DIVISION 5 • 2025–26
Frederic
#33
In Division 5
+31.7
Rating
78%
Winner called
5
WIAA seed
Last game
Game predictions →Frederic
SAT MAR 7
52 – 61
final score
Turtle Lake
Turtle Lake by 9.5
Projected margin
16%
Win probability
Turtle Lake by 9
Actual margin
0.5
Missed by, pts
Frederic 16%Turtle Lake 84%
The 2025–26 season is complete. BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games; these are projections, graded against the result.
Schedule & projections
projected margin and win prob • no lines • 3 without a scoreDATEOPPONENTRESULTOPP RKPROJWIN %WIN PROB
Dec 1
at UnityW 45–44#28 D4-7.522%
at UnityDec 2
at South ShoreW 78–11#96 D5+10.588%
at South ShoreDec 5vs Turtle LakeL 58–78#14 D5-2.540%
vs Turtle LakeDec 9
at Siren—#122 D5+11.588%
at SirenDec 11
at BoycevilleW 50–45#73 D4+1.554%
at BoycevilleDec 12
at LuckW 76–34#123 D5+12.591%
at LuckDec 16
vs Prairie Farm/ClaytonL 50–53#52 D4+1.557%
vs Prairie Farm/ClaytonDec 29
vs Saint Croix FallsL 49–57#20 D3-3.537%
vs Saint Croix FallsDec 30
vs Clear LakeL 45–60#24 D4-3.537%
vs Clear LakeJan 3at SirenW 79–42#122 D5+11.588%
at SirenJan 6
at Grantsburg—#47 D4-4.534%
at GrantsburgJan 9
vs Shell LakeW 65–54#40 D4+1.553%
vs Shell LakeJan 13
at WebsterL 42–62#18 D5-11.511%
at WebsterJan 16at Turtle LakeL 44–71#14 D5-9.516%
at Turtle LakeJan 17
vs Spring ValleyW 45–38#77 D4+4.566%
vs Spring ValleyJan 20vs SirenW 80–41#122 D5+14.593%
vs SirenJan 23
at New Auburn—#42 D5-1.546%
at New AuburnJan 26at GrantsburgL 41–60#47 D4-4.534%
at GrantsburgJan 27vs LuckW 63–30#123 D5+15.595%
vs LuckJan 30
vs BirchwoodW 72–23#89 D5+10.586%
vs BirchwoodFeb 3at Prairie Farm/ClaytonL 47–60#52 D4-3.538%
at Prairie Farm/ClaytonFeb 5at New AuburnW 72–60#42 D5-1.546%
at New AuburnFeb 6vs GrantsburgL 31–51#47 D4+0.551%
vs GrantsburgFeb 9
vs NorthwoodW 69–31#104 D5+14.594%
vs NorthwoodFeb 13at Shell LakeL 42–63#40 D4-5.528%
at Shell LakeFeb 16
vs DrummondW 70–53#6 D5-1.546%
vs DrummondFeb 20vs WebsterL 45–65#18 D5-1.546%
vs WebsterMar 3vs South ShoreW 70–30#96 D5+13.593%
vs South ShoreMar 6
at WashburnW 68–63#20 D5-5.528%
at WashburnMar 7at Turtle LakeL 52–61#14 D5-9.516%
at Turtle LakeRanking over time
weekly · place of 129 in Division 5#31#34#37#40#42
#38
Feb 3Feb 10Feb 17Feb 24Mar 3Mar 10Mar 17Mar 24
8 weekly snapshots, frozen on Tuesdays while the sport is playing. The series stops where the season did and resumes when the sport does.
WIAA tournament
Pulse →5
WIAA seed
1A
Region
Regional final
Sectional 1
The bracket is resolved, so this is the run the team actually had rather than a probability.
Regular-season wins
not publishedThis sport has no season simulation, which is the same reason the rankings board carries no projected record.
Profile
Points per game57.3#57
Points allowed per game49.6#17
Point differential+7.7#34
Field goal %.404#53
Three-point %.278#64
Rebounds per game34.0#31
Turnovers per game11.1#12
Quality wins-7.2#42
Ranked within Division 5, which is the only ladder this sport publishes. The artboard asks for offensive and defensive ratings, pace and returning starters; this feed carries none of them, and the rankings board drops the same columns for the same reason.
BBMI predictions on Frederic
2025–26 • straight-up21–6
Winner called
16.7
Avg margin error, pts
78%
Accuracy
Across 27 games where a projection and a result both exist. A tie counts as neither called nor missed. No line, no stake, no units: BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games.
Probabilities may not add to 100%. BBMI publishes no betting lines or picks for high school games.