DIVISION 5 • 2025–26
Luck
#123
In Division 5
+11.9
Rating
92%
Winner called
16
WIAA seed
Last game
Game predictions →Luck
TUE MAR 3
51 – 69
final score
Turtle Lake
Turtle Lake by 21.5
Projected margin
1%
Win probability
Turtle Lake by 18
Actual margin
3.5
Missed by, pts
Luck 1%Turtle Lake 99%
The 2025–26 season is complete. BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games; these are projections, graded against the result.
Schedule & projections
projected margin and win prob • no lines • 2 without a scoreDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Dec 2
vs New AuburnL 44–82#42 D5-11.511%
vs New AuburnDec 5
vs SirenL 54–67#122 D5-1.544%
vs SirenDec 12
vs FredericL 34–76#33 D5-12.59%
vs FredericDec 16
at WebsterL 22–75#18 D5-23.51%
at WebsterDec 19
vs NorthwoodW 64–28#104 D5-1.545%
vs NorthwoodDec 22
vs Spring ValleyL 36–62#77 D4-11.511%
vs Spring ValleyDec 29
vs Clear LakeL 27–74#24 D4-18.52%
vs Clear LakeDec 30
vs Saint Croix FallsL 49–70#20 D3-18.52%
vs Saint Croix FallsJan 8
at Prairie Farm/ClaytonL 17–43#52 D4-15.55%
at Prairie Farm/ClaytonJan 9vs Turtle LakeL 26–58#14 D5-17.53%
vs Turtle LakeJan 13
at GrantsburgL 36–60#47 D4-16.54%
at GrantsburgJan 16at SirenW 58–53#122 D5-1.544%
at SirenJan 19
at Glenwood CityL 39–64#45 D4-16.53%
at Glenwood CityJan 20
vs Shell LakeL 37–93#40 D4-14.56%
vs Shell LakeJan 23
at Birchwood—#89 D5-5.529%
at BirchwoodJan 27at FredericL 30–63#33 D5-15.55%
at FredericJan 30
vs Winter—#83 D5-5.527%
vs WinterJan 30
vs FlambeauL 43–84#34 D5-12.59%
vs FlambeauFeb 2at BirchwoodL 47–60#89 D5-5.529%
at BirchwoodFeb 3vs WebsterL 24–66#18 D5-16.54%
vs WebsterFeb 6vs Prairie Farm/ClaytonL 43–60#52 D4-13.57%
vs Prairie Farm/ClaytonFeb 10
at UnityL 18–64#28 D4-19.52%
at UnityFeb 13at Turtle LakeL 39–77#14 D5-21.51%
at Turtle LakeFeb 19at Shell LakeL 47–74#40 D4-17.53%
at Shell LakeFeb 20vs GrantsburgL 45–69#47 D4-15.55%
vs GrantsburgFeb 23
at DrummondL 41–69#6 D5-22.51%
at DrummondMar 3at Turtle LakeL 51–69#14 D5-21.51%
at Turtle LakeRanking over time
weekly · place of 129 in Division 5#114#117#120#123#125
#123
Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24
8 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
WIAA tournament
Pulse →16
WIAA seed
1A
Region
Regional quarterfinal
Sectional 1
The bracket is resolved, so this is the run the team actually had rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, which is the same reason the rankings board carries no projected record.
Profile
Points per game38.8#121
Points allowed per game66.4#112
Point differential-27.6#122
Field goal %.307#128
Three-point %.242#113
Rebounds per game24.4#119
Turnovers per game19.2#107
Quality wins-105.4#120
Ranked within Division 5, which is the only ladder this sport publishes. The artboard asks for offensive and defensive ratings, pace and returning starters; this feed carries none of them, and the rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI predictions on Luck
2025–26 • straight-up23–2
Winner called
16.9
Avg margin error, pts
92%
Accuracy
Across 25 games where a projection and a result both exist. A tie counts as neither called nor missed. No line, no stake, no units: BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games.