Region Brackets.
The projected single-elimination bracket for each sectional — Regional Quarterfinal through the Sectional Final and the trip to State at the Kohl Center. Numbers are each team’s advance odds to that round; played games show the score.
Each division feeds the eight-team State tournament; switch divisions above to see every sectional bracket. For the condensed, sortable view of every team’s odds — including State Qualifier, Finalist, and Champion — see the Tournament Pulse.
How the region bracket is simulated
Each sectional is a single-elimination bracket: Regional Quarterfinal → Regional Final → Sectional Semifinal → Sectional Final, with the winner advancing to the eight-team State tournament. After seeding is set, the model plays every remaining game forward many times using team ratings and home-site advantage; each team’s number is its advance rate to that round.
For the condensed, sortable view of every team’s odds, see the Tournament Pulse. Per-team round-by-round odds are on each team page.
Wider error bars than the college models — prep stats are self-reported and noisier.