NCAA FOOTBALL · GAME PICKS

Week 7 board

Every game the model priced this week, with its line beside the market's. Picks at the premium edge are gated; the board shows every row either way.

62
Games this week
21
Spreads picks
7–13–1
Picks this week · 0 covering
Tue, Oct 13 – Sat, Oct 17 · lines as of Sat 1:33 PM CTWk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10
DEL @ MTSU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 79°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 13, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
DEL 3–1MTSU 1–3
FINAL
30–33
MTSU -1.7
Vegas MTSU +1.5
No pick
+3.2
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Delaware64.4————1.2
Middle Tennessee62.9————1.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Delaware
Middle Tennessee
QBEJ Archield Jr.Projected PPR: 16.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts19.027.2—
Completions10.016.3—
Passing yds137.0204.2—
Passing TD0.01.4—
Interceptions0.00.6—
Rushing yds18.029.6—
Rushing TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
QBRoman GaglianoProjected PPR: 18.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.431.632
Completions17.619.222
Passing yds182.6239.5291
Passing TD1.61.73
Interceptions0.20.61
Rushing yds19.625.222
Rushing TD0.20.21
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jo SilverProjected PPR: 10.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries10.410.96
Rushing yds42.252.619
Rushing TD0.20.50
Receptions0.41.11
Receiving yds2.08.912
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Terrence BrownProjected PPR: 11.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries4.59.07
Rushing yds31.042.140
Rushing TD0.20.30
Receptions3.02.86
Receiving yds14.223.026
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Sean WilsonProjected PPR: 10.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.2—
Receptions5.73.84
Receiving yds87.348.635
Receiving TD1.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Cam'ron LacyProjected PPR: 15.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.89.0—
Receptions7.25.64
Receiving yds76.871.834
Receiving TD1.00.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Da'Wain LoftonProjected PPR: 10.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.56.0—
Receptions4.03.63
Receiving yds68.045.740
Receiving TD0.20.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2AJ JonesProjected PPR: 7.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.04.0—
Receptions6.02.6—
Receiving yds61.032.2—
Receiving TD1.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

FIU @ JXST
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 71°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 13, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
FIU 1–1JXST 1–1
FINAL
24–27
JXST -5.8
Vegas JXST -3.0
No pick
+2.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
FIU62.9————1.2
Jacksonville State65.7————1.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

FIU
Jacksonville State
QBJJ KohlProjected PPR: 13.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts32.428.338
Completions18.417.324
Passing yds236.2196.8278
Passing TD1.01.12
Interceptions1.40.80
Rushing yds18.014.216
Rushing TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBCaden CreelProjected PPR: 21.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.328.122
Completions18.817.716
Passing yds235.8210.3214
Passing TD1.71.32
Interceptions0.80.61
Rushing yds68.060.395
Rushing TD0.70.50
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Anthony CarrieProjected PPR: 9.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.412.010
Rushing yds46.252.326
Rushing TD0.20.40
Receptions1.01.02
Receiving yds7.47.611
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jalen LikelyProjected PPR: 10.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries11.011.1—
Rushing yds40.051.4—
Rushing TD1.00.4—
Receptions3.01.5—
Receiving yds26.013.7—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Maguire AndersonProjected PPR: 11.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.07.6—
Receptions5.04.68
Receiving yds80.454.4133
Receiving TD0.40.32
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Ronnel JohnsonProjected PPR: 7.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.04.6—
Receptions2.52.91
Receiving yds23.032.934
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Greg Gaines IIIProjected PPR: 4.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.03.2—
Receptions2.02.01
Receiving yds30.023.02
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Deondre JohnsonProjected PPR: 9.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.74.6—
Receptions3.02.94
Receiving yds49.044.393
Receiving TD0.30.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

KENN @ MOST
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 3 mph · Heavy Rain

Precipitation: 1.3 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 14, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
KENN 0–2MOST 1–0
FINAL
21–24
KENN -7.7
Vegas KENN -3.0
No pick
+4.7
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Kennesaw State68.16.2240.2183.21.31.1
Missouri State68.35.8221.2172.02.61.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Kennesaw State
Missouri State
QBRickie CollinsProjected PPR: 24.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.429.434
Completions20.618.526
Passing yds208.4236.8260
Passing TD0.61.61
Interceptions0.60.70
Rushing yds53.058.325
Rushing TD0.80.71
Fumbles lost——0
QBSkyler LocklearProjected PPR: 16.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts21.827.9—
Completions14.417.3—
Passing yds158.8208.0—
Passing TD0.81.3—
Interceptions0.40.7—
Rushing yds29.429.5—
Rushing TD0.00.3—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Boogie Woods IIIProjected PPR: 13.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.012.0—
Rushing yds75.058.1—
Rushing TD1.50.6—
Receptions4.02.6—
Receiving yds17.517.4—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Ramone Green Jr.Projected PPR: 11.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries10.712.05
Rushing yds42.059.618
Rushing TD0.00.50
Receptions0.71.03
Receiving yds9.313.15
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Dylan GaryProjected PPR: 6.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.04.0—
Receptions7.02.510
Receiving yds52.029.5135
Receiving TD1.00.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Isaiah MyersProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.56.5—
Receptions6.04.07
Receiving yds148.063.5135
Receiving TD0.50.32
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Brayden MunroeProjected PPR: 10.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.55.2—
Receptions6.03.3—
Receiving yds96.550.3—
Receiving TD0.00.3—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Mekhi MillerProjected PPR: 8.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.05.4—
Receptions5.03.4—
Receiving yds41.540.1—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

WKU @ SHSU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 82°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 14, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
WKU –SHSU 1–2
FINAL
16–3
SHSU -0.5
Vegas SHSU +1.5
No pick
+2.0
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Western Kentucky66.75.7235.5146.12.41.1
Sam Houston State67.26.0241.1162.81.81.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Western Kentucky
Sam Houston State
QBBrock GlennProjected PPR: 20.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.029.630
Completions16.318.414
Passing yds145.0220.4127
Passing TD0.71.41
Interceptions0.70.70
Rushing yds70.047.154
Rushing TD1.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
QBLandyn LockeProjected PPR: 19.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts35.432.230
Completions23.219.613
Passing yds261.2242.1112
Passing TD2.21.80
Interceptions0.60.71
Rushing yds16.224.7-23
Rushing TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Ajay AllenProjected PPR: 10.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.310.610
Rushing yds57.349.725
Rushing TD0.70.40
Receptions2.31.45
Receiving yds24.018.726
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Landan BrownProjected PPR: 11.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries5.28.73
Rushing yds20.847.216
Rushing TD0.20.40
Receptions3.02.30
Receiving yds15.617.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jonathan Stafford Jr.Projected PPR: 13.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.48.2—
Receptions6.25.15
Receiving yds55.656.037
Receiving TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chris ReedProjected PPR: 10.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.06.0—
Receptions3.03.63
Receiving yds18.049.951
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Quincy BurroughsProjected PPR: 7.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.04.2—
Receptions3.02.70
Receiving yds62.036.00
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Tim Burns Jr.Projected PPR: 8.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.64.2—
Receptions1.82.62
Receiving yds41.039.57
Receiving TD0.40.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ECU @ UAB
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 77°F · Wind 3 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 15, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ECU –UAB 1–2
FINAL
17–30
ECU -7.5
Vegas ECU -5.5
No pick
+2.0
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
East Carolina69.45.4219.7158.42.91.1
UAB64.64.8168.9143.22.51.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

East Carolina
UAB
QBEmory WilliamsProjected PPR: 15.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts33.028.927
Completions21.517.618
Passing yds238.5218.7126
Passing TD2.51.32
Interceptions0.50.71
Rushing yds23.017.942
Rushing TD0.50.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBRyder BurtonProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts21.826.437
Completions12.015.519
Passing yds153.7178.4262
Passing TD0.71.02
Interceptions0.80.80
Rushing yds22.720.0-16
Rushing TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1TJ Engleman Jr.Projected PPR: 12.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.313.226
Rushing yds121.370.2104
Rushing TD1.00.50
Receptions1.31.23
Receiving yds14.312.817
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Rod Robinson IIProjected PPR: 9.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.312.98
Rushing yds67.353.033
Rushing TD0.00.40
Receptions0.70.82
Receiving yds6.56.822
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Landon SidesProjected PPR: 4.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.53.3—
Receptions1.51.92
Receiving yds13.024.116
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR1CJ SmithProjected PPR: 10.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.26.0—
Receptions2.23.58
Receiving yds52.247.7119
Receiving TD0.20.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jeremiah MelvinProjected PPR: 10.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.06.2—
Receptions4.03.71
Receiving yds55.752.121
Receiving TD0.30.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2EJ ReidProjected PPR: 7.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.04.8—
Receptions3.32.92
Receiving yds34.329.214
Receiving TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

GASO @ ODU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 11 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 15, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
GASO 0–2ODU –
FINAL
23–15
ODU +2.1
Vegas ODU +3.5
No pick
+1.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Georgia Southern67.55.4234.2131.92.21.2
Old Dominion63.95.1165.5161.72.51.4

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Georgia Southern
Old Dominion
QBMax JohnsonProjected PPR: 16.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts37.732.88
Completions24.820.36
Passing yds262.0233.129
Passing TD1.81.50
Interceptions0.30.80
Rushing yds14.717.32
Rushing TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBQuinn HenicleProjected PPR: 17.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts17.624.310
Completions9.613.86
Passing yds114.0163.484
Passing TD0.60.91
Interceptions0.80.90
Rushing yds78.456.416
Rushing TD0.80.50
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Terrance GibbsProjected PPR: 9.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries5.07.66
Rushing yds21.534.244
Rushing TD0.00.31
Receptions4.52.22
Receiving yds21.016.918
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Devin RocheProjected PPR: 9.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.013.215
Rushing yds50.558.725
Rushing TD0.00.40
Receptions0.80.72
Receiving yds12.07.77
Fumbles lost——1
WR1Alex TaylorProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.05.5—
Receptions6.03.47
Receiving yds77.048.775
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Kendall HarrisProjected PPR: 8.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.55.4—
Receptions3.03.24
Receiving yds38.037.347
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Andre Greene Jr.Projected PPR: 6.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.54.6—
Receptions2.22.87
Receiving yds18.528.061
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Josh RodriguezProjected PPR: 7.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.05.0—
Receptions2.52.83
Receiving yds33.536.028
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

CSU @ TXST
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 82°F · Wind 9 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 15, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
CSU 1–1TXST 1–0
FINAL
27–66
TXST -14.6
Vegas TXST -14.0
No pick
+0.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Colorado State69.56.4286.4160.91.21.3
Texas State70.97.9265.2297.01.21.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Colorado State
Texas State
QBK'saan FarrarProjected PPR: 19.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.733.941
Completions19.321.926
Passing yds196.0272.0289
Passing TD1.02.02
Interceptions0.70.90
Rushing yds8.015.626
Rushing TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBBrad JacksonProjected PPR: 31.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.025.919
Completions18.618.014
Passing yds245.8264.1213
Passing TD2.62.51
Interceptions1.00.60
Rushing yds44.664.3181
Rushing TD0.20.93
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Durell RobinsonProjected PPR: 12.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.214.77
Rushing yds60.270.431
Rushing TD0.80.62
Receptions0.81.22
Receiving yds3.210.88
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Torrance Burgess Jr.Projected PPR: 22.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.816.624
Rushing yds117.5123.9224
Rushing TD0.01.44
Receptions1.21.13
Receiving yds6.210.052
Fumbles lost——0
WR1RJ VickProjected PPR: 14.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.77.1—
Receptions5.34.7—
Receiving yds90.372.9—
Receiving TD1.00.4—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Chris Dawn Jr.Projected PPR: 15.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.26.9—
Receptions5.04.85
Receiving yds61.263.244
Receiving TD1.00.70
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jackson HarperProjected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.55.8—
Receptions4.53.75
Receiving yds51.543.791
Receiving TD0.50.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Beau SparksProjected PPR: 12.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.05.6—
Receptions7.03.82
Receiving yds86.057.557
Receiving TD0.50.50
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

MEM @ TULN
Kickoff: 79°F · Wind 14 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 16, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
MEM 2–1TULN 1–3
FINAL
17–31
MEM -13.9
Vegas MEM -7.0
Spreads
MEM -7.0PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+6.9
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Memphis71.66.4242.4216.12.31.2
Tulane66.85.4204.5159.32.41.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Memphis
Tulane
QBMarcus StokesProjected PPR: 21.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts24.228.137
Completions16.818.520
Passing yds255.8240.3306
Passing TD2.71.72
Interceptions0.50.73
Rushing yds42.739.518
Rushing TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——2
QBKadin SemonzaProjected PPR: 14.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts24.029.1—
Completions12.817.1—
Passing yds160.8206.4—
Passing TD0.81.2—
Interceptions0.40.8—
Rushing yds7.817.9—
Rushing TD0.40.2—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Jaylin CarterProjected PPR: 14.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.714.023
Rushing yds107.278.6135
Rushing TD1.30.80
Receptions0.70.83
Receiving yds9.310.315
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Johnnie DanielsProjected PPR: 8.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries11.010.27
Rushing yds56.246.055
Rushing TD0.00.41
Receptions0.00.60
Receiving yds0.06.80
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Stonka BurnsideProjected PPR: 8.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.04.3—
Receptions3.52.8—
Receiving yds48.536.8—
Receiving TD0.50.3—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Destyn HillProjected PPR: 10.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.76.9—
Receptions4.74.04
Receiving yds70.747.262
Receiving TD0.30.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jemyri DavisProjected PPR: 5.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.1—
Receptions3.02.04
Receiving yds45.027.289
Receiving TD0.00.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Anthony Brown-StephensProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.07.7—
Receptions3.04.6—
Receiving yds37.257.4—
Receiving TD0.20.3—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

WASH @ PUR
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 18 mph · Rain Shower

Precipitation: 0.4 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 16, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
WASH –PUR 0–2
FINAL
38–26
WASH -2.2
Vegas WASH +3.5
No pick
+5.7
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Washington65.46.3240.1170.82.50.9
Purdue65.35.9243.5141.01.61.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Washington
Purdue
QBElijah BrownProjected PPR: 16.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts40.028.127
Completions28.016.921
Passing yds251.0219.6302
Passing TD3.01.73
Interceptions0.00.53
Rushing yds0.017.4-16
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBRyan BrowneProjected PPR: 17.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.331.141
Completions20.719.721
Passing yds258.2237.6273
Passing TD1.51.51
Interceptions0.20.72
Rushing yds21.521.215
Rushing TD0.20.21
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Brian Bonner Jr.Projected PPR: 14.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.715.113
Rushing yds42.784.664
Rushing TD0.00.81
Receptions0.30.72
Receiving yds0.78.425
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Fame IjeboiProjected PPR: 15.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries19.517.413
Rushing yds91.577.419
Rushing TD1.50.80
Receptions2.21.43
Receiving yds14.012.323
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chris LawsonProjected PPR: 11.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.06.1—
Receptions8.03.66
Receiving yds86.049.6103
Receiving TD1.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chauncey MagwoodProjected PPR: 10.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.26.0—
Receptions3.53.81
Receiving yds43.245.415
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Dezmen RoebuckProjected PPR: 13.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.08.1—
Receptions7.24.95
Receiving yds63.855.497
Receiving TD0.30.51
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Xavier TownsendProjected PPR: 10.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.37.0—
Receptions4.84.43
Receiving yds52.546.155
Receiving TD0.30.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

Appalachian St. @ CCU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 75°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 16, 9:13 AM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
Appalachian St. –CCU –
FINAL
35–32
Appalachian St. -5.0
Vegas Appalachian St. -1.5
No pick
+3.5
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Appalachian State69.06.2251.9172.91.81.3
Coastal Carolina65.55.4197.5155.42.41.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Appalachian State
Coastal Carolina
QBMalachi SingletonProjected PPR: 20.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.431.514
Completions20.219.712
Passing yds256.6244.5151
Passing TD1.41.70
Interceptions0.40.90
Rushing yds11.228.2-19
Rushing TD0.40.40
Fumbles lost——1
QBDeuce BaileyProjected PPR: 17.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.329.031
Completions15.516.816
Passing yds221.0206.1298
Passing TD2.21.33
Interceptions0.50.91
Rushing yds53.736.538
Rushing TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jaquari LewisProjected PPR: 12.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries11.412.613
Rushing yds51.864.085
Rushing TD0.80.64
Receptions1.01.42
Receiving yds6.413.722
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dominic Lee-KnicelyProjected PPR: 15.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries21.017.418
Rushing yds122.577.390
Rushing TD0.50.60
Receptions3.02.01
Receiving yds26.018.75
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Sam Pickett IIIProjected PPR: 15.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.58.3—
Receptions3.05.35
Receiving yds41.577.078
Receiving TD1.00.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Tristian GardnerProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.55.9—
Receptions3.53.43
Receiving yds61.543.035
Receiving TD0.50.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jackson GrierProjected PPR: 4.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.62.7—
Receptions1.21.71
Receiving yds10.218.9-1
Receiving TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Karmello EnglishProjected PPR: 9.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.66.3—
Receptions2.43.6—
Receiving yds20.640.0—
Receiving TD0.20.3—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

BALL @ BGSU
Kickoff: 48°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
BALL 1–3BGSU 0–2
FINAL
32–31
BGSU -20.7
Vegas BGSU -6.5
Spreads
BGSU -6.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+14.2
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Ball State58.95.0168.5127.63.50.9
Bowling Green60.85.4171.5156.21.61.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Ball State
Bowling Green
QBKeldric LusterProjected PPR: 14.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.823.524
Completions20.415.116
Passing yds174.6174.9195
Passing TD1.21.11
Interceptions0.80.60
Rushing yds24.026.2125
Rushing TD0.00.21
Fumbles lost——1
QBJay KastantinProjected PPR: 14.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.823.824
Completions15.814.617
Passing yds163.8175.0215
Passing TD0.81.22
Interceptions0.50.71
Rushing yds18.826.87
Rushing TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Johnny Thompson Jr.Projected PPR: 8.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries8.09.22
Rushing yds17.040.01
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions3.01.41
Receiving yds28.014.97
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Nakai AmachreeProjected PPR: 8.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.09.65
Rushing yds53.044.021
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions2.01.02
Receiving yds7.015.714
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jamarion McDougleProjected PPR: 7.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.34.3—
Receptions2.82.73
Receiving yds27.531.738
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Trey JohnsonProjected PPR: 3.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets0.81.8—
Receptions0.31.1—
Receiving yds1.213.3—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Jabari SmithProjected PPR: 7.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.34.7—
Receptions6.33.1—
Receiving yds65.335.3—
Receiving TD0.70.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Brennan RidleyProjected PPR: 8.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.35.0—
Receptions5.32.92
Receiving yds49.032.684
Receiving TD0.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

CIN @ WVU
Kickoff: 47°F · Wind 12 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
CIN 0–2WVU 1–2
FINAL
42–45
CIN -9.9
Vegas CIN +1.5
Spreads
CIN +1.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+11.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Cincinnati72.06.9254.2242.11.70.8
West Virginia69.85.8151.7254.71.71.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Cincinnati
West Virginia
QBJC French IVProjected PPR: 26.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts24.628.130
Completions17.218.622
Passing yds189.4252.6389
Passing TD1.22.03
Interceptions0.00.40
Rushing yds46.856.852
Rushing TD1.00.61
Fumbles lost——0
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.Projected PPR: 21.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts18.520.833
Completions9.712.125
Passing yds175.8156.2464
Passing TD1.21.03
Interceptions0.20.50
Rushing yds119.784.577
Rushing TD2.00.62
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Gi'Bran PayneProjected PPR: 16.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.215.37
Rushing yds90.083.826
Rushing TD0.51.00
Receptions0.81.20
Receiving yds2.28.80
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Amari LatimerProjected PPR: 11.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries5.510.64
Rushing yds25.354.414
Rushing TD0.30.51
Receptions0.81.32
Receiving yds7.812.738
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Malachi HenryProjected PPR: 5.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.62.6—
Receptions1.21.72
Receiving yds27.626.7128
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Prince StrachanProjected PPR: 6.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.04.4—
Receptions5.02.43
Receiving yds121.030.084
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2JV GibsonProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.85.6—
Receptions4.53.77
Receiving yds66.859.875
Receiving TD0.80.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR2DJ EppsProjected PPR: 9.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.25.0—
Receptions2.83.08
Receiving yds78.648.1163
Receiving TD0.80.21
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

NU @ MSU
Kickoff: 47°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
NU 0–1MSU 3–1
FINAL
24–21
NU -15.6
Vegas NU -7.0
Spreads
NU -7.0PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+8.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Northwestern65.46.3221.5187.51.71.0
Michigan State63.85.5213.7137.92.51.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Northwestern
Michigan State
QBAidan ChilesProjected PPR: 20.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.626.227
Completions16.016.618
Passing yds233.2219.0226
Passing TD1.81.60
Interceptions0.00.60
Rushing yds28.236.525
Rushing TD1.20.41
Fumbles lost——0
QBAlessio MilivojevicProjected PPR: 14.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.029.130
Completions17.018.119
Passing yds174.2217.2216
Passing TD0.81.42
Interceptions0.51.00
Rushing yds12.812.917
Rushing TD0.00.11
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Caleb KomolafeProjected PPR: 12.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.713.515
Rushing yds93.371.667
Rushing TD1.00.61
Receptions1.01.04
Receiving yds17.011.051
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jaziun PattersonProjected PPR: 11.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries17.015.715
Rushing yds69.766.372
Rushing TD1.30.50
Receptions1.31.13
Receiving yds9.710.518
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Griffin WildeProjected PPR: 13.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.07.0—
Receptions6.34.46
Receiving yds95.067.957
Receiving TD1.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Fredrick MooreProjected PPR: 8.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.05.3—
Receptions4.03.43
Receiving yds33.042.343
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Drew WagnerProjected PPR: 10.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.35.7—
Receptions3.73.82
Receiving yds41.042.018
Receiving TD0.30.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Rodney Bullard Jr.Projected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.25.4—
Receptions3.53.32
Receiving yds48.244.311
Receiving TD0.20.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

PITT @ BC
Kickoff: 51°F · Wind 17 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
PITT 0–2BC 0–1
FINAL
21–27
PITT -14.9
Vegas PITT -6.5
Spreads
PITT -6.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+8.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Pittsburgh67.65.8239.5152.22.21.1
Boston College61.24.7185.0102.72.81.4

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Pittsburgh
Boston College
QBHolden GerinerProjected PPR: 17.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts44.030.9—
Completions27.019.1—
Passing yds219.0228.5—
Passing TD0.01.6—
Interceptions2.00.8—
Rushing yds11.019.4—
Rushing TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
QBMason McKenzieProjected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.029.828
Completions16.217.517
Passing yds193.2194.4295
Passing TD1.01.02
Interceptions1.01.02
Rushing yds104.844.17
Rushing TD0.60.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Damon Ferguson Jr.Projected PPR: 12.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries17.511.417
Rushing yds54.056.4119
Rushing TD0.50.60
Receptions4.01.80
Receiving yds22.012.90
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Evan DickensProjected PPR: 9.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries10.09.515
Rushing yds45.233.057
Rushing TD0.60.31
Receptions2.22.21
Receiving yds21.219.68
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Cataurus HicksProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.26.9—
Receptions4.24.45
Receiving yds73.560.1135
Receiving TD0.20.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jaedn SkeeteProjected PPR: 5.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.43.8—
Receptions1.62.3—
Receiving yds16.822.9—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Censere LeeProjected PPR: 7.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.75.0—
Receptions3.73.11
Receiving yds30.332.98
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Dawson PoughProjected PPR: 5.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.03.5—
Receptions4.02.02
Receiving yds106.027.222
Receiving TD1.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

GAST @ JMU
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 16 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
GAST 2–2JMU 2–1
FINAL
22–49
JMU -16.1
Vegas JMU -9.5
Spreads
JMU -9.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Win
+6.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Georgia State66.55.5229.3136.91.71.3
James Madison71.26.5229.8234.71.81.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Georgia State
James Madison
QBCameran BrownProjected PPR: 15.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.231.125
Completions17.819.113
Passing yds232.4223.9134
Passing TD2.41.31
Interceptions0.80.91
Rushing yds24.022.371
Rushing TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBCamden ColemanProjected PPR: 20.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts25.728.119
Completions16.017.113
Passing yds191.0228.0185
Passing TD1.81.72
Interceptions0.20.60
Rushing yds20.333.526
Rushing TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Qwantavius WigginsProjected PPR: 10.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.011.35
Rushing yds106.050.816
Rushing TD0.50.40
Receptions1.51.20
Receiving yds14.013.00
Fumbles lost——0
RB1George PettawayProjected PPR: 20.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.017.614
Rushing yds106.5113.9119
Rushing TD1.01.11
Receptions1.01.10
Receiving yds7.39.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Rodshaun DorseyProjected PPR: 9.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.56.2—
Receptions4.53.73
Receiving yds78.047.657
Receiving TD1.00.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Michael ScottProjected PPR: 10.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.75.1—
Receptions3.73.24
Receiving yds52.043.744
Receiving TD0.00.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Kyle WashingtonProjected PPR: 5.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.6—
Receptions2.02.2—
Receiving yds59.028.2—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Braeden WisloskiProjected PPR: 9.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.05.3—
Receptions4.33.22
Receiving yds51.041.83
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

FLA @ TEX
Kickoff: 63°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
FLA 1–2TEX 1–1
FINAL
27–24
TEX -17.7
Vegas TEX -11.5
Spreads
TEX -11.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+6.2
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Florida64.95.7241.8131.23.01.2
Texas70.16.5252.6200.62.31.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Florida
Texas
QBAaron PhiloProjected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts24.828.4—
Completions17.519.2—
Passing yds223.5231.6—
Passing TD1.51.5—
Interceptions0.50.7—
Rushing yds26.821.0—
Rushing TD0.50.1—
Fumbles lost———
QBArch ManningProjected PPR: 22.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.429.920
Completions18.419.414
Passing yds223.8253.0173
Passing TD2.01.81
Interceptions1.00.60
Rushing yds34.236.20
Rushing TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Jadan BaughProjected PPR: 11.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.514.225
Rushing yds108.759.391
Rushing TD2.00.51
Receptions1.21.62
Receiving yds7.711.913
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Hollywood SmothersProjected PPR: 13.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.511.8—
Rushing yds56.562.3—
Rushing TD1.00.7—
Receptions2.01.5—
Receiving yds17.015.8—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Bailey StocktonProjected PPR: 10.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.05.8—
Receptions6.04.04
Receiving yds80.048.931
Receiving TD0.50.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Cam ColemanProjected PPR: 14.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.56.8—
Receptions4.54.43
Receiving yds84.573.218
Receiving TD1.50.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Dallas WilsonProjected PPR: 10.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.06.2—
Receptions4.84.13
Receiving yds73.048.327
Receiving TD0.60.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Ryan WingoProjected PPR: 11.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.76.1—
Receptions5.74.05
Receiving yds72.355.249
Receiving TD0.70.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

UVA @ SMU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 58°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
UVA 1–2SMU 1–0
FINAL
13–23
UVA +4.2
Vegas UVA +9.5
No pick
+5.3
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Virginia65.35.1202.9133.33.41.0
SMU70.76.6285.8178.31.61.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Virginia
SMU
QBBeau PribulaProjected PPR: 15.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.328.022
Completions15.217.813
Passing yds179.0208.9137
Passing TD2.21.10
Interceptions0.20.70
Rushing yds37.824.025
Rushing TD0.20.21
Fumbles lost——1
QBKevin JenningsProjected PPR: 22.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.233.636
Completions23.422.123
Passing yds317.8282.5246
Passing TD2.82.12
Interceptions1.00.90
Rushing yds23.829.226
Rushing TD0.40.30
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jekail MiddlebrookProjected PPR: 10.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.813.214
Rushing yds74.853.359
Rushing TD0.80.40
Receptions1.01.43
Receiving yds6.216.019
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Kendrick RaphaelProjected PPR: 17.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries20.316.022
Rushing yds112.785.1124
Rushing TD1.71.00
Receptions2.01.51
Receiving yds11.312.34
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Da'Shawn MartinProjected PPR: 8.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.05.3—
Receptions3.03.42
Receiving yds38.538.335
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Yannick SmithProjected PPR: 12.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.06.4—
Receptions5.04.25
Receiving yds30.059.487
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Kameron CourtneyProjected PPR: 7.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.04.2—
Receptions3.52.6—
Receiving yds28.832.8—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Jalen CooperProjected PPR: 10.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.05.8—
Receptions6.53.71
Receiving yds85.048.29
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

OSU @ IU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
OSU –IU –
FINAL
19–15
IU -0.7
Vegas IU +3.0
No pick
+3.7
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Ohio State66.06.3256.9161.32.71.0
Indiana65.75.8204.8177.92.20.9

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Ohio State
Indiana
QBJulian SayinProjected PPR: 18.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.230.829
Completions19.320.915
Passing yds295.3262.4235
Passing TD2.81.82
Interceptions0.30.72
Rushing yds13.712.5-26
Rushing TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBJosh HooverProjected PPR: 15.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts21.527.740
Completions14.716.920
Passing yds227.5207.1296
Passing TD2.81.31
Interceptions0.00.60
Rushing yds14.817.33
Rushing TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Bo JacksonProjected PPR: 13.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.812.518
Rushing yds76.768.256
Rushing TD0.70.70
Receptions1.71.41
Receiving yds11.510.72
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Lee Beebe Jr.Projected PPR: 13.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.815.49
Rushing yds104.474.224
Rushing TD0.80.80
Receptions0.40.80
Receiving yds0.86.90
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jeremiah SmithProjected PPR: 22.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets12.011.1—
Receptions8.67.64
Receiving yds166.2108.168
Receiving TD2.20.71
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Charlie BeckerProjected PPR: 14.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.78.5—
Receptions6.35.19
Receiving yds89.766.5165
Receiving TD1.30.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Kyle ParkerProjected PPR: 9.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.04.9—
Receptions1.03.3—
Receiving yds16.039.5—
Receiving TD0.00.3—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Nick MarshProjected PPR: 15.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.89.0—
Receptions5.45.53
Receiving yds102.475.057
Receiving TD1.00.41
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

KU @ KSU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 51°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
KU 1–0KSU 1–1
FINAL
24–35
KSU -7.1
Vegas KSU -3.5
No pick
+3.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Kansas64.95.3174.8168.02.31.0
Kansas State68.26.3239.8188.11.21.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Kansas
Kansas State
QBIsaiah MarshallProjected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.226.326
Completions15.214.812
Passing yds228.6178.8151
Passing TD1.61.11
Interceptions0.80.61
Rushing yds58.244.3117
Rushing TD0.20.30
Fumbles lost——0
QBAvery JohnsonProjected PPR: 23.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts32.629.724
Completions20.818.314
Passing yds215.2235.8209
Passing TD1.81.71
Interceptions0.60.60
Rushing yds65.451.2132
Rushing TD0.60.50
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dylan EdwardsProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.713.616
Rushing yds82.765.757
Rushing TD1.00.51
Receptions2.71.32
Receiving yds25.013.028
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Rodney Fields Jr.Projected PPR: 11.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.213.28
Rushing yds75.263.066
Rushing TD1.00.61
Receptions1.20.81
Receiving yds10.08.915
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Cam PickettProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.07.9—
Receptions7.04.71
Receiving yds91.551.04
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jaron TibbsProjected PPR: 10.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.0—
Receptions5.73.85
Receiving yds62.049.267
Receiving TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Nik McMillanProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.26.0—
Receptions4.03.45
Receiving yds78.848.755
Receiving TD0.80.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Josh ManningProjected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.35.5—
Receptions5.33.52
Receiving yds51.345.524
Receiving TD0.70.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

FAU @ ARMY
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 51°F · Wind 13 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
FAU –ARMY 0–1
FINAL
24–56
FAU -0.9
Vegas FAU +2.5
No pick
+3.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Florida Atlantic66.46.8292.4160.60.91.1
Army64.05.895.5273.40.80.8

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Florida Atlantic
Army
QBCaden VeltkampProjected PPR: 20.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts35.030.048
Completions25.620.433
Passing yds285.0261.7318
Passing TD2.42.03
Interceptions0.40.71
Rushing yds2.017.3-17
Rushing TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBCale HellumsProjected PPR: 21.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts11.412.12
Completions6.46.81
Passing yds68.495.12
Passing TD0.60.70
Interceptions0.20.40
Rushing yds106.4100.6195
Rushing TD1.61.05
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Ethan ErvinProjected PPR: 10.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.811.610
Rushing yds73.062.846
Rushing TD0.50.50
Receptions1.20.81
Receiving yds5.87.610
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Brady MottProjected PPR: 3.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries0.53.7—
Rushing yds-0.519.8—
Rushing TD0.00.2—
Receptions0.00.3—
Receiving yds0.02.9—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Branden HochProjected PPR: 5.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.43.1—
Receptions1.22.12
Receiving yds12.025.717
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Samari HowardProjected PPR: 4.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.02.7—
Receptions3.01.61
Receiving yds52.019.52
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Tucker HollowayProjected PPR: 3.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets0.81.8—
Receptions0.81.33
Receiving yds13.017.138
Receiving TD0.00.11
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Zach MundellProjected PPR: 3.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.82.4—
Receptions2.01.2—
Receiving yds20.816.4—
Receiving TD0.20.1—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

MSST @ LSU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 63°F · Wind 13 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
MSST 0–2LSU 0–1
FINAL
0–31
MSST +15.2
Vegas MSST +17.5
No pick
+2.3
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Mississippi State70.05.1211.6146.53.91.4
LSU75.66.4271.6211.92.21.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Mississippi State
LSU
QBKamario TaylorProjected PPR: 16.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.030.9—
Completions20.418.5—
Passing yds287.6220.8—
Passing TD3.41.3—
Interceptions0.80.9—
Rushing yds41.632.6—
Rushing TD0.20.2—
Fumbles lost———
QBSam LeavittProjected PPR: 22.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.831.038
Completions19.518.831
Passing yds249.2252.3289
Passing TD1.71.84
Interceptions1.30.70
Rushing yds53.044.411
Rushing TD1.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Kolin WilsonProjected PPR: 10.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries11.013.618
Rushing yds31.057.271
Rushing TD0.00.50
Receptions0.01.12
Receiving yds0.011.215
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dilin JonesProjected PPR: 18.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.315.218
Rushing yds80.579.984
Rushing TD0.81.00
Receptions3.02.28
Receiving yds22.021.758
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Marquis JohnsonProjected PPR: 8.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.24.8—
Receptions2.63.13
Receiving yds43.637.426
Receiving TD0.40.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jackson HarrisProjected PPR: 11.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.36.3—
Receptions4.33.86
Receiving yds74.057.485
Receiving TD1.00.42
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Zion RaginsProjected PPR: 7.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.54.7—
Receptions3.02.81
Receiving yds49.037.44
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Eugene Wilson IIIProjected PPR: 8.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.05.4—
Receptions3.33.23
Receiving yds32.338.432
Receiving TD0.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

CHSO @ CLEM
Opponent not rated
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 11 mph

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: Open-Meteo (recorded conditions)

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
CHSO –CLEM 1–1
FINAL
0–37
—
Vegas CLEM -43.5
No pick
—
Game breakdownPremium

Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe

RUTG @ MD
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 14 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
RUTG 1–0MD 2–0
FINAL
37–30
RUTG -0.3
Vegas RUTG +6.0
Spreads
RUTG +6.0PREMIUM ★
BBMI Win
+6.3
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Rutgers65.15.8209.8165.42.81.3
Maryland70.36.8275.3201.90.31.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Rutgers
Maryland
QBAJ SuraceProjected PPR: 13.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts18.525.8—
Completions12.015.3—
Passing yds179.0193.1—
Passing TD2.01.2—
Interceptions2.00.9—
Rushing yds6.018.5—
Rushing TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
QBMalik WashingtonProjected PPR: 23.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts37.334.038
Completions22.720.019
Passing yds226.2266.6263
Passing TD1.22.12
Interceptions1.00.80
Rushing yds16.735.756
Rushing TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Antwan RaymondProjected PPR: 15.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries19.515.816
Rushing yds109.583.929
Rushing TD1.00.71
Receptions1.81.62
Receiving yds16.215.329
Fumbles lost——0
RB1DeJuan WilliamsProjected PPR: 21.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.015.59
Rushing yds63.094.239
Rushing TD0.51.00
Receptions1.52.64
Receiving yds5.532.141
Fumbles lost——0
WR1KJ DuffProjected PPR: 18.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.010.3—
Receptions6.66.29
Receiving yds125.688.2113
Receiving TD1.40.52
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Kaleb WebbProjected PPR: 12.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.06.5—
Receptions2.03.92
Receiving yds14.057.424
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Vernon Allen IIIProjected PPR: 3.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.02.0—
Receptions0.61.22
Receiving yds9.815.325
Receiving TD0.40.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Chris Durr Jr.Projected PPR: 17.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.710.0—
Receptions7.75.96
Receiving yds79.381.3104
Receiving TD0.70.50
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

MASS @ BUF
Kickoff: 46°F · Wind 10 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
MASS 0–1–1BUF 1–1–1
FINAL
18–25
MASS -0.8
Vegas MASS +7.0
Spreads
MASS +7.0PREMIUM ★
PUSH
+7.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Massachusetts64.35.1174.3151.22.41.0
Buffalo63.84.9174.6137.42.11.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Massachusetts
Buffalo
QBAedan McCarthyProjected PPR: 14.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.024.8—
Completions15.014.2—
Passing yds171.0168.4—
Passing TD0.00.9—
Interceptions0.00.6—
Rushing yds12.038.4—
Rushing TD0.00.3—
Fumbles lost———
QBJason WrightProjected PPR: 13.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.427.635
Completions12.615.816
Passing yds146.6179.0134
Passing TD0.81.12
Interceptions0.60.81
Rushing yds37.623.913
Rushing TD0.40.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Elijah FaulknerProjected PPR: 7.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.710.923
Rushing yds65.349.784
Rushing TD0.00.31
Receptions1.30.62
Receiving yds12.75.315
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Messiah BurchProjected PPR: 10.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries19.214.228
Rushing yds100.562.3172
Rushing TD0.50.40
Receptions1.01.00
Receiving yds2.56.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jabari LewisProjected PPR: 10.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.56.6—
Receptions4.53.83
Receiving yds70.051.633
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chance MorrowProjected PPR: 13.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.69.7—
Receptions6.45.43
Receiving yds77.262.327
Receiving TD1.20.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2T.Y. HardingProjected PPR: 11.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.87.6—
Receptions5.44.5—
Receiving yds55.650.5—
Receiving TD0.20.3—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Patrick Clacks IIIProjected PPR: 6.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.04.4—
Receptions4.02.51
Receiving yds21.026.55
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

CLT @ TEM
Kickoff: 55°F · Wind 17 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
CLT 1–1TEM 0–2
FINAL
38–31
TEM -26.2
Vegas TEM -19.5
Spreads
TEM -19.5PREMIUM
BBMI Loss
+6.7
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Charlotte57.05.2195.2102.92.11.0
Temple64.06.8201.4230.61.30.8

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Charlotte
Temple
QBConner HarrellProjected PPR: 12.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.025.331
Completions15.016.423
Passing yds218.0185.2281
Passing TD1.01.02
Interceptions2.00.70
Rushing yds14.017.022
Rushing TD0.00.12
Fumbles lost——0
QBAjani SheppardProjected PPR: 22.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts18.222.923
Completions11.214.715
Passing yds168.8195.7236
Passing TD1.41.61
Interceptions0.00.50
Rushing yds59.450.770
Rushing TD0.40.72
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Henry RutledgeProjected PPR: 8.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries9.010.917
Rushing yds74.543.8123
Rushing TD0.50.30
Receptions0.00.92
Receiving yds0.09.9-9
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Keveun MasonProjected PPR: 18.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.616.713
Rushing yds85.697.464
Rushing TD0.41.11
Receptions1.41.12
Receiving yds12.68.99
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Derrick EleyProjected PPR: 8.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.54.2—
Receptions2.32.86
Receiving yds44.741.396
Receiving TD0.30.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jayce FreemanProjected PPR: 10.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.55.3—
Receptions2.03.43
Receiving yds29.045.134
Receiving TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jaden BarnesProjected PPR: 14.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.09.2—
Receptions6.05.95
Receiving yds59.357.753
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Colin ChaseProjected PPR: 9.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.54.4—
Receptions3.02.86
Receiving yds60.040.274
Receiving TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

CIT @ TA&M
Opponent not rated
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 9 mph

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: Open-Meteo (recorded conditions)

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
CIT –TA&M 3–1
FINAL
0–41
—
Vegas TA&M -45.5
No pick
—
Game breakdownPremium

Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe

WMU @ CMU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 53°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
WMU 2–0CMU 4–0
FINAL
21–14
CMU +4.1
Vegas CMU +7.0
No pick
+2.9
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Western Michigan62.45.3173.7159.02.01.0
Central Michigan57.54.5124.6136.72.30.8

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Western Michigan
Central Michigan
QBBroc LowryProjected PPR: 17.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.323.18
Completions15.814.75
Passing yds166.7175.348
Passing TD1.21.01
Interceptions0.20.50
Rushing yds46.847.616
Rushing TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
QBAngel FloresProjected PPR: 13.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts13.518.525
Completions8.011.214
Passing yds69.8124.8162
Passing TD0.20.71
Interceptions0.20.50
Rushing yds122.551.8117
Rushing TD1.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jalen BuckleyProjected PPR: 11.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.813.724
Rushing yds55.661.7150
Rushing TD0.80.52
Receptions1.81.30
Receiving yds18.613.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Nick WoodfordProjected PPR: 7.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries6.08.64
Rushing yds21.035.018
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions5.01.21
Receiving yds15.010.45
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Baylin BrooksProjected PPR: 6.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.03.9—
Receptions4.02.5—
Receiving yds26.027.6—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Langston LewisProjected PPR: 6.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.54.1—
Receptions3.02.54
Receiving yds20.532.674
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Aveion ChenaultProjected PPR: 9.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.25.3—
Receptions4.03.32
Receiving yds58.445.434
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Braylen NavesProjected PPR: 4.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.52.8—
Receptions2.01.8—
Receiving yds28.021.4—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

NIU @ WYO
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 14 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
NIU 2–0WYO 3–0
FINAL
23–41
WYO -26.1
Vegas WYO -7.5
Spreads
WYO -7.5PREMIUM ★FREE
BBMI Win
+18.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Northern Illinois58.94.7164.9112.62.51.0
Wyoming63.45.6193.8160.51.51.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Northern Illinois
Wyoming
QBTaron DickensProjected PPR: 11.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.025.044
Completions19.415.724
Passing yds195.4173.3216
Passing TD0.60.91
Interceptions0.60.70
Rushing yds15.614.311
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBTyler HughesProjected PPR: 18.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.825.819
Completions13.716.216
Passing yds137.0195.1196
Passing TD0.51.40
Interceptions1.20.70
Rushing yds62.744.4183
Rushing TD0.20.44
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Telly Johnson Jr.Projected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.014.216
Rushing yds67.852.6139
Rushing TD0.60.41
Receptions1.81.22
Receiving yds9.410.3-1
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Samuel HarrisProjected PPR: 11.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.311.4—
Rushing yds47.354.8—
Rushing TD0.30.4—
Receptions1.01.6—
Receiving yds3.017.7—
Fumbles lost———
WR1DeAree RogersProjected PPR: 11.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.28.0—
Receptions7.65.011
Receiving yds66.649.089
Receiving TD0.40.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Charlie CoenenProjected PPR: 5.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.03.1—
Receptions3.02.12
Receiving yds34.024.720
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Cam ThompsonProjected PPR: 4.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.03.3—
Receptions3.02.04
Receiving yds62.022.036
Receiving TD1.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Eric RichardsonProjected PPR: 5.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.53.5—
Receptions2.02.25
Receiving yds20.024.977
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

AKR @ M-OH
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
AKR 2–1M-OH 1–2
FINAL
14–34
M-OH -21.5
Vegas M-OH -9.5
Spreads
M-OH -9.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Win
+12.0
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Akron62.25.1190.3126.62.71.2
Miami (OH)66.46.5215.8216.61.51.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Akron
Miami (OH)
QBBrayden RoggowProjected PPR: 12.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.828.638
Completions14.817.222
Passing yds183.5197.1234
Passing TD1.01.11
Interceptions1.00.84
Rushing yds13.513.610
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBCaleb HeavnerProjected PPR: 22.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.526.016
Completions11.515.38
Passing yds146.5208.665
Passing TD0.51.51
Interceptions0.00.61
Rushing yds66.560.545
Rushing TD0.50.60
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jordan GantProjected PPR: 12.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.215.215
Rushing yds79.062.846
Rushing TD0.60.51
Receptions2.21.22
Receiving yds21.814.97
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Rodney NelsonProjected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.014.713
Rushing yds50.385.1142
Rushing TD0.01.02
Receptions0.71.00
Receiving yds7.311.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Kyan MasonProjected PPR: 9.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.06.2—
Receptions3.53.82
Receiving yds26.541.343
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Lynel Billups-WilliamsProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.05.5—
Receptions4.03.23
Receiving yds74.044.721
Receiving TD1.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Miles BurrisProjected PPR: 5.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.7—
Receptions3.02.26
Receiving yds42.025.054
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Damarion WittenProjected PPR: 9.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.74.8—
Receptions3.32.91
Receiving yds60.346.927
Receiving TD0.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

UNLV @ AF
Kickoff: 66°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
UNLV 2–2AF 3–0
FINAL
31–41
AF -8.2
Vegas AF +1.5
Spreads
AF +1.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Win
+9.7
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
UNLV63.06.2197.6190.41.31.0
Air Force62.75.586.8256.21.10.7

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

UNLV
Air Force
QBJackson ArnoldProjected PPR: 21.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts25.324.333
Completions14.515.421
Passing yds190.0195.7246
Passing TD1.31.22
Interceptions0.20.71
Rushing yds75.358.878
Rushing TD0.80.71
Fumbles lost——0
QBEvan MeddersProjected PPR: 13.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts2.011.23
Completions0.86.52
Passing yds11.885.118
Passing TD0.20.60
Interceptions0.00.40
Rushing yds57.264.1152
Rushing TD0.80.43
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jai'Den ThomasProjected PPR: 15.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.614.817
Rushing yds90.277.048
Rushing TD0.40.71
Receptions1.61.95
Receiving yds12.213.732
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Rocco ContiProjected PPR: 6.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries7.86.812
Rushing yds43.436.2103
Rushing TD0.20.31
Receptions0.40.50
Receiving yds4.25.80
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Taeshaun LyonsProjected PPR: 6.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.03.9—
Receptions2.02.41
Receiving yds49.029.214
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Adam HrynciwProjected PPR: 3.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.52.3—
Receptions1.01.4—
Receiving yds21.017.4—
Receiving TD0.50.1—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Kayden McGeeProjected PPR: 7.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.03.8—
Receptions2.32.45
Receiving yds57.336.399
Receiving TD0.30.22
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Astin HangeProjected PPR: 3.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.02.1—
Receptions0.01.2—
Receiving yds0.014.0—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

UNC @ DUKE
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 10 mph · Overcast

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
UNC 1–2DUKE 2–2
FINAL
24–20
DUKE -10.0
Vegas DUKE -3.0
Spreads
DUKE -3.0PREMIUM ★
BBMI Loss
+7.0
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
North Carolina61.95.5212.5126.12.21.1
Duke63.96.0213.3172.81.20.9

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

North Carolina
Duke
QBBilly Edwards Jr.Projected PPR: 14.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.629.825
Completions15.818.515
Passing yds213.6216.8191
Passing TD1.61.41
Interceptions1.00.80
Rushing yds17.016.020
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBWalker EgetProjected PPR: 15.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.227.238
Completions16.816.724
Passing yds196.0208.2249
Passing TD1.41.61
Interceptions0.20.51
Rushing yds2.49.0-14
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Benjamin HallProjected PPR: 11.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.813.42
Rushing yds56.862.07
Rushing TD0.00.50
Receptions0.81.10
Receiving yds8.211.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Nate SheppardProjected PPR: 18.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries23.818.320
Rushing yds146.899.177
Rushing TD1.60.80
Receptions3.42.011
Receiving yds32.219.898
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jordan ShippProjected PPR: 14.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.28.4—
Receptions6.05.37
Receiving yds85.265.075
Receiving TD0.00.41
Fumbles lost——1
WR1Jonah BurtonProjected PPR: 7.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.04.5—
Receptions5.02.71
Receiving yds63.033.828
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2C.J. SadlerProjected PPR: 7.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.04.4—
Receptions3.02.71
Receiving yds66.033.67
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jared RichardsonProjected PPR: 6.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.6—
Receptions3.02.23
Receiving yds44.025.855
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ASU @ TTU
Kickoff: 61°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ASU 3–0TTU 2–0
FINAL
25–53
TTU -25.6
Vegas TTU -16.5
Spreads
TTU -16.5PREMIUM
BBMI Win
+9.1
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Arizona State66.24.8211.8103.52.41.3
Texas Tech73.56.1245.4206.72.01.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Arizona State
Texas Tech
QBCutter BoleyProjected PPR: 14.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.632.910
Completions19.820.15
Passing yds244.8216.4124
Passing TD2.41.21
Interceptions0.60.92
Rushing yds24.818.9-18
Rushing TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBWill HammondProjected PPR: 20.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.432.026
Completions19.419.418
Passing yds216.8246.9232
Passing TD1.01.91
Interceptions1.00.80
Rushing yds20.427.725
Rushing TD0.20.31
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Kyson BrownProjected PPR: 6.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.59.55
Rushing yds64.234.139
Rushing TD0.20.20
Receptions1.01.43
Receiving yds6.88.913
Fumbles lost——0
RB1J'Koby WilliamsProjected PPR: 19.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.517.411
Rushing yds102.098.6165
Rushing TD0.51.02
Receptions2.51.72
Receiving yds21.015.98
Fumbles lost——1
WR1Omarion MillerProjected PPR: 14.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.510.0—
Receptions6.56.24
Receiving yds55.560.458
Receiving TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Kenny JohnsonProjected PPR: 15.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.77.9—
Receptions4.04.97
Receiving yds71.377.3120
Receiving TD0.30.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Reed HarrisProjected PPR: 15.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.49.7—
Receptions6.85.97
Receiving yds118.079.863
Receiving TD1.40.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Coy EakinProjected PPR: 8.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.74.9—
Receptions4.32.93
Receiving yds56.338.324
Receiving TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

AUB @ UGA
Kickoff: 67°F · Wind 12 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
AUB 1–1UGA 1–1
FINAL
27–24
UGA -28.0
Vegas UGA -19.5
Spreads
UGA -19.5PREMIUM
BBMI Loss
+8.5
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Auburn62.84.8194.8106.63.31.1
Georgia70.46.7275.8198.42.11.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Auburn
Georgia
QBByrum BrownProjected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.829.726
Completions20.819.015
Passing yds211.0205.8150
Passing TD1.41.11
Interceptions1.40.80
Rushing yds80.437.9115
Rushing TD0.80.31
Fumbles lost——0
QBGunner StocktonProjected PPR: 24.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts20.730.334
Completions15.821.222
Passing yds216.3271.3272
Passing TD2.32.22
Interceptions0.30.62
Rushing yds28.533.126
Rushing TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Omar Mabson IIProjected PPR: 7.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.09.75
Rushing yds108.033.614
Rushing TD1.00.20
Receptions0.01.41
Receiving yds0.014.05
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dwight Phillips Jr.Projected PPR: 18.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries17.015.610
Rushing yds120.087.668
Rushing TD0.01.11
Receptions1.01.42
Receiving yds6.016.722
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chas NimrodProjected PPR: 11.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.77.7—
Receptions6.04.96
Receiving yds66.349.760
Receiving TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Craig DandridgeProjected PPR: 8.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.04.4—
Receptions4.03.04
Receiving yds45.039.688
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Keshaun SingletonProjected PPR: 13.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.08.7—
Receptions5.85.53
Receiving yds64.460.245
Receiving TD0.20.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2London HumphreysProjected PPR: 6.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.53.4—
Receptions2.52.32
Receiving yds27.025.735
Receiving TD1.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

PSU @ MICH
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 52°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
PSU 0–1MICH 1–0
FINAL
18–21
MICH -11.6
Vegas MICH -6.0
No pick
+5.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Penn State63.04.8185.5118.12.21.0
Michigan66.65.5188.1175.41.61.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Penn State
Michigan
QBRocco BechtProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.328.244
Completions17.517.228
Passing yds232.2189.5267
Passing TD1.81.01
Interceptions0.50.72
Rushing yds14.814.3-1
Rushing TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——1
QBBryce UnderwoodProjected PPR: 16.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.026.811
Completions13.415.65
Passing yds176.2186.943
Passing TD1.01.10
Interceptions0.80.82
Rushing yds50.239.611
Rushing TD0.40.30
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Carson HansenProjected PPR: 8.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.312.215
Rushing yds56.745.651
Rushing TD0.30.31
Receptions1.01.01
Receiving yds7.711.04
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jordan MarshallProjected PPR: 11.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries10.712.914
Rushing yds50.061.449
Rushing TD0.70.61
Receptions1.00.80
Receiving yds11.08.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chase SowellProjected PPR: 10.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.06.4—
Receptions5.33.811
Receiving yds65.346.3151
Receiving TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR1JJ BuchananProjected PPR: 15.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.08.9—
Receptions4.05.33
Receiving yds74.775.336
Receiving TD0.30.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Brett EskildsenProjected PPR: 7.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.35.3—
Receptions3.73.33
Receiving yds31.032.729
Receiving TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Andrew MarshProjected PPR: 13.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.69.6—
Receptions5.05.53
Receiving yds53.658.121
Receiving TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

GT @ VT
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 54°F · Wind 14 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
GT 0–1VT 0–1
FINAL
24–34
VT -13.0
Vegas VT -8.5
No pick
+4.5
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Georgia Tech66.76.0254.3146.31.91.0
Virginia Tech70.06.8276.9202.21.51.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Georgia Tech
Virginia Tech
QBAlberto MendozaProjected PPR: 17.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.832.238
Completions21.221.429
Passing yds238.4256.9335
Passing TD1.41.72
Interceptions0.60.61
Rushing yds17.414.5-37
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBEthan GrunkemeyerProjected PPR: 23.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts34.731.722
Completions25.221.215
Passing yds287.5273.9250
Passing TD2.02.23
Interceptions0.30.60
Rushing yds6.326.325
Rushing TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Justice HaynesProjected PPR: 14.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries17.416.5—
Rushing yds92.474.7—
Rushing TD0.60.6—
Receptions2.21.7—
Receiving yds13.813.9—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Jeffrey Overton Jr.Projected PPR: 20.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.815.814
Rushing yds96.093.985
Rushing TD0.21.00
Receptions4.02.33
Receiving yds31.826.629
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jordan AllenProjected PPR: 13.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.07.5—
Receptions7.35.010
Receiving yds79.359.2120
Receiving TD0.30.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Que'Sean BrownProjected PPR: 15.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.37.8—
Receptions7.05.36
Receiving yds102.368.1182
Receiving TD0.70.51
Fumbles lost——1
WR2Dalen PensonProjected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.05.4—
Receptions4.33.65
Receiving yds56.044.986
Receiving TD0.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Ayden GreeneProjected PPR: 9.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.24.5—
Receptions2.83.01
Receiving yds55.045.65
Receiving TD0.40.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ALA @ TENN
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 13 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ALA –TENN 1–1
FINAL
10–26
TENN +4.9
Vegas TENN +7.5
No pick
+2.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Alabama67.06.1243.6162.43.41.2
Tennessee63.85.7208.9152.32.61.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Alabama
Tennessee
QBKeelon RussellProjected PPR: 20.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.331.129
Completions18.319.919
Passing yds266.5253.6147
Passing TD2.01.80
Interceptions0.30.82
Rushing yds52.831.66
Rushing TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——1
QBGeorge MacIntyreProjected PPR: 13.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts19.525.731
Completions13.015.821
Passing yds166.5200.0197
Passing TD0.51.40
Interceptions1.00.81
Rushing yds-6.57.4-4
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Daniel HillProjected PPR: 11.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.09.47
Rushing yds59.547.634
Rushing TD1.00.40
Receptions1.52.11
Receiving yds8.519.77
Fumbles lost——1
RB1DeSean BishopProjected PPR: 13.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries21.816.632
Rushing yds150.577.9159
Rushing TD1.80.62
Receptions0.21.03
Receiving yds3.89.716
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Rico ScottProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.06.6—
Receptions4.04.34
Receiving yds56.054.354
Receiving TD2.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Braylon StaleyProjected PPR: 12.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.07.6—
Receptions7.04.62
Receiving yds53.049.210
Receiving TD0.00.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Ryan Coleman-WilliamsProjected PPR: 12.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.06.9—
Receptions4.24.3—
Receiving yds77.558.2—
Receiving TD0.50.4—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Mike MatthewsProjected PPR: 12.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.06.4—
Receptions3.74.07
Receiving yds66.066.685
Receiving TD0.50.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

MIZ @ MISS
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 11 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
MIZ 1–0MISS 2–0
FINAL
3–31
MIZ +2.9
Vegas MIZ +4.0
No pick
+1.1
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Missouri73.36.1232.1212.91.61.3
Ole Miss73.16.3288.4171.51.71.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Missouri
Ole Miss
QBAustin SimmonsProjected PPR: 17.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.730.644
Completions17.818.425
Passing yds239.5232.7339
Passing TD2.31.60
Interceptions0.20.81
Rushing yds7.516.8-8
Rushing TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
QBTrinidad ChamblissProjected PPR: 24.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts34.836.836
Completions24.223.120
Passing yds287.4286.2241
Passing TD2.22.13
Interceptions0.80.80
Rushing yds30.639.314
Rushing TD1.00.41
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jamal RobertsProjected PPR: 25.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries24.325.920
Rushing yds136.3144.039
Rushing TD1.31.30
Receptions1.81.62
Receiving yds14.014.221
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Makhi FrazierProjected PPR: 12.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.011.915
Rushing yds73.060.0101
Rushing TD0.00.60
Receptions0.01.11
Receiving yds0.013.54
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Donovan OlugbodeProjected PPR: 10.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.4—
Receptions8.03.89
Receiving yds116.049.1127
Receiving TD2.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Deuce AlexanderProjected PPR: 16.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.88.7—
Receptions6.45.43
Receiving yds100.677.220
Receiving TD1.00.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Cayden LeeProjected PPR: 18.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.410.2—
Receptions7.46.15
Receiving yds106.083.062
Receiving TD0.80.60
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Horatio FieldsProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.55.5—
Receptions5.03.62
Receiving yds50.040.944
Receiving TD0.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

TOL @ EMU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 53°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
TOL 2–2EMU 1–2
FINAL
34–14
EMU +6.1
Vegas EMU +6.5
No pick
+0.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Toledo70.16.5244.5209.30.81.1
Eastern Michigan65.25.1219.9114.81.81.4

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Toledo
Eastern Michigan
QBJohn Alan RichterProjected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.328.930
Completions20.017.724
Passing yds260.8232.4288
Passing TD2.21.71
Interceptions0.20.60
Rushing yds2.310.74
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBNoah KimProjected PPR: 14.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts35.734.736
Completions21.920.016
Passing yds209.9224.1214
Passing TD1.31.32
Interceptions0.61.00
Rushing yds7.113.8-20
Rushing TD0.40.10
Fumbles lost——1
RB1CJ MillerProjected PPR: 15.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.313.713
Rushing yds91.379.548
Rushing TD1.00.92
Receptions0.01.21
Receiving yds0.013.12
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Joey MattordProjected PPR: 9.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.510.94
Rushing yds54.547.39
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions1.51.63
Receiving yds12.012.029
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Adjatay DabbsProjected PPR: 14.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.87.3—
Receptions5.54.55
Receiving yds76.264.766
Receiving TD0.80.51
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Harold MackProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.78.2—
Receptions4.74.74
Receiving yds52.356.137
Receiving TD0.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Terrell Crosby Jr.Projected PPR: 10.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.55.8—
Receptions7.53.43
Receiving yds82.046.136
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Antonio FloydProjected PPR: 4.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.03.1—
Receptions4.01.8—
Receiving yds35.018.9—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

TLSA @ RICE
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 71°F · Wind 9 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
TLSA 2–1RICE 1–0
FINAL
38–17
TLSA -8.0
Vegas TLSA -4.5
No pick
+3.5
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Tulsa66.45.5208.9157.51.71.0
Rice60.54.799.4186.41.51.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Tulsa
Rice
QBBaylor HayesProjected PPR: 16.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts32.528.227
Completions19.517.520
Passing yds207.2210.3249
Passing TD1.21.33
Interceptions0.20.60
Rushing yds22.027.33
Rushing TD0.50.30
Fumbles lost——0
QBJacurri BrownProjected PPR: 14.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts13.015.06
Completions6.38.42
Passing yds71.8100.847
Passing TD0.50.60
Interceptions0.30.40
Rushing yds97.263.5154
Rushing TD0.70.42
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Damari AlstonProjected PPR: 12.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.214.612
Rushing yds49.661.052
Rushing TD0.80.51
Receptions2.81.91
Receiving yds16.815.226
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Tyvonn ByarsProjected PPR: 8.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.012.215
Rushing yds104.052.553
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions0.00.40
Receiving yds0.05.00
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Javon RossProjected PPR: 7.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.04.7—
Receptions3.32.93
Receiving yds35.336.531
Receiving TD0.20.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Payton MatthewsProjected PPR: 2.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.01.6—
Receptions1.00.91
Receiving yds6.010.910
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Oran Singleton Jr.Projected PPR: 13.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.87.3—
Receptions6.54.67
Receiving yds79.562.487
Receiving TD0.50.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Braylen WalkerProjected PPR: 4.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.52.9—
Receptions1.01.6—
Receiving yds8.018.6—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

TROY @ UL
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 72°F · Wind 15 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
TROY 0–1UL 2–1
FINAL
6–33
UL -4.4
Vegas UL -3.0
No pick
+1.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Troy61.54.9175.5125.42.71.0
Louisiana64.25.9176.9201.01.61.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Troy
Louisiana
QBGoose CrowderProjected PPR: 14.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.626.6—
Completions17.415.9—
Passing yds209.4186.0—
Passing TD1.81.1—
Interceptions0.80.7—
Rushing yds58.824.2—
Rushing TD0.40.2—
Fumbles lost———
QBLunch WinfieldProjected PPR: 20.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.223.3—
Completions16.214.4—
Passing yds182.7176.5—
Passing TD0.51.3—
Interceptions0.70.6—
Rushing yds71.359.0—
Rushing TD1.30.6—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Jaheim MerriweatherProjected PPR: 6.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.09.42
Rushing yds99.536.1-3
Rushing TD2.00.20
Receptions1.51.21
Receiving yds8.58.83
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Steven BlancoProjected PPR: 9.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries7.010.010
Rushing yds28.251.550
Rushing TD0.50.51
Receptions0.70.71
Receiving yds4.08.32
Fumbles lost——0
WR1TK KeyesProjected PPR: 9.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.55.8—
Receptions3.53.51
Receiving yds83.551.212
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Shelton Sampson Jr.Projected PPR: 4.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.32.5—
Receptions0.71.61
Receiving yds20.019.16
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Noreel WhiteProjected PPR: 7.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.04.6—
Receptions3.02.71
Receiving yds47.736.917
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——1
WR2Trenton ChaneyProjected PPR: 6.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.74.0—
Receptions3.02.53
Receiving yds30.731.545
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

WSU @ ORST
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 6 mph · Rain Shower

Precipitation: 0.5 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
WSU 2–1ORST 0–2
FINAL
30–48
ORST -27.3
Vegas ORST -18.5
Spreads
ORST -18.5PREMIUM
BBMI Loss
+8.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Washington State61.24.7186.8103.22.91.3
Oregon State68.76.9292.2180.81.40.8

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Washington State
Oregon State
QBCaden PinnickProjected PPR: 14.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.729.4—
Completions18.518.1—
Passing yds159.8196.9—
Passing TD0.51.0—
Interceptions0.80.9—
Rushing yds55.330.7—
Rushing TD0.50.2—
Fumbles lost———
QBBraden AtkinsonProjected PPR: 23.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts39.332.738
Completions27.821.623
Passing yds378.7282.0347
Passing TD3.52.43
Interceptions0.30.50
Rushing yds8.016.216
Rushing TD0.30.30
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Kirby VorheesProjected PPR: 6.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries8.78.26
Rushing yds36.331.116
Rushing TD0.00.20
Receptions1.71.32
Receiving yds9.010.014
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Kourdey GlassProjected PPR: 10.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries10.08.71
Rushing yds51.050.14
Rushing TD0.00.50
Receptions2.01.30
Receiving yds11.013.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Branden GanashamoorthyProjected PPR: 10.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.86.5—
Receptions3.54.011
Receiving yds46.247.1147
Receiving TD0.50.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jesse LegreeProjected PPR: 19.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.67.8—
Receptions6.65.28
Receiving yds155.2104.9108
Receiving TD1.80.62
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Darrius ClemonsProjected PPR: 8.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.75.2—
Receptions3.33.2—
Receiving yds33.338.0—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Aaron ButlerProjected PPR: 8.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.74.2—
Receptions3.02.81
Receiving yds38.336.416
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

FSU @ MIA
Kickoff: 76°F · Wind 5 mph · Rain

Precipitation: 0.3 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
FSU 0–2MIA 0–1
FINAL
35–43
MIA -32.6
Vegas MIA -19.5
Spreads
MIA -19.5PREMIUM
BBMI Loss
+13.1
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Florida State61.25.3182.1140.52.71.0
Miami (FL)69.07.6294.7227.61.80.9

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Florida State
Miami (FL)
QBAshton DanielsProjected PPR: 16.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts25.525.928
Completions15.016.115
Passing yds220.0189.2298
Passing TD1.31.04
Interceptions1.20.61
Rushing yds68.738.831
Rushing TD1.70.31
Fumbles lost——0
QBDarian MensahProjected PPR: 23.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.630.134
Completions22.420.723
Passing yds288.4285.6326
Passing TD3.02.43
Interceptions0.00.51
Rushing yds18.823.56
Rushing TD0.40.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Ousmane KromahProjected PPR: 11.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.714.414
Rushing yds94.261.244
Rushing TD0.80.40
Receptions1.71.20
Receiving yds16.212.90
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Mark Fletcher Jr.Projected PPR: 19.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.015.016
Rushing yds66.094.766
Rushing TD1.01.21
Receptions1.31.10
Receiving yds8.714.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Duce RobinsonProjected PPR: 10.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.06.2—
Receptions3.03.95
Receiving yds48.448.9113
Receiving TD0.20.22
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Malachi ToneyProjected PPR: 20.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.09.1—
Receptions7.86.411
Receiving yds120.898.7154
Receiving TD1.20.72
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Micahi DanzyProjected PPR: 8.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.05.3—
Receptions3.53.3—
Receiving yds47.240.0—
Receiving TD0.50.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Cooper BarkateProjected PPR: 10.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.05.1—
Receptions4.33.52
Receiving yds70.745.628
Receiving TD1.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

KENT @ USF
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 10 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
KENT –USF 0–1–1
FINAL
2–29
USF -26.7
Vegas USF -21.0
No pick
+5.7
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Kent State55.24.1137.489.52.01.2
South Florida66.76.5223.5209.11.20.8

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Kent State
South Florida
QBDru DeShieldsProjected PPR: 9.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.324.430
Completions14.713.517
Passing yds163.8142.0165
Passing TD0.70.60
Interceptions1.00.80
Rushing yds40.720.412
Rushing TD0.50.10
Fumbles lost——1
QBMichael Van Buren Jr.Projected PPR: 21.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts25.227.127
Completions15.317.622
Passing yds179.5220.6193
Passing TD0.81.71
Interceptions0.00.40
Rushing yds24.032.3-8
Rushing TD0.30.50
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Brandon WhiteProjected PPR: 5.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries9.08.610
Rushing yds32.027.037
Rushing TD0.00.10
Receptions3.01.12
Receiving yds4.07.75
Fumbles lost——0
RB1D.J. CrowtherProjected PPR: 22.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.519.511
Rushing yds98.8113.742
Rushing TD1.51.40
Receptions1.51.11
Receiving yds18.213.04
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Wayne HarrisProjected PPR: 9.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.9—
Receptions5.33.84
Receiving yds73.343.428
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Mudia ReubenProjected PPR: 7.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.54.0—
Receptions1.22.62
Receiving yds14.833.432
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Da'Realyst ClarkProjected PPR: 6.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.85.1—
Receptions5.23.02
Receiving yds59.528.720
Receiving TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Joshua PorterProjected PPR: 12.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.06.8—
Receptions3.44.43
Receiving yds37.454.720
Receiving TD0.20.50
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ARST @ USM
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ARST 3–1USM –
FINAL
23–13
ARST -11.0
Vegas ARST -7.0
No pick
+4.0
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Arkansas State69.16.4264.7177.82.31.4
Southern Miss66.76.3258.8164.51.81.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Arkansas State
Southern Miss
QBTrey OwensProjected PPR: 22.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.332.425
Completions20.220.917
Passing yds242.7269.5170
Passing TD1.52.10
Interceptions1.00.90
Rushing yds34.336.925
Rushing TD0.30.30
Fumbles lost——0
QBLandry LyddyProjected PPR: 19.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.330.034
Completions18.719.218
Passing yds253.0247.9208
Passing TD2.01.81
Interceptions0.70.82
Rushing yds22.329.12
Rushing TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Solomon BaggettProjected PPR: 13.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries11.311.815
Rushing yds47.068.848
Rushing TD0.30.60
Receptions1.31.51
Receiving yds10.314.910
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Steven RobinsonProjected PPR: 14.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries17.814.221
Rushing yds79.072.684
Rushing TD1.00.71
Receptions1.01.45
Receiving yds4.816.233
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Hunter SummersProjected PPR: 15.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.07.7—
Receptions6.34.92
Receiving yds83.069.414
Receiving TD1.00.60
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Mario SandersProjected PPR: 15.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.07.9—
Receptions5.65.16
Receiving yds80.869.388
Receiving TD1.00.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jaylen BonelliProjected PPR: 12.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.56.3—
Receptions3.54.14
Receiving yds44.557.937
Receiving TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Kaden SaundersProjected PPR: 6.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.03.6—
Receptions7.02.22
Receiving yds138.029.121
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

TCU @ BAY
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 10 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
TCU 1–1BAY –
FINAL
17–6
BAY -8.3
Vegas BAY -4.5
No pick
+3.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
TCU68.15.6248.3134.52.31.2
Baylor68.15.6235.4145.11.71.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

TCU
Baylor
QBJaden CraigProjected PPR: 17.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.633.436
Completions21.622.021
Passing yds279.4255.0294
Passing TD1.61.72
Interceptions0.80.81
Rushing yds18.414.9-12
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBDJ LagwayProjected PPR: 15.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts44.733.753
Completions23.720.022
Passing yds286.3236.8256
Passing TD2.71.50
Interceptions0.70.91
Rushing yds4.710.7-17
Rushing TD0.30.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jeremy PayneProjected PPR: 15.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries17.416.41
Rushing yds86.471.5-3
Rushing TD0.40.70
Receptions3.42.30
Receiving yds16.417.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dawson PendergrassProjected PPR: 10.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.212.29
Rushing yds72.055.211
Rushing TD0.20.50
Receptions1.20.81
Receiving yds7.28.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Ed SmallProjected PPR: 14.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.38.1—
Receptions6.75.37
Receiving yds87.065.691
Receiving TD0.30.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Gavin FreemanProjected PPR: 14.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets12.09.8—
Receptions8.85.77
Receiving yds91.066.476
Receiving TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jordan DwyerProjected PPR: 10.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.05.6—
Receptions5.03.76
Receiving yds100.047.5150
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Louis Brown IVProjected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.56.1—
Receptions3.53.65
Receiving yds58.045.474
Receiving TD0.80.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

NEV @ North Dakota St.
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: Indoors

An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
NEV 1–1North Dakota St. 0–1
FINAL
17–31
North Dakota St. -17.6
Vegas North Dakota St. -14.5
No pick
+3.1
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Nevada62.44.7166.7123.82.01.4
North Dakota State66.35.5185.7178.71.51.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Nevada
North Dakota State
QBCarter JonesProjected PPR: 10.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.225.6—
Completions13.214.9—
Passing yds163.8168.6—
Passing TD0.80.9—
Interceptions0.51.0—
Rushing yds26.817.9—
Rushing TD0.20.1—
Fumbles lost———
QBNathan HayesProjected PPR: 15.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.024.925
Completions14.514.919
Passing yds186.5183.8153
Passing TD1.31.42
Interceptions0.80.60
Rushing yds32.328.742
Rushing TD0.50.21
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dominic KelleyProjected PPR: 9.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.213.411
Rushing yds88.047.660
Rushing TD0.80.30
Receptions1.41.35
Receiving yds13.815.733
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Myles MitchellProjected PPR: 14.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries18.518.013
Rushing yds76.082.649
Rushing TD1.00.70
Receptions1.00.91
Receiving yds5.56.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Gary Givens IIIProjected PPR: 10.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.6—
Receptions2.53.93
Receiving yds23.049.050
Receiving TD0.00.21
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Mekhi CollinsProjected PPR: 9.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.05.4—
Receptions3.03.22
Receiving yds26.040.233
Receiving TD0.50.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Damien MorganProjected PPR: 7.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.86.2—
Receptions4.83.5—
Receiving yds29.230.5—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Jackson WilliamsProjected PPR: 11.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.86.3—
Receptions3.83.85
Receiving yds62.352.958
Receiving TD0.20.40
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ARK @ VAN
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 55°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ARK 1–0VAN 1–1
FINAL
31–21
ARK +4.0
Vegas ARK +5.5
No pick
+1.5
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Arkansas63.65.5212.4137.52.21.3
Vanderbilt65.96.5237.0194.41.61.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Arkansas
Vanderbilt
QBKJ JacksonProjected PPR: 15.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.030.131
Completions18.318.221
Passing yds198.8213.2251
Passing TD1.21.20
Interceptions0.80.90
Rushing yds30.223.058
Rushing TD0.30.21
Fumbles lost——0
QBJared CurtisProjected PPR: 24.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.827.531
Completions18.817.319
Passing yds227.0229.2274
Passing TD1.21.91
Interceptions1.20.62
Rushing yds42.252.713
Rushing TD0.50.60
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Sutton SmithProjected PPR: 10.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries8.010.24
Rushing yds23.346.529
Rushing TD0.30.40
Receptions0.31.62
Receiving yds-0.714.912
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Sedrick AlexanderProjected PPR: 11.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries8.59.710
Rushing yds37.051.157
Rushing TD1.00.61
Receptions1.01.33
Receiving yds7.513.240
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chris MarshallProjected PPR: 17.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.310.2—
Receptions7.26.21
Receiving yds102.286.628
Receiving TD0.30.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Junior SherrillProjected PPR: 16.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.38.4—
Receptions5.55.38
Receiving yds88.278.499
Receiving TD0.50.51
Fumbles lost——0
WR2CJ BrownProjected PPR: 5.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.03.3—
Receptions3.02.01
Receiving yds37.026.83
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Tristen BrownProjected PPR: 6.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.5—
Receptions2.02.1—
Receiving yds11.028.5—
Receiving TD0.00.3—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ND @ BYU
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 4 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ND 2–0BYU 3–0
FINAL
24–28
BYU -0.1
Vegas BYU +10.5
Spreads
BYU +10.5PREMIUM ★
BBMI Win
+10.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Notre Dame64.06.3243.1160.71.31.3
BYU60.05.8199.9145.31.71.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Notre Dame
BYU
QBCJ CarrProjected PPR: 15.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts24.028.649
Completions17.018.727
Passing yds229.7231.1261
Passing TD2.71.60
Interceptions0.20.80
Rushing yds12.212.613
Rushing TD0.50.10
Fumbles lost——1
QBBear BachmeierProjected PPR: 16.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.226.436
Completions15.416.423
Passing yds206.6199.9224
Passing TD1.61.31
Interceptions0.20.81
Rushing yds49.633.345
Rushing TD0.80.32
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Nolan James Jr.Projected PPR: 11.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries26.012.116
Rushing yds121.059.377
Rushing TD1.00.61
Receptions2.01.33
Receiving yds7.010.718
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Preston RexProjected PPR: 8.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries4.87.810
Rushing yds23.033.566
Rushing TD0.40.30
Receptions1.21.62
Receiving yds8.618.54
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jordan FaisonProjected PPR: 11.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.06.7—
Receptions5.34.46
Receiving yds93.056.664
Receiving TD0.70.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jojo PhillipsProjected PPR: 6.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.43.7—
Receptions1.82.53
Receiving yds13.225.825
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Mylan GrahamProjected PPR: 5.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.5—
Receptions2.02.2—
Receiving yds24.024.8—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Kyler KasperProjected PPR: 11.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.07.1—
Receptions2.84.56
Receiving yds35.652.666
Receiving TD0.60.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

WIS @ UCLA
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 89°F · Wind 14 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
WIS 2–1UCLA –
FINAL
7–17
UCLA -7.3
Vegas UCLA -1.5
No pick
+5.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Wisconsin60.34.8153.3134.11.71.4
UCLA64.05.6196.2163.22.11.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Wisconsin
UCLA
QBColton JosephProjected PPR: 13.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.626.316
Completions16.214.26
Passing yds226.4158.066
Passing TD2.00.80
Interceptions1.01.00
Rushing yds55.045.171
Rushing TD0.60.21
Fumbles lost——0
QBNico IamaleavaProjected PPR: 16.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.225.2—
Completions14.215.7—
Passing yds194.4189.8—
Passing TD0.81.2—
Interceptions0.80.6—
Rushing yds38.831.6—
Rushing TD0.20.3—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Darrion DupreeProjected PPR: 8.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries19.010.76
Rushing yds61.044.520
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions1.01.01
Receiving yds2.08.06
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Wayne KnightProjected PPR: 13.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.213.313
Rushing yds109.666.123
Rushing TD2.00.61
Receptions2.22.03
Receiving yds19.015.86
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Chris Brooks Jr.Projected PPR: 5.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.04.2—
Receptions1.02.21
Receiving yds10.025.517
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Landon EllisProjected PPR: 6.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.53.6—
Receptions1.22.22
Receiving yds17.026.457
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Eugene Hilton Jr.Projected PPR: 6.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.04.5—
Receptions2.52.40
Receiving yds30.526.00
Receiving TD0.50.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Brian Rowe Jr.Projected PPR: 10.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.86.1—
Receptions2.83.82
Receiving yds44.551.824
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

UK @ OU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
UK 0–2OU 2–0
FINAL
21–13
OU -10.0
Vegas OU -6.5
No pick
+3.5
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Kentucky62.84.8187.3116.73.61.0
Oklahoma65.55.4210.8145.42.31.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Kentucky
Oklahoma
QBKenny MincheyProjected PPR: 13.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.829.128
Completions20.018.421
Passing yds232.5203.8158
Passing TD1.81.22
Interceptions0.20.70
Rushing yds12.311.94
Rushing TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——0
QBJohn MateerProjected PPR: 19.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.229.540
Completions17.817.524
Passing yds207.6215.9270
Passing TD1.61.41
Interceptions0.80.83
Rushing yds28.041.79
Rushing TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1CJ BaxterProjected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.613.2—
Rushing yds89.254.2—
Rushing TD1.20.4—
Receptions1.41.1—
Receiving yds12.49.7—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Lloyd AvantProjected PPR: 10.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.511.18
Rushing yds75.054.231
Rushing TD1.00.40
Receptions1.51.21
Receiving yds11.010.81
Fumbles lost——0
WR1DJ MillerProjected PPR: 7.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.54.9—
Receptions4.53.14
Receiving yds75.535.428
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Isaiah Sategna IIIProjected PPR: 15.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.89.2—
Receptions5.85.58
Receiving yds80.571.883
Receiving TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Kenny DarbyProjected PPR: 12.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.77.4—
Receptions6.74.65
Receiving yds61.358.735
Receiving TD0.30.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Elijah ThomasProjected PPR: 5.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.03.1—
Receptions1.01.9—
Receiving yds9.825.2—
Receiving TD0.00.2—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

LOU @ SYR
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: Indoors

An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
LOU –SYR 0–1
FINAL
34–26
SYR +11.3
Vegas SYR +14.5
No pick
+3.2
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Louisville70.36.7258.3214.41.91.1
Syracuse65.05.2200.2140.12.21.6

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Louisville
Syracuse
QBLincoln KienholzProjected PPR: 26.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.030.026
Completions17.819.214
Passing yds255.7256.0310
Passing TD1.52.11
Interceptions0.20.62
Rushing yds43.744.453
Rushing TD1.30.72
Fumbles lost——0
QBMalachi NelsonProjected PPR: 12.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts29.027.439
Completions16.015.826
Passing yds217.0187.5315
Passing TD1.01.12
Interceptions0.01.22
Rushing yds19.018.8-33
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Isaac BrownProjected PPR: 16.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.813.09
Rushing yds114.279.211
Rushing TD0.81.00
Receptions1.21.42
Receiving yds9.89.760
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Ju'Juan JohnsonProjected PPR: 8.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.09.92
Rushing yds46.042.48
Rushing TD1.00.30
Receptions1.00.91
Receiving yds1.010.82
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Lawayne McCoyProjected PPR: 13.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.4—
Receptions5.04.15
Receiving yds68.570.993
Receiving TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Umari HatcherProjected PPR: 14.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets12.59.3—
Receptions8.55.313
Receiving yds125.568.3224
Receiving TD1.50.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR2TreyShun HurryProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.26.5—
Receptions5.24.14
Receiving yds57.851.166
Receiving TD0.00.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Cole WeaverProjected PPR: 3.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.02.5—
Receptions3.01.40
Receiving yds32.015.90
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

OKST @ HOU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 69°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
OKST 1–0HOU –
FINAL
32–35
OKST +3.1
Vegas OKST +4.0
No pick
+0.9
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Oklahoma State66.96.4261.5163.62.01.3
Houston70.96.6244.6221.81.31.2

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Oklahoma State
Houston
QBDrew MestemakerProjected PPR: 18.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts34.031.134
Completions22.820.422
Passing yds315.8262.5365
Passing TD2.62.03
Interceptions1.00.91
Rushing yds24.816.134
Rushing TD0.40.10
Fumbles lost——1
QBConner WeigmanProjected PPR: 23.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts27.529.133
Completions18.318.224
Passing yds236.8239.9343
Passing TD2.51.95
Interceptions0.20.71
Rushing yds29.849.652
Rushing TD1.00.50
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Caleb HawkinsProjected PPR: 17.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries21.218.017
Rushing yds104.887.868
Rushing TD0.40.80
Receptions2.61.97
Receiving yds15.016.0125
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Makhi HughesProjected PPR: 14.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries16.013.918
Rushing yds84.073.977
Rushing TD0.50.80
Receptions2.51.11
Receiving yds23.511.33
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Justin BowickProjected PPR: 15.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.78.0—
Receptions6.75.23
Receiving yds120.375.227
Receiving TD1.00.51
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Trent WalkerProjected PPR: 9.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.05.3—
Receptions6.03.17
Receiving yds83.041.3104
Receiving TD1.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Wyatt YoungProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.86.2—
Receptions6.54.15
Receiving yds112.255.899
Receiving TD0.80.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Koby YoungProjected PPR: 7.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.03.6—
Receptions1.72.33
Receiving yds36.034.868
Receiving TD0.70.21
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

ELON @ STAN
Opponent not rated
Kickoff: 87°F · Wind 4 mph

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: Open-Meteo (recorded conditions)

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
ELON –STAN 1–0
FINAL
7–34
—
Vegas STAN -34.5
No pick
—
Game breakdownPremium

Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe

LT @ ULM
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 64°F · Wind 8 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
LT 1–1ULM 0–1
FINAL
24–0
LT -18.9
Vegas LT -13.5
No pick
+5.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Louisiana Tech67.76.6229.3217.51.91.0
Louisiana Monroe63.55.7210.3153.11.61.5

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Monroe
QBBlake BakerProjected PPR: 22.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts25.324.421
Completions17.316.115
Passing yds223.0216.4178
Passing TD2.31.72
Interceptions0.30.60
Rushing yds15.744.5-10
Rushing TD0.30.60
Fumbles lost——0
QBAidan ArmentaProjected PPR: 14.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.727.924
Completions19.717.214
Passing yds235.7205.8119
Passing TD1.71.20
Interceptions0.31.02
Rushing yds16.721.425
Rushing TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Andrew BurnetteProjected PPR: 15.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries9.013.722
Rushing yds45.078.379
Rushing TD0.00.90
Receptions1.31.40
Receiving yds3.310.80
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Zach Palmer-SmithProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries7.011.01
Rushing yds34.054.96
Rushing TD0.50.40
Receptions0.50.80
Receiving yds2.07.60
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jalen MickensProjected PPR: 14.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.37.6—
Receptions7.35.02
Receiving yds76.368.842
Receiving TD0.70.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Parker FulghumProjected PPR: 6.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.63.9—
Receptions2.62.41
Receiving yds32.230.930
Receiving TD0.40.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Marcus Calwise Jr.Projected PPR: 5.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.52.7—
Receptions1.51.88
Receiving yds12.222.1119
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Nic TrujilloProjected PPR: 8.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.05.2—
Receptions3.53.11
Receiving yds63.040.38
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

NAVY @ UTSA
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: Indoors

An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
NAVY 1–1UTSA 0–0–1
FINAL
34–38
UTSA -6.6
Vegas UTSA -6.5
No pick
+0.1
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Navy61.74.996.9205.31.41.0
UTSA68.16.4254.5181.61.61.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Navy
UTSA
QBJackson GutierrezProjected PPR: 18.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts11.515.67
Completions5.58.43
Passing yds109.899.4120
Passing TD1.00.62
Interceptions0.20.50
Rushing yds129.293.5139
Rushing TD1.20.72
Fumbles lost——0
QBOwen McCownProjected PPR: 19.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.729.138
Completions21.019.928
Passing yds203.7253.3359
Passing TD1.21.93
Interceptions0.30.70
Rushing yds20.021.67
Rushing TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Michael BarrowProjected PPR: 9.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries8.811.815
Rushing yds56.857.867
Rushing TD0.00.40
Receptions1.20.70
Receiving yds8.66.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Will Henderson IIIProjected PPR: 13.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.013.616
Rushing yds80.367.378
Rushing TD0.50.71
Receptions1.71.43
Receiving yds11.213.58
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Luke HutchisonProjected PPR: 3.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.02.2—
Receptions3.01.2—
Receiving yds48.014.7—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
WR1David Amador IIProjected PPR: 14.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.57.7—
Receptions6.05.47
Receiving yds44.863.171
Receiving TD0.20.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Joshua GuerinProjected PPR: 3.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.52.1—
Receptions0.51.1—
Receiving yds5.012.5—
Receiving TD0.00.1—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Mekhi AndersonProjected PPR: 9.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.34.7—
Receptions4.73.23
Receiving yds30.340.068
Receiving TD0.00.31
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

SJSU @ UTEP
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 59°F · Wind 10 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
SJSU 1–1UTEP 1–0
FINAL
24–11
SJSU -11.8
Vegas SJSU -7.0
No pick
+4.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
San Jose State67.45.9244.5154.71.71.2
UTEP63.04.8180.8124.03.21.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

San Jose State
UTEP
QBLuke WeaverProjected PPR: 20.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts35.032.1—
Completions22.020.3—
Passing yds254.8245.9—
Passing TD1.81.9—
Interceptions1.00.8—
Rushing yds22.826.2—
Rushing TD0.20.3—
Fumbles lost———
QBRaymond Moore IIIProjected PPR: 16.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.026.328
Completions16.016.119
Passing yds132.0185.4195
Passing TD2.00.90
Interceptions0.00.90
Rushing yds84.052.555
Rushing TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jabari BatesProjected PPR: 17.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries20.020.1—
Rushing yds92.792.3—
Rushing TD0.20.9—
Receptions1.51.2—
Receiving yds14.315.0—
Fumbles lost———
RB1Lamar SperlingProjected PPR: 6.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries2.88.48
Rushing yds7.532.040
Rushing TD0.00.30
Receptions0.20.70
Receiving yds4.59.90
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Carson ClarkProjected PPR: 15.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.08.8—
Receptions6.55.65
Receiving yds76.066.7104
Receiving TD0.80.61
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jaden SmithProjected PPR: 9.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.06.0—
Receptions8.03.612
Receiving yds62.043.490
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Anthony IveyProjected PPR: 7.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.04.1—
Receptions7.02.62
Receiving yds150.036.550
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Kam ThomasProjected PPR: 8.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.05.5—
Receptions3.73.44
Receiving yds57.042.296
Receiving TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

OHIO @ Sacramento St.
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 80°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
OHIO 1–0Sacramento St. 0–1
FINAL
48–7
Sacramento St. +13.9
Vegas Sacramento St. +15.5
No pick
+1.6
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Ohio62.95.9169.1199.41.91.1
Sacramento State62.95.4187.0152.31.51.0

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Ohio
Sacramento State
QBNick PoulosProjected PPR: 17.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts25.021.414
Completions12.512.811
Passing yds161.0163.2165
Passing TD2.01.21
Interceptions0.00.70
Rushing yds69.554.648
Rushing TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
QBJackson SharmanProjected PPR: 14.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts34.426.621
Completions19.015.711
Passing yds200.8190.769
Passing TD1.21.20
Interceptions1.00.61
Rushing yds6.218.1-5
Rushing TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Duncan BruneProjected PPR: 12.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.514.312
Rushing yds69.074.755
Rushing TD0.20.62
Receptions0.80.80
Receiving yds7.29.90
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Isaiah EneProjected PPR: 9.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries10.011.17
Rushing yds34.752.059
Rushing TD0.00.50
Receptions1.00.80
Receiving yds9.78.60
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Dom DorwartProjected PPR: 6.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets3.54.0—
Receptions2.22.41
Receiving yds33.731.712
Receiving TD0.50.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Raiden BrownProjected PPR: 7.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets12.04.4—
Receptions6.02.61
Receiving yds61.032.413
Receiving TD0.00.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Riley NeerProjected PPR: 13.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.27.4—
Receptions4.54.55
Receiving yds66.064.144
Receiving TD0.80.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Matt ColemanProjected PPR: 12.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.27.5—
Receptions5.54.44
Receiving yds77.361.719
Receiving TD0.70.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

UTAH @ COLO
Kickoff: 50°F · Wind 5 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
UTAH 1–1COLO 1–1
FINAL
27–24
UTAH -29.7
Vegas UTAH -14.5
Spreads
UTAH -14.5PREMIUM
BBMI Loss
+15.2
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Utah71.06.2224.8215.61.70.9
Colorado62.84.4165.5110.32.91.5

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Utah
Colorado
QBDevon DampierProjected PPR: 24.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts26.228.841
Completions18.617.624
Passing yds225.8221.5278
Passing TD2.41.83
Interceptions0.40.52
Rushing yds44.848.8-8
Rushing TD0.60.80
Fumbles lost——0
QBIsaac WilsonProjected PPR: 11.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts35.027.930
Completions19.015.318
Passing yds223.0164.4256
Passing TD1.00.82
Interceptions1.50.92
Rushing yds25.026.041
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Wayshawn ParkerProjected PPR: 16.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.314.023
Rushing yds91.785.398
Rushing TD1.00.80
Receptions3.31.72
Receiving yds29.717.011
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Micah WelchProjected PPR: 5.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.07.51
Rushing yds82.029.52
Rushing TD1.00.10
Receptions0.50.90
Receiving yds6.57.80
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Braden PeganProjected PPR: 15.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.88.2—
Receptions4.85.18
Receiving yds67.265.786
Receiving TD0.80.62
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Joseph WilliamsProjected PPR: 12.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets15.59.1—
Receptions10.55.05
Receiving yds110.060.154
Receiving TD1.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Ricky JohnsonProjected PPR: 7.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.04.5—
Receptions3.02.72
Receiving yds34.037.628
Receiving TD0.00.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2DeAndre Moore Jr.Projected PPR: 8.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.05.9—
Receptions4.83.45
Receiving yds62.239.870
Receiving TD0.20.21
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

UNM @ HAW
Kickoff: 77°F · Wind 21 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
UNM 2–1HAW 2–2
FINAL
21–10
UNM -21.3
Vegas UNM -14.5
Spreads
UNM -14.5PREMIUM
BBMI Loss
+6.8
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
New Mexico64.35.8170.0203.12.50.9
Hawaii61.55.1216.696.32.91.4

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

New Mexico
Hawaii
QBToa Fa'avaeProjected PPR: 15.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts14.021.910
Completions8.013.35
Passing yds150.2165.459
Passing TD1.21.20
Interceptions0.20.42
Rushing yds46.033.177
Rushing TD0.20.31
Fumbles lost——1
QBMicah AlejadoProjected PPR: 14.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts44.833.040
Completions26.320.323
Passing yds269.3225.4250
Passing TD0.81.31
Interceptions0.71.11
Rushing yds21.818.6-2
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——1
RB1Scottre HumphreyProjected PPR: 12.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries14.012.615
Rushing yds64.067.390
Rushing TD1.20.72
Receptions0.20.50
Receiving yds1.65.90
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Cam BarfieldProjected PPR: 6.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries6.07.512
Rushing yds15.030.234
Rushing TD0.00.20
Receptions1.01.50
Receiving yds-5.010.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Miles WilliamsProjected PPR: 3.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets1.22.2—
Receptions0.61.31
Receiving yds5.413.88
Receiving TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Devin AlvesProjected PPR: 6.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets6.03.5—
Receptions3.02.25
Receiving yds121.033.176
Receiving TD1.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
WR2DJ DarlingProjected PPR: 7.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.04.1—
Receptions1.32.41
Receiving yds36.734.713
Receiving TD0.30.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Audric HarrisProjected PPR: 7.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.84.1—
Receptions2.62.61
Receiving yds41.437.811
Receiving TD0.20.10
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

WAKE @ CAL
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 65°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
WAKE –CAL 2–1
FINAL
41–7
WAKE -14.4
Vegas WAKE -10.5
No pick
+3.9
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Wake Forest69.56.3248.9187.22.01.2
California67.45.6271.4106.22.41.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Wake Forest
California
QBGio LopezProjected PPR: 24.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts30.731.223
Completions20.519.716
Passing yds279.7247.4267
Passing TD2.21.84
Interceptions0.20.80
Rushing yds43.050.751
Rushing TD1.00.60
Fumbles lost——0
QBJackson BrousseauProjected PPR: 16.7 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts37.532.229
Completions24.021.817
Passing yds263.5247.281
Passing TD1.51.60
Interceptions0.00.70
Rushing yds10.512.614
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Ty Clark IIIProjected PPR: 11.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.011.68
Rushing yds48.058.653
Rushing TD1.00.71
Receptions0.00.80
Receiving yds0.09.60
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Ashten EmoryProjected PPR: 13.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.516.212
Rushing yds47.060.156
Rushing TD1.50.50
Receptions3.02.53
Receiving yds20.520.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Carlos HernandezProjected PPR: 20.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets10.211.4—
Receptions8.27.2—
Receiving yds120.087.6—
Receiving TD0.70.7—
Fumbles lost———
WR1Ian StrongProjected PPR: 12.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.27.0—
Receptions4.54.8—
Receiving yds71.862.9—
Receiving TD0.20.3—
Fumbles lost———
WR2Antonio MeeksProjected PPR: 5.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets2.22.9—
Receptions1.31.82
Receiving yds25.825.329
Receiving TD0.20.20
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Chase HendricksProjected PPR: 11.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.27.6—
Receptions6.54.98
Receiving yds60.250.854
Receiving TD0.30.30
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

FRES @ SDSU
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 74°F · Wind 2 mph · Clear

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
FRES 4–0SDSU 1–0
FINAL
23–26
FRES -9.9
Vegas FRES -7.0
No pick
+2.9
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Fresno State68.95.6231.5156.51.91.1
San Diego State62.34.9161.4144.81.51.3

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Fresno State
San Diego State
QBJayden MandalProjected PPR: 19.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts28.830.725
Completions18.219.813
Passing yds209.8230.1141
Passing TD1.31.60
Interceptions0.20.80
Rushing yds28.232.6-16
Rushing TD0.30.30
Fumbles lost——0
QBJayden DenegalProjected PPR: 9.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts23.324.110
Completions12.513.37
Passing yds131.2154.9112
Passing TD1.00.81
Interceptions0.80.90
Rushing yds11.513.98
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Bryson DonelsonProjected PPR: 9.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries12.011.313
Rushing yds57.550.462
Rushing TD1.50.41
Receptions1.01.00
Receiving yds5.511.40
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Javion KinnardProjected PPR: 14.2 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries22.020.214
Rushing yds112.085.477
Rushing TD0.50.50
Receptions2.01.10
Receiving yds35.015.80
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Josiah FreemanProjected PPR: 16.0 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.09.3—
Receptions4.85.83
Receiving yds66.071.749
Receiving TD0.30.50
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Jordan NapierProjected PPR: 5.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets7.04.0—
Receptions2.02.23
Receiving yds19.024.855
Receiving TD0.00.11
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Ezekiel AvitProjected PPR: 11.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets5.86.0—
Receptions4.04.03
Receiving yds55.255.643
Receiving TD0.80.30
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jaylon HawkinsProjected PPR: 3.9 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets4.03.0—
Receptions1.01.56
Receiving yds43.017.984
Receiving TD0.00.11
Fumbles lost——0
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

NEB @ ORE
Priced, no pick
Kickoff: 57°F · Wind 8 mph · Fair

Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.

Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.

NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.

Source: CollegeFootballData

Saved: Oct 17, 1:33 PM CDT

PREMIUM SPREADS · 2026
NEB 1–0ORE 0–1
FINAL
14–17
NEB +1.6
Vegas NEB +7.0
No pick
+5.4
Game breakdown

1. Projected box score

TeamPlaysYds/playPassing yds (net)Rushing ydsSackedTurnovers
Nebraska66.05.6230.0143.12.61.2
Oregon69.46.5264.6188.31.71.1

Average of 200 simulated games.

2. Key player projections

Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.

Nebraska
Oregon
QBAnthony ColandreaProjected PPR: 18.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts31.531.133
Completions19.819.018
Passing yds230.8233.1164
Passing TD2.21.51
Interceptions0.50.81
Rushing yds64.335.038
Rushing TD0.50.21
Fumbles lost——0
QBDylan RaiolaProjected PPR: 16.8 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Attempts22.028.518
Completions12.518.011
Passing yds165.0232.559
Passing TD1.01.71
Interceptions1.00.60
Rushing yds-0.513.08
Rushing TD0.00.10
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Jamal RuleProjected PPR: 11.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries13.212.13
Rushing yds95.552.75
Rushing TD1.20.50
Receptions1.01.10
Receiving yds20.517.50
Fumbles lost——0
RB1Dierre Hill Jr.Projected PPR: 16.6 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Carries15.015.214
Rushing yds74.085.467
Rushing TD0.00.80
Receptions2.01.44
Receiving yds8.019.014
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Kwazi GilmerProjected PPR: 14.3 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets11.38.4—
Receptions6.75.06
Receiving yds102.068.874
Receiving TD1.30.41
Fumbles lost——0
WR1Dakorien MooreProjected PPR: 12.1 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets9.06.3—
Receptions4.03.97
Receiving yds77.057.636
Receiving TD0.00.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Jacory Barney Jr.Projected PPR: 11.5 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.06.7—
Receptions6.04.02
Receiving yds79.251.337
Receiving TD0.50.40
Fumbles lost——0
WR2Evan StewartProjected PPR: 13.4 pts
StatSeason avgProjectedActual
Targets8.57.6—
Receptions6.04.9—
Receiving yds70.260.7—
Receiving TD0.80.4—
Fumbles lost———
3. Assumptions and methodology

Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.

Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.

Showing 62 of 62 games · earliest start first
Lines shown are consensus at time of publish and may move. All results are model projections, not guarantees.