Week 7 board
Every game the model priced this week, with its line beside the market's. Picks at the premium edge are gated; the board shows every row either way.
Kickoff: 79°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 13, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 64.4 | — | — | — | — | 1.2 |
| Middle Tennessee | 62.9 | — | — | — | — | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 19.0 | 27.2 | — |
| Completions | 10.0 | 16.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 137.0 | 204.2 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.4 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 18.0 | 29.6 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.4 | 31.6 | 32 |
| Completions | 17.6 | 19.2 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 182.6 | 239.5 | 291 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 19.6 | 25.2 | 22 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.4 | 10.9 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 42.2 | 52.6 | 19 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 8.9 | 12 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 4.5 | 9.0 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 31.0 | 42.1 | 40 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.8 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 14.2 | 23.0 | 26 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 5.7 | 3.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 87.3 | 48.6 | 35 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.8 | 9.0 | — |
| Receptions | 7.2 | 5.6 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 76.8 | 71.8 | 34 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 68.0 | 45.7 | 40 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 61.0 | 32.2 | — |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 71°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 13, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIU | 62.9 | — | — | — | — | 1.2 |
| Jacksonville State | 65.7 | — | — | — | — | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.4 | 28.3 | 38 |
| Completions | 18.4 | 17.3 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 236.2 | 196.8 | 278 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 18.0 | 14.2 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.3 | 28.1 | 22 |
| Completions | 18.8 | 17.7 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 235.8 | 210.3 | 214 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 68.0 | 60.3 | 95 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.4 | 12.0 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 46.2 | 52.3 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 7.4 | 7.6 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.0 | 11.1 | — |
| Rushing yds | 40.0 | 51.4 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 26.0 | 13.7 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.6 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 80.4 | 54.4 | 133 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 23.0 | 32.9 | 34 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 3.2 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 30.0 | 23.0 | 2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.7 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 44.3 | 93 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 3 mph · Heavy Rain
Precipitation: 1.3 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 14, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw State | 68.1 | 6.2 | 240.2 | 183.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Missouri State | 68.3 | 5.8 | 221.2 | 172.0 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.4 | 29.4 | 34 |
| Completions | 20.6 | 18.5 | 26 |
| Passing yds | 208.4 | 236.8 | 260 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 53.0 | 58.3 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 21.8 | 27.9 | — |
| Completions | 14.4 | 17.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 158.8 | 208.0 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.7 | — |
| Rushing yds | 29.4 | 29.5 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 12.0 | — |
| Rushing yds | 75.0 | 58.1 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 17.5 | 17.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.7 | 12.0 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 42.0 | 59.6 | 18 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 9.3 | 13.1 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 2.5 | 10 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 29.5 | 135 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.0 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 148.0 | 63.5 | 135 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 96.5 | 50.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.4 | — |
| Receiving yds | 41.5 | 40.1 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 82°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 14, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 66.7 | 5.7 | 235.5 | 146.1 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Sam Houston State | 67.2 | 6.0 | 241.1 | 162.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.0 | 29.6 | 30 |
| Completions | 16.3 | 18.4 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 145.0 | 220.4 | 127 |
| Passing TD | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 70.0 | 47.1 | 54 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.4 | 32.2 | 30 |
| Completions | 23.2 | 19.6 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 261.2 | 242.1 | 112 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 16.2 | 24.7 | -23 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.3 | 10.6 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 57.3 | 49.7 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 1.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 24.0 | 18.7 | 26 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 5.2 | 8.7 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 20.8 | 47.2 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 15.6 | 17.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.4 | 8.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.2 | 5.1 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 55.6 | 56.0 | 37 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 18.0 | 49.9 | 51 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 62.0 | 36.0 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.6 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 41.0 | 39.5 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 77°F · Wind 3 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 15, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina | 69.4 | 5.4 | 219.7 | 158.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| UAB | 64.6 | 4.8 | 168.9 | 143.2 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 33.0 | 28.9 | 27 |
| Completions | 21.5 | 17.6 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 238.5 | 218.7 | 126 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 23.0 | 17.9 | 42 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 21.8 | 26.4 | 37 |
| Completions | 12.0 | 15.5 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 153.7 | 178.4 | 262 |
| Passing TD | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 22.7 | 20.0 | -16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.3 | 13.2 | 26 |
| Rushing yds | 121.3 | 70.2 | 104 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 14.3 | 12.8 | 17 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.3 | 12.9 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 67.3 | 53.0 | 33 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 6.5 | 6.8 | 22 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 3.3 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 13.0 | 24.1 | 16 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.2 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 3.5 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 52.2 | 47.7 | 119 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 55.7 | 52.1 | 21 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 34.3 | 29.2 | 14 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 11 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 15, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern | 67.5 | 5.4 | 234.2 | 131.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Old Dominion | 63.9 | 5.1 | 165.5 | 161.7 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 37.7 | 32.8 | 8 |
| Completions | 24.8 | 20.3 | 6 |
| Passing yds | 262.0 | 233.1 | 29 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 14.7 | 17.3 | 2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 17.6 | 24.3 | 10 |
| Completions | 9.6 | 13.8 | 6 |
| Passing yds | 114.0 | 163.4 | 84 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 78.4 | 56.4 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 5.0 | 7.6 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 21.5 | 34.2 | 44 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 21.0 | 16.9 | 18 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.0 | 13.2 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 50.5 | 58.7 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 12.0 | 7.7 | 7 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.4 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 77.0 | 48.7 | 75 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 38.0 | 37.3 | 47 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 2.8 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 18.5 | 28.0 | 61 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 33.5 | 36.0 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 82°F · Wind 9 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 15, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State | 69.5 | 6.4 | 286.4 | 160.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Texas State | 70.9 | 7.9 | 265.2 | 297.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.7 | 33.9 | 41 |
| Completions | 19.3 | 21.9 | 26 |
| Passing yds | 196.0 | 272.0 | 289 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 8.0 | 15.6 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.0 | 25.9 | 19 |
| Completions | 18.6 | 18.0 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 245.8 | 264.1 | 213 |
| Passing TD | 2.6 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 44.6 | 64.3 | 181 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.9 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.2 | 14.7 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 60.2 | 70.4 | 31 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 3.2 | 10.8 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.8 | 16.6 | 24 |
| Rushing yds | 117.5 | 123.9 | 224 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 6.2 | 10.0 | 52 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.7 | 7.1 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 4.7 | — |
| Receiving yds | 90.3 | 72.9 | — |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.2 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 61.2 | 63.2 | 44 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.7 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 51.5 | 43.7 | 91 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.6 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 3.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 86.0 | 57.5 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 79°F · Wind 14 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 16, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis | 71.6 | 6.4 | 242.4 | 216.1 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Tulane | 66.8 | 5.4 | 204.5 | 159.3 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.2 | 28.1 | 37 |
| Completions | 16.8 | 18.5 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 255.8 | 240.3 | 306 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 42.7 | 39.5 | 18 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 2 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.0 | 29.1 | — |
| Completions | 12.8 | 17.1 | — |
| Passing yds | 160.8 | 206.4 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.8 | — |
| Rushing yds | 7.8 | 17.9 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.7 | 14.0 | 23 |
| Rushing yds | 107.2 | 78.6 | 135 |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 9.3 | 10.3 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.0 | 10.2 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 56.2 | 46.0 | 55 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 6.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 48.5 | 36.8 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.7 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.7 | 4.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 70.7 | 47.2 | 62 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 45.0 | 27.2 | 89 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 4.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 37.2 | 57.4 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 18 mph · Rain Shower
Precipitation: 0.4 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 16, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 65.4 | 6.3 | 240.1 | 170.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Purdue | 65.3 | 5.9 | 243.5 | 141.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 40.0 | 28.1 | 27 |
| Completions | 28.0 | 16.9 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 251.0 | 219.6 | 302 |
| Passing TD | 3.0 | 1.7 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 0.0 | 17.4 | -16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.3 | 31.1 | 41 |
| Completions | 20.7 | 19.7 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 258.2 | 237.6 | 273 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 21.5 | 21.2 | 15 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.7 | 15.1 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 42.7 | 84.6 | 64 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 0.7 | 8.4 | 25 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.5 | 17.4 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 91.5 | 77.4 | 19 |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 14.0 | 12.3 | 23 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 6.1 | — |
| Receptions | 8.0 | 3.6 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 86.0 | 49.6 | 103 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.2 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 43.2 | 45.4 | 15 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 8.1 | — |
| Receptions | 7.2 | 4.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 63.8 | 55.4 | 97 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 7.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 52.5 | 46.1 | 55 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 75°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 16, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appalachian State | 69.0 | 6.2 | 251.9 | 172.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Coastal Carolina | 65.5 | 5.4 | 197.5 | 155.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.4 | 31.5 | 14 |
| Completions | 20.2 | 19.7 | 12 |
| Passing yds | 256.6 | 244.5 | 151 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 11.2 | 28.2 | -19 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.3 | 29.0 | 31 |
| Completions | 15.5 | 16.8 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 221.0 | 206.1 | 298 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 53.7 | 36.5 | 38 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.4 | 12.6 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 51.8 | 64.0 | 85 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.6 | 4 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 6.4 | 13.7 | 22 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 21.0 | 17.4 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 122.5 | 77.3 | 90 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 26.0 | 18.7 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 8.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 5.3 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 41.5 | 77.0 | 78 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.9 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 61.5 | 43.0 | 35 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.6 | 2.7 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.2 | 18.9 | -1 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.6 | 6.3 | — |
| Receptions | 2.4 | 3.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 20.6 | 40.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 48°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State | 58.9 | 5.0 | 168.5 | 127.6 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Bowling Green | 60.8 | 5.4 | 171.5 | 156.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.8 | 23.5 | 24 |
| Completions | 20.4 | 15.1 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 174.6 | 174.9 | 195 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 24.0 | 26.2 | 125 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.8 | 23.8 | 24 |
| Completions | 15.8 | 14.6 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 163.8 | 175.0 | 215 |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 18.8 | 26.8 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 8.0 | 9.2 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 17.0 | 40.0 | 1 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 28.0 | 14.9 | 7 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 9.6 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 53.0 | 44.0 | 21 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 7.0 | 15.7 | 14 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.3 | 4.3 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 2.7 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 27.5 | 31.7 | 38 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 0.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 1.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 1.2 | 13.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.3 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.3 | 3.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 65.3 | 35.3 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 2.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 32.6 | 84 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 47°F · Wind 12 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 72.0 | 6.9 | 254.2 | 242.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| West Virginia | 69.8 | 5.8 | 151.7 | 254.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.6 | 28.1 | 30 |
| Completions | 17.2 | 18.6 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 189.4 | 252.6 | 389 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 46.8 | 56.8 | 52 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 18.5 | 20.8 | 33 |
| Completions | 9.7 | 12.1 | 25 |
| Passing yds | 175.8 | 156.2 | 464 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 119.7 | 84.5 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.2 | 15.3 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 90.0 | 83.8 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 2.2 | 8.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 5.5 | 10.6 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 25.3 | 54.4 | 14 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 7.8 | 12.7 | 38 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.6 | 2.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 27.6 | 26.7 | 128 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 121.0 | 30.0 | 84 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.8 | 5.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.7 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 66.8 | 59.8 | 75 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.2 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 3.0 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 78.6 | 48.1 | 163 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 47°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 65.4 | 6.3 | 221.5 | 187.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Michigan State | 63.8 | 5.5 | 213.7 | 137.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.6 | 26.2 | 27 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 16.6 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 233.2 | 219.0 | 226 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 28.2 | 36.5 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.0 | 29.1 | 30 |
| Completions | 17.0 | 18.1 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 174.2 | 217.2 | 216 |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 12.8 | 12.9 | 17 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.7 | 13.5 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 93.3 | 71.6 | 67 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 17.0 | 11.0 | 51 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.0 | 15.7 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 69.7 | 66.3 | 72 |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 9.7 | 10.5 | 18 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 7.0 | — |
| Receptions | 6.3 | 4.4 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 95.0 | 67.9 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 33.0 | 42.3 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.3 | 5.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 41.0 | 42.0 | 18 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.2 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 48.2 | 44.3 | 11 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 51°F · Wind 17 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | 67.6 | 5.8 | 239.5 | 152.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Boston College | 61.2 | 4.7 | 185.0 | 102.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 44.0 | 30.9 | — |
| Completions | 27.0 | 19.1 | — |
| Passing yds | 219.0 | 228.5 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 1.6 | — |
| Interceptions | 2.0 | 0.8 | — |
| Rushing yds | 11.0 | 19.4 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.0 | 29.8 | 28 |
| Completions | 16.2 | 17.5 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 193.2 | 194.4 | 295 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 104.8 | 44.1 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.5 | 11.4 | 17 |
| Rushing yds | 54.0 | 56.4 | 119 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 22.0 | 12.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.0 | 9.5 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 45.2 | 33.0 | 57 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 21.2 | 19.6 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.2 | 4.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 73.5 | 60.1 | 135 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.4 | 3.8 | — |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 2.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 16.8 | 22.9 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 5.0 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 30.3 | 32.9 | 8 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 106.0 | 27.2 | 22 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 16 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 66.5 | 5.5 | 229.3 | 136.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| James Madison | 71.2 | 6.5 | 229.8 | 234.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.2 | 31.1 | 25 |
| Completions | 17.8 | 19.1 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 232.4 | 223.9 | 134 |
| Passing TD | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 24.0 | 22.3 | 71 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.7 | 28.1 | 19 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 17.1 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 191.0 | 228.0 | 185 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 20.3 | 33.5 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 11.3 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 106.0 | 50.8 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 14.0 | 13.0 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 17.6 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 106.5 | 113.9 | 119 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.3 | 9.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.7 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 78.0 | 47.6 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.7 | 5.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 43.7 | 44 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 59.0 | 28.2 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 51.0 | 41.8 | 3 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 63°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 64.9 | 5.7 | 241.8 | 131.2 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| Texas | 70.1 | 6.5 | 252.6 | 200.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.8 | 28.4 | — |
| Completions | 17.5 | 19.2 | — |
| Passing yds | 223.5 | 231.6 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | — |
| Rushing yds | 26.8 | 21.0 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.4 | 29.9 | 20 |
| Completions | 18.4 | 19.4 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 223.8 | 253.0 | 173 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 34.2 | 36.2 | 0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.5 | 14.2 | 25 |
| Rushing yds | 108.7 | 59.3 | 91 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 7.7 | 11.9 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.5 | 11.8 | — |
| Rushing yds | 56.5 | 62.3 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 17.0 | 15.8 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 80.0 | 48.9 | 31 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 6.8 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 84.5 | 73.2 | 18 |
| Receiving TD | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 4.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 73.0 | 48.3 | 27 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.7 | 6.1 | — |
| Receptions | 5.7 | 4.0 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 72.3 | 55.2 | 49 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 58°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 65.3 | 5.1 | 202.9 | 133.3 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| SMU | 70.7 | 6.6 | 285.8 | 178.3 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.3 | 28.0 | 22 |
| Completions | 15.2 | 17.8 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 179.0 | 208.9 | 137 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 37.8 | 24.0 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.2 | 33.6 | 36 |
| Completions | 23.4 | 22.1 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 317.8 | 282.5 | 246 |
| Passing TD | 2.8 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 23.8 | 29.2 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.8 | 13.2 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 74.8 | 53.3 | 59 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 6.2 | 16.0 | 19 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 20.3 | 16.0 | 22 |
| Rushing yds | 112.7 | 85.1 | 124 |
| Rushing TD | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 11.3 | 12.3 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 38.5 | 38.3 | 35 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.2 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 30.0 | 59.4 | 87 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 2.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 28.8 | 32.8 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 85.0 | 48.2 | 9 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | 66.0 | 6.3 | 256.9 | 161.3 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Indiana | 65.7 | 5.8 | 204.8 | 177.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.2 | 30.8 | 29 |
| Completions | 19.3 | 20.9 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 295.3 | 262.4 | 235 |
| Passing TD | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 13.7 | 12.5 | -26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 21.5 | 27.7 | 40 |
| Completions | 14.7 | 16.9 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 227.5 | 207.1 | 296 |
| Passing TD | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 14.8 | 17.3 | 3 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.8 | 12.5 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 76.7 | 68.2 | 56 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 11.5 | 10.7 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.8 | 15.4 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 104.4 | 74.2 | 24 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 0.8 | 6.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.0 | 11.1 | — |
| Receptions | 8.6 | 7.6 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 166.2 | 108.1 | 68 |
| Receiving TD | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.7 | 8.5 | — |
| Receptions | 6.3 | 5.1 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 89.7 | 66.5 | 165 |
| Receiving TD | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 4.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 3.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 16.0 | 39.5 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 9.0 | — |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 5.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 102.4 | 75.0 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 51°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | 64.9 | 5.3 | 174.8 | 168.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Kansas State | 68.2 | 6.3 | 239.8 | 188.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.2 | 26.3 | 26 |
| Completions | 15.2 | 14.8 | 12 |
| Passing yds | 228.6 | 178.8 | 151 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 58.2 | 44.3 | 117 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.6 | 29.7 | 24 |
| Completions | 20.8 | 18.3 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 215.2 | 235.8 | 209 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 65.4 | 51.2 | 132 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.7 | 13.6 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 82.7 | 65.7 | 57 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 25.0 | 13.0 | 28 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.2 | 13.2 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 75.2 | 63.0 | 66 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.0 | 8.9 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 7.9 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 4.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 91.5 | 51.0 | 4 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 5.7 | 3.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 62.0 | 49.2 | 67 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.2 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 78.8 | 48.7 | 55 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.3 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 51.3 | 45.5 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 51°F · Wind 13 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 66.4 | 6.8 | 292.4 | 160.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Army | 64.0 | 5.8 | 95.5 | 273.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.0 | 30.0 | 48 |
| Completions | 25.6 | 20.4 | 33 |
| Passing yds | 285.0 | 261.7 | 318 |
| Passing TD | 2.4 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 2.0 | 17.3 | -17 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 11.4 | 12.1 | 2 |
| Completions | 6.4 | 6.8 | 1 |
| Passing yds | 68.4 | 95.1 | 2 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 106.4 | 100.6 | 195 |
| Rushing TD | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.8 | 11.6 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 73.0 | 62.8 | 46 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 5.8 | 7.6 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 0.5 | 3.7 | — |
| Rushing yds | -0.5 | 19.8 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 2.9 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.4 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 12.0 | 25.7 | 17 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 2.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 19.5 | 2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 0.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 13.0 | 17.1 | 38 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.8 | 2.4 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 20.8 | 16.4 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 63°F · Wind 13 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi State | 70.0 | 5.1 | 211.6 | 146.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
| LSU | 75.6 | 6.4 | 271.6 | 211.9 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.0 | 30.9 | — |
| Completions | 20.4 | 18.5 | — |
| Passing yds | 287.6 | 220.8 | — |
| Passing TD | 3.4 | 1.3 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 41.6 | 32.6 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.8 | 31.0 | 38 |
| Completions | 19.5 | 18.8 | 31 |
| Passing yds | 249.2 | 252.3 | 289 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.8 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 53.0 | 44.4 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.0 | 13.6 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 31.0 | 57.2 | 71 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 11.2 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.3 | 15.2 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 80.5 | 79.9 | 84 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.2 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 22.0 | 21.7 | 58 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.2 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 43.6 | 37.4 | 26 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.3 | 6.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 3.8 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 74.0 | 57.4 | 85 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 37.4 | 4 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 32.3 | 38.4 | 32 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 11 mph
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: Open-Meteo (recorded conditions)
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 14 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers | 65.1 | 5.8 | 209.8 | 165.4 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Maryland | 70.3 | 6.8 | 275.3 | 201.9 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 18.5 | 25.8 | — |
| Completions | 12.0 | 15.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 179.0 | 193.1 | — |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.2 | — |
| Interceptions | 2.0 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 6.0 | 18.5 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 37.3 | 34.0 | 38 |
| Completions | 22.7 | 20.0 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 226.2 | 266.6 | 263 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 16.7 | 35.7 | 56 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.5 | 15.8 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 109.5 | 83.9 | 29 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 16.2 | 15.3 | 29 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 15.5 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 63.0 | 94.2 | 39 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 2.6 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 5.5 | 32.1 | 41 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 10.3 | — |
| Receptions | 6.6 | 6.2 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 125.6 | 88.2 | 113 |
| Receiving TD | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 3.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 14.0 | 57.4 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.0 | 2.0 | — |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 9.8 | 15.3 | 25 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.7 | 10.0 | — |
| Receptions | 7.7 | 5.9 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 79.3 | 81.3 | 104 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 46°F · Wind 10 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts | 64.3 | 5.1 | 174.3 | 151.2 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| Buffalo | 63.8 | 4.9 | 174.6 | 137.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.0 | 24.8 | — |
| Completions | 15.0 | 14.2 | — |
| Passing yds | 171.0 | 168.4 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.0 | 0.9 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 12.0 | 38.4 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.4 | 27.6 | 35 |
| Completions | 12.6 | 15.8 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 146.6 | 179.0 | 134 |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 37.6 | 23.9 | 13 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.7 | 10.9 | 23 |
| Rushing yds | 65.3 | 49.7 | 84 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 12.7 | 5.3 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.2 | 14.2 | 28 |
| Rushing yds | 100.5 | 62.3 | 172 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 2.5 | 6.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 6.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 70.0 | 51.6 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.6 | 9.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.4 | 5.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 77.2 | 62.3 | 27 |
| Receiving TD | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.8 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 4.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 55.6 | 50.5 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 21.0 | 26.5 | 5 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 55°F · Wind 17 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 57.0 | 5.2 | 195.2 | 102.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Temple | 64.0 | 6.8 | 201.4 | 230.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.0 | 25.3 | 31 |
| Completions | 15.0 | 16.4 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 218.0 | 185.2 | 281 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 18.2 | 22.9 | 23 |
| Completions | 11.2 | 14.7 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 168.8 | 195.7 | 236 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 59.4 | 50.7 | 70 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.0 | 10.9 | 17 |
| Rushing yds | 74.5 | 43.8 | 123 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 9.9 | -9 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.6 | 16.7 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 85.6 | 97.4 | 64 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 12.6 | 8.9 | 9 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.8 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 44.7 | 41.3 | 96 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 29.0 | 45.1 | 34 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 9.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 5.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 59.3 | 57.7 | 53 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.5 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.8 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 60.0 | 40.2 | 74 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 9 mph
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: Open-Meteo (recorded conditions)
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
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Kickoff: 53°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 62.4 | 5.3 | 173.7 | 159.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Central Michigan | 57.5 | 4.5 | 124.6 | 136.7 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.3 | 23.1 | 8 |
| Completions | 15.8 | 14.7 | 5 |
| Passing yds | 166.7 | 175.3 | 48 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 46.8 | 47.6 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 13.5 | 18.5 | 25 |
| Completions | 8.0 | 11.2 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 69.8 | 124.8 | 162 |
| Passing TD | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 122.5 | 51.8 | 117 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.8 | 13.7 | 24 |
| Rushing yds | 55.6 | 61.7 | 150 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 18.6 | 13.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 6.0 | 8.6 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 21.0 | 35.0 | 18 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 15.0 | 10.4 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 26.0 | 27.6 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.5 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 20.5 | 32.6 | 74 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.2 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 58.4 | 45.4 | 34 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 2.8 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 28.0 | 21.4 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 14 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois | 58.9 | 4.7 | 164.9 | 112.6 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Wyoming | 63.4 | 5.6 | 193.8 | 160.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.0 | 25.0 | 44 |
| Completions | 19.4 | 15.7 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 195.4 | 173.3 | 216 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 15.6 | 14.3 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.8 | 25.8 | 19 |
| Completions | 13.7 | 16.2 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 137.0 | 195.1 | 196 |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 62.7 | 44.4 | 183 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 14.2 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 67.8 | 52.6 | 139 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 9.4 | 10.3 | -1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.3 | 11.4 | — |
| Rushing yds | 47.3 | 54.8 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 3.0 | 17.7 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.2 | 8.0 | — |
| Receptions | 7.6 | 5.0 | 11 |
| Receiving yds | 66.6 | 49.0 | 89 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 34.0 | 24.7 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 62.0 | 22.0 | 36 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.2 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 20.0 | 24.9 | 77 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 62.2 | 5.1 | 190.3 | 126.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Miami (OH) | 66.4 | 6.5 | 215.8 | 216.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.8 | 28.6 | 38 |
| Completions | 14.8 | 17.2 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 183.5 | 197.1 | 234 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 13.5 | 13.6 | 10 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.5 | 26.0 | 16 |
| Completions | 11.5 | 15.3 | 8 |
| Passing yds | 146.5 | 208.6 | 65 |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 66.5 | 60.5 | 45 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.2 | 15.2 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 79.0 | 62.8 | 46 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 21.8 | 14.9 | 7 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 14.7 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 50.3 | 85.1 | 142 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.3 | 11.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 26.5 | 41.3 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 74.0 | 44.7 | 21 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.2 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 42.0 | 25.0 | 54 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.7 | 4.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 60.3 | 46.9 | 27 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 66°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV | 63.0 | 6.2 | 197.6 | 190.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Air Force | 62.7 | 5.5 | 86.8 | 256.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.3 | 24.3 | 33 |
| Completions | 14.5 | 15.4 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 190.0 | 195.7 | 246 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 75.3 | 58.8 | 78 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 2.0 | 11.2 | 3 |
| Completions | 0.8 | 6.5 | 2 |
| Passing yds | 11.8 | 85.1 | 18 |
| Passing TD | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 57.2 | 64.1 | 152 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.6 | 14.8 | 17 |
| Rushing yds | 90.2 | 77.0 | 48 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.6 | 1.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 12.2 | 13.7 | 32 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.8 | 6.8 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 43.4 | 36.2 | 103 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 4.2 | 5.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 49.0 | 29.2 | 14 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.3 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 | — |
| Receiving yds | 21.0 | 17.4 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 3.8 | — |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 2.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 57.3 | 36.3 | 99 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.0 | 2.1 | — |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 1.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 14.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 10 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | 61.9 | 5.5 | 212.5 | 126.1 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Duke | 63.9 | 6.0 | 213.3 | 172.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.6 | 29.8 | 25 |
| Completions | 15.8 | 18.5 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 213.6 | 216.8 | 191 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 17.0 | 16.0 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.2 | 27.2 | 38 |
| Completions | 16.8 | 16.7 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 196.0 | 208.2 | 249 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 2.4 | 9.0 | -14 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.8 | 13.4 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 56.8 | 62.0 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 8.2 | 11.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 23.8 | 18.3 | 20 |
| Rushing yds | 146.8 | 99.1 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 2.0 | 11 |
| Receiving yds | 32.2 | 19.8 | 98 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 8.4 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 5.3 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 85.2 | 65.0 | 75 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 63.0 | 33.8 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 66.0 | 33.6 | 7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 44.0 | 25.8 | 55 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 61°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 66.2 | 4.8 | 211.8 | 103.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 |
| Texas Tech | 73.5 | 6.1 | 245.4 | 206.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.6 | 32.9 | 10 |
| Completions | 19.8 | 20.1 | 5 |
| Passing yds | 244.8 | 216.4 | 124 |
| Passing TD | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 24.8 | 18.9 | -18 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.4 | 32.0 | 26 |
| Completions | 19.4 | 19.4 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 216.8 | 246.9 | 232 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 20.4 | 27.7 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.5 | 9.5 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 64.2 | 34.1 | 39 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 6.8 | 8.9 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.5 | 17.4 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 102.0 | 98.6 | 165 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 21.0 | 15.9 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.5 | 10.0 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 6.2 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 55.5 | 60.4 | 58 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.7 | 7.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 4.9 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 71.3 | 77.3 | 120 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.4 | 9.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.8 | 5.9 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 118.0 | 79.8 | 63 |
| Receiving TD | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 4.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 2.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 56.3 | 38.3 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 12 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | 62.8 | 4.8 | 194.8 | 106.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Georgia | 70.4 | 6.7 | 275.8 | 198.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.8 | 29.7 | 26 |
| Completions | 20.8 | 19.0 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 211.0 | 205.8 | 150 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 80.4 | 37.9 | 115 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 20.7 | 30.3 | 34 |
| Completions | 15.8 | 21.2 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 216.3 | 271.3 | 272 |
| Passing TD | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 28.5 | 33.1 | 26 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 9.7 | 5 |
| Rushing yds | 108.0 | 33.6 | 14 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 14.0 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.0 | 15.6 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 120.0 | 87.6 | 68 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 6.0 | 16.7 | 22 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.7 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.9 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 66.3 | 49.7 | 60 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 45.0 | 39.6 | 88 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 8.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.8 | 5.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 64.4 | 60.2 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 3.4 | — |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 27.0 | 25.7 | 35 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 52°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 63.0 | 4.8 | 185.5 | 118.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| Michigan | 66.6 | 5.5 | 188.1 | 175.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.3 | 28.2 | 44 |
| Completions | 17.5 | 17.2 | 28 |
| Passing yds | 232.2 | 189.5 | 267 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 14.8 | 14.3 | -1 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.0 | 26.8 | 11 |
| Completions | 13.4 | 15.6 | 5 |
| Passing yds | 176.2 | 186.9 | 43 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 50.2 | 39.6 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.3 | 12.2 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 56.7 | 45.6 | 51 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 7.7 | 11.0 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.7 | 12.9 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 50.0 | 61.4 | 49 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 8.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 6.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 3.8 | 11 |
| Receiving yds | 65.3 | 46.3 | 151 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 8.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 5.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 74.7 | 75.3 | 36 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.3 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 31.0 | 32.7 | 29 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.6 | 9.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 5.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 53.6 | 58.1 | 21 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 14 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | 66.7 | 6.0 | 254.3 | 146.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Virginia Tech | 70.0 | 6.8 | 276.9 | 202.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.8 | 32.2 | 38 |
| Completions | 21.2 | 21.4 | 29 |
| Passing yds | 238.4 | 256.9 | 335 |
| Passing TD | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 17.4 | 14.5 | -37 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.7 | 31.7 | 22 |
| Completions | 25.2 | 21.2 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 287.5 | 273.9 | 250 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 6.3 | 26.3 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.4 | 16.5 | — |
| Rushing yds | 92.4 | 74.7 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.7 | — |
| Receiving yds | 13.8 | 13.9 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.8 | 15.8 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 96.0 | 93.9 | 85 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 31.8 | 26.6 | 29 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 7.5 | — |
| Receptions | 7.3 | 5.0 | 10 |
| Receiving yds | 79.3 | 59.2 | 120 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.3 | 7.8 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 5.3 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 102.3 | 68.1 | 182 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 3.6 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 56.0 | 44.9 | 86 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.2 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 55.0 | 45.6 | 5 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 13 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 67.0 | 6.1 | 243.6 | 162.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Tennessee | 63.8 | 5.7 | 208.9 | 152.3 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.3 | 31.1 | 29 |
| Completions | 18.3 | 19.9 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 266.5 | 253.6 | 147 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 52.8 | 31.6 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 19.5 | 25.7 | 31 |
| Completions | 13.0 | 15.8 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 166.5 | 200.0 | 197 |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | -6.5 | 7.4 | -4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 9.4 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 59.5 | 47.6 | 34 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 8.5 | 19.7 | 7 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 21.8 | 16.6 | 32 |
| Rushing yds | 150.5 | 77.9 | 159 |
| Rushing TD | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 3.8 | 9.7 | 16 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.6 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 56.0 | 54.3 | 54 |
| Receiving TD | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 4.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 53.0 | 49.2 | 10 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.2 | 4.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 77.5 | 58.2 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 6.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 4.0 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 66.0 | 66.6 | 85 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 11 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | 73.3 | 6.1 | 232.1 | 212.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Ole Miss | 73.1 | 6.3 | 288.4 | 171.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.7 | 30.6 | 44 |
| Completions | 17.8 | 18.4 | 25 |
| Passing yds | 239.5 | 232.7 | 339 |
| Passing TD | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 7.5 | 16.8 | -8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.8 | 36.8 | 36 |
| Completions | 24.2 | 23.1 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 287.4 | 286.2 | 241 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 2.1 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 30.6 | 39.3 | 14 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 24.3 | 25.9 | 20 |
| Rushing yds | 136.3 | 144.0 | 39 |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 14.0 | 14.2 | 21 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 11.9 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 73.0 | 60.0 | 101 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 13.5 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.4 | — |
| Receptions | 8.0 | 3.8 | 9 |
| Receiving yds | 116.0 | 49.1 | 127 |
| Receiving TD | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 8.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.4 | 5.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 100.6 | 77.2 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.4 | 10.2 | — |
| Receptions | 7.4 | 6.1 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 106.0 | 83.0 | 62 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 50.0 | 40.9 | 44 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 53°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo | 70.1 | 6.5 | 244.5 | 209.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Eastern Michigan | 65.2 | 5.1 | 219.9 | 114.8 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.3 | 28.9 | 30 |
| Completions | 20.0 | 17.7 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 260.8 | 232.4 | 288 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 2.3 | 10.7 | 4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.7 | 34.7 | 36 |
| Completions | 21.9 | 20.0 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 209.9 | 224.1 | 214 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 7.1 | 13.8 | -20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.3 | 13.7 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 91.3 | 79.5 | 48 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 13.1 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.5 | 10.9 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 54.5 | 47.3 | 9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 12.0 | 12.0 | 29 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.8 | 7.3 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 76.2 | 64.7 | 66 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.7 | 8.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 52.3 | 56.1 | 37 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.5 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 7.5 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 82.0 | 46.1 | 36 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 1.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 35.0 | 18.9 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 71°F · Wind 9 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa | 66.4 | 5.5 | 208.9 | 157.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Rice | 60.5 | 4.7 | 99.4 | 186.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 32.5 | 28.2 | 27 |
| Completions | 19.5 | 17.5 | 20 |
| Passing yds | 207.2 | 210.3 | 249 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 22.0 | 27.3 | 3 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 13.0 | 15.0 | 6 |
| Completions | 6.3 | 8.4 | 2 |
| Passing yds | 71.8 | 100.8 | 47 |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 97.2 | 63.5 | 154 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.2 | 14.6 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 49.6 | 61.0 | 52 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 16.8 | 15.2 | 26 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 12.2 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 104.0 | 52.5 | 53 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 35.3 | 36.5 | 31 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 1.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 6.0 | 10.9 | 10 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.8 | 7.3 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 4.6 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 79.5 | 62.4 | 87 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.6 | — |
| Receiving yds | 8.0 | 18.6 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 72°F · Wind 15 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 61.5 | 4.9 | 175.5 | 125.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Louisiana | 64.2 | 5.9 | 176.9 | 201.0 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.6 | 26.6 | — |
| Completions | 17.4 | 15.9 | — |
| Passing yds | 209.4 | 186.0 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.7 | — |
| Rushing yds | 58.8 | 24.2 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.2 | 23.3 | — |
| Completions | 16.2 | 14.4 | — |
| Passing yds | 182.7 | 176.5 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 1.3 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 71.3 | 59.0 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 0.6 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 9.4 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 99.5 | 36.1 | -3 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 8.5 | 8.8 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.0 | 10.0 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 28.2 | 51.5 | 50 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 4.0 | 8.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 5.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 83.5 | 51.2 | 12 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.3 | 2.5 | — |
| Receptions | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 20.0 | 19.1 | 6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.6 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 47.7 | 36.9 | 17 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.7 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 30.7 | 31.5 | 45 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 6 mph · Rain Shower
Precipitation: 0.5 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington State | 61.2 | 4.7 | 186.8 | 103.2 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Oregon State | 68.7 | 6.9 | 292.2 | 180.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.7 | 29.4 | — |
| Completions | 18.5 | 18.1 | — |
| Passing yds | 159.8 | 196.9 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.5 | 1.0 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Rushing yds | 55.3 | 30.7 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 39.3 | 32.7 | 38 |
| Completions | 27.8 | 21.6 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 378.7 | 282.0 | 347 |
| Passing TD | 3.5 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 8.0 | 16.2 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 8.7 | 8.2 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 36.3 | 31.1 | 16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 9.0 | 10.0 | 14 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.0 | 8.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 51.0 | 50.1 | 4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 13.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 4.0 | 11 |
| Receiving yds | 46.2 | 47.1 | 147 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.6 | 7.8 | — |
| Receptions | 6.6 | 5.2 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 155.2 | 104.9 | 108 |
| Receiving TD | 1.8 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 3.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 33.3 | 38.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.7 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 38.3 | 36.4 | 16 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 76°F · Wind 5 mph · Rain
Precipitation: 0.3 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State | 61.2 | 5.3 | 182.1 | 140.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Miami (FL) | 69.0 | 7.6 | 294.7 | 227.6 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.5 | 25.9 | 28 |
| Completions | 15.0 | 16.1 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 220.0 | 189.2 | 298 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.0 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 68.7 | 38.8 | 31 |
| Rushing TD | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.6 | 30.1 | 34 |
| Completions | 22.4 | 20.7 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 288.4 | 285.6 | 326 |
| Passing TD | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 18.8 | 23.5 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.7 | 14.4 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 94.2 | 61.2 | 44 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 16.2 | 12.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 15.0 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 66.0 | 94.7 | 66 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 8.7 | 14.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.9 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 48.4 | 48.9 | 113 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 9.1 | — |
| Receptions | 7.8 | 6.4 | 11 |
| Receiving yds | 120.8 | 98.7 | 154 |
| Receiving TD | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.3 | — |
| Receiving yds | 47.2 | 40.0 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.1 | — |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 70.7 | 45.6 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 10 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | 55.2 | 4.1 | 137.4 | 89.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| South Florida | 66.7 | 6.5 | 223.5 | 209.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.3 | 24.4 | 30 |
| Completions | 14.7 | 13.5 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 163.8 | 142.0 | 165 |
| Passing TD | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 40.7 | 20.4 | 12 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.2 | 27.1 | 27 |
| Completions | 15.3 | 17.6 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 179.5 | 220.6 | 193 |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 24.0 | 32.3 | -8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.0 | 8.6 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 32.0 | 27.0 | 37 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 4.0 | 7.7 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.5 | 19.5 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 98.8 | 113.7 | 42 |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 18.2 | 13.0 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 3.8 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 73.3 | 43.4 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 14.8 | 33.4 | 32 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 5.1 | — |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 3.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 59.5 | 28.7 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 6.8 | — |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 4.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 37.4 | 54.7 | 20 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas State | 69.1 | 6.4 | 264.7 | 177.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Southern Miss | 66.7 | 6.3 | 258.8 | 164.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.3 | 32.4 | 25 |
| Completions | 20.2 | 20.9 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 242.7 | 269.5 | 170 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 2.1 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 34.3 | 36.9 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.3 | 30.0 | 34 |
| Completions | 18.7 | 19.2 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 253.0 | 247.9 | 208 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 22.3 | 29.1 | 2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 11.3 | 11.8 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 47.0 | 68.8 | 48 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.3 | 14.9 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.8 | 14.2 | 21 |
| Rushing yds | 79.0 | 72.6 | 84 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 4.8 | 16.2 | 33 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.3 | 4.9 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 83.0 | 69.4 | 14 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 7.9 | — |
| Receptions | 5.6 | 5.1 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 80.8 | 69.3 | 88 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.5 | 6.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 44.5 | 57.9 | 37 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 138.0 | 29.1 | 21 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 68.1 | 5.6 | 248.3 | 134.5 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Baylor | 68.1 | 5.6 | 235.4 | 145.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.6 | 33.4 | 36 |
| Completions | 21.6 | 22.0 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 279.4 | 255.0 | 294 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 18.4 | 14.9 | -12 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 44.7 | 33.7 | 53 |
| Completions | 23.7 | 20.0 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 286.3 | 236.8 | 256 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 4.7 | 10.7 | -17 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.4 | 16.4 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 86.4 | 71.5 | -3 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 16.4 | 17.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.2 | 12.2 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 72.0 | 55.2 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 7.2 | 8.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.3 | 8.1 | — |
| Receptions | 6.7 | 5.3 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 87.0 | 65.6 | 91 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.0 | 9.8 | — |
| Receptions | 8.8 | 5.7 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 91.0 | 66.4 | 76 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.6 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.7 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 100.0 | 47.5 | 150 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 6.1 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.6 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 58.0 | 45.4 | 74 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: Indoors
An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada | 62.4 | 4.7 | 166.7 | 123.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| North Dakota State | 66.3 | 5.5 | 185.7 | 178.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.2 | 25.6 | — |
| Completions | 13.2 | 14.9 | — |
| Passing yds | 163.8 | 168.6 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 1.0 | — |
| Rushing yds | 26.8 | 17.9 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.0 | 24.9 | 25 |
| Completions | 14.5 | 14.9 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 186.5 | 183.8 | 153 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 32.3 | 28.7 | 42 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.2 | 13.4 | 11 |
| Rushing yds | 88.0 | 47.6 | 60 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 13.8 | 15.7 | 33 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.5 | 18.0 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 76.0 | 82.6 | 49 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 5.5 | 6.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.6 | — |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 3.9 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 23.0 | 49.0 | 50 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.4 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 26.0 | 40.2 | 33 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.8 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 3.5 | — |
| Receiving yds | 29.2 | 30.5 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.8 | 6.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.8 | 3.8 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 62.3 | 52.9 | 58 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 55°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | 63.6 | 5.5 | 212.4 | 137.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| Vanderbilt | 65.9 | 6.5 | 237.0 | 194.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.0 | 30.1 | 31 |
| Completions | 18.3 | 18.2 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 198.8 | 213.2 | 251 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 30.2 | 23.0 | 58 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.8 | 27.5 | 31 |
| Completions | 18.8 | 17.3 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 227.0 | 229.2 | 274 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 42.2 | 52.7 | 13 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 8.0 | 10.2 | 4 |
| Rushing yds | 23.3 | 46.5 | 29 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.3 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | -0.7 | 14.9 | 12 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 8.5 | 9.7 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 37.0 | 51.1 | 57 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 7.5 | 13.2 | 40 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.3 | 10.2 | — |
| Receptions | 7.2 | 6.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 102.2 | 86.6 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.3 | 8.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 5.3 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 88.2 | 78.4 | 99 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.3 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 37.0 | 26.8 | 3 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 28.5 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 4 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 64.0 | 6.3 | 243.1 | 160.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| BYU | 60.0 | 5.8 | 199.9 | 145.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.0 | 28.6 | 49 |
| Completions | 17.0 | 18.7 | 27 |
| Passing yds | 229.7 | 231.1 | 261 |
| Passing TD | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 12.2 | 12.6 | 13 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.2 | 26.4 | 36 |
| Completions | 15.4 | 16.4 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 206.6 | 199.9 | 224 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 49.6 | 33.3 | 45 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 26.0 | 12.1 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 121.0 | 59.3 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 7.0 | 10.7 | 18 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 4.8 | 7.8 | 10 |
| Rushing yds | 23.0 | 33.5 | 66 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 8.6 | 18.5 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 5.3 | 4.4 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 93.0 | 56.6 | 64 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.4 | 3.7 | — |
| Receptions | 1.8 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 13.2 | 25.8 | 25 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 24.0 | 24.8 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 7.1 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 4.5 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 35.6 | 52.6 | 66 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 89°F · Wind 14 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 60.3 | 4.8 | 153.3 | 134.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| UCLA | 64.0 | 5.6 | 196.2 | 163.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.6 | 26.3 | 16 |
| Completions | 16.2 | 14.2 | 6 |
| Passing yds | 226.4 | 158.0 | 66 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 55.0 | 45.1 | 71 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.2 | 25.2 | — |
| Completions | 14.2 | 15.7 | — |
| Passing yds | 194.4 | 189.8 | — |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.2 | — |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.6 | — |
| Rushing yds | 38.8 | 31.6 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 19.0 | 10.7 | 6 |
| Rushing yds | 61.0 | 44.5 | 20 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.2 | 13.3 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 109.6 | 66.1 | 23 |
| Rushing TD | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 19.0 | 15.8 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 4.2 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 10.0 | 25.5 | 17 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 17.0 | 26.4 | 57 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 30.5 | 26.0 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.8 | 6.1 | — |
| Receptions | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 44.5 | 51.8 | 24 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 62.8 | 4.8 | 187.3 | 116.7 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Oklahoma | 65.5 | 5.4 | 210.8 | 145.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.8 | 29.1 | 28 |
| Completions | 20.0 | 18.4 | 21 |
| Passing yds | 232.5 | 203.8 | 158 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 12.3 | 11.9 | 4 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.2 | 29.5 | 40 |
| Completions | 17.8 | 17.5 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 207.6 | 215.9 | 270 |
| Passing TD | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 28.0 | 41.7 | 9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.6 | 13.2 | — |
| Rushing yds | 89.2 | 54.2 | — |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.4 | — |
| Receptions | 1.4 | 1.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 12.4 | 9.7 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.5 | 11.1 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 75.0 | 54.2 | 31 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 11.0 | 10.8 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 4.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 75.5 | 35.4 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 9.2 | — |
| Receptions | 5.8 | 5.5 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 80.5 | 71.8 | 83 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.7 | 7.4 | — |
| Receptions | 6.7 | 4.6 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 61.3 | 58.7 | 35 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 3.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.9 | — |
| Receiving yds | 9.8 | 25.2 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: Indoors
An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | 70.3 | 6.7 | 258.3 | 214.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Syracuse | 65.0 | 5.2 | 200.2 | 140.1 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.0 | 30.0 | 26 |
| Completions | 17.8 | 19.2 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 255.7 | 256.0 | 310 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 43.7 | 44.4 | 53 |
| Rushing TD | 1.3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.0 | 27.4 | 39 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 15.8 | 26 |
| Passing yds | 217.0 | 187.5 | 315 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 19.0 | 18.8 | -33 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.8 | 13.0 | 9 |
| Rushing yds | 114.2 | 79.2 | 11 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 9.8 | 9.7 | 60 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 9.9 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 46.0 | 42.4 | 8 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 1.0 | 10.8 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.4 | — |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 4.1 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 68.5 | 70.9 | 93 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.5 | 9.3 | — |
| Receptions | 8.5 | 5.3 | 13 |
| Receiving yds | 125.5 | 68.3 | 224 |
| Receiving TD | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.2 | 6.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.2 | 4.1 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 57.8 | 51.1 | 66 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 2.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 32.0 | 15.9 | 0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State | 66.9 | 6.4 | 261.5 | 163.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Houston | 70.9 | 6.6 | 244.6 | 221.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.0 | 31.1 | 34 |
| Completions | 22.8 | 20.4 | 22 |
| Passing yds | 315.8 | 262.5 | 365 |
| Passing TD | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 24.8 | 16.1 | 34 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.5 | 29.1 | 33 |
| Completions | 18.3 | 18.2 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 236.8 | 239.9 | 343 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 1.9 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 29.8 | 49.6 | 52 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 21.2 | 18.0 | 17 |
| Rushing yds | 104.8 | 87.8 | 68 |
| Rushing TD | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 1.9 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 15.0 | 16.0 | 125 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.0 | 13.9 | 18 |
| Rushing yds | 84.0 | 73.9 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 23.5 | 11.3 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.7 | 8.0 | — |
| Receptions | 6.7 | 5.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 120.3 | 75.2 | 27 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 5.3 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 3.1 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 83.0 | 41.3 | 104 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 6.2 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 4.1 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 112.2 | 55.8 | 99 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.0 | 3.6 | — |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 36.0 | 34.8 | 68 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 87°F · Wind 4 mph
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: Open-Meteo (recorded conditions)
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
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Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisiana Tech | 67.7 | 6.6 | 229.3 | 217.5 | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Louisiana Monroe | 63.5 | 5.7 | 210.3 | 153.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.3 | 24.4 | 21 |
| Completions | 17.3 | 16.1 | 15 |
| Passing yds | 223.0 | 216.4 | 178 |
| Passing TD | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 15.7 | 44.5 | -10 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.7 | 27.9 | 24 |
| Completions | 19.7 | 17.2 | 14 |
| Passing yds | 235.7 | 205.8 | 119 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 16.7 | 21.4 | 25 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 9.0 | 13.7 | 22 |
| Rushing yds | 45.0 | 78.3 | 79 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 3.3 | 10.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.0 | 11.0 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 34.0 | 54.9 | 6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 2.0 | 7.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.3 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 7.3 | 5.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 76.3 | 68.8 | 42 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.6 | 3.9 | — |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 32.2 | 30.9 | 30 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.5 | 2.7 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.8 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 12.2 | 22.1 | 119 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.1 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 63.0 | 40.3 | 8 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: Indoors
An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 61.7 | 4.9 | 96.9 | 205.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| UTSA | 68.1 | 6.4 | 254.5 | 181.6 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 11.5 | 15.6 | 7 |
| Completions | 5.5 | 8.4 | 3 |
| Passing yds | 109.8 | 99.4 | 120 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 129.2 | 93.5 | 139 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.7 | 29.1 | 38 |
| Completions | 21.0 | 19.9 | 28 |
| Passing yds | 203.7 | 253.3 | 359 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 20.0 | 21.6 | 7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 8.8 | 11.8 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 56.8 | 57.8 | 67 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 8.6 | 6.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 13.6 | 16 |
| Rushing yds | 80.3 | 67.3 | 78 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 11.2 | 13.5 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 2.2 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 48.0 | 14.7 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 7.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 5.4 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 44.8 | 63.1 | 71 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.5 | 2.1 | — |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 1.1 | — |
| Receiving yds | 5.0 | 12.5 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.3 | 4.7 | — |
| Receptions | 4.7 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 30.3 | 40.0 | 68 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 59°F · Wind 10 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose State | 67.4 | 5.9 | 244.5 | 154.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| UTEP | 63.0 | 4.8 | 180.8 | 124.0 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.0 | 32.1 | — |
| Completions | 22.0 | 20.3 | — |
| Passing yds | 254.8 | 245.9 | — |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.9 | — |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | — |
| Rushing yds | 22.8 | 26.2 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.0 | 26.3 | 28 |
| Completions | 16.0 | 16.1 | 19 |
| Passing yds | 132.0 | 185.4 | 195 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 84.0 | 52.5 | 55 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 20.0 | 20.1 | — |
| Rushing yds | 92.7 | 92.3 | — |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.5 | 1.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 14.3 | 15.0 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 2.8 | 8.4 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 7.5 | 32.0 | 40 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 4.5 | 9.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.0 | 8.8 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 5.6 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 76.0 | 66.7 | 104 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.0 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 8.0 | 3.6 | 12 |
| Receiving yds | 62.0 | 43.4 | 90 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.0 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 7.0 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 150.0 | 36.5 | 50 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 5.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.7 | 3.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 57.0 | 42.2 | 96 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 80°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | 62.9 | 5.9 | 169.1 | 199.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Sacramento State | 62.9 | 5.4 | 187.0 | 152.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 25.0 | 21.4 | 14 |
| Completions | 12.5 | 12.8 | 11 |
| Passing yds | 161.0 | 163.2 | 165 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 69.5 | 54.6 | 48 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.4 | 26.6 | 21 |
| Completions | 19.0 | 15.7 | 11 |
| Passing yds | 200.8 | 190.7 | 69 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 6.2 | 18.1 | -5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.5 | 14.3 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 69.0 | 74.7 | 55 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.2 | 9.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.0 | 11.1 | 7 |
| Rushing yds | 34.7 | 52.0 | 59 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 9.7 | 8.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.5 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 33.7 | 31.7 | 12 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.0 | 4.4 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 61.0 | 32.4 | 13 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.2 | 7.4 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 66.0 | 64.1 | 44 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.2 | 7.5 | — |
| Receptions | 5.5 | 4.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 77.3 | 61.7 | 19 |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 5 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | 71.0 | 6.2 | 224.8 | 215.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Colorado | 62.8 | 4.4 | 165.5 | 110.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.2 | 28.8 | 41 |
| Completions | 18.6 | 17.6 | 24 |
| Passing yds | 225.8 | 221.5 | 278 |
| Passing TD | 2.4 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0.4 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 44.8 | 48.8 | -8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 35.0 | 27.9 | 30 |
| Completions | 19.0 | 15.3 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 223.0 | 164.4 | 256 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2 |
| Interceptions | 1.5 | 0.9 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 25.0 | 26.0 | 41 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.3 | 14.0 | 23 |
| Rushing yds | 91.7 | 85.3 | 98 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.3 | 1.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 29.7 | 17.0 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.0 | 7.5 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 82.0 | 29.5 | 2 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 6.5 | 7.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.8 | 8.2 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 5.1 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 67.2 | 65.7 | 86 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 15.5 | 9.1 | — |
| Receptions | 10.5 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 110.0 | 60.1 | 54 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 4.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 34.0 | 37.6 | 28 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 5.9 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 3.4 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 62.2 | 39.8 | 70 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 77°F · Wind 21 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | 64.3 | 5.8 | 170.0 | 203.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Hawaii | 61.5 | 5.1 | 216.6 | 96.3 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 14.0 | 21.9 | 10 |
| Completions | 8.0 | 13.3 | 5 |
| Passing yds | 150.2 | 165.4 | 59 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.4 | 2 |
| Rushing yds | 46.0 | 33.1 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 44.8 | 33.0 | 40 |
| Completions | 26.3 | 20.3 | 23 |
| Passing yds | 269.3 | 225.4 | 250 |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 21.8 | 18.6 | -2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 12.6 | 15 |
| Rushing yds | 64.0 | 67.3 | 90 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2 |
| Receptions | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 1.6 | 5.9 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 6.0 | 7.5 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 15.0 | 30.2 | 34 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | -5.0 | 10.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 1.2 | 2.2 | — |
| Receptions | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 5.4 | 13.8 | 8 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.0 | 3.5 | — |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.2 | 5 |
| Receiving yds | 121.0 | 33.1 | 76 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 36.7 | 34.7 | 13 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.8 | 4.1 | — |
| Receptions | 2.6 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Receiving yds | 41.4 | 37.8 | 11 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest | 69.5 | 6.3 | 248.9 | 187.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| California | 67.4 | 5.6 | 271.4 | 106.2 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.7 | 31.2 | 23 |
| Completions | 20.5 | 19.7 | 16 |
| Passing yds | 279.7 | 247.4 | 267 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 43.0 | 50.7 | 51 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 37.5 | 32.2 | 29 |
| Completions | 24.0 | 21.8 | 17 |
| Passing yds | 263.5 | 247.2 | 81 |
| Passing TD | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 10.5 | 12.6 | 14 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 11.6 | 8 |
| Rushing yds | 48.0 | 58.6 | 53 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1 |
| Receptions | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 0.0 | 9.6 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.5 | 16.2 | 12 |
| Rushing yds | 47.0 | 60.1 | 56 |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 20.5 | 20.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.2 | 11.4 | — |
| Receptions | 8.2 | 7.2 | — |
| Receiving yds | 120.0 | 87.6 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 7.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 4.8 | — |
| Receiving yds | 71.8 | 62.9 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.3 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.2 | 2.9 | — |
| Receptions | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 25.8 | 25.3 | 29 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.2 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.5 | 4.9 | 8 |
| Receiving yds | 60.2 | 50.8 | 54 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 2 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State | 68.9 | 5.6 | 231.5 | 156.5 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| San Diego State | 62.3 | 4.9 | 161.4 | 144.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 28.8 | 30.7 | 25 |
| Completions | 18.2 | 19.8 | 13 |
| Passing yds | 209.8 | 230.1 | 141 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 28.2 | 32.6 | -16 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 23.3 | 24.1 | 10 |
| Completions | 12.5 | 13.3 | 7 |
| Passing yds | 131.2 | 154.9 | 112 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | 11.5 | 13.9 | 8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.0 | 11.3 | 13 |
| Rushing yds | 57.5 | 50.4 | 62 |
| Rushing TD | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 5.5 | 11.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 22.0 | 20.2 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 112.0 | 85.4 | 77 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 35.0 | 15.8 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 9.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.8 | 5.8 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 66.0 | 71.7 | 49 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 4.0 | — |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.2 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 19.0 | 24.8 | 55 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.8 | 6.0 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3 |
| Receiving yds | 55.2 | 55.6 | 43 |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 3.0 | — |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 43.0 | 17.9 | 84 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 8 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska | 66.0 | 5.6 | 230.0 | 143.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Oregon | 69.4 | 6.5 | 264.6 | 188.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.5 | 31.1 | 33 |
| Completions | 19.8 | 19.0 | 18 |
| Passing yds | 230.8 | 233.1 | 164 |
| Passing TD | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1 |
| Rushing yds | 64.3 | 35.0 | 38 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 22.0 | 28.5 | 18 |
| Completions | 12.5 | 18.0 | 11 |
| Passing yds | 165.0 | 232.5 | 59 |
| Passing TD | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Rushing yds | -0.5 | 13.0 | 8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.2 | 12.1 | 3 |
| Rushing yds | 95.5 | 52.7 | 5 |
| Rushing TD | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0 |
| Receiving yds | 20.5 | 17.5 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.0 | 15.2 | 14 |
| Rushing yds | 74.0 | 85.4 | 67 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 |
| Receiving yds | 8.0 | 19.0 | 14 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 11.3 | 8.4 | — |
| Receptions | 6.7 | 5.0 | 6 |
| Receiving yds | 102.0 | 68.8 | 74 |
| Receiving TD | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 6.3 | — |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.9 | 7 |
| Receiving yds | 77.0 | 57.6 | 36 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.0 | 6.7 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2 |
| Receiving yds | 79.2 | 51.3 | 37 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | 0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.5 | 7.6 | — |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 4.9 | — |
| Receiving yds | 70.2 | 60.7 | — |
| Receiving TD | 0.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Fumbles lost | — | — | — |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.