Week 9 board
Every game the model priced this week, with its line beside the market's. Picks at the premium edge are gated; the board shows every row either way.
DEL @ WKUKickoff: 65°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 27, 9:58 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware | 66.2 | 5.6 | 236.6 | 136.6 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Western Kentucky | 69.0 | 5.9 | 239.8 | 164.3 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.8 | 30.8 |
| Completions | 18.8 | 18.2 |
| Passing yds | 259.8 | 223.9 |
| Passing TD | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Interceptions | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Rushing yds | 16.2 | 22.5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 16.6 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 29.8 | 31.3 |
| Completions | 15.5 | 18.8 |
| Passing yds | 139.5 | 230.0 |
| Passing TD | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Rushing yds | 71.5 | 58.0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 23.0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| Rushing yds | 52.0 | 47.3 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Receptions | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Receiving yds | 3.7 | 11.5 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 8.9 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 12.3 | 10.4 |
| Rushing yds | 57.3 | 51.9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| Receptions | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Receiving yds | 24.0 | 18.4 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 11.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.4 | 7.7 |
| Receptions | 5.4 | 4.5 |
| Receiving yds | 73.2 | 50.0 |
| Receiving TD | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 11.3 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.3 | 8.7 |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 5.2 |
| Receiving yds | 52.5 | 60.1 |
| Receiving TD | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 13.6 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.5 | 6.3 |
| Receptions | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Receiving yds | 37.5 | 46.2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 10.3 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Receiving yds | 10.9 | 17.7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 4.0 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
SHSU @ MOSTKickoff: 62°F · Wind 6 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 27, 9:58 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston State | 64.1 | 5.5 | 223.9 | 127.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| Missouri State | 66.4 | 6.1 | 234.1 | 174.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 34.0 | 30.9 |
| Completions | 21.0 | 19.0 |
| Passing yds | 236.1 | 228.4 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Rushing yds | 12.7 | 16.8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 15.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 37.0 | 29.2 |
| Completions | 27.0 | 18.7 |
| Passing yds | 318.5 | 237.1 |
| Passing TD | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Interceptions | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Rushing yds | 17.5 | 35.5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 20.4 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| Rushing yds | 41.5 | 39.6 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Receiving yds | 4.5 | 12.6 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 8.6 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.5 | 16.1 |
| Rushing yds | 75.0 | 84.6 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| Receiving yds | 15.0 | 17.1 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 16.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| Receptions | 2.1 | 2.7 |
| Receiving yds | 47.0 | 41.7 |
| Receiving TD | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 8.1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.7 | 7.6 |
| Receptions | 7.7 | 4.9 |
| Receiving yds | 179.3 | 87.1 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 16.6 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| Receiving yds | 4.0 | 30.4 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 6.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Receptions | 6.3 | 5.8 |
| Receiving yds | 50.3 | 58.3 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 14.6 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
KENN @ MTSUKickoff: 68°F · Wind 3 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 28, 3:57 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennesaw State | 65.6 | 6.0 | 234.6 | 156.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Middle Tennessee | 66.9 | 6.1 | 260.9 | 144.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.6 | 28.9 |
| Completions | 20.7 | 18.1 |
| Passing yds | 203.9 | 224.5 |
| Passing TD | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Rushing yds | 45.4 | 43.2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 20.5 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 30.9 | 34.5 |
| Completions | 18.0 | 21.0 |
| Passing yds | 200.6 | 260.4 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Interceptions | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Rushing yds | 23.1 | 22.9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 20.1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 14.0 | 13.5 |
| Rushing yds | 58.8 | 67.3 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| Receiving yds | 23.0 | 17.8 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 14.0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 18.0 | 11.4 |
| Rushing yds | 158.0 | 56.9 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| Receiving yds | 25.0 | 24.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 14.3 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.9 |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Receiving yds | 42.0 | 54.6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 10.5 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Receptions | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| Receiving yds | 63.0 | 49.8 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 10.4 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.9 |
| Receiving yds | 96.5 | 42.5 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 9.0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 4.0 | 5.2 |
| Receptions | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Receiving yds | 44.0 | 39.6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 8.2 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
JXST @ NMSUKickoff: 79°F · Wind 7 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 28, 3:57 PM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State | 65.9 | 5.9 | 214.1 | 173.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| New Mexico State | 65.7 | 5.5 | 228.3 | 133.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 27.4 | 27.3 |
| Completions | 18.4 | 17.6 |
| Passing yds | 232.7 | 215.6 |
| Passing TD | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| Interceptions | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Rushing yds | 72.9 | 74.7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 24.3 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 24.0 | 31.1 |
| Completions | 14.8 | 19.3 |
| Passing yds | 142.5 | 223.0 |
| Passing TD | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Interceptions | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Rushing yds | 4.0 | 10.2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 14.1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 7.0 | 10.4 |
| Rushing yds | 44.0 | 47.2 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Receiving yds | 3.0 | 12.5 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 10.3 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.1 | 16.8 |
| Rushing yds | 110.7 | 81.7 |
| Rushing TD | 0.6 | 0.5 |
| Receptions | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Receiving yds | 7.1 | 6.7 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 12.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Receiving yds | 93.0 | 55.4 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 10.1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| Receiving yds | 52.0 | 39.1 |
| Receiving TD | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 8.2 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.7 | 4.2 |
| Receptions | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Receiving yds | 28.0 | 35.2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 7.5 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| Receptions | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Receiving yds | 40.7 | 32.9 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 7.5 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
TROY @ JMUKickoff: 60°F · Wind 5 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 61.9 | 4.1 | 143.8 | 112.4 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| James Madison | 73.1 | 6.5 | 239.9 | 236.9 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.1 | 25.0 |
| Completions | 14.6 | 14.2 |
| Passing yds | 166.0 | 152.3 |
| Passing TD | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Rushing yds | 48.6 | 18.8 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 9.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 26.5 | 28.4 |
| Completions | 16.4 | 17.2 |
| Passing yds | 195.4 | 226.1 |
| Passing TD | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| Interceptions | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Rushing yds | 19.8 | 30.9 |
| Rushing TD | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 20.1 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 13.5 | 11.2 |
| Rushing yds | 60.0 | 41.0 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Receptions | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Receiving yds | -1.0 | 7.5 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 7.2 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 15.6 | 17.4 |
| Rushing yds | 101.9 | 107.5 |
| Rushing TD | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Receptions | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Receiving yds | 7.1 | 12.4 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 21.2 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 10.0 | 4.2 |
| Receptions | 5.0 | 2.4 |
| Receiving yds | 80.0 | 23.2 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 5.3 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 4.5 |
| Receptions | 6.0 | 2.7 |
| Receiving yds | 59.0 | 34.4 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 7.9 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| Receptions | 2.2 | 2.9 |
| Receiving yds | 34.4 | 34.1 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 6.9 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 7.0 | 4.2 |
| Receptions | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Receiving yds | 51.0 | 34.2 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 7.1 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
FAU @ UNTKickoff: 78°F · Wind 7 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdown
1. Projected box score
| Team | Plays | Yds/play | Passing yds (net) | Rushing yds | Sacked | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 75.1 | 6.8 | 346.6 | 162.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| North Texas | 73.8 | 7.9 | 315.3 | 271.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Average of 200 simulated games.
2. Key player projections
Projected: average of the simulated games, assuming he starts. Season avg: his average in this season's starts (all his games this season if he hasn't started). Starters: each team's snap leader at the position in its latest game.
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 37.1 | 39.1 |
| Completions | 27.1 | 26.2 |
| Passing yds | 297.4 | 331.9 |
| Passing TD | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Interceptions | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Rushing yds | 4.4 | 19.2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 23.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Attempts | 31.6 | 31.4 |
| Completions | 22.9 | 20.1 |
| Passing yds | 308.1 | 295.9 |
| Passing TD | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Interceptions | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Rushing yds | 10.4 | 23.2 |
| Rushing TD | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 25.4 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 17.0 | 11.8 |
| Rushing yds | 86.0 | 64.5 |
| Rushing TD | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| Receiving yds | 28.0 | 26.6 |
| Receiving TD | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 17.0 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Carries | 16.6 | 19.7 |
| Rushing yds | 123.0 | 149.6 |
| Rushing TD | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Receptions | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| Receiving yds | 35.7 | 28.1 |
| Receiving TD | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 32.8 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 12.5 | 11.7 |
| Receptions | 10.5 | 7.9 |
| Receiving yds | 132.0 | 103.8 |
| Receiving TD | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 22.5 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.8 | 7.9 |
| Receptions | 8.2 | 5.1 |
| Receiving yds | 132.8 | 79.3 |
| Receiving TD | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 16.6 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 9.0 | 5.9 |
| Receptions | 9.0 | 4.1 |
| Receiving yds | 121.0 | 52.3 |
| Receiving TD | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 11.7 |
| Stat | Season avg | Projected |
|---|---|---|
| Targets | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Receptions | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| Receiving yds | 41.5 | 42.6 |
| Receiving TD | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Fantasy points (PPR) | — | 9.3 |
3. Assumptions and methodology
Each game is simulated play by play 200 times from BBMI's team ratings, and the projections are the averages. Starters are assumed: each team's snap leaders in the game named on the card. Past accuracy is in the How the projections have done panel.
Since October 13, 2026 (week 7), the game card moves each team's share of combined rushing plays 30% of the way toward an even split in each simulation. Team-level passing play counts, simulated scores, totals, touchdowns and turnovers remain unchanged. Allocating team totals to players can also produce small random differences in player passing projections.
TULN @ CLTKickoff: 68°F · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
BAY @ UCFKickoff: 76°F · Wind 9 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
KENT @ Sacramento St.Kickoff: 62°F · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
Premium members see each game's breakdown before kickoff. Subscribe
UAB @ USFKickoff: 84°F · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
Game breakdownPremium
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SMU @ SYRKickoff: Indoors
An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.
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ARIZ @ TTUKickoff: 60°F · Wind 5 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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BGSU @ WMUKickoff: 54°F · Wind 7 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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CAL @ NCSUKickoff: 68°F · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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ILL @ MDKickoff: 57°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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BC @ DUKEKickoff: 68°F · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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ND @ NAVYKickoff: 48°F · Wind 11 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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WIS @ IOWAKickoff: 61°F · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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MICH @ RUTGKickoff: 57°F · Wind 7 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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AUB @ MISSKickoff: 73°F · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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MRSH @ ODUKickoff: 65°F · Wind 12 mph · Clear
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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KSU @ COLOKickoff: 54°F · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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CCU @ GASTKickoff: 66°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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LT @ USAKickoff: 78°F · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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TEM @ ECUKickoff: 65°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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CONN @ AFKickoff: 58°F · Wind 7 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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STAN @ LOUKickoff: 72°F · Wind 5 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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NU @ OREKickoff: 47°F · Wind 1 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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MINN @ IUKickoff: 65°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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UTEP @ North Dakota St.Kickoff: Indoors
An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.
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FLA @ UGAGame breakdownPremium
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KU @ TCUKickoff: 68°F · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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FIU @ LIBKickoff: 59°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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ASU @ BYUKickoff: 54°F · Wind 4 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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CSU @ USUKickoff: 52°F · Wind 5 mph · Rain Shower
Precipitation: 0.1 mm at kickoff. This is an amount, not a chance of rain.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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USM @ ULMKickoff: 80°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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UTAH @ CINKickoff: 68°F · Wind 5 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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UVA @ WAKEKickoff: 63°F · Wind 9 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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UNM @ SJSUKickoff: 63°F · Wind 4 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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PUR @ PSUKickoff: 58°F · Wind 5 mph · Fair
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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NEV @ UCLAKickoff: 61°F · Wind 2 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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SC @ OUKickoff: 66°F · Wind 8 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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Appalachian St. @ GASOKickoff: 74°F · Wind 11 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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WSU @ SDSUKickoff: 67°F · Wind 8 mph · Light Rain
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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CLEM @ FSUKickoff: 75°F · Wind 8 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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OKST @ ISUKickoff: 66°F · Wind 5 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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MIA @ UNCKickoff: 60°F · Wind 5 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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GT @ PITTKickoff: 58°F · Wind 2 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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OSU @ USCKickoff: 66°F · Wind 8 mph · Light Rain
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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MSST @ TEXKickoff: 76°F · Wind 3 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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MIZ @ ARKKickoff: 64°F · Wind 6 mph · Cloudy
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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ARMY @ MEMKickoff: 68°F · Wind 6 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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WASH @ NEBKickoff: 63°F · Wind 6 mph
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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TXST @ BOISKickoff: 49°F · Wind 7 mph · Light Rain
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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NIU @ UNLVKickoff: Indoors
An outdoor forecast does not apply to an indoor game.
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ORST @ FRESKickoff: 61°F · Wind 6 mph · Overcast
Precipitation: none forecast at kickoff.
Weather feeds the totals model. The spread model does not use it.
NCAAF totals are not published on the site yet.
Source: CollegeFootballData
Saved: Oct 29, 9:13 AM CDT
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