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MethodologyHow the WIAA model works

A within-division rating that blends scoring margin with the quality of the opponents a team actually faced. Wisconsin high schools are split into five divisions by enrollment and rarely cross over, so each division is rated as its own league.

What it reads

  • Scoring margin in games against WIAA member schools
  • Opponent quality across the conference schedule
  • Division membership, which bounds every comparison

What it produces

  • A rating relative to an average team in the same division
  • Division rankings
  • Seeded bracket projections for the state tournament

What we publish

  • Rankings and bracket projections only
  • No picks, because no market line exists for these games
  • No versus-market benchmark for the same reason
Not claimed

Prep statistics are self-reported and inconsistent, so this model carries wider error bars than the college versions. Cross-division comparisons are not meaningful.

Today’s predictions

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WIAA is rankings and projections only. No picks board is published.

The Record

Full record
WIAA · Wisconsin high school · rankings and projections only
WIAA is rankings and projections only. No market line is published, so there is no against-the-spread record to keep.
No win-rate curve is plotted without a market line.
BBMI vs Vegas: no market line for WIAA · projections and rankings onlyBBMI vs Vegas →

Current research

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WIAA Power Rankings

Full rankings
Ranked within division
DIVISION 1
1Wisconsin Lutheran+47.7
2De Pere+39.6
3Appleton North+39.3
4Madison Memorial+38.7
DIVISION 2
1Slinger+43.7
2Whitefish Bay+41.9
3Port Washington+39.9
4Waterford+39.5

Playoff Pulse

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Seeded brackets
No postseason projection is published for WIAA. The bracket page has the seeded field.
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Probabilities may not add to 100%. All results are model projections, not guarantees.