WIAA Basketball

State Tournament Probabilities

Probability of advancing to Sectionals, qualifying for State, and winning the championship.

🗂️ View Full State Brackets →🏫 Browse Team Pages →

Full bracket probabilities by region are on the State Brackets page · Each team's complete tournament odds are on their individual team page

Showing: State Champion Probability
Top 10 teams per division, ranked by BBMI simulation model
Division 1
71 teams
🥇
Wisconsin Lutheran
Region 4 · WIAA #1 · BBMI #1
100.0%
2
Appleton East
Region 1 · WIAA #18 · BBMI #70
<0.1%
3
Appleton North
Region 1 · WIAA #2 · BBMI #3
<0.1%
4
Appleton West
Region 1 · WIAA #14 · BBMI #62
<0.1%
5
Chippewa Falls
Region 1 · WIAA #17 · BBMI #64
<0.1%
6
D.C. Everest
Region 1 · WIAA #1 · BBMI #10
<0.1%
7
Eau Claire Memorial
Region 1 · WIAA #12 · BBMI #57
<0.1%
8
Eau Claire North
Region 1 · WIAA #13 · BBMI #56
<0.1%
9
Holmen
Region 1 · WIAA #10 · BBMI #37
<0.1%
10
Hortonville
Region 1 · WIAA #15 · BBMI #58
<0.1%
Division 2
89 teams
🥇
Whitefish Bay
Region 4A · WIAA #1 · BBMI #2
100.0%
2
Antigo
Region 1A · WIAA #10 · BBMI #86
<0.1%
3
Lakeland
Region 1A · WIAA #8 · BBMI #71
<0.1%
4
Medford
Region 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #50
<0.1%
5
Menomonie
Region 1A · WIAA #3 · BBMI #26
<0.1%
6
Merrill
Region 1A · WIAA #6 · BBMI #55
<0.1%
7
New Richmond
Region 1A · WIAA #4 · BBMI #40
<0.1%
8
Rhinelander
Region 1A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #12
<0.1%
9
Rice Lake
Region 1A · WIAA #9 · BBMI #77
<0.1%
10
River Falls
Region 1A · WIAA #1 · BBMI #21
<0.1%
Division 3
99 teams
🥇
Racine St. Catherine's
Region 4B · WIAA #2 · BBMI #6
100.0%
2
Aquinas
Region 3A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #7
0.5%
3
Northwestern
Region 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #22
0.1%
4
Turner
Region 3B · WIAA #4 · BBMI #14
<0.1%
5
Hayward
Region 1A · WIAA #9 · BBMI #34
<0.1%
6
Columbus
Region 3B · WIAA #6 · BBMI #26
<0.1%
7
Adams-Friendship
Region 1B · WIAA #5 · BBMI #46
<0.1%
8
Amherst
Region 1B · WIAA #7 · BBMI #61
<0.1%
9
Amery
Region 1A · WIAA #7 · BBMI #50
<0.1%
10
Ashland
Region 1A · WIAA #8 · BBMI #54
<0.1%
Division 4
98 teams
🥇
Milwaukee Juneau
Region 4B · WIAA #1 · BBMI #1
100.0%
2
Colfax
Region 1A · WIAA #1 · BBMI #32
<0.1%
3
Algoma
Region 2B · WIAA #5 · BBMI #17
<0.1%
4
Unity
Region 1A · WIAA #7 · BBMI #28
<0.1%
5
Boyceville
Region 1A · WIAA #11 · BBMI #73
<0.1%
6
Cameron
Region 1A · WIAA #10 · BBMI #46
<0.1%
7
Chetek-Weyerhaeuser
Region 1A · WIAA #3 · BBMI #41
<0.1%
8
Clear Lake
Region 1A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #24
<0.1%
9
Cumberland
Region 1A · WIAA #13 · BBMI #75
<0.1%
10
Glenwood City
Region 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #45
<0.1%
Division 5
126 teams
🥇
Reedsville
Region 2B · WIAA #1 · BBMI #1
100.0%
2
Bayfield
Region 1A · WIAA #9 · BBMI #65
<0.1%
3
Birchwood
Region 1A · WIAA #10 · BBMI #89
<0.1%
4
Bruce
Region 1A · WIAA #7 · BBMI #56
<0.1%
5
Drummond
Region 1A · WIAA #2 · BBMI #6
<0.1%
6
Eau Claire Immanuel Lutheran
Region 1A · WIAA #11 · BBMI #91
<0.1%
7
Frederic
Region 1A · WIAA #5 · BBMI #33
<0.1%
8
Lac Courte Oreilles
Region 1A · WIAA #15 · BBMI #106
<0.1%
9
Luck
Region 1A · WIAA #16 · BBMI #123
<0.1%
10
New Auburn
Region 1A · WIAA #6 · BBMI #42
<0.1%

Probabilities generated by BBMI bracket simulation using team efficiency ratings and seeding. Updated daily.

Full bracket probabilities by region →Individual team tournament odds →