Week 8 board
Every game the model priced this week, with its line beside the market's. Picks at the premium edge are gated; the board shows every row either way.
Kickoff: 79°F · Wind 9 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 20, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
Kickoff: 58°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 20, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
Kickoff: 58°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 20, 9:42 PM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
Kickoff: 71°F · Wind 4 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 21, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 64.4 | 5.4 | 214.6 | 130.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Sam Houston State | 65.4 | 5.4 | 214.4 | 136.8 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.3 | 29.0 | 29 |
| Completions | 13.3 | 17.7 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 136.7 | 206.0 | 160 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 5.3 | 15.9 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.4 | 30.8 | 31 |
| Completions | 23.2 | 19.1 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 261.2 | 219.7 | 235 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 16.2 | 18.5 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.5 | 15.0 | 27 |
| Rushing yds | 99.5 | 70.3 | 178 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 8.3 | 8.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 5.2 | 8.4 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 20.8 | 38.5 | -4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 15.6 | 16.1 | -2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 2.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 16.0 | 19.2 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 18.0 | 45.2 | 4 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 7.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 4.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 47.7 | 53.5 | 21 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.6 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.5 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 41.0 | 35.3 | 117 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 52°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 22, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison | 74.0 | 6.4 | 246.2 | 223.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Appalachian State | 68.4 | 5.4 | 229.6 | 137.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.7 | 30.7 | 39 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 18.8 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 191.0 | 242.4 | 232 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 20.3 | 31.6 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.4 | 33.1 | 40 |
| Completions | 20.2 | 19.6 | 26 |
| Passing yds | 256.6 | 228.9 | 271 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 11.2 | 25.4 | -1 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 17.7 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 106.5 | 102.6 | 57 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 7.3 | 13.0 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.4 | 11.0 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 51.8 | 48.8 | 74 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 6.4 | 11.1 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.7 | 5.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 41.8 | 47 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 8.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 4.9 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 41.5 | 67.8 | 63 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 51.0 | 40.8 | 84 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.6 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 10.2 | 20.6 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 22, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 63.9 | 6.0 | 168.7 | 213.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Kennesaw State | 61.3 | 5.3 | 199.0 | 126.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 19.2 | 21.7 | 19 |
| Completions | 11.7 | 13.0 | 10 |
| Passing yds | 175.2 | 165.5 | 176 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 27.3 | 27.8 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.4 | 28.9 | 26 |
| Completions | 20.6 | 17.4 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 208.4 | 200.6 | 124 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 53.0 | 38.5 | 24 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.2 | 13.8 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 107.8 | 79.7 | 59 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 2.2 | 6.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 10.7 | — |
| Rushing yds | 75.0 | 44.3 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 17.5 | 14.5 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.2 | 5.9 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 85.8 | 55.3 | 25 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 2.3 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 26.8 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.3 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.2 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 30.3 | 27.7 | 72 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 96.5 | 43.3 | 53 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 73°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 22, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 68.3 | 5.4 | 221.3 | 149.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Memphis | 74.2 | 6.3 | 248.4 | 220.4 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 33.0 | 30.3 | 13 |
| Completions | 21.5 | 18.6 | 5 |
| Passing yds | 238.5 | 217.8 | 61 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 23.0 | 15.6 | 19 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.2 | 30.0 | 43 |
| Completions | 16.8 | 19.1 | 29 |
| Passing yds | 255.8 | 246.8 | 320 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 42.7 | 37.0 | 31 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.3 | 12.7 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 121.3 | 60.3 | 92 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 14.3 | 15.4 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.7 | 14.1 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 107.2 | 83.2 | 53 |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 9.3 | 10.8 | 30 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 2.4 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 13.0 | 26.0 | 130 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.9 | — |
| Receiving yds | 48.5 | 37.4 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receiving yds | 55.7 | 51.7 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.0 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.9 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 45.0 | 26.7 | 91 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 46°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 23, 5:17 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 64.8 | 5.3 | 192.2 | 153.6 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Connecticut | 66.5 | 6.1 | 218.3 | 188.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.0 | 25.1 | — |
| Completions | 15.0 | 15.2 | — |
| Passing yds | 171.0 | 179.5 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.0 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 12.0 | 37.5 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.7 | 28.8 | 19 |
| Completions | 16.3 | 17.1 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 236.3 | 220.9 | 173 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 58.5 | 48.2 | 66 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.7 | 10.7 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 65.3 | 48.3 | 15 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 12.7 | 7.0 | 9 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.7 | 14.1 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 96.3 | 73.8 | 131 |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 12.3 | 16.9 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 70.0 | 52.3 | 10 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.3 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 57.7 | 36.9 | 30 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.8 | 7.8 | — |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 4.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 55.6 | 55.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 29.0 | 28.6 | 2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 53°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 23, 5:17 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 62.0 | 5.4 | 198.8 | 137.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Virginia | 64.1 | 5.8 | 216.4 | 154.9 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.2 | 27.1 | 25 |
| Completions | 16.8 | 16.1 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 196.0 | 193.0 | 211 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 2.4 | 6.1 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.3 | 26.7 | 24 |
| Completions | 15.2 | 17.4 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 179.0 | 210.5 | 158 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 37.8 | 31.5 | 66 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 23.8 | 16.7 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 146.8 | 75.2 | 55 |
| Rushing TD | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 32.2 | 14.6 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.8 | 13.6 | 24 |
| Rushing yds | 74.8 | 62.4 | 117 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 6.2 | 14.7 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 63.0 | 35.9 | 59 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 38.5 | 41.1 | 22 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 44.0 | 22.7 | 47 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.7 | — |
| Receiving yds | 28.8 | 33.6 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 68°F · Wind 7 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 23, 5:17 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army | 59.5 | 5.1 | 76.6 | 226.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Tulsa | 63.2 | 6.3 | 217.6 | 180.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 10.0 | 10.9 | 12 |
| Completions | 5.7 | 6.4 | 7 |
| Passing yds | 56.5 | 76.8 | 64 |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 121.2 | 82.5 | 121 |
| Rushing TD | 2.2 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.4 | 25.9 | 34 |
| Completions | 19.6 | 16.4 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 215.6 | 211.3 | 262 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 20.2 | 34.0 | -3 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 0.5 | 6.4 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 2.0 | 28.2 | 4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 1.2 | 3.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 13.7 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 50.7 | 71.2 | 59 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 18.3 | 18.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.3 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 21.5 | 16.9 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.6 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 34.7 | 33.7 | 84 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.6 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.6 | 4.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 81.0 | 65.6 | 61 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 48°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 23, 5:17 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 59.2 | 5.2 | 75.1 | 232.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Wyoming | 61.0 | 5.8 | 191.4 | 160.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 3.0 | 10.0 | 4 |
| Completions | 2.0 | 6.1 | 3 |
| Passing yds | 18.0 | 73.8 | 27 |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 151.0 | 68.0 | 115 |
| Rushing TD | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.3 | 24.1 | 17 |
| Completions | 14.0 | 15.0 | 10 |
| Passing yds | 145.4 | 186.5 | 113 |
| Passing TD | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 79.9 | 53.0 | 146 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 2.7 | 4.3 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 22.3 | 21.7 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 13.3 | 7.1 | 30 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.5 | 11.6 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 71.8 | 49.6 | 35 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 14.0 | 14.3 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 21.0 | 13.7 | 6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 45.0 | 34.2 | 9 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.2 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.4 | — |
| Receiving yds | 19.5 | 16.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.8 | — |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 22.0 | 29.3 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 60°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 23, 5:17 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 68.1 | 6.5 | 264.3 | 177.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Stanford | 67.2 | 6.2 | 257.6 | 159.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.7 | 31.7 | 30 |
| Completions | 21.0 | 20.7 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 251.2 | 260.3 | 256 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 27.5 | 29.3 | 59 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.8 | 32.0 | 37 |
| Completions | 19.0 | 20.5 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 225.2 | 256.7 | 303 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 8.5 | 15.4 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 21.0 | 14.4 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 69.0 | 72.1 | 49 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 45.0 | 26.4 | 51 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.8 | 16.4 | 22 |
| Rushing yds | 58.3 | 81.5 | 150 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 17.0 | 58 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.7 | 6.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 77.0 | 62.7 | 56 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 5.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 47.4 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.8 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 15.8 | 27.4 | 32 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.7 | 3.4 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 18.8 | 24.8 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 75°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Virginia | 63.0 | 4.9 | 136.1 | 169.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| TCU | 73.0 | 6.9 | 290.5 | 216.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 20.6 | 21.2 | 15 |
| Completions | 11.9 | 12.5 | 7 |
| Passing yds | 217.0 | 144.3 | 79 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 116.1 | 57.5 | 87 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.3 | 32.2 | 47 |
| Completions | 21.5 | 21.7 | 33 |
| Passing yds | 281.8 | 292.6 | 372 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 16.7 | 31.2 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 2 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 25.5 | 17.0 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 132.2 | 73.7 | 90 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.2 | 8.5 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 3.3 | 11.3 | — |
| Rushing yds | 22.3 | 66.7 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.8 | — |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 3.3 | 15.9 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 121.0 | 30.2 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 8.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.8 | 5.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 88.0 | 77.2 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 92.7 | 41.7 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 6.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 4.3 | 10 |
| Receiving yds | 125.0 | 71.3 | 113 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 55°F · Wind 1 mph · Fog
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 61.1 | 4.7 | 150.9 | 136.1 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Toledo | 68.6 | 5.9 | 227.6 | 176.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 21.1 | 23.7 | 29 |
| Completions | 14.3 | 14.1 | 12 |
| Passing yds | 149.7 | 157.1 | 207 |
| Passing TD | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 42.9 | 38.3 | 17 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.1 | 29.4 | 41 |
| Completions | 20.6 | 18.5 | 29 |
| Passing yds | 264.7 | 228.1 | 391 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 2.3 | 10.8 | -5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.7 | 14.3 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 71.3 | 61.2 | 92 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 15.5 | 10.0 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.0 | 15.7 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 104.0 | 78.7 | 27 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 15.1 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 26.0 | 23.1 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.8 | 7.0 | — |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 4.3 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 74.2 | 58.5 | 124 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.8 | 5.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.5 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 54.3 | 43.2 | 105 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 3.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.9 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 34.0 | 24.7 | 41 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 65.9 | 5.2 | 252.0 | 91.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| SMU | 73.7 | 7.0 | 314.4 | 201.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.7 | 31.7 | — |
| Completions | 21.7 | 20.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 202.7 | 226.4 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.3 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 14.0 | 11.7 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.0 | 35.9 | 23 |
| Completions | 23.3 | 23.9 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 306.7 | 308.7 | 223 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 26.7 | 34.2 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.3 | 14.3 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 50.0 | 48.9 | 27 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 14.0 | 18.8 | 16 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 20.8 | 18.7 | 22 |
| Rushing yds | 114.2 | 114.5 | 104 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 9.5 | 14.6 | 22 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 8.0 | — |
| Receptions | 7.4 | 5.2 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 62.4 | 52.3 | 83 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 58.5 | 67.6 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.5 | 3.2 | — |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 2.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 24.4 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 4.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 85.0 | 62.0 | 37 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 60°F · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | 62.3 | 5.6 | 206.4 | 140.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Northwestern | 66.9 | 7.0 | 221.1 | 249.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.6 | 26.9 | 0 |
| Completions | 14.8 | 16.4 | 0 |
| Passing yds | 213.2 | 199.1 | 0 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 12.2 | 17.2 | 5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.5 | 25.3 | 25 |
| Completions | 16.3 | 15.7 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 232.0 | 219.1 | 219 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 35.3 | 47.5 | 83 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.5 | 14.4 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 109.5 | 68.9 | 150 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 16.2 | 12.8 | 27 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.8 | 15.5 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 86.8 | 96.2 | 150 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 25.5 | 13.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.8 | 11.1 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 6.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 123.5 | 89.7 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 7.0 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 4.3 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 85.5 | 63.3 | 133 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 88.0 | 25.9 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 3.4 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 17.8 | 26.7 | 8 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 80°F · Wind 16 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 60.2 | 4.6 | 185.5 | 93.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Miami (FL) | 68.8 | 6.9 | 283.3 | 191.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.0 | 27.5 | 3 |
| Completions | 11.0 | 15.9 | 3 |
| Passing yds | 193.0 | 177.7 | 66 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 12.0 | 11.4 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.8 | 30.9 | 37 |
| Completions | 22.5 | 20.8 | 31 |
| Passing yds | 294.7 | 271.8 | 387 |
| Passing TD | 3.0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 17.3 | 15.3 | -12 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 9.8 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 81.0 | 37.3 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 5.0 | 11.4 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.2 | 13.6 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 66.0 | 72.7 | 41 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 6.5 | 13.0 | 16 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 22.0 | 22.7 | 2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.5 | 10.1 | — |
| Receptions | 8.3 | 6.9 | 16 |
| Receiving yds | 126.3 | 98.1 | 194 |
| Receiving TD | 1.3 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.4 | 3.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 85.8 | 52.2 | 149 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 91.0 | 37.4 | 31 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 81°F · Wind 17 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | 62.3 | 4.8 | 92.8 | 207.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Florida Atlantic | 71.8 | 6.7 | 303.0 | 177.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 12.0 | 14.2 | — |
| Completions | 5.7 | 8.0 | — |
| Passing yds | 68.3 | 94.5 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.4 | 0.5 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.4 | — |
| Rushing yds | 107.9 | 75.9 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.9 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 37.2 | 33.4 | 37 |
| Completions | 26.8 | 22.7 | 29 |
| Passing yds | 290.5 | 286.1 | 339 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 2.2 | 18.0 | 5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.1 | 12.9 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 33.6 | 53.7 | 19 |
| Rushing TD | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 5.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.4 | 12.3 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 67.6 | 65.5 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 6.6 | 7.4 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 1.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | — |
| Receiving yds | 6.0 | 11.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.0 | 9.5 | — |
| Receptions | 10.0 | 6.5 | 12 |
| Receiving yds | 122.0 | 84.6 | 162 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.5 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 8.0 | 13.8 | 71 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.7 | — |
| Receptions | 9.0 | 4.0 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 121.0 | 52.6 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 66°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 74.8 | 5.7 | 256.0 | 171.4 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| Auburn | 69.9 | 4.7 | 202.1 | 124.4 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.9 | 32.5 | 45 |
| Completions | 20.9 | 20.8 | 32 |
| Passing yds | 253.0 | 253.1 | 387 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 47.7 | 36.9 | 54 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.8 | 32.1 | 24 |
| Completions | 19.8 | 19.9 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 200.8 | 221.9 | 160 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 88.2 | 48.7 | 21 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.4 | 16.3 | 21 |
| Rushing yds | 82.1 | 77.0 | 92 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 3.6 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 26.0 | 25.0 | 27 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.7 | 9.7 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 49.3 | 36.3 | 14 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 7.8 | 9.6 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.7 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 71.7 | 51.5 | 40 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 9.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 5.6 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 55.8 | 65.7 | 64 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 4.2 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 76.8 | 56.8 | 178 |
| Receiving TD | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 8.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 5.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 58.4 | 60.3 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 62°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 71.4 | 6.6 | 270.9 | 202.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| Cincinnati | 68.4 | 5.9 | 242.1 | 163.1 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.0 | 31.7 | 37 |
| Completions | 19.2 | 20.4 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 219.3 | 269.2 | 227 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 21.2 | 25.6 | 23 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.5 | 30.4 | 30 |
| Completions | 18.0 | 19.5 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 222.7 | 242.6 | 172 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 48.2 | 37.1 | 46 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.2 | 10.4 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 29.2 | 57.0 | 69 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 2.3 | 20.7 | 24 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 14.2 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 124.0 | 69.1 | 173 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 51.0 | 23.5 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 79.0 | 46.9 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 7.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 68.5 | 59.6 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 8.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 5.1 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 69.7 | 83.1 | 81 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.8 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 44.3 | 35.1 | 5 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 58°F · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 65.5 | 5.6 | 202.9 | 164.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Michigan | 61.5 | 4.9 | 175.4 | 127.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.1 | 27.1 | 18 |
| Completions | 15.4 | 16.8 | 8 |
| Passing yds | 237.3 | 205.9 | 81 |
| Passing TD | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 14.7 | 14.5 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 4.5 | 23.4 | 32 |
| Completions | 3.5 | 14.1 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 35.0 | 161.1 | 167 |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 26.0 | 22.2 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.5 | 15.2 | 19 |
| Rushing yds | 52.0 | 77.0 | 68 |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 20.0 | 7.7 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.5 | 11.5 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 49.8 | 43.6 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 8.2 | 7.9 | -1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.8 | 9.7 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 6.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 108.5 | 84.9 | 32 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 8.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 5.0 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 65.0 | 67.4 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 94.8 | 61.4 | 25 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.3 | 9.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.7 | 5.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 48.2 | 54.7 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 60°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (OH) | 61.4 | 5.4 | 172.5 | 156.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Central Michigan | 60.1 | 5.1 | 151.5 | 154.0 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 20.3 | 24.0 | 33 |
| Completions | 10.3 | 14.2 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 119.3 | 173.9 | 221 |
| Passing TD | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 63.0 | 38.7 | 58 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 15.8 | 20.3 | — |
| Completions | 9.2 | 12.6 | — |
| Passing yds | 88.2 | 148.7 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 124.2 | 63.3 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 13.5 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 73.2 | 65.4 | 43 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 2.0 | 6.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 11.4 | 28.5 | 1 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 9.1 | 13.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 9.0 | 25.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.8 | 10 |
| Receiving yds | 38.3 | 39.7 | 163 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.8 | 4.9 | — |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 47.6 | 33.8 | 3 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.7 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 13.0 | 22.7 | 11 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 71°F · Wind 11 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 70.3 | 5.5 | 226.0 | 163.9 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Kansas | 72.0 | 5.4 | 192.7 | 197.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 46.8 | 33.4 | 31 |
| Completions | 23.2 | 19.1 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 278.8 | 227.7 | 236 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 6.5 | 13.3 | 47 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.8 | 29.1 | 29 |
| Completions | 14.7 | 15.4 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 215.7 | 194.6 | 212 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 68.5 | 61.3 | 31 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.2 | 12.3 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 72.0 | 58.0 | 4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.2 | 6.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.8 | 16.5 | 30 |
| Rushing yds | 76.2 | 79.9 | 156 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 25.8 | 12.5 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.2 | 9.4 | — |
| Receptions | 8.4 | 5.3 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 88.0 | 59.7 | 123 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.7 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 75.3 | 42.7 | 66 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.4 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 3.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 61.2 | 54.5 | 18 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.7 | 8.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.6 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 62.3 | 48.6 | 17 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 60°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 64.3 | 5.1 | 192.5 | 136.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Kent State | 63.9 | 5.5 | 173.7 | 174.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.0 | 29.0 | 34 |
| Completions | 16.2 | 17.2 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 193.6 | 197.5 | 275 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.6 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 16.2 | 18.6 | -42 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.9 | 25.4 | 33 |
| Completions | 15.0 | 13.3 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 164.0 | 168.4 | 294 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 1.1 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 38.4 | 38.6 | 28 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.2 | 15.8 | 28 |
| Rushing yds | 73.8 | 66.3 | 162 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 19.3 | 10.8 | 18 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.5 | 11.6 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 34.5 | 55.8 | 44 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 4.5 | 8.5 | 67 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 7.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 4.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 61.2 | 46.6 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 3.6 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 73.3 | 51.3 | 156 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 3.3 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 36.2 | 38.6 | 129 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 4.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 59.5 | 31.8 | 5 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 69.7 | 6.2 | 246.7 | 188.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Illinois | 67.5 | 5.7 | 239.2 | 144.1 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 20.0 | 27.1 | — |
| Completions | 9.0 | 15.9 | — |
| Passing yds | 54.0 | 205.3 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.5 | — |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.5 | — |
| Rushing yds | 5.0 | 20.3 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 0.0 | 21.8 | 1 |
| Completions | 0.0 | 13.1 | 1 |
| Passing yds | 0.0 | 162.2 | 5 |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 4.7 | 9.4 | 21 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.5 | 14.2 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 70.5 | 81.7 | 83 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 24.0 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.3 | 12.8 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 77.3 | 59.3 | 123 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.0 | 14.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.5 | 8.0 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 4.7 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 56.5 | 64.1 | 70 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.2 | 10.6 | — |
| Receptions | 8.4 | 6.4 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 109.0 | 78.4 | 65 |
| Receiving TD | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 2.9 | — |
| Receiving yds | 54.0 | 29.9 | — |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 7.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 67.3 | 63.1 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | 68.1 | 6.1 | 236.4 | 178.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| South Carolina | 66.9 | 5.8 | 223.9 | 162.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.3 | 27.8 | 23 |
| Completions | 15.7 | 18.6 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 176.7 | 227.5 | 136 |
| Passing TD | 0.3 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | -7.3 | 11.2 | 9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.3 | 29.5 | 32 |
| Completions | 19.2 | 18.6 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 222.7 | 228.4 | 210 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 74.8 | 50.1 | 96 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 23.8 | 20.9 | 32 |
| Rushing yds | 152.2 | 106.2 | 120 |
| Rushing TD | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 6.2 | 13.1 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 12.1 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 95.2 | 56.8 | 28 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.2 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 28.2 | 14.5 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 4.5 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 53.0 | 45.3 | 56 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.3 | 2.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 31.8 | 26.6 | 8 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 4.1 | 5.1 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 68.7 | 79.1 | 47 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.6 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 4.6 | 4.2 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 41.6 | 44.7 | 88 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State | 62.7 | 5.3 | 189.3 | 145.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Ball State | 64.2 | 6.0 | 213.6 | 171.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.2 | 26.6 | 27 |
| Completions | 17.7 | 15.4 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 178.8 | 187.1 | 187 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 5.2 | 14.4 | -19 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.5 | 26.4 | 27 |
| Completions | 19.7 | 17.1 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 178.0 | 213.9 | 234 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 39.3 | 45.7 | 68 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.2 | 10.3 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 40.8 | 47.2 | 57 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 7.2 | 6.7 | 14 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.0 | 11.9 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 107.5 | 59.6 | 33 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 3.0 | 8.8 | -5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.8 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 4.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 94.5 | 56.5 | 19 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 3.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 13.8 | 23.0 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 61.0 | 31.2 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.8 | 5.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 35.0 | 44.3 | 63 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 78°F · Wind 14 mph · Rain Shower
Precipitation: 0.2 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 65.9 | 6.0 | 219.5 | 173.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| UCF | 60.5 | 5.1 | 194.9 | 113.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.3 | 28.2 | 32 |
| Completions | 16.7 | 18.1 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 209.5 | 215.7 | 257 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 48.7 | 42.1 | 37 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.5 | 29.1 | 41 |
| Completions | 19.8 | 17.6 | 25 |
| Passing yds | 191.0 | 195.0 | 293 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.1 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 16.8 | 18.6 | 35 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 5.7 | 10.2 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 30.2 | 53.6 | 42 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.8 | 17.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.8 | 11.8 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 92.8 | 47.8 | 94 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 9.9 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.7 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 15.2 | 23.3 | 39 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.3 | 7.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.7 | 4.3 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 69.7 | 49.7 | 54 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 7.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 4.6 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 40.7 | 55.2 | 129 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.3 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 51.7 | 32.5 | 18 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green | 60.6 | 4.9 | 161.6 | 134.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Buffalo | 61.7 | 5.1 | 154.5 | 160.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.9 | 23.9 | 27 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 14.7 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 171.1 | 166.1 | 217 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 19.1 | 21.5 | 34 |
| Rushing TD | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.8 | 24.6 | 21 |
| Completions | 13.2 | 13.9 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 144.5 | 164.5 | 127 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 34.5 | 22.9 | 35 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.8 | 15.8 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 50.3 | 61.6 | 39 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 1.2 | 6.7 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 21.0 | 16.8 | 33 |
| Rushing yds | 114.8 | 84.5 | 184 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.6 | 3 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 5.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 9.0 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 95.0 | 34.7 | 12 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.6 | 8.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.4 | 4.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 77.2 | 57.6 | 39 |
| Receiving TD | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.7 | 2.7 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 49.7 | 31.5 | 50 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.9 | 3.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 24.4 | 23.3 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 68°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | 62.2 | 5.3 | 199.4 | 129.4 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Georgia Tech | 66.8 | 6.4 | 254.0 | 172.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.8 | 29.6 | 17 |
| Completions | 16.3 | 17.7 | 9 |
| Passing yds | 210.2 | 207.9 | 101 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 90.0 | 57.0 | 170 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.0 | 30.6 | 24 |
| Completions | 22.5 | 20.2 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 254.5 | 254.0 | 186 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 13.5 | 17.6 | 21 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.2 | 7.8 | 20 |
| Rushing yds | 22.2 | 31.6 | 155 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 8.8 | 11.6 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.0 | 17.0 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 93.0 | 85.6 | 24 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.5 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 16.0 | 15.5 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 72.0 | 31.5 | 9 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.0 | 8.2 | — |
| Receptions | 8.0 | 5.3 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 89.5 | 67.5 | 85 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 106.0 | 31.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 63.5 | 51.9 | 88 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 73°F · Wind 5 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | 70.0 | 5.4 | 217.6 | 159.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Mississippi State | 67.2 | 5.3 | 199.5 | 156.6 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.3 | 32.0 | 29 |
| Completions | 18.8 | 19.1 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 218.0 | 225.4 | 283 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 29.0 | 45.2 | 37 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.0 | 27.3 | 24 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 16.3 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 121.0 | 197.3 | 158 |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 55.0 | 30.1 | 37 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.0 | 11.3 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 60.3 | 52.2 | 55 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 7.7 | 8.6 | 9 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 13.7 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 49.0 | 63.0 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 7.5 | 12.3 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.6 | 9.8 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 5.8 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 81.0 | 69.7 | 164 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.5 | 9.7 | — |
| Receptions | 7.8 | 6.0 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 102.3 | 72.6 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 98.0 | 40.9 | 3 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 4.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 29.6 | 21 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 58°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas | 64.2 | 6.7 | 237.0 | 190.9 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Navy | 64.7 | 5.8 | 99.3 | 279.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 33.0 | 27.1 | 23 |
| Completions | 23.8 | 17.7 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 308.7 | 225.8 | 305 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 12.7 | 20.0 | -8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 10.6 | 13.6 | 10 |
| Completions | 5.0 | 7.5 | 7 |
| Passing yds | 111.8 | 98.1 | 133 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 131.2 | 115.3 | 228 |
| Rushing TD | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 15.4 | 20 |
| Rushing yds | 114.5 | 93.7 | 174 |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 2.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 32.0 | 19.9 | 58 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.7 | 13.5 | 21 |
| Rushing yds | 56.8 | 70.1 | 92 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 7.2 | 4.8 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.3 | 7.0 | — |
| Receptions | 8.3 | 4.6 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 107.3 | 56.2 | 209 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 1.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 48.0 | 13.7 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.3 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 55.0 | 28.3 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 2.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 55.0 | 20.2 | 9 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas A&M | 60.1 | 5.1 | 191.5 | 115.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Alabama | 65.2 | 6.5 | 254.1 | 169.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.3 | 29.1 | 21 |
| Completions | 17.3 | 17.4 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 182.8 | 193.7 | 163 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 40.5 | 22.9 | 23 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.7 | 30.4 | 30 |
| Completions | 18.4 | 20.0 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 249.4 | 259.9 | 311 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 51.1 | 37.2 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 9.3 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 58.2 | 37.9 | 18 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 11.2 | 7.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 9.2 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 59.5 | 49.1 | 36 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 8.5 | 18.7 | 17 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.6 | 6.1 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 3.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 41.8 | 46.1 | 34 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 4.5 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 55.0 | 60.3 | 156 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.4 | — |
| Receiving yds | 24.0 | 26.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 2.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 44.0 | 20.5 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 75°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 59.2 | 4.6 | 176.8 | 97.6 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| UCLA | 64.5 | 6.2 | 202.3 | 197.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.6 | 27.6 | — |
| Completions | 17.3 | 16.4 | — |
| Passing yds | 180.1 | 184.2 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.8 | — |
| Rushing yds | 15.1 | 10.4 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.1 | 0.0 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 33.0 | 25.0 | 31 |
| Completions | 22.0 | 15.5 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 264.0 | 196.6 | 198 |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 4.0 | 30.5 | 17 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.5 | 13.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 70.2 | 50.2 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 11.8 | 9.5 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 13.2 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 95.2 | 72.6 | 56 |
| Rushing TD | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 16.8 | 13.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 33.0 | 38.8 | 9 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 38.3 | 74 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.2 | 3.0 | — |
| Receiving yds | 40.8 | 35.1 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 28.7 | 2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawaii | 68.1 | 5.7 | 259.1 | 129.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Northern Illinois | 62.8 | 5.5 | 197.1 | 145.6 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 44.1 | 36.5 | 32 |
| Completions | 25.9 | 22.6 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 266.1 | 264.3 | 323 |
| Passing TD | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 21.1 | 25.7 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.7 | 27.2 | 26 |
| Completions | 20.2 | 16.8 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 198.8 | 202.5 | 171 |
| Passing TD | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 18.8 | 21.2 | 22 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.0 | 10.8 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 24.5 | 49.4 | 58 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | -2.5 | 9.3 | 70 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.5 | 16.6 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 79.7 | 78.3 | 63 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.7 | 9.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 2 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 98.5 | 44.2 | 9 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.7 | 8.8 | — |
| Receptions | 8.2 | 5.5 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 70.3 | 62.8 | 115 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 36.3 | 42.6 | 90 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 3.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 49.1 | 30 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 11 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 64.5 | 5.5 | 203.4 | 152.7 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Minnesota | 62.3 | 5.2 | 217.5 | 104.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 19.0 | 24.9 | 16 |
| Completions | 14.0 | 15.5 | 9 |
| Passing yds | 202.0 | 186.2 | 62 |
| Passing TD | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 0.0 | 7.5 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.8 | 32.4 | 26 |
| Completions | 21.2 | 19.9 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 221.8 | 222.0 | 137 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 1.0 | 5.3 | -11 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.2 | 18.0 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 103.8 | 85.3 | 22 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 6.2 | 9.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.6 | 11.8 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 32.2 | 41.9 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 3.6 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 31.0 | 32.5 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.2 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 4.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 61.4 | 60.3 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.2 | 8.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.8 | 5.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 72.0 | 59.2 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 69.0 | 37.2 | 69 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.2 | 7.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 4.5 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 62.5 | 51.3 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 78°F · Wind 7 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State | 67.6 | 6.3 | 243.0 | 179.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Arizona State | 64.9 | 5.6 | 223.3 | 141.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.2 | 29.4 | — |
| Completions | 19.7 | 18.5 | — |
| Passing yds | 214.2 | 239.7 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 76.7 | 48.1 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.0 | 27.6 | 20 |
| Completions | 25.0 | 16.7 | 10 |
| Passing yds | 256.0 | 206.3 | 160 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 0.0 | 13.2 | -6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 27.0 | 16.4 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 159.0 | 74.1 | 17 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 13.0 | 14.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.5 | 9.3 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 64.2 | 42.9 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 6.8 | 11.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 4.4 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 63.2 | 54.3 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.7 | 9.2 | — |
| Receptions | 7.3 | 5.6 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 93.0 | 81.4 | 147 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.5 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 44.5 | 44.7 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.0 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 4.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 61.4 | 53.8 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 72°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Monroe | 63.1 | 5.3 | 192.4 | 142.2 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Troy | 68.4 | 6.2 | 198.9 | 223.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.8 | 27.3 | 22 |
| Completions | 18.2 | 16.6 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 206.5 | 188.5 | 147 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 18.5 | 24.3 | 3 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.2 | 24.9 | — |
| Completions | 16.0 | 14.9 | — |
| Passing yds | 185.3 | 195.0 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.4 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 53.0 | 48.7 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 6.0 | 7.7 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 26.0 | 37.5 | 12 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 6.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.0 | 13.3 | 17 |
| Rushing yds | 50.0 | 79.3 | 70 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 0.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 4.0 | 11.4 | -10 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 63.0 | 39.0 | 30 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.6 | 3.4 | — |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 15.0 | 25.1 | 32 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 47.0 | 29.0 | 23 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.8 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 40.0 | 40.6 | 12 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan | 59.5 | 5.1 | 194.1 | 108.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ohio | 64.8 | 6.1 | 179.3 | 215.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.8 | 29.1 | — |
| Completions | 21.1 | 17.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 210.0 | 195.0 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.1 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.8 | — |
| Rushing yds | 6.2 | 10.5 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 21.3 | 21.3 | 29 |
| Completions | 12.0 | 12.9 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 162.3 | 167.0 | 266 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 62.3 | 49.0 | 22 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.5 | 8.9 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 54.5 | 36.1 | 24 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.7 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 12.0 | 13.8 | 55 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.8 | 14.1 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 66.2 | 77.7 | 22 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 5.8 | 7.1 | 12 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.8 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 47.8 | 45.9 | 30 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 51.5 | 37.5 | 27 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.7 | 5.9 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 3.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 73.3 | 36.8 | 6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 2.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 37.2 | 28.8 | 125 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 80°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion | 61.6 | 4.4 | 140.2 | 130.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Louisiana Tech | 67.0 | 5.6 | 208.2 | 165.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 17.6 | 22.3 | — |
| Completions | 9.6 | 12.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 114.0 | 138.0 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 78.4 | 42.8 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.2 | 26.3 | 34 |
| Completions | 16.8 | 17.4 | 28 |
| Passing yds | 211.8 | 204.4 | 303 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 14.2 | 29.1 | 12 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.6 | 13.3 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 45.0 | 48.0 | 9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 4.8 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.0 | 16.2 | 20 |
| Rushing yds | 53.0 | 71.2 | 63 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 2.5 | 9.5 | 17 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.3 | 4.9 | — |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 2.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 40.3 | 31.1 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.0 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 8.0 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 119.0 | 35.6 | 11 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 43.7 | 32.9 | 3 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 8.1 | — |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 5.3 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 77.8 | 65.7 | 110 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 75°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana | 68.5 | 6.0 | 197.9 | 213.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Southern Miss | 66.2 | 5.8 | 239.7 | 142.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.0 | 24.4 | — |
| Completions | 15.4 | 15.5 | — |
| Passing yds | 166.6 | 195.0 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 1.4 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 70.4 | 62.4 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.1 | 0.7 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.2 | 31.4 | 38 |
| Completions | 18.2 | 18.7 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 240.5 | 226.5 | 164 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 17.2 | 18.9 | -9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.4 | 9.8 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 31.3 | 51.2 | 33 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 3.7 | 9.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.4 | 16.3 | 22 |
| Rushing yds | 80.0 | 76.4 | 145 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 11.4 | 13.7 | 17 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.8 | 2.8 | — |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 16.5 | 24.4 | 58 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.3 | 8.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.7 | 5.0 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 85.0 | 64.1 | 77 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.3 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 50.7 | 38.3 | 53 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.7 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 70.5 | 33.8 | 13 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose State | 68.5 | 5.3 | 240.4 | 121.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Nevada | 69.9 | 5.4 | 192.2 | 187.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.0 | 33.8 | 3 |
| Completions | 12.0 | 20.5 | 0 |
| Passing yds | 193.0 | 239.1 | 0 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 48.0 | 25.7 | -2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.0 | 26.0 | — |
| Completions | 14.5 | 15.6 | — |
| Passing yds | 153.0 | 190.4 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.2 | — |
| Interceptions | 1.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Rushing yds | 30.5 | 32.8 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 20.0 | 15.4 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 156.0 | 60.2 | 44 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 11.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.5 | 16.6 | 24 |
| Rushing yds | 83.3 | 77.2 | 82 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 17.0 | 16.1 | 19 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.4 | 10.4 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 6.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 81.6 | 78.8 | 42 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.7 | 7.1 | — |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 4.3 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 32.0 | 60.4 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.4 | 2.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 12.9 | 20.2 | 4 |
| Receiving TD | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.3 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 16.0 | 22.3 | 52 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 55°F · Wind 5 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State | 65.4 | 6.2 | 213.5 | 191.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Washington State | 60.0 | 5.3 | 194.5 | 122.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.7 | 26.8 | 23 |
| Completions | 18.3 | 16.9 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 216.0 | 214.2 | 149 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 21.5 | 21.5 | 34 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 49.0 | 26.9 | 40 |
| Completions | 32.0 | 16.4 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 289.0 | 192.2 | 191 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 149.0 | 43.1 | 33 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 21.6 | 16.6 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 138.0 | 90.5 | 128 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 11.2 | 13.1 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 8.7 | 7.9 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 36.3 | 32.2 | 8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 9.0 | 7.2 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 84.0 | 34.9 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.8 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 66.4 | 64.7 | 58 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.0 | — |
| Receiving yds | 47.0 | 26.6 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 3.5 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 50.5 | 43.0 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State | 69.2 | 6.1 | 210.6 | 212.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Colorado State | 68.5 | 6.2 | 262.3 | 165.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 11.0 | 23.8 | 33 |
| Completions | 6.0 | 14.8 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 61.0 | 189.7 | 369 |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | -2.0 | 19.9 | -1 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 33.8 | 31.7 | — |
| Completions | 20.8 | 20.2 | — |
| Passing yds | 217.8 | 259.5 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.9 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 14.2 | 20.8 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.3 | 16.9 | 22 |
| Rushing yds | 83.0 | 89.0 | 98 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 1.3 | 6.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.8 | 12.8 | 19 |
| Rushing yds | 54.4 | 64.2 | 86 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 4.2 | 11.8 | 28 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.8 | 3.2 | — |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 2.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 19.0 | 29.6 | 29 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.6 | 2.5 | — |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 3.2 | 20.2 | 41 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.8 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 63.5 | 36.6 | 164 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.7 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 67.0 | 43.6 | 59 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 72°F · Wind 3 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 65.0 | 6.5 | 248.4 | 171.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Arkansas State | 64.7 | 6.2 | 236.9 | 164.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.2 | 27.9 | 10 |
| Completions | 17.2 | 18.0 | 8 |
| Passing yds | 216.5 | 237.1 | 65 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 32.0 | 27.3 | -9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.9 | 30.3 | 32 |
| Completions | 19.7 | 19.2 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 230.9 | 239.5 | 309 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 34.9 | 34.1 | 36 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.2 | 10.0 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 39.0 | 50.4 | 66 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 25.0 | 20.6 | 58 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.5 | 9.6 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 49.5 | 50.5 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 44.5 | 21.7 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 39.5 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 5.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.7 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 78.0 | 47.5 | 150 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 67.3 | 49.1 | 85 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.6 | 7.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.4 | 4.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 60.3 | 62.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 59°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech | 68.6 | 5.7 | 237.7 | 155.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| Clemson | 68.9 | 5.6 | 243.6 | 145.1 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.9 | 31.6 | 32 |
| Completions | 23.7 | 20.9 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 282.1 | 245.2 | 156 |
| Passing TD | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 12.4 | 22.4 | 14 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.2 | 33.2 | 26 |
| Completions | 19.8 | 21.1 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 198.5 | 251.2 | 153 |
| Passing TD | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 32.5 | 33.0 | 63 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.2 | 14.2 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 93.8 | 73.4 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 31.2 | 23.3 | -5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.2 | 12.7 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 74.2 | 57.6 | 62 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 1.8 | 8.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 8.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.8 | 5.7 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 122.2 | 72.2 | 69 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 9.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.7 | 5.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 52.3 | 68.9 | 25 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.6 | 3.2 | — |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 25.4 | 25.8 | 6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 8.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 5.7 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 63.0 | 81.3 | 38 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 73°F · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado | 66.7 | 4.9 | 189.7 | 138.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Oklahoma State | 72.7 | 6.3 | 264.3 | 191.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 33.7 | 28.9 | 27 |
| Completions | 18.7 | 16.7 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 234.0 | 188.3 | 280 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 30.3 | 33.5 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.0 | 33.0 | 36 |
| Completions | 22.7 | 20.8 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 324.0 | 257.6 | 386 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 1.9 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 29.3 | 22.2 | 8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.3 | 13.1 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 65.7 | 57.1 | 39 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 23.0 | 14.2 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 20.5 | 21.2 | 19 |
| Rushing yds | 98.7 | 106.3 | 120 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.6 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 33.3 | 27.9 | 72 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.5 | 6.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 50.0 | 47.7 | 106 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.7 | 8.1 | — |
| Receptions | 6.7 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 120.3 | 62.2 | 138 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.2 | 9.3 | — |
| Receptions | 6.4 | 5.4 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 75.6 | 64.2 | 135 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.3 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 28.2 | 26.3 | 11 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 80°F · Wind 6 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss | 71.7 | 5.8 | 274.9 | 143.0 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| Texas | 72.6 | 6.2 | 259.5 | 187.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.0 | 37.2 | 52 |
| Completions | 23.5 | 23.7 | 25 |
| Passing yds | 279.7 | 279.9 | 250 |
| Passing TD | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 27.8 | 29.2 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.8 | 33.2 | 30 |
| Completions | 17.7 | 20.8 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 215.3 | 264.3 | 212 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 33.8 | 34.9 | 2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 11.9 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 73.0 | 56.2 | 47 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 9.7 | 16 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 13.3 | — |
| Rushing yds | 55.0 | 65.1 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 13.3 | 18.8 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 8.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.8 | 5.4 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 87.2 | 73.2 | 87 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.8 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 81.3 | 59.8 | 111 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 5.1 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 50.0 | 42.4 | 50 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 7.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 4.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 53.2 | 71.0 | 12 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 77°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 61.3 | 5.1 | 184.3 | 127.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Arizona | 66.9 | 6.8 | 274.8 | 177.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.7 | 27.2 | 10 |
| Completions | 14.2 | 16.2 | 8 |
| Passing yds | 166.8 | 183.1 | 106 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 35.0 | 23.7 | -21 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.5 | 32.2 | 34 |
| Completions | 23.0 | 21.0 | 27 |
| Passing yds | 289.8 | 271.7 | 308 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 30.8 | 32.1 | 18 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.8 | 14.3 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 110.2 | 62.4 | 36 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 13.8 | 15.7 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.8 | 12.6 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 45.6 | 64.0 | 41 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 10.8 | 8.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 27.0 | 27.2 | 27 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.4 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 125.0 | 50.9 | 134 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 4.3 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 160.0 | 34.5 | 12 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 88.0 | 36.6 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 82°F · Wind 12 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 67.0 | 5.3 | 211.4 | 142.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Texas State | 72.2 | 6.7 | 235.6 | 249.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.2 | 30.2 | 36 |
| Completions | 14.8 | 17.7 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 171.2 | 212.8 | 206 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 58.4 | 54.9 | 27 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.5 | 26.2 | 37 |
| Completions | 17.8 | 17.5 | 27 |
| Passing yds | 240.3 | 229.7 | 167 |
| Passing TD | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 67.3 | 59.8 | 15 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.7 | 12.7 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 91.3 | 57.2 | 42 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 10.3 | 13.2 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.8 | 17.6 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 138.8 | 100.9 | 51 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 15.4 | 14.7 | 9 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.5 | 10.9 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 6.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 78.7 | 78.0 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 3.6 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 86.0 | 52.3 | 38 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 53.2 | 46.6 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 7.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 5.1 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 57.7 | 61.8 | 48 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 56°F · Wind 7 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syracuse | 63.8 | 4.9 | 191.5 | 120.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| North Carolina | 67.6 | 5.8 | 214.5 | 179.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.0 | 28.2 | — |
| Completions | 21.0 | 16.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 266.0 | 189.2 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.0 | — |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 8.0 | 14.0 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.3 | 29.4 | 44 |
| Completions | 15.7 | 17.6 | 27 |
| Passing yds | 209.8 | 216.8 | 271 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 19.3 | 28.5 | -14 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 13.1 | 30 |
| Rushing yds | 100.5 | 56.5 | 125 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 4.5 | 7.9 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 5.0 | 10.5 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 28.7 | 56.6 | 62 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 3.3 | 7.6 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 13.0 | 10.1 | — |
| Receptions | 9.4 | 5.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 145.2 | 79.3 | 103 |
| Receiving TD | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.4 | 8.9 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 5.4 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 83.2 | 70.1 | 102 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.8 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 33.5 | 30.9 | 86 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 3.8 | — |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 2.2 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 21.5 | 27.8 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 62°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC | 65.1 | 5.9 | 230.9 | 150.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Wisconsin | 63.2 | 5.4 | 177.4 | 166.3 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.3 | 31.5 | 50 |
| Completions | 21.7 | 19.0 | 31 |
| Passing yds | 292.1 | 231.7 | 258 |
| Passing TD | 2.6 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 2.7 | 15.0 | -57 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.5 | 26.2 | 14 |
| Completions | 14.5 | 14.6 | 12 |
| Passing yds | 199.7 | 180.6 | 58 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 59.3 | 58.7 | 32 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.3 | 15.7 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 84.6 | 77.2 | 8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 1.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 4.0 | 7.8 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.0 | 10.5 | — |
| Rushing yds | 61.0 | 51.2 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 10.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 7.9 | — |
| Receptions | 8.0 | 4.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 114.5 | 65.9 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.0 | 31.5 | 16 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 66.5 | 41.2 | 44 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 7.2 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 65.8 | 42.7 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 4 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt | 61.4 | 5.7 | 212.4 | 137.5 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Kentucky | 67.0 | 6.4 | 251.4 | 178.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.8 | 28.1 | 36 |
| Completions | 18.8 | 17.2 | 27 |
| Passing yds | 236.4 | 213.5 | 247 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 37.8 | 36.5 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.7 | 30.4 | 26 |
| Completions | 20.1 | 20.1 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 222.0 | 256.0 | 203 |
| Passing TD | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 13.4 | 18.1 | 23 |
| Rushing TD | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.0 | 8.8 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 43.7 | 41.8 | 4 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 18.3 | 13.6 | 29 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.3 | 15.6 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 55.7 | 81.0 | 44 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 8.0 | 14.8 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.7 | 8.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.9 | 5.3 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 89.7 | 70.8 | 78 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.5 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 75.5 | 45.9 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 3.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 37.5 | 29.4 | 35 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 35.5 | 43.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 70°F · Wind 5 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 69.3 | 6.2 | 261.7 | 165.3 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Tulane | 66.4 | 5.5 | 208.3 | 158.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.7 | 31.3 | 23 |
| Completions | 22.0 | 21.3 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 225.9 | 259.3 | 173 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 20.3 | 19.3 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 21.0 | 28.0 | 44 |
| Completions | 11.0 | 16.3 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 165.0 | 197.3 | 265 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 16.0 | 25.1 | -35 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.4 | 13.4 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 80.0 | 65.8 | 102 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.7 | 15.5 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.0 | 8.9 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 56.2 | 42.9 | 104 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 9.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 3.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 42.0 | 48.2 | 15 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 7.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 68.5 | 52.7 | 54 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.4 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 5.3 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 50.0 | 55.9 | 47 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.4 | 7.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 4.0 | — |
| Receiving yds | 38.0 | 51.1 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 59°F · Wind 15 mph · Light Rain
Precipitation: 1.4 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State | 61.3 | 4.9 | 164.3 | 138.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| New Mexico | 60.2 | 5.1 | 148.4 | 156.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.3 | 24.3 | 33 |
| Completions | 15.1 | 14.9 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 181.7 | 170.3 | 198 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 34.3 | 20.9 | 10 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 13.2 | 20.9 | 14 |
| Completions | 7.4 | 12.1 | 8 |
| Passing yds | 132.0 | 144.7 | 92 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 52.2 | 31.6 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.7 | 13.2 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 67.0 | 54.1 | 34 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 4.0 | 6.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.0 | 11.3 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 87.0 | 50.8 | 91 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 8.5 | -3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.6 | 6.1 | — |
| Receptions | 4.6 | 3.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 75.6 | 51.8 | 71 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 2.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 17.5 | 27.2 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 39.0 | 21.6 | 19 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 40.0 | 36.5 | 22 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 24, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 65.4 | 5.9 | 221.4 | 163.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Utah | 67.6 | 6.6 | 241.5 | 206.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.3 | 29.2 | 35 |
| Completions | 19.1 | 17.6 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 252.0 | 221.3 | 282 |
| Passing TD | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 35.4 | 40.7 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.7 | 29.3 | 26 |
| Completions | 19.5 | 18.2 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 234.5 | 242.0 | 204 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 39.2 | 47.5 | 150 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.7 | 13.1 | 19 |
| Rushing yds | 81.7 | 58.3 | 52 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 16.7 | 10.0 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.8 | 15.5 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 93.2 | 91.8 | 47 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 25.0 | 22.2 | 46 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.1 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.9 | 2.2 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 40.6 | 30.1 | 63 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 8.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 5.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 70.3 | 70.5 | 37 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 7.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 66.0 | 59.6 | 133 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.3 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 2.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 32.0 | 40.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.