WIAA Boys Basketball · Bracket simulation

Tournament Pulse.

Every WIAA division’s state-tournament odds, simulated from team ratings and the official seeding. The model plays each regional → sectional → state bracket forward thousands of times — here’s how far each team is projected to go.

Divisions5

5Divisions · D1–D5

Single-elimRegional → State

Kohl CenterState finals site

Outcome

Division

Showing: State Champion probability

Top teams per division, ranked by the BBMI bracket simulation

Division 171 teams

Wisconsin LutheranRegion 4 · WIAA #1 · BBMI #1100.0%

Appleton EastRegion 1 · WIAA #18 · BBMI #70<0.1%

Appleton NorthRegion 1 · WIAA #2 · BBMI #3<0.1%

Appleton WestRegion 1 · WIAA #14 · BBMI #62<0.1%

Chippewa FallsRegion 1 · WIAA #17 · BBMI #64<0.1%

D.C. EverestRegion 1 · WIAA #1 · BBMI #10<0.1%

Eau Claire MemorialRegion 1 · WIAA #12 · BBMI #57<0.1%

Eau Claire NorthRegion 1 · WIAA #13 · BBMI #56<0.1%

Division 289 teams

Whitefish BayRegion 4A · WIAA #1 · BBMI #2100.0%

AntigoRegion 1A · WIAA #10 · BBMI #86<0.1%

LakelandRegion 1A · WIAA #8 · BBMI #71<0.1%

MedfordRegion 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #50<0.1%

MenomonieRegion 1A · WIAA #3 · BBMI #26<0.1%

MerrillRegion 1A · WIAA #6 · BBMI #55<0.1%

New RichmondRegion 1A · WIAA #4 · BBMI #40<0.1%

RhinelanderRegion 1A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #12<0.1%

Division 399 teams

Racine St. Catherine'sRegion 4B · WIAA #2 · BBMI #6100.0%

AquinasRegion 3A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #70.5%

NorthwesternRegion 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #220.1%

TurnerRegion 3B · WIAA #4 · BBMI #14<0.1%

HaywardRegion 1A · WIAA #9 · BBMI #34<0.1%

ColumbusRegion 3B · WIAA #6 · BBMI #26<0.1%

Adams-FriendshipRegion 1B · WIAA #5 · BBMI #46<0.1%

AmherstRegion 1B · WIAA #7 · BBMI #61<0.1%

Division 498 teams

Milwaukee JuneauRegion 4B · WIAA #1 · BBMI #1100.0%

ColfaxRegion 1A · WIAA #1 · BBMI #32<0.1%

AlgomaRegion 2B · WIAA #5 · BBMI #17<0.1%

UnityRegion 1A · WIAA #7 · BBMI #28<0.1%

BoycevilleRegion 1A · WIAA #11 · BBMI #73<0.1%

CameronRegion 1A · WIAA #10 · BBMI #46<0.1%

Chetek-WeyerhaeuserRegion 1A · WIAA #3 · BBMI #41<0.1%

Clear LakeRegion 1A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #24<0.1%

Division 5126 teams

ReedsvilleRegion 2B · WIAA #1 · BBMI #1100.0%

BayfieldRegion 1A · WIAA #9 · BBMI #65<0.1%

BirchwoodRegion 1A · WIAA #10 · BBMI #89<0.1%

BruceRegion 1A · WIAA #7 · BBMI #56<0.1%

DrummondRegion 1A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #6<0.1%

Eau Claire Immanuel LutheranRegion 1A · WIAA #11 · BBMI #91<0.1%

FredericRegion 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #33<0.1%

Lac Courte OreillesRegion 1A · WIAA #15 · BBMI #106<0.1%

View full region brackets · Regional → Sectional → State →

How the bracket simulation works

WIAA basketball runs five separate single-elimination brackets — one per enrollment division — from regionals through the state finals at the Kohl Center. After seeding is set, the model plays every remaining game forward many times using team efficiency ratings and home-site advantage, then tallies how often each team reaches each round.

The probabilities nest: State Champion ≤ State Finalist ≤ State Qualifier ≤ Sectional Final. Switch the outcome above to rank teams by how often they reach that stage. Per-team round-by-round odds live on each team page; the full region-by-region brackets are on the region brackets view.

Wider error bars than the college models — prep stats are self-reported and noisier — but the same simulation engine drives the published winner accuracy.