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Built by an actuary, BBMI’s transparent, probability-driven models find edges before the market moves. Every pick is locked before the game, graded in public, and kept on the record.
Data-driven models
Thousands of simulations power our probabilistic projections.
Verified performance
Every pick is graded in public. Nothing is hidden.
Market awareness
We compare our numbers to the market to find real edges.
Research first
Continuous testing and validation keep our models sharp.
MethodologyHow the WIAA model works
A within-division rating that blends scoring margin with the quality of the opponents a team actually faced. Wisconsin high schools are split into five divisions by enrollment and rarely cross over, so each division is rated as its own league.
What it reads
- Scoring margin in games against WIAA member schools
- Opponent quality across the conference schedule
- Division membership, which bounds every comparison
What it produces
- A rating relative to an average team in the same division
- Division rankings
- Seeded bracket projections for the state tournament
What we publish
- Rankings and bracket projections only
- No picks, because no market line exists for these games
- No versus-market benchmark for the same reason
Not claimed
Prep statistics are self-reported and inconsistent, so this model carries wider error bars than the college versions. Cross-division comparisons are not meaningful.
Today’s predictions
View all picks →WIAA is rankings and projections only. No picks board is published.
The Record
Full record →WIAA is rankings and projections only. No market line is published, so there is no against-the-spread record to keep.
No win-rate curve is plotted without a market line.
BBMI vs Vegas: no market line for WIAA · projections and rankings onlyBBMI vs Vegas →
Current research
View all →WIAA Power Rankings
Full rankings →Ranked within division
DIVISION 1
1
Wisconsin Lutheran+47.7
2
De Pere+39.6
3
Appleton North+39.3
4
Madison Memorial+38.7
DIVISION 2
1
Slinger+43.7
2
Whitefish Bay+41.9
3
Port Washington+39.9
4
Waterford+39.5
Playoff Pulse
View all →Seeded brackets
No postseason projection is published for WIAA. The bracket page has the seeded field.
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Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.