MLB · Picks log · live since 5/23

Model accuracy.

Every MLB pick the model has made, graded against the final score. Logged before first pitch, with no silent edits — this page is the receipt.

By market

Tick = each market’s break-even (52.4% at −110; ~65% on the run line)
F5 Spreads · both sides
55.6%11491–1
F9 Run Line · +1.5 (either side)
63.1%11366
F9 Totals · OVER
In calibration
F5 Spreads · both sides · live
55.6%
114W – 91L (1P)
+6.2%
ROI · −110 juice
205
95% CI 48.8–62.2%

F5 Spreads · live · Free 1.251.75, Premium 1.75+

Edge bucket performance

BucketTierPicksW–L–PHit rateROI
0.50–1.25 runsFree · paper tracking110545649.1%-6.3%
1.25–1.5 runsFree392711–171.0%+35.6%
1.5–1.75 runsFree25111444.0%-16.0%
1.75–2.0 runsPremium1711664.7%+23.5%
2.0–3.0 runsPremium118372.7%+38.8%
≥ 3.0 runsPremium43175.0%+43.2%

Weekly breakdown

WeekPicksW–L–PHit rateROI
7/247/301010.0%-100.0%
7/177/2343175.0%+43.2%
7/107/16138561.5%+17.5%
7/37/953282552.8%+0.9%
6/267/223121152.2%-0.4%
6/196/25179852.9%+1.1%
6/126/182314960.9%+16.2%
6/56/11169756.3%+7.4%
5/296/429161355.2%+5.3%
5/225/28107370.0%+33.6%
5/155/211788–150.0%-4.5%
Season total20611491–155.6%+6.2%

Per-pick game table · full tracked stream

DateAwayHomeVegasEdgeSideF5 scoreResult
2026-07-24Arizona DiamondbacksWashington Nationals0.5-1.29AWAY22LOSS
2026-07-22San Diego PadresAtlanta Braves0.51.25HOME01WIN
2026-07-21Washington NationalsColorado Rockies0.51.38HOME66WIN
2026-07-18Baltimore OriolesHouston Astros0.0-1.73AWAY10WIN
2026-07-18Washington NationalsAthletics0.0-1.43AWAY06LOSS
2026-07-16New York MetsPhiladelphia Phillies-0.5-1.65AWAY10WIN
2026-07-11Los Angeles AngelsMinnesota Twins-0.52.27HOME23WIN
2026-07-11AthleticsChicago White Sox0.51.39HOME00WIN
2026-07-11Arizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles Dodgers-1.01.87HOME10LOSS
2026-07-10Seattle MarinersTampa Bay Rays-0.50.54HOME14WIN
2026-07-10Chicago CubsCincinnati Reds0.51.04HOME01WIN
2026-07-10New York YankeesWashington Nationals0.5-2.56AWAY21WIN
2026-07-10Boston Red SoxNew York Mets-0.50.71HOME21LOSS
2026-07-10Houston AstrosTexas Rangers0.5-0.80AWAY03LOSS
2026-07-10Arizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles Dodgers-0.51.07HOME62LOSS
2026-07-10Colorado RockiesSan Francisco Giants-0.51.59HOME11LOSS
2026-07-10Toronto Blue JaysSan Diego Padres-0.5-0.65AWAY52WIN
2026-07-10Philadelphia PhilliesDetroit Tigers-0.5-0.55AWAY22WIN
2026-07-09Atlanta BravesPittsburgh Pirates0.50.83HOME64LOSS
2026-07-09Kansas City RoyalsNew York Mets-0.5-0.78AWAY26LOSS
2026-07-09New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays-0.50.59HOME73LOSS
2026-07-09Boston Red SoxChicago White Sox-0.5-1.60AWAY21WIN
2026-07-09Seattle MarinersMiami Marlins0.51.26HOME26WIN
2026-07-09Milwaukee BrewersSt. Louis Cardinals0.5-0.59AWAY61WIN
2026-07-09Philadelphia PhilliesCincinnati Reds0.5-0.52AWAY00LOSS
2026-07-09AthleticsDetroit Tigers-0.50.51HOME13WIN
2026-07-08Toronto Blue JaysSan Francisco Giants0.51.14HOME50LOSS
2026-07-08Seattle MarinersMiami Marlins0.51.21HOME02WIN
2026-07-08Boston Red SoxChicago White Sox-0.5-0.76AWAY50WIN
2026-07-08Philadelphia PhilliesCincinnati Reds-0.5-0.67AWAY37LOSS
2026-07-08Los Angeles AngelsTexas Rangers-0.5-0.54AWAY70WIN
2026-07-08Milwaukee BrewersSt. Louis Cardinals0.50.51HOME03WIN
2026-07-08Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers-1.00.97HOME33LOSS
2026-07-07Seattle MarinersMiami Marlins-0.5-1.23AWAY24LOSS
2026-07-07AthleticsDetroit Tigers-0.50.95HOME12WIN
2026-07-07Los Angeles AngelsTexas Rangers-0.50.58HOME22LOSS
2026-07-07Kansas City RoyalsNew York Mets-0.50.71HOME99LOSS
2026-07-07Arizona DiamondbacksSan Diego Padres-0.5-1.49AWAY14LOSS
2026-07-07Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers-1.01.46HOME02WIN
2026-07-07Milwaukee BrewersSt. Louis Cardinals0.50.58HOME30LOSS
2026-07-07Toronto Blue JaysSan Francisco Giants0.50.58HOME83LOSS
2026-07-06New York MetsAtlanta Braves-0.5-0.78AWAY13LOSS
2026-07-06Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers-0.50.70HOME26WIN
2026-07-06Toronto Blue JaysSan Francisco Giants-0.5-1.04AWAY03LOSS
2026-07-05Chicago White SoxCleveland Guardians-0.5-0.64AWAY66WIN
2026-07-05New York MetsAtlanta Braves0.50.87HOME53LOSS
2026-07-05St. Louis CardinalsChicago Cubs-0.50.67HOME02WIN
2026-07-05Philadelphia PhilliesKansas City Royals0.52.11HOME13WIN
2026-07-05Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals-0.5-1.39AWAY44WIN
2026-07-05San Francisco GiantsColorado Rockies0.5-1.09AWAY54WIN
2026-07-05Tampa Bay RaysHouston Astros-0.5-1.18AWAY01LOSS
2026-07-05Miami MarlinsAthletics-0.5-0.52AWAY60WIN
2026-07-05Milwaukee BrewersArizona Diamondbacks0.51.17HOME01WIN
2026-07-05Toronto Blue JaysSeattle Mariners-0.5-1.20AWAY03LOSS
2026-07-05Baltimore OriolesCincinnati Reds0.5-0.73AWAY02LOSS
2026-07-05San Diego PadresLos Angeles Dodgers-0.51.60HOME10LOSS
2026-07-05Boston Red SoxLos Angeles Angels0.5-1.45AWAY53WIN
2026-07-04Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals0.5-1.85AWAY51WIN
2026-07-04Toronto Blue JaysSeattle Mariners-0.51.31HOME07WIN
2026-07-04Baltimore OriolesCincinnati Reds-0.50.74HOME84LOSS
2026-07-04Tampa Bay RaysHouston Astros-0.5-0.74AWAY75WIN
2026-07-04Boston Red SoxLos Angeles Angels0.5-1.57AWAY71WIN
2026-07-04New York MetsAtlanta Braves-0.50.63HOME16WIN
2026-07-04Philadelphia PhilliesKansas City Royals0.50.51HOME31LOSS
2026-07-04San Francisco GiantsColorado Rockies0.5-1.58AWAY63WIN
2026-07-04Milwaukee BrewersArizona Diamondbacks0.5-0.67AWAY23LOSS
2026-07-03Baltimore OriolesCincinnati Reds0.5-0.75AWAY30WIN
2026-07-03Pittsburgh PiratesWashington Nationals-0.50.50HOME15WIN
2026-07-03Boston Red SoxLos Angeles Angels-0.5-0.85AWAY50WIN
2026-07-03Toronto Blue JaysSeattle Mariners0.51.06HOME20LOSS
2026-07-03San Diego PadresLos Angeles Dodgers-1.00.84HOME20LOSS
2026-07-02Cincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers-0.50.83HOME51LOSS
2026-07-02Miami MarlinsColorado Rockies0.50.52HOME45WIN
2026-07-02St. Louis CardinalsAtlanta Braves-0.50.60HOME35WIN
2026-07-01Texas RangersCleveland Guardians-0.5-0.59AWAY15LOSS
2026-07-01Detroit TigersNew York Yankees-0.5-0.51AWAY10WIN
2026-07-01New York MetsToronto Blue Jays0.50.68HOME05WIN
2026-07-01St. Louis CardinalsAtlanta Braves-0.5-1.05AWAY12LOSS
2026-07-01Miami MarlinsColorado Rockies0.50.78HOME25WIN
2026-07-01San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks-0.5-0.94AWAY30WIN
2026-06-30Los Angeles AngelsSeattle Mariners-0.50.72HOME00LOSS
2026-06-30Miami MarlinsColorado Rockies0.5-0.73AWAY51WIN
2026-06-30New York MetsToronto Blue Jays0.50.57HOME10LOSS
2026-06-30San Diego PadresChicago Cubs-0.50.98HOME38WIN
2026-06-30San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks-0.5-0.87AWAY06LOSS
2026-06-30St. Louis CardinalsAtlanta Braves-0.50.50HOME41LOSS
2026-06-30Tampa Bay RaysKansas City Royals0.51.12HOME83LOSS
2026-06-30Washington NationalsBoston Red Sox-0.51.68HOME11LOSS
2026-06-29Los Angeles DodgersAthletics-0.5-1.14AWAY53WIN
2026-06-29Los Angeles AngelsSeattle Mariners-0.54.07HOME23WIN
2026-06-28Kansas City RoyalsChicago White Sox-0.5-1.77AWAY54WIN
2026-06-28AthleticsLos Angeles Angels0.5-1.56AWAY14LOSS
2026-06-28New York YankeesBoston Red Sox-0.5-1.08AWAY02LOSS
2026-06-27Washington NationalsBaltimore Orioles-0.5-1.96AWAY21WIN
2026-06-25Seattle MarinersPittsburgh Pirates0.51.71HOME13WIN
2026-06-25AthleticsSan Francisco Giants-0.5-1.02AWAY21WIN
2026-06-25Philadelphia PhilliesWashington Nationals0.5-1.91AWAY05LOSS
2026-06-24Chicago CubsNew York Mets-0.5-1.26AWAY44WIN
2026-06-23Baltimore OriolesLos Angeles Angels0.5-1.21AWAY05LOSS
2026-06-23Kansas City RoyalsTampa Bay Rays-0.5-1.20AWAY61WIN
2026-06-22Los Angeles DodgersMinnesota Twins0.5-1.01AWAY11LOSS
2026-06-22Baltimore OriolesLos Angeles Angels0.5-2.85AWAY50WIN
2026-06-22Philadelphia PhilliesWashington Nationals-0.5-1.04AWAY02LOSS
2026-06-21Washington NationalsTampa Bay Rays-0.5-1.38AWAY21WIN
2026-06-21Baltimore OriolesLos Angeles Dodgers-0.51.65HOME61LOSS
2026-06-21Boston Red SoxSeattle Mariners-0.51.69HOME12WIN
2026-06-21Pittsburgh PiratesColorado Rockies0.5-1.01AWAY31WIN
2026-06-20San Francisco GiantsMiami Marlins-0.5-1.12AWAY26LOSS
2026-06-20Washington NationalsTampa Bay Rays-0.51.50HOME32LOSS
2026-06-19Toronto Blue JaysChicago Cubs-0.5-1.51AWAY17LOSS
2026-06-19Boston Red SoxSeattle Mariners-0.5-1.13AWAY10WIN
2026-06-18Toronto Blue JaysBoston Red Sox-0.5-1.00AWAY20WIN
2026-06-18New York MetsPhiladelphia Phillies-0.5-1.03AWAY33WIN
2026-06-18Los Angeles AngelsAthletics-0.55.16HOME05WIN
2026-06-17Detroit TigersHouston Astros0.51.60HOME03WIN
2026-06-17Kansas City RoyalsWashington Nationals-0.5-1.72AWAY40WIN
2026-06-17Los Angeles AngelsArizona Diamondbacks-0.53.47HOME18WIN
2026-06-17Chicago White SoxNew York Yankees-0.51.81HOME39WIN
2026-06-17Toronto Blue JaysBoston Red Sox-0.5-1.27AWAY20WIN
2026-06-16New York MetsCincinnati Reds-0.5-1.27AWAY15LOSS
2026-06-15Kansas City RoyalsWashington Nationals-0.51.89HOME37WIN
2026-06-15San Diego PadresSt. Louis Cardinals-0.5-1.17AWAY03LOSS
2026-06-15Detroit TigersHouston Astros-0.5-1.29AWAY63WIN
2026-06-15Pittsburgh PiratesAthletics-0.5-2.24AWAY16LOSS
2026-06-14Los Angeles DodgersChicago White Sox0.5-1.24AWAY10WIN
2026-06-14St. Louis CardinalsMinnesota Twins-0.5-1.32AWAY12LOSS
2026-06-13Atlanta BravesNew York Mets-0.5-1.41AWAY20WIN
2026-06-13Los Angeles DodgersChicago White Sox0.5-1.41AWAY40WIN
2026-06-13San Diego PadresBaltimore Orioles-0.5-1.03AWAY62WIN
2026-06-13Detroit TigersCleveland Guardians0.5-1.39AWAY13LOSS
2026-06-13Seattle MarinersWashington Nationals-0.5-1.81AWAY35LOSS
2026-06-12Houston AstrosKansas City Royals0.52.33HOME95LOSS
2026-06-12Philadelphia PhilliesMilwaukee Brewers-1.0-1.39AWAY05LOSS
2026-06-12Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Angels0.5-3.07AWAY24LOSS
2026-06-11Minnesota TwinsDetroit Tigers-0.5-1.03AWAY05LOSS
2026-06-10New York YankeesCleveland Guardians-0.5-1.37AWAY33WIN
2026-06-10Seattle MarinersBaltimore Orioles0.5-1.04AWAY00LOSS
2026-06-10Arizona DiamondbacksMiami Marlins0.5-1.07AWAY08LOSS
2026-06-10Chicago CubsColorado Rockies0.5-1.39AWAY10WIN
2026-06-09Arizona DiamondbacksMiami Marlins-0.5-1.26AWAY23LOSS
2026-06-09Washington NationalsSan Francisco Giants0.0-2.68AWAY32WIN
2026-06-09Milwaukee BrewersAthletics-0.5-2.30AWAY36LOSS
2026-06-08Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres-0.5-1.21AWAY11WIN
2026-06-07AthleticsHouston Astros-0.5-1.84AWAY50WIN
2026-06-07Pittsburgh PiratesAtlanta Braves-0.5-1.30AWAY20WIN
2026-06-06Kansas City RoyalsMinnesota Twins-0.5-1.43AWAY11WIN
2026-06-06AthleticsHouston Astros-0.5-1.87AWAY213LOSS
2026-06-06Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers-1.31.88HOME19WIN
2026-06-05AthleticsHouston Astros-0.5-1.92AWAY05LOSS
2026-06-05Washington NationalsArizona Diamondbacks-0.5-1.17AWAY71WIN
2026-06-04Baltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox-0.5-1.27AWAY80WIN
2026-06-04San Diego PadresPhiladelphia Phillies-0.8-1.46AWAY03LOSS
2026-06-04Pittsburgh PiratesHouston Astros0.5-1.37AWAY10WIN
2026-06-03Miami MarlinsWashington Nationals0.51.92HOME11WIN
2026-06-03AthleticsChicago Cubs-0.5-1.14AWAY24LOSS
2026-06-03Kansas City RoyalsCincinnati Reds-0.5-1.11AWAY22WIN
2026-06-03Pittsburgh PiratesHouston Astros0.5-1.16AWAY43WIN
2026-06-03Los Angeles DodgersArizona Diamondbacks0.5-1.21AWAY50WIN
2026-06-02AthleticsChicago Cubs-0.5-1.58AWAY21WIN
2026-06-02Cleveland GuardiansNew York Yankees-0.51.52HOME54LOSS
2026-06-02Detroit TigersTampa Bay Rays-0.5-1.27AWAY50WIN
2026-06-02Pittsburgh PiratesHouston Astros-0.5-1.56AWAY24LOSS
2026-06-02Toronto Blue JaysAtlanta Braves-0.5-1.56AWAY23LOSS
2026-06-01Kansas City RoyalsCincinnati Reds-0.5-2.60AWAY61WIN
2026-06-01New York MetsSeattle Mariners-0.5-1.77AWAY11WIN
2026-05-31Los Angeles AngelsTampa Bay Rays-0.52.12HOME13WIN
2026-05-31Milwaukee BrewersHouston Astros0.5-1.09AWAY20WIN
2026-05-31Boston Red SoxCleveland Guardians-0.5-1.11AWAY34LOSS
2026-05-31San Francisco GiantsColorado Rockies0.5-1.38AWAY115WIN
2026-05-31Chicago CubsSt. Louis Cardinals-0.5-1.68AWAY05LOSS
2026-05-31San Diego PadresWashington Nationals-0.5-1.12AWAY03LOSS
2026-05-30Kansas City RoyalsTexas Rangers-0.5-1.71AWAY03LOSS
2026-05-30Toronto Blue JaysBaltimore Orioles0.5-1.23AWAY21WIN
2026-05-30Milwaukee BrewersHouston Astros0.5-1.08AWAY26LOSS
2026-05-30New York YankeesAthletics0.5-1.08AWAY12LOSS
2026-05-30Philadelphia PhilliesLos Angeles Dodgers-0.5-1.68AWAY12LOSS
2026-05-29Detroit TigersChicago White Sox0.5-1.15AWAY21WIN
2026-05-29Los Angeles AngelsTampa Bay Rays-0.5-1.21AWAY21WIN
2026-05-29San Diego PadresWashington Nationals-0.5-1.00AWAY45LOSS
2026-05-28Los Angeles AngelsDetroit Tigers-0.5-1.27AWAY31WIN
2026-05-28Toronto Blue JaysBaltimore Orioles-0.5-1.09AWAY11WIN
2026-05-26New York YankeesKansas City Royals0.5-1.92AWAY101WIN
2026-05-26Tampa Bay RaysBaltimore Orioles0.5-1.00AWAY16LOSS
2026-05-26Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers-0.51.96HOME110WIN
2026-05-25Arizona DiamondbacksSan Francisco Giants-0.5-1.13AWAY42WIN
2026-05-25Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers-1.01.82HOME21LOSS
2026-05-24Los Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers0.5-1.10AWAY51WIN
2026-05-24Houston AstrosChicago Cubs-0.51.52HOME73LOSS
2026-05-22AthleticsSan Diego Padres-0.5-1.08AWAY33WIN
2026-05-21New York MetsWashington Nationals-0.5-2.18AWAY21WIN
2026-05-20Boston Red SoxKansas City Royals-0.5-1.13AWAY23LOSS
2026-05-20Pittsburgh PiratesSt. Louis Cardinals-0.5-1.43AWAY20WIN
2026-05-20San Francisco GiantsArizona Diamondbacks-0.5-1.17AWAY36LOSS
2026-05-20AthleticsLos Angeles Angels0.5-1.17AWAY35LOSS
2026-05-19Cincinnati RedsPhiladelphia Phillies-0.5-1.01AWAY21WIN
2026-05-19New York MetsWashington Nationals0.5-1.13AWAY59LOSS
2026-05-18Cincinnati RedsPhiladelphia Phillies0.0-1.47AWAY22PUSH
2026-05-18Atlanta BravesMiami Marlins-0.5-1.49AWAY012LOSS
2026-05-17Kansas City RoyalsSt. Louis Cardinals-0.5-1.47AWAY20WIN
2026-05-17New York YankeesNew York Mets-0.5-1.45AWAY11WIN
2026-05-17Chicago CubsChicago White Sox0.5-1.17AWAY44LOSS
2026-05-16Toronto Blue JaysDetroit Tigers-0.5-1.61AWAY00WIN
2026-05-16Chicago CubsChicago White Sox-0.5-1.36AWAY07LOSS
2026-05-15Cincinnati RedsCleveland Guardians-0.5-1.25AWAY30WIN
2026-05-15Chicago CubsChicago White Sox0.5-1.04AWAY43WIN
2026-05-15Kansas City RoyalsSt. Louis Cardinals0.0-1.16AWAY23LOSS

Products & rules

Live June 30, 2026 · thresholds read from config
ProductThe betFree fires atPremium
F9 Run Line · Away +1.5Away +1.5 when home is favored — covers if away loses by ≤1 or winscover ≥ 1.50cover ≥ 2.25
F9 Run Line · Home +1.5Home +1.5 when away is favored — covers if home loses by ≤1 or winscover ≥ 1.25cover ≥ 2.25
F9 Totals · OVERFull-game OVER, posted total < 9.0edge ≥ 1.75edge ≥ 2.00
F5 Spreads · both sidesFirst-5 spread, home or away (sign of edge picks the side)|edge| ≥ 1.25|edge| ≥ 1.75
F5 Totals · OVERFirst-5 OVER, posted line ≤ 4.0edge ≥ 1.00all free