WNBA · Live paper experiment

Today’s Predictions.

Today’s slate priced against the spread and the total — locked before tip and graded against the closing line. No wagers placed or recommended; the public record is the experiment.

SaturdayAug 8
3Games
3Picks
1–0Yesterday
PaperEvery spread projection is shown — nothing is tiered or locked. Lines are home-perspective vs the captured market opener; grading is against the closing line. Full public log →
Time (local)MatchupOpenerBBMIEdgePickTier
7:30 PMIndiana Fever logoIndiana Fever @ Chicago Sky+6.5+3.53.0Chicago Sky +6.5Paper
5:00 PMLas Vegas Aces logoLas Vegas Aces @ Minnesota Lynx−4.5−2.42.1Las Vegas Aces +4.5Paper
12:30 AMSeattle Storm logoSeattle Storm @ Portland Fire−1.5−1.20.3Seattle Storm +1.5Paper
How to read this page

Locked before tip. Every projection is snapshotted and locked before the game starts — fingerprinted with a cryptographic hash so it cannot be edited afterward. Grades and closing-line results land on the Model Accuracy log the next morning.

Opener vs close. Picks are made against the market opener shown here; the harder test — grading against the closing line, plus closing-line value — is the experiment’s primary metric.

The honest prior. In six-season backtesting this model is market-competitive on accuracy with no established cash edge. The live season is the test — misses count, and they’re published.