this team, AGAINST took its opponent. This sport does not store the side by name, so it is read from which way the model’s line sits against the market, and a game counts only once it clears the published edge floor. 16 graded picks.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.